JJ-8 Posted December 31, 2014 Author Share Posted December 31, 2014 (edited) Domestic Top 7 Opening Weekend StandingsTop 7 Opening Weekends as of December 29th 2014. (Films predicted are highlighted in BOLD) 1. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 1 - 121.898m 2. The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies - 89.132m ** 3. Big Hero 6 - 56.216m 4. Interstellar - 49.662m ** 5. Into the Woods - 46.142m ** 6. Unbroken - 46.056m ** 7. Gone Girl - 37.513m Not in top 7 (but predicted below) 8. Annabelle - 37.134m 9. Dumb and Dumber To - 36.112m 10. Penguins of Madagascar - 35.439m ** 11. Exodus: Gods and Kings - 24.116 14. Horrible Bosses 2 - 22.771m ** 17. Night at the Museum: Secret of the Tomb - 17.101m ** # includes all grosses till first Sunday. The following colors only apply to films in the Top 7 Opening Weekends: If your prediction is in GOLD, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $1m. You get 40,000 points! If your prediction is in PURPLE, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $2.5m. You get 35,000 points!If your prediction is in BRIGHT GREEN, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $5m. You get 30,000 points!If your prediction is in BLUE, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $10m. You get 25,000 points! If your prediction is in DARK GREEN, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $15m. You get 20,000 points! If your prediction is in PINK, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $20m. You get 15,000 points! If your prediction is in GREY, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $30m. You get 10,000 points! If your prediction is in BLACK, the prediction is in the top 7 AND not within $30m. You get SAFE (0)! The following colors only apply to films that did not make the Top 7 Opening Weekends: If your prediction is in RED, the prediction is not in the top 7 AND within $30m. You lose 7,000 points (-7,000)! If your prediction is in RED strikethru, the prediction is not in the top 7 AND not within $30m. You lose 17,000 points (-17,000)! OCTOBERGONE GIRL (7/23)avi - 57m grim22 - 52m Alpha - 50m iceroll - 43m Snoopy of Suburbia - 38m Actual OW - 37.513m bcf26 - 37m Spaghetti - 33m ANNABELLE (1/23)Grey Ghost - 38m Actual OW - 37.134m NOVEMBER BIG HERO 6 (23/23) mahnamahna - 68.5m avi - 68m Spaghetti - 67m Empire - 66m Alpha - 65m Snoopy of Suburbia - 65m DAJK - 65m Blankments - 64m bcf26 - 64m iceroll - 63m Geraldino - 62m darkelf - 61m Telemachos - 59m chasmmi - 57m laguy03 - 57m Jajang - 56.3m Actual OW - 56.216m Wrath - 55m grim22 - 53m Filmovie - 50m The Panda - 50m Grey Ghost - 48m cmasterclay - 48m Punishment - 40m INTERSTELLAR (23/23) mahnamahna - 97m Jajang - 91.4m darkelf - 89m bcf26 - 88m The Panda - 85m chasmmi - 84m Geraldino - 84m Empire - 83m DAJK - 83m Blankments - 81m Alpha - 80m Filmovie - 80m Wrath - 80m grim22 - 79m Spaghetti - 78m iceroll - 78m Telemachos - 78m cmasterclay - 74m avi - 65m laguy03 - 61m Punishment - 55m Snoopy of Suburbia - 54m Grey Ghost - 52m Actual OW - 49.662m DUMB AND DUMBER TO (4/23)chasmmi - 41m mahnamahna - 40.5m The Panda - 40.000000001m Filmovie - 40m Actual OW - 36.112m THE HUNGER GAMES: MOCKINGJAY - PART 1 (23/23) Jajang - 173.4m Punishment - 165m avi - 162m iceroll - 161m Wrath - 160m cmasterclay - 160m Geraldino - 157m DAJK - 156m Snoopy of Suburbia - 155m darkelf - 155m laguy03 - 155m Telemachos - 155m Filmovie - 154m Spaghetti - 154m Empire - 153m Blankments - 153m grim22 - 152m Grey Ghost - 150m The Panda - 150m mahnamahna - 148.5m chasmmi - 147m Alpha - 145m bcf26 - 133m Actual OW - 121.898m PENGUINS OF MADAGASCAR (21/23) Wrath - 75m iceroll - 60m grim22 - 60m Telemachos - 60m Geraldino - 57m Blankments - 54m laguy03 - 51m Empire - 50m Filmovie - 49m Jajang - 47.5m darkelf - 47m mahnamahna - 46.5m Alpha - 45m cmasterclay - 45m avi - 44m DAJK - 44m chasmmi - 43m Snoopy of Suburbia - 43m The Panda - 40m Spaghetti - 36m Actual OW - 35.439m Punishment - 25m HORRIBLE BOSSES 2 (3/23) Empire - 58m Filmovie - 51m Jajang - 39.2m Actual OW - 22.771m DECEMBER EXODUS: GODS AND KINGS (20/23) Wrath - 95m chasmmi - 69m Alpha - 60m Snoopy of Suburbia - 57m iceroll - 57m cmasterclay - 55m mahnamahna - 54m grim22 - 52m Empire - 48m Blankments - 48m Geraldino - 48m Grey Ghost - 46m laguy03 - 46m Punishment - 45m Spaghetti - 45m The Panda - 45m bcf26 - 44m Telemachos - 44m darkelf - 41m DAJK - 40m Actual OW - 24.116m THE HOBBIT: THE BATTLE OF THE FIVE ARMIES (23/23) Jajang - 140.3m Filmovie - 114m Telemachos - 102m iceroll - 101m Blankments - 100m grim22 - 100m Geraldino - 98m darkelf - 97m DAJK - 97m The Panda - 95m chasmmi - 94m Empire - 92m Snoopy of Suburbia - 90m Wrath - 90m Actual OW - 89.132m bcf26 - 84m avi - 83m Spaghetti - 80m cmasterclay - 80m laguy03 - 75m mahnamahna - 71m Alpha - 70m Punishment - 60m Grey Ghost - 41m NIGHT AT THE MUSEUM: SECRET OF THE TOMB (8/23) avi - 61m Wrath - 60m laguy03 - 49m Geraldino - 47m Telemachos - 46m bcf26 - 42m Grey Ghost - 33m Punishment - 30m Actual OW - 17.101m INTO THE WOODS (1/23) Blankments - 52m Actual OW - 46.142m Edited December 31, 2014 by Jajang and Back Again 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JJ-8 Posted December 31, 2014 Author Share Posted December 31, 2014 Some interesting stats that are coming out as a result of the updates: 1. a Total of 13 films were predicted to make into the top 7 films. 2. of those we are now assured a minimum of 7 films will not make the top 7. 3. So far we have 1 film which was not predicted to be in the top 7 by anyone (Unbroken) - our first true surprise. 4. Penguins of Madgascar was the film most selected in a top 7 but will not make it now (21 players selected it) (Exodus was a close second at 20 players) 5. congratulations to Blankments for being the only player to select Into the Woods in their top 7 (which is now likely to make the top 7) 6. Gone Girl is now most at risk of missing out 7. The only film remaining that was predicted to be in the top 7 was Tak3n. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Filmovie Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 (edited) 3. So far we have 1 film which was not predicted to be in the top 7 by anyone (Unbroken) - our first true surprise. It was my make up choice In Italy American Sniper had a really really impressive OD and considering its start in limited in US, I wouldn't be surprised if it became the 7th movie of the chart. Edited January 2, 2015 by Filmovie Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blankments Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 5. congratulations to Blankments for being the only player to select Into the Woods in their top 7 (which is now likely to make the top 7) YEAHHHH! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Filmovie Posted January 11, 2015 Share Posted January 11, 2015 (edited) Given Taken3's estimated,it is pretty sure to say that GG is out of the top 7. However, I wouldn't even bet on Taken. AS is coming next weekend after amazing numbers in limited. Edited January 11, 2015 by Filmovie Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JJ-8 Posted January 13, 2015 Author Share Posted January 13, 2015 Domestic Top 7 Opening Weekend StandingsTop 7 Opening Weekends as of January 12th 2015. (Films predicted are highlighted in BOLD) 1. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 1 - 121.898m 2. The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies - 89.132m ** 3. Big Hero 6 - 56.216m 4. Interstellar - 49.662m ** 5. Into the Woods - 46.142m ** 6. Unbroken - 46.056m ** 7. Taken 3 - 39.202m Not in top 7 (but predicted below) 8. Gone Girl - 37.513m 9. Annabelle - 37.134m 10. Dumb and Dumber To - 36.112m 11. Penguins of Madagascar - 35.439m ** 12. Exodus: Gods and Kings - 24.116 15. Horrible Bosses 2 - 22.771m ** 18. Night at the Museum: Secret of the Tomb - 17.101m ** # includes all grosses till first Sunday. The following colors only apply to films in the Top 7 Opening Weekends: If your prediction is in GOLD, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $1m. You get 40,000 points! If your prediction is in PURPLE, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $2.5m. You get 35,000 points!If your prediction is in BRIGHT GREEN, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $5m. You get 30,000 points!If your prediction is in BLUE, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $10m. You get 25,000 points! If your prediction is in DARK GREEN, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $15m. You get 20,000 points! If your prediction is in PINK, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $20m. You get 15,000 points! If your prediction is in GREY, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $30m. You get 10,000 points! If your prediction is in BLACK, the prediction is in the top 7 AND not within $30m. You get SAFE (0)! The following colors only apply to films that did not make the Top 7 Opening Weekends: If your prediction is in RED, the prediction is not in the top 7 AND within $30m. You lose 7,000 points (-7,000)! If your prediction is in RED strikethru, the prediction is not in the top 7 AND not within $30m. You lose 17,000 points (-17,000)! OCTOBERGONE GIRL (7/23)avi - 57m grim22 - 52m Alpha - 50m iceroll - 43m Snoopy of Suburbia - 38m Actual OW - 37.513m bcf26 - 37m Spaghetti - 33m ANNABELLE (1/23)Grey Ghost - 38m Actual OW - 37.134m NOVEMBER BIG HERO 6 (23/23) mahnamahna - 68.5m avi - 68m Spaghetti - 67m Empire - 66m Alpha - 65m Snoopy of Suburbia - 65m DAJK - 65m Blankments - 64m bcf26 - 64m iceroll - 63m Geraldino - 62m darkelf - 61m Telemachos - 59m chasmmi - 57m laguy03 - 57m Jajang - 56.3m Actual OW - 56.216m Wrath - 55m grim22 - 53m Filmovie - 50m The Panda - 50m Grey Ghost - 48m cmasterclay - 48m Punishment - 40m INTERSTELLAR (23/23) mahnamahna - 97m Jajang - 91.4m darkelf - 89m bcf26 - 88m The Panda - 85m chasmmi - 84m Geraldino - 84m Empire - 83m DAJK - 83m Blankments - 81m Alpha - 80m Filmovie - 80m Wrath - 80m grim22 - 79m Spaghetti - 78m iceroll - 78m Telemachos - 78m cmasterclay - 74m avi - 65m laguy03 - 61m Punishment - 55m Snoopy of Suburbia - 54m Grey Ghost - 52m Actual OW - 49.662m DUMB AND DUMBER TO (4/23)chasmmi - 41m mahnamahna - 40.5m The Panda - 40.000000001m Filmovie - 40m Actual OW - 36.112m THE HUNGER GAMES: MOCKINGJAY - PART 1 (23/23) Jajang - 173.4m Punishment - 165m avi - 162m iceroll - 161m Wrath - 160m cmasterclay - 160m Geraldino - 157m DAJK - 156m Snoopy of Suburbia - 155m darkelf - 155m laguy03 - 155m Telemachos - 155m Filmovie - 154m Spaghetti - 154m Empire - 153m Blankments - 153m grim22 - 152m Grey Ghost - 150m The Panda - 150m mahnamahna - 148.5m chasmmi - 147m Alpha - 145m bcf26 - 133m Actual OW - 121.898m PENGUINS OF MADAGASCAR (21/23) Wrath - 75m iceroll - 60m grim22 - 60m Telemachos - 60m Geraldino - 57m Blankments - 54m laguy03 - 51m Empire - 50m Filmovie - 49m Jajang - 47.5m darkelf - 47m mahnamahna - 46.5m Alpha - 45m cmasterclay - 45m avi - 44m DAJK - 44m chasmmi - 43m Snoopy of Suburbia - 43m The Panda - 40m Spaghetti - 36m Actual OW - 35.439m Punishment - 25m HORRIBLE BOSSES 2 (3/23) Empire - 58m Filmovie - 51m Jajang - 39.2m Actual OW - 22.771m DECEMBER EXODUS: GODS AND KINGS (20/23) Wrath - 95m chasmmi - 69m Alpha - 60m Snoopy of Suburbia - 57m iceroll - 57m cmasterclay - 55m mahnamahna - 54m grim22 - 52m Empire - 48m Blankments - 48m Geraldino - 48m Grey Ghost - 46m laguy03 - 46m Punishment - 45m Spaghetti - 45m The Panda - 45m bcf26 - 44m Telemachos - 44m darkelf - 41m DAJK - 40m Actual OW - 24.116m THE HOBBIT: THE BATTLE OF THE FIVE ARMIES (23/23) Jajang - 140.3m Filmovie - 114m Telemachos - 102m iceroll - 101m Blankments - 100m grim22 - 100m Geraldino - 98m darkelf - 97m DAJK - 97m The Panda - 95m chasmmi - 94m Empire - 92m Snoopy of Suburbia - 90m Wrath - 90m Actual OW - 89.132m bcf26 - 84m avi - 83m Spaghetti - 80m cmasterclay - 80m laguy03 - 75m mahnamahna - 71m Alpha - 70m Punishment - 60m Grey Ghost - 41m NIGHT AT THE MUSEUM: SECRET OF THE TOMB (8/23) avi - 61m Wrath - 60m laguy03 - 49m Geraldino - 47m Telemachos - 46m bcf26 - 42m Grey Ghost - 33m Punishment - 30m Actual OW - 17.101m INTO THE WOODS (1/23) Blankments - 52m Actual OW - 46.142m TAKEN 3 (4/23)cmasterclay - 50m darkelf - 44m Actual OW - 39.202m Jajang - 38.4m DAJK - 38m 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JJ-8 Posted January 13, 2015 Author Share Posted January 13, 2015 Given Taken3's estimated,it is pretty sure to say that GG is out of the top 7. However, I wouldn't even bet on Taken. AS is coming next weekend after amazing numbers in limited. American Sniper won't be counted for it's wide opening weekend. The rules only mention the "first sunday" excluding Big Hero 6 if had done a limited run before going wide. American Sniper has already been counted for it first "limited" weekend for about 800k. Only remaining films that will be eligible/stand even a remote chance of making it) for entry into this chart are (if the film isn't going wide then somehow i doubt it will open above 39m ) - Blackhat (yeah ok ... no.) - Paddington (which i say no, there is a small chance that this opens big) - The Wedding Ringer (see paddington above.. small chance but unlikely as i think american sniper will steal all the thunder here) - The Boy Next Door (er no.) - Mortdecai (huh ?) - Strange Magic (it would be a strange day indeed) 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JJ-8 Posted January 13, 2015 Author Share Posted January 13, 2015 ok i'm not posting any scores but yet i have the results as they stand assuming nothing else opens over 39m (which i think is highly unlikely at this point) The lowest anyone scored in this was 4k The average score was 54k 5 players managed to pick 5 films out of the 7 total picks (and coincidentally also scored > 100k. the highest scorer was 151k. 2 players manged to pick the top 3 films in order (ie. gained 50k) (1 of those just made more than 100k overall) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wrath Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 (edited) Sweet. I had more than 1/4 of all the red + strikethrough predicts of the entire competition (3 out of 11). Edit - I really wish I had the chance to retroactively go back and, not take advantage of knowing the numbers, apply what I learned about predictive strategy. Still wouldn't have been great, but would have been less painful. Edited January 13, 2015 by Wrath Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darkelf Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 Cool 5/7 Thanks God Neesons. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JJ-8 Posted January 27, 2015 Author Share Posted January 27, 2015 And the above charts are final. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Thanks to you also Jajang This also luckily means that the scores I have for this section don't need to be edited which is nice. Hooray for everything 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sakskidz Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 4/7 but the first 4 all were predicted in the corrected order Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...