ITALY (Botteghino): 'Kung Fu Panda 4' stronger than predecessor

[Filmovie]

Christmas Chart

 

2013

 

1. Colpi di fortuna 1,537M

2. Indovina chi viene a Natale 0,953M

3. Frozen 0,863M

4. Un fantastico via vai 0,765M

5. Hobbit 0,585

6. Walter Mitty 0,491

 

2012

 

1. Colpi di fulmine 1,189M

2. I soliti idioti 0,943M

3. Hobbit 0,856M

4. Tutto, tutto, niente niente 0,792M

5. Life of Pi 0,486M

6. WIR 0,380M

 

2011

 

1. Vacanze di Natale a Cortina 1,660M

2. Sherlock Holmes 2 1,550M

3. Finalmente la felicità 1,190M

4. Il gatto con gli stivali 1,070M 

5. New Year's eve 0,474M

 

2010

 

1. Natale in Sud Africa 2,4M

2. La banda di Babbi Natale 1,8M

3. The Tourist 0,89M

4. Narnia 3 0,66M

 

2009 (partial datas; actuals are +15-20%)

 

1 Natale a Beverly Hills 2.540M
2 Io & Marilyn  1.250M
3 Sherlock Holmes 1,095M
4 La principessa e il ranocchio 0,458M
5 A Christmas carol 0,458M 

 

2008 (actuals)

 

1 Natale a Rio 2.950M

2 Madagascar 2 1.832M
3 Il cosmo sul comò  1.478M
4 Nights in Rodanthe  0,436M

 

 

Predictions for Today IMHO:

 

1. Il ricco, il povero e il maggiordomo: (these are their last entries' Christmas' datas Il cosmo sul comò  1.478M and La banda di Babbi Natale 1,8M) ---> 1,7-9 M EU

 

2. Hobbit ---> 0,9-1,0 M EU

 

3. Un Natale Stupefacente --> 0,7 M EU

 

4. il ragazzo invisibile --> 0,65 M EU

 

5. BH6 ---> 0,6 M EU

Edited December 25, 2014 by Filmovie

[Filmovie]

Worst Christmas in recente memory (-22% vs LY)

 

1. Il ricco il povero 1,028 M EU

2. Un natale stupefacente 0,854 M EU

3. Hobbit 0,780 M EU

4. BH6 0,497 M EU

5. GG 0,493 M EU

6. Il ragazzo invisibile 0,383 M EU

 

Today it should be a bigger day

 

26th 2013

 

1. COlpi di fortuna 1,98 M EU

2. Frozen 1,860 M EU

3. INDOVINA chi viene a Natale 1,338 M EU

4. Un fantastico via vai 1,130 M EU

5. Hobbit 0,945 M EU

6. Walter Mitty 0,669 M EU

 

26th 2012

 

1. Colpi di fulmine 1,507 M EU

2. Hobbit 1,491 M EU

3. I due soliti idioti 1,307 M EU

4. Tutto tutto niente niente 1,064 M EU

5. WIR 0,818 M EU

6. Life of Pi 0,705 M EU

 

26th 2011 

 

1. Sherlock Holmes 2 2,036 M EU

2. Puss in Boots 1,952 M EU

3. Finalmente la felicità 1,564 M EU

4. New Year's eve 0,602 M EU

5. Ides of March 0,416 M EU

 

26th 2010

 

No datas

 

26th 2009 (partial datas: actuals are +15-20%)

 

1. Natale a BH 3,050 M EU

2. Io e Marilyn 1,654 M EU

3. Sherlock Holmes 1,419 M EU

4. Princess and Frog 0,913 M EU

5. A Christmas Carol 0,647 M EU

 

26th 2008

 

1. Natale a Rio 3,549 M EU

2. Madagascar 2 2,900 M EU

3. Il cosmo sul comò 1,859 M EU

4. Nights in Rodanthe 0,693 M EU

5. The Spirit 0,353 M EU

Edited December 26, 2014 by Filmovie

[Hernan Gonzalez]

Cumulatives as of yesterday:

The Hobbit $8.5m

Il Ricco, il Povero e il Maggiordomo $7.5m

Big Hero 6, around $2.6m

Edited December 26, 2014 by Henry II of Arendelle

[edroger3]

We shouldn't forget that on Christmas day Paddington started its run in cinemas (#8 with 270Keuros). It have good reviews here and WoM could be stronger than BH6, so  the bear from Peru could become the first choice for family with little ones (especially girls) aged under 8/9 years.

