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chasmmi's Winter 2014 Game : Top 7 Domestic Opening Weekends

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This is the thread where your Top 7 Opening Weekends will be tracked.  Previously I tracked the worldwide weekends also but that has been replaced by World Hunger Games Challenge, which is position only (position only won't be known until the end of season).  

 

Scoring System for the Winter Game:

 

B: DOMESTIC TOP 7 OPENING WEEKS 


NOTE: AN OPENING WEEKEND IS DEEMED ALL OF THE GROSS A FILM MAKES UNTIL ITS FIRST SUNDAY. SO IF A FILM IS RELEASE ON A WEDNESDAY IT WILL HAVE A 5 DAY OPENING WEEKEND.

2nd NOTE: BIG HERO 6’s OPENING WEEKEND WILL BE CONSIDERED AS NOV 7th, REGARDLESS OF WHETHER DISNEY DOES THEIR DISNEYLAND PREVIEW THING ALA FROZEN OR NOT. 

So it’s simple predict the top 7 OW of winter (plus a backup 8th OW in case of Calendar change) along with the predicted gross for the weekend. 

POINT SYSTEM: 

For each correctly predicted film, regardless of order you receive 10,000 points
For each film in the exact spot you receive 5,000 bonus points (so 15,000 total)
Call top 3 in order and receive 50,000 bonus points
Call 5 of the top 7 correctly (any order) receive 75,000 bonus points
Call 6 of the top 7 (any order) receive 100,000 bonus points
Call top 7 (any order) receive 150,000 bonus points

For every incorrect film lose 7,000 points 

GROSS ACCURACY:

Call a film’s gross to within 1 million to get 30,000 bonus points
Call a film’s gross to within 2.5 million to get 25,000 bonus points
Call a film’s gross to within 5 million to get 20,000 bonus points
Call a film’s gross to within 10 million to get 15,000 bonus points
Call a film’s gross to within 15 million to get 10,000 bonus points
Call a film’s gross to within 20 million to get 5,000 bonus points
Call a film’s gross to within 30 million to get no bonus points

Miss the gross by more than 30M and lose 10,000 points (You will lose these points even if the film doesn’t make the top 7 OW.) 

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23 Players have supplied a Domestic Top 7 Opening Weekend out of 23 Total Players who submitted a preseason.

 

Across all players a total of 14 films were selected.  

  • 1 Film has since been taken off the calendar (James Wan Demonic) but only had 1 player prediction.
  • Everyone predicted The Hunger Games, The Hobbit, Interstellar & Big Hero 6 being in the top 7.
  • (I should note, everyone has also picked the hunger games as their #1 film)
  • Penguins of Madagascar and Exodus were also popular.
  • Of interest the film with the widest range in the predictions was the Hobbit.  

 

The following points are made in regards to player predictions:

 

1. Grey Ghost predicted "James Wan Demonic" in 7th place which has now gone TBD.  Unless it returns to a date within the period, Night at the Museum as his 8th selection replaces it.

 

2. Some users have given a 3 day and 5 day value for The Hobbit and other films that are released on Wednesday.  As per the original post all $ up until the end of the first sunday is included.  Hence I will use the 5 day prediction in those cases.

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Domestic Top 7 Opening Weekend Standings

Top 7 Opening Weekends as of October 5th 2014.

(Films predicted are highlighted in BOLD)
 
1. Gone Girl - 37.513m
2. Annabelle - 37.134m
3. Left Behind (2014) - 6.3m
4. Bang Bang - 1.279m
5. The Good Lie - 0.841m
6. Haider - 0.508m
7. Breakup Buddies - 0.23m
 
The following colors only apply to films in the Top 7  Opening Weekends:
If your prediction is in GOLD, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $1m. You get 40,000 points!

If your prediction is in PURPLE, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $2.5m. You get 35,000 points!
If your prediction is in BRIGHT GREEN, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $5m. You get 30,000 points!
If your prediction is in BLUE, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $10m. You get 25,000 points! 
If your prediction is in DARK GREEN, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $15m. You get 20,000 points! 

If your prediction is in PINK, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $20m. You get 15,000 points! 

If your prediction is in GREY, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $30m. You get 10,000 points! 
If your prediction is in BLACK, the prediction is in the top 7 AND not within $30m. You get SAFE (0)! 

