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Sam

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Everything posted by Sam

  1. F8 grossed $618M OS-Ch, about -20% drop from F7 ($773M) AoU grossed ~$706M Os-Ch, a -13% drop from TA ($805M). *In AoU case though, it was a 3-year gap with 2015 ER being much worse compare to 2012. So even wonkily, if we factor that in, AoU OS-Ch likely increased from TA (or at the worst, stay flat) JW may be more comparable to F7>>F8, so I expect ~20% drop OS on the worse side, and ~10% drop on the more optimistic end. Add in the big advantage of China increasing instead of staying flat (in dolllars) like with F8, and it’ll be in for a good run.
  2. I’m also seeing 1B OS. 700M+ OS-Ch 300M+ China Its OS performance should be similar to Fast and Avengers sequel trajectory. The domestic numbers will be much more of a question mark.
  3. Not that I don’t see JW2 doing well (it will) but I feel like the Memorial Day holiday is skewing the pre-sales data. Even if it breaks the single day record, that’s no telling of its BO prospect in the long run. I mean, Memorial Day/OD record was broken just last year by The Mummy of all movies lol. Sorry for being a downer, I had to do it, cause it could be dangerous to have @Brainbug being too excited and happy around here
  4. Over/Under the enormous pile of cash that Solo bring in? Edit: Oops, I don’t mean bring in, I mean losing. Damn autocorrect.
  5. Omg!!! Oh Dal Su is a great actor but Ma Dong Suk is so personally that’s an upgrade to me lol. Jin Roh’s plot sounds good. Thanks for the summary introduction! Imma add that on my to-watch list for Korean movies.
  6. Wow, look at how close the former Top 3 were to each other in local currency. Then IW came, say fuck that with a +70% over the record holder lol. It’s gonna almost double The Avengers in Reals (250M+ vs. 130M) yet barely go above it in dollars 😑
  7. the-numbers.com has its OS total at 1.332B, where’s the extra $10M coming from lol.
  8. Right in the middle of Ultron and GOTG2 weekends like I predicted. Great drop! Best post-Memorial weekend drop for MCU, only behind the first Iron Man.
  9. I don’t know why I wasted my time reading the last 10 pages of this thread. But this is a worthy post.
  10. The Mummy breaking OD admissions is still a WTF and out of nowhere for me lol (even with Memorial Day factor in) And yeah, pre-sales looking good, and it’s positioned in a ludicrous release time frame. I think FK will open very well.
  11. It has no chance of grossing another $100M worldwide off of a 35M weekend this late into the run. Especially with Incredibles/JW2/Wprld Cup all coming lol.
  12. Removing Japan’s opening, that’s still a ~36M weekend, off only -35% from last weekend. Very great hold. 56M away from 400M OS. Off of a 41M weekend it just had, even with JW coming in some markets this weekend, I think 400M is possible.
  13. This Sunday was the last day for Rampage, right? That is painfully close to 1B total for the movie there.
  14. Oh, I see what you mean now. I thought people was talking about how China estimates is under-reported in that OS weekend estimate itself. Great for IW! Thanks.
  15. ~198k in presales for Fallen Kingdom. According to @feasby007 chart, Civil War was at 305k same point in presales, so FK is gaining ground and running at 65% of CW now, up from 50% 2 days prior.
  16. That would put OS-China at 10M then, still a pretty great hold. And it could go up with actuals too.
  17. UK finally going above SK for #2 OS markets. In Brazil, IW finally passed TA in dollars! @Fullbuster Great numbers from all markets there.
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