[Hernan Gonzalez]

You were right Filmovie! The 26th was bigger than Christmas, even bigger than some weekends!!!! 4 movies over €1m.

 

Friday Top 5:

 

1- Il Ricco, il Povero e il Maggiordomo, €1.44m ($1.76m)

2- The Hobbit BOFA, €1.33m ($1.62m)

3- Un Natale Stupefacente, €1.12m ($1.37m)

4- Big Hero 6, €1m ($1.22m)

5- Gone Girl, €0.77m ($0.94m)

 

Cumulatives as of yesterday: 

The Hobbit $10.2m
Il Ricco, il Povero e il Maggiordomo $9.35m
Big Hero 6, around $3.9m 

[Filmovie]

Hobbit trilogy after the 26th:

1. AUJ 10,8 M EU

2. DOS 8,9 M EU

3. BOFA 8,3 M EU

You know better than me that it's not an apples to apples comparison but considering than BOFA trailed AUJ on CD and on 26th it's not going to make 16 M EU. 13.5-14.5 is more likely.

[Hernan Gonzalez]

Hobbit trilogy after the 26th:

1. AUJ 10,8 M EU

2. DOS 8,9 M EU

3. BOFA 8,3 M EU

You know better than me that it's not an apples to apples comparison but considering than BOFA trailed AUJ on CD and on 26th it's not going to make 16 M EU. 13.5-14.5 is more likely.

But DOS opened one week earlier I think...

[Filmovie]

Yes, I know. In fact BOFA beat it during CD and 26th and that's why I think it will surpass it. But BOFA is losing ground to AUJ (despite it opened also a Week earlier) so there's no way it closes the gap before the end of its run (considering they both have the same amount of holiday still to do).

The only "advantage" that BOFA has on AUJ is the fact that 6th Jan - Holiday here - falls on Tuesday instead of Sunday. But that won't make miracles.

[Hernan Gonzalez]

Yes, I know. In fact BOFA beat it during CD and 26th and that's why I think it will surpass it. But BOFA is losing ground to AUJ (despite it opened also a Week earlier) so there's no way it closes the gap before the end of its run (considering they both have the same amount of holiday still to do).

The only "advantage" that BOFA has on AUJ is the fact that 6th Jan - Holiday here - falls on Tuesday instead of Sunday. But that won't make miracles.

I will be happy to see BOFA beating DOS and it needs €14.5m to do that with the actual exchange rate

[edroger3]

You were right Filmovie! The 26th was bigger than Christmas, even bigger than some weekends!!!! 4 movies over €1m.

 

Friday Top 5:

 

1- Il Ricco, il Povero e il Maggiordomo, €1.44m ($1.76m)

2- The Hobbit BOFA, €1.33m ($1.62m)

3- Un Natale Stupefacente, €1.12m ($1.37m)

4- Big Hero 6, €1m ($1.22m)

5- Gone Girl, €0.77m ($0.94m)

 

Cumulatives as of yesterday: 

The Hobbit $10.2m

Il Ricco, il Povero e il Maggiordomo $9.35m

Big Hero 6, around $3.9m 

By the way another day down vs last year (-21%). Usually 26th of Dec and 1st of January are biggest days in winter holidays. Paddington 580K (+120% vs OD)

[Hernan Gonzalez]

By the way another day down vs last year (-21%). Usually 26th of Dec and 1st of January are biggest days in winter holidays. Paddington 580K (+120% vs OD)

You are right. BOFA did better than DOS but BH6 is not as strong as Elsa and Anna. Also the local movies are doing worst than last year.