 

The following colors only apply to films that did not make the Top 7 Opening Weekends:

If your prediction is in RED, the prediction is not in the top 7 AND within $30m. You lose 7,000 points (-7,000)! 

If your prediction is in RED strikethru, the prediction is not in the top 7 AND not within $30m. You lose 17,000 points (-17,000)! 

OCTOBER
GONE GIRL (7/23)
avi - 57m

grim22 - 52m
Alpha - 50m
iceroll - 43m
Snoopy of Suburbia - 38m
Actual OW - 37.513m
bcf26 - 37m
Spaghetti - 33m
 

ANNABELLE (1/23)
Grey Ghost - 38m

Actual OW - 37.134m
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Top 7 Opening Weekends as of October 26th 2014.

(Films predicted are highlighted in BOLD)
 
1. Gone Girl - 37.513m
2. Annabelle - 37.134m
3. Dracula Untold - 23.515m
4. Ouija - 20m EST
5. Alexander and the Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Day - 18.36m
6. John Wick - 14m EST
7. The Judge - 13.116m
 

Just a quick update on the top 7 OW films... Only might expect the top 2 to figure in the final top 7.  No more updates until we have weekend actuals for Interstellar / Big Hero 6 (which should take 1st and 2nd respectively if everything goes to plan).

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Domestic Top 7 Opening Weekend Standings

Top 7 Opening Weekends as of November 10th 2014.

(Films predicted are highlighted in BOLD)
 
1. Big Hero 6 - 56.216m

2. Interstellar - 47.510m

3. Gone Girl - 37.513m

4. Annabelle - 37.134m

5. Dracula Untold - 23.515m

6. Ouija - 19.875m

7. Alexander and the Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Day - 18.36m

 

The following colors only apply to films in the Top 7  Opening Weekends:
If your prediction is in GOLD, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $1m. You get 40,000 points!

If your prediction is in PURPLE, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $2.5m. You get 35,000 points!
If your prediction is in BRIGHT GREEN, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $5m. You get 30,000 points!
If your prediction is in BLUE, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $10m. You get 25,000 points! 
If your prediction is in DARK GREEN, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $15m. You get 20,000 points! 

If your prediction is in PINK, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $20m. You get 15,000 points! 

If your prediction is in GREY, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $30m. You get 10,000 points! 
If your prediction is in BLACK, the prediction is in the top 7 AND not within $30m. You get SAFE (0)! 

 

The following colors only apply to films that did not make the Top 7 Opening Weekends:

If your prediction is in RED, the prediction is not in the top 7 AND within $30m. You lose 7,000 points (-7,000)! 

If your prediction is in RED strikethru, the prediction is not in the top 7 AND not within $30m. You lose 17,000 points (-17,000)! 

 

OCTOBER
GONE GIRL (7/23)
avi - 57m

grim22 - 52m
Alpha - 50m
iceroll - 43m
Snoopy of Suburbia - 38m
Actual OW - 37.513m
bcf26 - 37m
Spaghetti - 33m
 

ANNABELLE (1/23)
Grey Ghost - 38m

Actual OW - 37.134m
 

NOVEMBER

BIG HERO 6 (23/23)

mahnamahna - 68.5m

avi - 68m

Spaghetti - 67m

Empire - 66m

Alpha - 65m

Snoopy of Suburbia - 65m

DAJK - 65m

Blankments - 64m

bcf26 - 64m

iceroll - 63m

Geraldino - 62m

darkelf - 61m

Telemachos - 59m

chasmmi - 57m

laguy03 - 57m

Jajang - 56.3m

Actual OW - 56.216m

Wrath - 55m

grim22 - 53m

Filmovie - 50m

The Panda - 50m

Grey Ghost - 48m

cmasterclay - 48m

Punishment - 40m

 

INTERSTELLAR (23/23)
mahnamahna - 97m

Jajang - 91.4m

darkelf - 89m

bcf26 - 88m

The Panda - 85m

chasmmi - 84m

Geraldino - 84m

Empire - 83m

DAJK - 83m

Blankments - 81m

Alpha - 80m

Filmovie - 80m

Wrath - 80m

grim22 - 79m

Spaghetti - 78m

iceroll - 78m

Telemachos - 78m

cmasterclay - 74m

avi - 65m

laguy03 - 61m

Punishment - 55m

Snoopy of Suburbia - 54m

Grey Ghost - 52m

Actual OW - 47.51m

 

 

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Domestic Top 7 Opening Weekend Standings

Top 7 Opening Weekends as of November 17th 2014.

