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Everything posted by Sam
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Rth I indicated that the estimated $145.9 seems about right I think it’ll go just over/under $150M though. But not quite enough for $160M
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You can doubt the reported $170M all you want, but it’s pointless to argue about it since you will never know the true budget. And even with $250M-300M+ budget, a 1B+ grosser will still be a big hit anyway. The first JW opened to $100M and ended with $228M, which is a pretty good multiplier for China. I think a 2x for FK is very doable, so 115M would get it a total on par with the first.
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China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26
Sam replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
I figure. Just hoping lol. $6.5M would still be good though, requires a drop of 18% on Sun, or 15M yuan. -
China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26
Sam replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
Is $7M possible for the weekend? Needs Sunday to stay flat though so I guess not, but would be nice. -
Yeah, I thought 160M would be doable before we got update on Friday number, which is on the lower side. Mid-140s sound likely. Optimistic Sat jump, but that’s too big a Sun drop you got there. OS markets usually drop in the teens/sub20% on Sunday of OW (for big tent poles especially) (For comparisons, IW jumped only ~33% for Sat, but also only dropped 18% on Sun. IW Friday was enormous though so less room to go up on Sat compare to FK)
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Wed: 20.2M Thu: 19.1M Fri: 26.8M Total: 66.1M Lower Friday than I thought. Still, needs 84M over Sat-Sun for 150M weekend. Doable.
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If FK dropping to 1B WW or under, then that would be a big disappointment BO-wise in the vein of TLJ. But it’s still not gonna be a flop in any way. If you want to discuss flops, may I suggest Solo? This is not the thread you are looking for.
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Complete guesswork on my end. I figure family appeal factor will drive up Sat a lot (as proven by SK and HK) Plus, it’s wide open in the OS markets right now with no competitions so IW should be holding well over Sun too.
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145.9M is such a specific number for estimate lol. Thinking it’ll be closer to $160M.
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China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26
Sam replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
I have never seen the word ‘Toilet’ at once, this many times in my life lol. -
South Korea be leaving UK in the dust this time with biggest OS market for FK this weekend DP2 fallen out of Top 5, and beaten (ironically) by a Pokémon movie no less lmao.
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Great number! Maybe my mistyping $55M could happen after all lol @pepsa
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About 636k admissions. And a 108% Sat jump (off of a weirdly muted 10% Fri jump the day prior)
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I’m guessing 120% increase for 680k admissions.
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My guess is 160M OS weekend. A decent 2.7x from those markets will give ~430M The big markets that left to open are most of Latin America, Australia and Japan. Think it’ll decrease in Latin America, flat/decrease in Aus, no idea about Japan. 550M-600M range for OS-Ch Presales in China looks to be on par with TF5, so I don’t see a big increase over JW there. But it’s China, so who knows?
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About $13M 4-day opening plus Wed previews. 1.64M admissions. Edit: You mean TA (2012), right? If you mean Infinity War, then it was 4.75M admissions, $39M for 5-day OW.
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Should not be analyzing BO numbers at work, it did that to you lol. But yeah, I was thinking 50M+ total even after the 81% post-Memorial day drop cause I was hoping to see a better Friday jump. 33% is solid but it’s on par with The Mummy, so it’s not looking too promising. 5.5M admissions would be matching with JW. Off of a much bigger weekend. Hey, what do you mean sarcastically. I don’t know what you’re talking about, Solo is doing great! Maybe not as great as in China, but without the Ranger Solo title, that is to be expected.
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I mean to say 5.5M admissions and $45M total lol. Since it’s already fell behind JW in dailies Don’t know how I mistyped that 😑 As you can see, multitasking is not my forte.