BTW, do you see Big Hero 6 over $10m by the end of its run?

[Hernan Gonzalez]

Saturday Top 5:

 

1- The Hobbit BOFA, €0.84m ($1.03m)

2- Il Ricco, il Povero e il Maggiordomo, €0.84m ($1.02m)

3- Big Hero 6, €0.66m ($0.80m)

4- Gone Girl, €0.59m ($0.72m)

5- Un Natale Stupefacente, €0.54m ($0.66m)

 

 

Cumulatives as of yesterday: 

The Hobbit $11.3m 
Il Ricco, il Povero e il Maggiordomo $10.5m
Big Hero 6, around $4.7m 

[edroger3]

You are right. BOFA did better than DOS but BH6 is not as strong as Elsa and Anna. Also the local movies are doing worst than last year.

BTW, do you see Big Hero 6 over $10m by the end of its run?

Ending under 10M$ is hard to believe for BH6 even if it is working a bit lower any reasonable predictions. I think 12/13M$ and #1 animation of 2014 is still possible: it had grossed constantly +25/30% vs WiR and - 45/50% vs Frozen that grossed about 20M euros, so it should end about 10 mil euros or over. Obviously the risk is that it don't have the same legs, and we know well that kind of legs Frozen had.

[Filmovie]

10 M € for BH6 is a stretch IMHO. 9 M € is a more believable goal. 10M$ will be achieved by the way

[edroger3]

Big Hero 6 is already discounted in my town! 5 euros instead of 7,5. I don't know if it is a local initiative or a Disney marketing strategy. I will try to discover it.

[Hernan Gonzalez]

Sunday Top 5:

 

1- Il Ricco, il Povero e il Maggiordomo, €0.96m ($1.17m)

2- The Hobbit BOFA, €0.88m ($1.07m)

3- Big Hero 6, €0.85m ($1.04m)

4- Gone Girl, €0.68m ($0.83m)

5- Un Natale Stupefacente, €0.63m ($0.77m)

 

 

Cumulatives as of yesterday: 

The Hobbit $12.4m 
Il Ricco, il Povero e il Maggiordomo $11.7m
Big Hero 6, around $5.8m 

[Hernan Gonzalez]

Weekend Top 5:

 

1- Il Ricco, il Povero e il Maggiordomo, €4.51m ($5.5m)

2- The Hobbit BOFA, €4.05m ($4.9m)

3- Un Natale Stupefacente, €3.35m ($4.1m)

4- Big Hero 6, €3.19m ($3.9m)

5- Gone Girl, €2.67m ($3.3m) 

 

Last year DOS did $3.7m the weekend before Christmas and Frozen $8.5m

 

 

Cumulatives as of yesterday: 

The Hobbit €10.25m ($12.5m) 
Il Ricco, il Povero e il Maggiordomo €9.61m ($11.7m)
Big Hero 6, €4.93m ($6m) 

Un Natale Stupefacente, €4.6m ($5.6m)

Gone Girl, €3.92m ($4.8m)

Paddington €1.86m ($2.3m)

[Hernan Gonzalez]

Monday Top 5:

 

1- The Hobbit BOFA, €0.47m ($0.57m)

2- Big Hero 6, €0.36m ($0.44m)

3- Il Ricco, il Povero e il Maggiordomo, €0.31m ($0.38m)

4- Gone Girl, €0.25m ($0.30m)

5- Paddington, €0.20m ($0.24m)

 

 

Cumulatives as of yesterday: 

The Hobbit $13.15m 
Il Ricco, il Povero e il Maggiordomo $12.2m
Big Hero 6, around $6.5m

Gone Girl, $5.1m 

Paddington, $2.6m

[picores]

Hobbit 3 looks to pass $20m, DOS did $17m so its a good result. Italy and Spain, two similar markets, will see a nice increase over DOS.

[edroger3]

The Hollywood Reporter make a report that analyze Italian 2014 boxoffice:

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/italy-box-office-2014-angelina-760032

It is pretty incorrect and I tried to fix it with a comment.