GiantCALBears
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Posts posted by GiantCALBears
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Just now, aabattery said:
trust the process
You giving up $400k? You could be dead on and they still will get it over $130m haha.
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28 minutes ago, Tele Came Back said:
My club's about legs. I never thought it would have a giant weekend (at least in terms of how we tend to define that).
It's about both in fairness man.
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1 hour ago, aabattery said:
I went back and removed anything that had a holiday screwing it up. Average multi then is ~72. So I'd put the range from about 108 to 144, depending on how the NZ weekend goes. I've guestimated that it'll be around 1.5 to 2M. I'll make my OFFICIAL prediction for the dom weekend 129.6M.
You are smarter than this man, why not round up like the studio is very likely to do?
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Who is having a worse weekend: Alien or Tiger? Good grief.
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1 minute ago, Blankments said:
???
Stranger Things was the biggest pop culture event of last summer. Besides maybe Dory, I guess.
Yeah stranger things came to mind for sure after I wrote that post. The point was more how traditionally hit shows go fall or spring and movies are summer but clearly those lines have been blurred in recent years.
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2 minutes ago, grey ghost said:
I think they would've ended up where the POTC franchise did.
SM4 pulling in 875 m (around the same as SM3) then dropping by 100+ m with SM5.
Better results than the ASM but not mind blowingly better.
I don't see the new one doing that well. It will do fine but I mean saturation in this franchise is as prevelant as any we have out there.
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8 minutes ago, DAARRRRR said:
Well don't forget studios that aren't Disney have shorter windows to keep their Marvel characters
They could've stuck to their original plan with Raimi and Maguire and skipped a reboot. Whoops.
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Just now, grey ghost said:
5quels will be replaced with reinvigoration or revivals (Fast and Furious, Jurassic World).
Especially after studios realize how hard it is to launch a successful cinematic universe.
They are all copy cats. It's like an incestuous relationship that keeps going in circles. For such a creative industry, the business model is basically follow the leader (which recently has been Disney).
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1 minute ago, Water Bottle said:
It'll be difficult. Even if Time Warner/Comcast change RT, CBS isn't going to change Metacritic. Why would they?
It works great for them when they actually have a hit. The double standard is hilariously dumb.
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Cinemascore is a joke though as far as that article is concerned. Completely irrelevant and those studios are just whiners in the information age. You don't see them complaining when it works in their favor.
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3 minutes ago, Water Bottle said:
Would love to see the results of that study. If the study finds RT doesn't affect advance ticket sales, Time Warner and Comcast aren't going to change the site.
Wonder how they would change it though.
Its hilarious they think they can dupe the public into going OW to a shit film. They will be sorely mistaken if they cut off critical access beforehand.
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1 minute ago, grey ghost said:
The reboot cycle gets shorter and shorter.
It went from 25 years to every 4-8 years.
It's getting embarrassing. Sony should feel that way about Spiderman.
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3 minutes ago, MyMovieCanBeatUpYourMovie said:
Well, generally, a film with a higher percentage vs. another film is also going to have a higher average rating (unless we're talking films with very close percentages), so it's just a matter of degree.
It's the difference between showing 100 people in a room a film and then asking the people who liked it to raise their hand, vs. asking them all to write down a score from 1 to 10. Both useful, but in different ways.
Id prefer the former because I feel like too often people are generous graders. The sample gets more noisy as opposed to deciding simply I liked it or didn't.
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What do you guys think of the current weekend update guy on MOJO? Seems like he does a decent job.
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Just now, John Marston said:
the budget was cut for POTC 5
also POTC 5 has a chance to make three times its budget worldwide
Needs to be cut even further to keep up with an expected decline from this installment.
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Pirates movies are notoriously expensive, it's probably time to give it a rest for a while.
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2 minutes ago, CJohn said:
Alien will go into hibernation for many, many years.
If Pirates is able to crawl to 800M WW I think they will do another one. If not, then it will go into hibernation until Disney needs to reboot it, which will take a while.
Are they going to cut the budget dude? I think it's actually becoming a bit risky given diminishing returns. I say you take your money and put it on the shelf.
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Just now, The Panda of the Caribbean said:
I'm curious how well GoT would do if they turned the finale into a 3 hour movie. I reckon it'd be fairly large.
Yeah I mean the trailer views says enough about where we are at in GOT interest heading into the stretch. Very rare to keep building viewers every season until the end and at a steady rate.
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2 minutes ago, The Panda of the Caribbean said:
GoT has been a game changer as well. We're getting more movie ideas being turned into TV Series' instead, and theres plenty of other shows taking inspiration from it and Breaking Bad.
I can't remember the last time a TV show is the pop culture event of the summer over a movie, maybe the initial season of Survivor?
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Just now, The Futurist said:
My point exactly, LOTR always was ONE big story told in an epic way, ACT I, II & III.
Tolkien never saw LOTR as 3 books, just one.
Peter Jackson knew this , that's why he understood shooting everything all at once made perfect sense.
HP, Twilight, Hunger Games would all go on to make a lot of money off this idea.
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Just now, The Panda of the Caribbean said:
Yeah, it could have been a 10 episode mini-series for the same effect.
There is no GOT if not for LOTR speaking of epic adventures. Was clearly a game changing event for fantasy in our pop culture.
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1 minute ago, The Panda of the Caribbean said:
Lord of the Rings did peak though. It peaked with Return of the King, and then the Hobbit was the decline.
That was also filmed together as one long story, so since the first grabbed people, it kept growing because people wanted to see the conclusion.
Greatest trilogy ever but maybe that's not fair since it is really one long movie spliced in two places.
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12 minutes ago, baumer said:
Let's not bring Citizen Kane into this. It's one of the most overhyped ridiculously boring films that brainwashed everybody in the world into liking it.
It's as if these words were written by Hearst himself like a parody account.
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1 minute ago, John Marston said:
why can't a critic be biased one way or another?
sometimes they even admit it in their review
This is why RT and Metacritic are good, it's a way to filter out the biases using a decent sized sample.
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What a WONDERful Weekend | WW down only 16% on Sunday. 103M weekend. pg 226
in Numbers and Data
Posted
Looks like $120m+ is going to be a tough get. All those big clubs are dead.