(Films predicted are highlighted in BOLD)
 
1. Big Hero 6 - 56.216m

2. Interstellar - 49.662m**

3. Gone Girl - 37.513m

4. Annabelle - 37.134m

5. Dumb and Dumber To - 36.112m

6. Fury - 23.702m

7. Dracula Untold - 23.515m

 

** # includes all grosses till first Sunday.

 

The following colors only apply to films in the Top 7  Opening Weekends:
If your prediction is in GOLD, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $1m. You get 40,000 points!

If your prediction is in PURPLE, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $2.5m. You get 35,000 points!
If your prediction is in BRIGHT GREEN, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $5m. You get 30,000 points!
If your prediction is in BLUE, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $10m. You get 25,000 points! 
If your prediction is in DARK GREEN, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $15m. You get 20,000 points! 

If your prediction is in PINK, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $20m. You get 15,000 points! 

If your prediction is in GREY, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $30m. You get 10,000 points! 
If your prediction is in BLACK, the prediction is in the top 7 AND not within $30m. You get SAFE (0)! 

 

The following colors only apply to films that did not make the Top 7 Opening Weekends:

If your prediction is in RED, the prediction is not in the top 7 AND within $30m. You lose 7,000 points (-7,000)! 

If your prediction is in RED strikethru, the prediction is not in the top 7 AND not within $30m. You lose 17,000 points (-17,000)! 

 

OCTOBER
GONE GIRL (7/23)
avi - 57m

grim22 - 52m
Alpha - 50m
iceroll - 43m
Snoopy of Suburbia - 38m
Actual OW - 37.513m
bcf26 - 37m
Spaghetti - 33m
 

ANNABELLE (1/23)
Grey Ghost - 38m

Actual OW - 37.134m
 

NOVEMBER

BIG HERO 6 (23/23)

mahnamahna - 68.5m

avi - 68m

Spaghetti - 67m

Empire - 66m

Alpha - 65m

Snoopy of Suburbia - 65m

DAJK - 65m

Blankments - 64m

bcf26 - 64m

iceroll - 63m

Geraldino - 62m

darkelf - 61m

Telemachos - 59m

chasmmi - 57m

laguy03 - 57m

Jajang - 56.3m

Actual OW - 56.216m

Wrath - 55m

grim22 - 53m

Filmovie - 50m

The Panda - 50m

Grey Ghost - 48m

cmasterclay - 48m

Punishment - 40m

 

INTERSTELLAR (23/23)
mahnamahna - 97m

Jajang - 91.4m

darkelf - 89m

bcf26 - 88m

The Panda - 85m

chasmmi - 84m

Geraldino - 84m

Empire - 83m

DAJK - 83m

Blankments - 81m

Alpha - 80m

Filmovie - 80m

Wrath - 80m

grim22 - 79m

Spaghetti - 78m

iceroll - 78m

Telemachos - 78m

cmasterclay - 74m

avi - 65m

laguy03 - 61m

Punishment - 55m

Snoopy of Suburbia - 54m

Grey Ghost - 52m

Actual OW - 49.662m

 

DUMB AND DUMBER TO (4/23)
chasmmi - 41m

mahnamahna - 40.5m

The Panda - 40.000000001m

Filmovie - 40m

Actual OW - 36.112m

 

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wheres my dumb and dumber to prediction i said 40m it was 8th place since u said for ow to list ur top 8

 

The 8th pick was an alternate in case one of the other movies had its opening date shifted out of the scope of the game, like what happened to Hot Tub Time Machine 2.  At this point we probably won't see too many more movies getting moved.

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Domestic Top 7 Opening Weekend Standings

Top 7 Opening Weekends as of November 24th 2014.

(Films predicted are highlighted in BOLD)
 

 

1. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 1 - 121.898m

2. Big Hero 6 - 56.216m

3. Interstellar - 49.662m **

4. Gone Girl - 37.513m

5. Annabelle - 37.134m

6. Dumb and Dumber To - 36.112m

7. Fury - 23.702m

 

** # includes all grosses till first Sunday.

 

The following colors only apply to films in the Top 7  Opening Weekends:
If your prediction is in GOLD, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $1m. You get 40,000 points!

