solaris

This is Oppenheimer's to lose, surely. Göransson's score is stunning - 'Can you hear the music?' is one of the most miraculous pieces of music I've ever heard. I can't see how anything else will break through in this category now.

The review I've been waiting for!

No Country is practically perfect. Lean, elegant, career best writing from the Coens, and incredible performances from everyone, and it manages to be poetic without being pretentious in the slightest. The shift in narrative perspective towards the end is one of the best rug pulls ever... I didn't quite believe it the first time I saw it. It's a film I'll happily watch anytime it's on TV. There Will Be Blood is great, but I have to admit it's a far harder watch and more obtuse film (and one I've rarely re-visited in full). DDL os brilliant, and it's beautifully shot and scored... but it can be a real slog. Phantom Thread is PTAs best film, by a country mile... From my subjective viewpoint!

With last weeks daily holds, Barbie looks like this: Tue $10m Wed $9m Thu $8.5m Fri $11.1m Sat $12.2m Sun $9.9m Weekend 4 - $33.3m (-39%) / $536m Oppy following last weeks holds: Tue $4.8m Wed $4.1m Thu $3.9m Fri $5.8m Sat $7.8m Sun $6.5m Weekend 4 - $20m (-31%) / $266m Maybe a bit more in it with zero competition this weekend. I have Barbie getting to $640m and Oppy to $330m at current pace, however if Oppy starts to average closer to 30% weekly drops over its run then it could get closer to $360. Barbie could start dropping 45% from next week and it would still get to $625m

TDK opening night at the BFI IMAX in London remains one of the best cinema experiences of my life (up there with Jurassic Park as a 9 year old and the prologue to FOTR). When the WB/DC logos faded, to the smokey batsignal, to the smash cut of the crisp cityscape (in full IMAX), the whole cinema gasped - it literally felt like we were about to fall into the screen. To this day the best use of IMAX in a blockbuster

In the UK here. Randomly, a colleague of mine today mentioned this film 'that was being suppressed' about child trafficking that she wants to see (after we talked about her Barbie screening this weekend). Ok - one anecdote alone doesn't mean this is going to break out. But awareness isn't zero, could definitely see this picking up some business across Europe and Australia/NZ

What are the Chinese BO prospects looking like for Oppy? Dunkirk managed $50m... Will this being a much more talky drama hinder it?

I genuinely have no idea how high Barbie could go. £70m must be the floor... And seriously feels like it's making a run for top 10 all time. Oppy is basically level pegging with Dunk after it's 2nd weekend. Should hold a bit better over coming weekends than Dunkirk did so £55m feels like a good bet.

Needs just under a 4 multi from this weekend to get there. Dunkirk fell a little harder in it's second weekend (-47%) but had some great holds in the following weekends for a 4.5 multi after the 2nd weekend Might be close but reckon an IMAX/Academy Award re-release could get it there (especially if holiday/winter ends up being barren)

Pretty unbelievable for both. Their performance here might be the most impressive in any major market. Barbie could well make a run for the top 10 all time, and Oppy for top 30 of all time (if it keeps pace with Dunkirk)

So if it's at £45m by the end of this weekend, is +£70m a done deal?

Waking up trying to find the numbers in this thread

Barbie - $97m (-40%) / $640m total Oppy - $50m (-39%) / $315m total

Thanks for the heads up! Tues 22nd August here I come! Managed to get good seats too

Dunkirk had an insane 2nd weekend hold of -17%, which might be hard to replicate. But £50m is looking more and more achievable with each passing day. Assuming a 2nd weekend drop of 35% (£7m), it'll be close to £26m by sunday. It might stall closer to the high £40s but this weekend will give us a better idea. And IMAX will add some juicy numbers across the run.

Now there's a club... Oppenheimer over GOTG3 domestic.

