WrathOfHan Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 23 minutes ago, darkelf said: So is this going to be fixed? It was fixed in the tallies. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darkelf Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 59 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: It was fixed in the tallies. It wasn't, you should know since you're one of the affected Anyway, there's alt least 6-7 people who got 2k less and chas sneakily gave himself a little extra for getting The Martian 'right'. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 (edited) 24 minutes ago, darkelf said: It wasn't, you should know since you're one of the affected Anyway, there's alt least 6-7 people who got 2k less and chas sneakily gave himself a little extra for getting The Martian 'right'. My total was accurate. EDIT: Nevermind, just realized he never fixed it. He also never tallied the first question of Part 2. Edited November 19, 2015 by WrathOfHan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grim22 Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 MJ2's release weekend is reminding me of the SOTM from last year in which Chas was able to announce results within 2 days. It was a SOTM with 6 or so questions and +/- points increased with each question attempted. The first question was "Will MJ1 open to more than 125M" and everyone got it wrong. Found it 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Infernus Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 19 hours ago, WrathOfHan said: Current SOTM 1 results (everyone except myself said total gross, I went with the weekend one): Chasmmi: +10,000 (Sicario A+ (currently A but will be A+), The Walk A+, The Martian A (currently B but will become A), Pan D) ThatOneGuy: +8,000 (The Martian A+ (currently A but will be A+), The Walk A, Sicario B, Pan C) WrathOfHan: +8,000 (The Walk A, Pan A, too soon to say on Martian and Sicario) Infernus: +4,000 (The Martian A+, Sicario A, Pan C, The Walk C) misafeco: +4,000 (The Martian A+, Pan B, Sicario B (could become A), The Walk C) bcf26: +2,000 (abstain) damienroc: +2,000 (abstain) darkelf: +2,000 (The Martian A+, Sicario A+, Pan C, The Walk D) Exxdee: +2,000 (The Martian A+, Sicario, A+, The Walk C, Pan D) Filmovie: +2,000 (abstain) glassfairy: +2,000 (abstain) grey ghost: +2,000 (abstain) Wrath: +2,000 (abstain) Alfred: -2,000 (no response) baumer: -2,000 (no response) laguy03: -2,000 (no response) The Panda: -2,000 (no response) DAJK: -4,000 (The Martian A+, Sicario A+ (currently A but will be A+), Pan D, The Walk D) treeroy: -4,000 (The Martian A+, Sicario A+, Pan D, The Walk D) MovieMan89: -6,000 (The Martian A+, Sicario B, Pan C, The Walk D) Telemachos: -6,000 (The Martian A+, Pan B (currently C but will be B soon), Sicario C (could become B ), The Walk D) Jajang: -10,000 (The Martian B, Sicario B, The Walk B, Pan D) Kalo: -10,000 (The Martian A, Sicario B, Pan C, The Walk D) Blankments: -12,000 (The Martian A (currently A+ but will be A very soon), Sicario A, Pan D, The Walk D) sakskidz/avi: -20,000 (Sicario B, The Martian B (currently C but will become B ), Pan D, The Walk D) kaumanggi: -24,000 (The Martian B, Sicario C, Pan D, The Walk D) MikeKaye42: -24,000 (The Martian B (currently C but will become B ), Sicario C, Pan D, The Walk D) A lot of the ones on Pan are close to adjusting up and The Martian will still fluctuate some more. If I made any mistakes let me know! What are you predicting these films' final grosses to be for these scores? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 10 minutes ago, Infernus said: What are you predicting these films' final grosses to be for these scores? The Walk is basically done so the scores are probably final. Pan might still have 1-2M left and Sicario should have about 3-5M left. 220M seems to be the floor for The Martian, I'm predicting a 235M finish. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Infernus Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 (edited) 31 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: The Walk is basically done so the scores are probably final. Pan might still have 1-2M left and Sicario should have about 3-5M left. 220M seems to be the floor for The Martian, I'm predicting a 235M finish. Then how am I getting an A+ from Martian? And a C from Walk? Edited November 20, 2015 by Infernus Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 3 minutes ago, Infernus said: Then how I am getting an A+ from Martian? And a C from Walk? Because that's where the total is right now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Infernus Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 (edited) 3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: Because that's where the total is right now. And what about walk? I am greater than 20% away from its current (and final) gross I think. Edited November 20, 2015 by Infernus Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 16 minutes ago, Infernus said: And what about walk? I am greater than 20% away from its current (and final) gross I think. You're 19% away from the total. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Infernus Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 12 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: You're 19% away from the total. ? 12.5/10.15 = 1.23 = difference of 23%... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 (edited) 5 minutes ago, Infernus said: ? 12.5/10.15 = 1.23 = difference of 23%... BOM has the total listed as 10,137,502. I was dividing the smaller total as the numerator for everything, should I do it the other way around? Edited November 20, 2015 by WrathOfHan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Filmovie Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 6 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: BOM has the total listed as 10,137,502. I was dividing the smaller total as the numerator for everything, should I do it the other way around? You should do: | (Predicted Total - Actual Total) | /Actual Total= X | (12,5 - 10,137) | / 10,137= 0,23 = 23% | (7,8 - 10,137) | / 10,137 = 0,23 = 23% Simple, logic. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 Just now, Filmovie said: You should do: | (Predicted Total - Actual Total) | /Actual Total= X | (12,5 - 10,137) | / 10,137= 0,23 = 23% | (7,8 - 10,137) | / 10,137 = 0,23 = 23% Simple, logic. Ah ok, thanks! I'll recalculate it later. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Filmovie Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: Ah ok, thanks! I'll recalculate it later. the Absolute value isn't obviously that necessary: without it in the 2nd example you would have -23% but you know that your prediction is 77% of the actual number and that you missed it by 23%. Obviously in the first example your prediction is 123% of the actual number and so on But Han, I think you should wait that movies finish their run. Otherwise your work should be all revised in a few weeks 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Infernus Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 40 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: BOM has the total listed as 10,137,502. I was dividing the smaller total as the numerator for everything, should I do it the other way around? Yeah, I think. It depends on Chas though whether he wants to see the difference as percent of one's prediction or as percent of the actual gross. I say he should do it the later way (your way). For once, It would be a different thing from the usual. Secondly it would be slightly beneficial to everyone who didn't abstain, thus a small reward for their..er.. hard work. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted November 20, 2015 Author Share Posted November 20, 2015 Sorry about the placement mistake, I'll fix it with the next round of results on Tuesday worst case scenario. and feel free to guess around with how SOTMs etc are shaping up in advance. I'd only ask not to publish any calculations about people's specific top 15/top 10 scores etc as they can massively indicate who may be the overall winner so would kill the suspense. Whereas posting that there's a chance I'm about to crush SOTM1 is not gamechanging (sadly) :) 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
That One Girl Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 Can you update the overall rankings? :P Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wrath Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 1 hour ago, ThatOneGuy said: Can you update the overall rankings? :P Marathon, not a sprint. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Infernus Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 Btw Rock The Kasbah has already crossed 2.9m with its thursday number. Its pretty surprising some people wrongly answered that question... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...