If your prediction is in PURPLE, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $2.5m. You get 35,000 points!
If your prediction is in BRIGHT GREEN, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $5m. You get 30,000 points!
If your prediction is in BLUE, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $10m. You get 25,000 points! 
If your prediction is in DARK GREEN, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $15m. You get 20,000 points! 

If your prediction is in PINK, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $20m. You get 15,000 points! 

If your prediction is in GREY, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $30m. You get 10,000 points! 
If your prediction is in BLACK, the prediction is in the top 7 AND not within $30m. You get SAFE (0)! 

 

The following colors only apply to films that did not make the Top 7 Opening Weekends:

If your prediction is in RED, the prediction is not in the top 7 AND within $30m. You lose 7,000 points (-7,000)! 

If your prediction is in RED strikethru, the prediction is not in the top 7 AND not within $30m. You lose 17,000 points (-17,000)! 

 

OCTOBER
GONE GIRL (7/23)
avi - 57m

grim22 - 52m
Alpha - 50m
iceroll - 43m
Snoopy of Suburbia - 38m
Actual OW - 37.513m
bcf26 - 37m
Spaghetti - 33m
 

ANNABELLE (1/23)
Grey Ghost - 38m

Actual OW - 37.134m
 

NOVEMBER

BIG HERO 6 (23/23)

mahnamahna - 68.5m

avi - 68m

Spaghetti - 67m

Empire - 66m

Alpha - 65m

Snoopy of Suburbia - 65m

DAJK - 65m

Blankments - 64m

bcf26 - 64m

iceroll - 63m

Geraldino - 62m

darkelf - 61m

Telemachos - 59m

chasmmi - 57m

laguy03 - 57m

Jajang - 56.3m

Actual OW - 56.216m

Wrath - 55m

grim22 - 53m

Filmovie - 50m

The Panda - 50m

Grey Ghost - 48m

cmasterclay - 48m

Punishment - 40m

 

INTERSTELLAR (23/23)
mahnamahna - 97m

Jajang - 91.4m

darkelf - 89m

bcf26 - 88m

The Panda - 85m

chasmmi - 84m

Geraldino - 84m

Empire - 83m

DAJK - 83m

Blankments - 81m

Alpha - 80m

Filmovie - 80m

Wrath - 80m

grim22 - 79m

Spaghetti - 78m

iceroll - 78m

Telemachos - 78m

cmasterclay - 74m

avi - 65m

laguy03 - 61m

Punishment - 55m

Snoopy of Suburbia - 54m

Grey Ghost - 52m

Actual OW - 49.662m

 

DUMB AND DUMBER TO (4/23)
chasmmi - 41m

mahnamahna - 40.5m

The Panda - 40.000000001m

Filmovie - 40m

Actual OW - 36.112m

 

THE HUNGER GAMES: MOCKINGJAY - PART 1 (23/23)
Jajang - 173.4m

Punishment - 165m

avi - 162m

iceroll - 161m

Wrath - 160m

cmasterclay - 160m

Geraldino - 157m

DAJK - 156m

Snoopy of Suburbia - 155m

darkelf - 155m

laguy03 - 155m

Telemachos - 155m

Filmovie - 154m

Spaghetti - 154m

Empire - 153m

Blankments - 153m

grim22 - 152m

Grey Ghost - 150m

The Panda - 150m

mahnamahna - 148.5m

chasmmi - 147m

Alpha - 145m

bcf26 - 133m

Actual OW - 121.898m

 

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oh and next weekend will finally see us have more than 7 films predicted for (it will be 8) so depending on who performs the worst out of

 

- dumb and dumber to

- penguins of Madagascar (I see this one being ok)

- horrible bosses 2

 

will miss the top 7.  if penguins misses, then everyone is going to be hurting..  however only a select few miss out if either of horrible bosses or dadt misses.  At least 1 more will make this chart meaning a further film will be lost here in a few weeks time.  There is also a good chance for another film with a further 2 films having an outside chance.  of course there could be a surprise too but no ones predicted that ;)

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