I cannot get Ludwig Goransson's score out of my head. 'Can You Hear The Music' is pretty much on repeat on my Spotify. I love Nolan+Zimmer but one of the many reasons that Oppy feels like such a step up for Nolan is how different and varied the score is.

Finally caught Barbie. Curzon Aldgate 17.30 screening 100% full. The crowd ate it up (in a way that is quite rare for a UK crowd). I loved so many individual elements but I didn't quite love the meta sum of it all. Margot and Ryan are PERFECTION though. Let's see how Monday is but this feels like it's poised for a historic run. This weekend will go down as one of my all time favourites to have tracked. Just good vibes all round.

Even more impressive than the US numbers. A much better hold for MI7 too. Stronger opening and better 2nd weekend hold than Fallout. Fallout had some weird holds here... -66.4% 2nd weekend, 18.9% 3rd weekend. Either way, can't see this falling too far short of $35m here. Barbie is gargantuan. I have no idea where it will land but considering we're the country where *both* Mammia Mia films have been in the top 15 all time chart at one point, this could go very far (I am not for one second comparing Barbie to MM in terms of quality, but we have a track record of female led films exploding in the right conditions) £40m for Oppy feels achievable... IMAX sellouts will be fuelling some huge days ahead. Dunkirk's £56m will require godly holds.

I was lurking on the forums back then. TDK was the film that turned my casual interest in BO into an obsession. I remember being in Berlin for a holiday that weekend staying in a crappy hostel. This was pre smartphones and abundant WiFi. I was broke af at the time but one of the friends I was traveling with had a Blackberry (a Blackberry!) from work, so I stole that to obsessively track the numbers that weekend. I remember going to a bar on sunday and could barely contain my excitement. My friends did NOT get it, sufficed to say. Separately, Facebook (sorry Gen Z) reminded me that that trip was 15 years ago yesterday. Sweet memories

I give it an 80% chance. Dunkirk legs will get it to 300m on the nose.

Haha some of us remember her from her Neighbours days She was a standout, even then (and in a particularly poor era for the soap)

Oppy will have some massive weekdays for sure. BFI Imax alone will be contributing trucks of cash. It's basically sold out for the next two weeks. Even a showing at 8.15 am next Monday has about 3 seats left. Insane.

I did a Nolan comp chart. Not sure if this really tells us anything, except to say it's an almost unimpeachable track record both critically and in terms of BO. RT Crit RT Aud CS OW Domestic Total Multi Comments Memento 93% 94% - $235,488 $25,544,867 n/a no wide opening Insomnia 92% 77% B 20,930,169 67,355,513 3.22 Batman Begins 84% 94% A 48,745,440 205,343,774 4.21 5 DAY OW The Prestige 76% 92% B 14,801,808 53,089,891 3.59 The Dark Knight 94% 94% A 158,411,483 533,345,358 3.37 Inception 87% 91% B+ 62,785,337 292,576,195 4.66 TDKR 87% 90% A 160,887,295 448,139,099 2.79 Interstellar 73% 86% B+ 47,510,360 188,020,017 3.96 Dunkirk 92% 81% A- 50,513,488 188,045,546 3.72 Tenet 69% 76% B 9,353,090 58,504,105 6.26 covid AVERAGE 85% 88% - 63,770,941 226,046,611 3.54 Oppenheimer 94% 94% A 80,000,000 283,573,185 3.54 320,000,000.00 4 Early days but RT critics/aud & CS are all in line with TDK. Still surprised at the B+ for Inception. Dunkirk feels like the closest comparison (historical, 'dad' movie, summer weekdays) but on a bigger scale and with bigger numbers. Trying to extrapolate what this could mean for Oppy. Based on Nolan's 'average' multi of 3.54 (and assuming an $80m OW) gets us to $283.5m. A 4 multi gets us to $320m. Dunkirk feels like a realistic target - which gets us to $300m more or less. I'm also assuming there'll be some Christmas/Winter IMAX re-releases when it's nominated for the inevitable 10+ Oscars.