Chasmmi's Winter Game - Grey Ghost is the WINNER!

[WrathOfHan]

Sweeeeeeeeeeet

 

I think my #1 spot might be gone this weekend though  

[chasmmi]

With those SOTMs my rise back to the top begins...

[That One Girl]

No exceptional scores for the most part, but at least I didn't lose any points.

[chasmmi]

If early estimates hold... (which they won't)

 

1. Will Deadpool make over 40M OW? YES

2. Will Deadpool make over 55M OW? 3000 YES

3. Will Deadpool make over 75M OW? YES

4. Will Deadpool make over 10M from Previews/Midnights? YES

5. Will Zoolander 2 make mare than 17.5M OW? NO

6. Will Zoolander 2 make more than 25M OW? 2000 NO

 

7. Will how to be single make more than 15M OW? YES

8. Will the top 3 new openers combine to more than 110M OW? 3000 YES

9. Will pride, prejudice and zombies finish in the top 10? NO

10. Will the Revenant finish ahead of Star Wars? YES

11. Will 13 hours cross $50M by the end of the weekend? YES

12. Will any film have a sub 100% increase on Friday? 2000 YES

 

13. Will The Boy have a better PTA than Dirty Grandpa? YES

14. Will Kung Fu Panda's total gross overtake sisters' by the end of Saturday? 2000 NO

15. Will Fifty Shades drop more than 59%?  YES

16. Will Deadpool increase by at least 47.7% on Saturday? 3000 UNLIKELY, THAT WOULD BE SILLY

17. Will any film increase by over 300% on Friday? NO

18. Will Star Wars Drop less than 42%? YES

 

19. Will Deadpool gross more than 2nd-5th combined? YES

20. Will the Finest Hours stay ahead of Ride Along 2?  NO

21. How many films will make more than $15M this weekend? 2000 3

22. Will Zoolander 2 have the best Sunday drop of the 3 main new openers? HARD TO SAY

23. Will Valentines Day's total gross for every film in cinemas exceed $75M? 3000 YES

24. Will Deadpool break the February OW record? YES

25. Who is gonna give it to ya? KOALAS

 

15/25  2000

16/25  3000

17/25  4000

18/25  6000

19/25  8000

20/25  10000

21/25  12000

22/25  14000

23/25  16000

24/25  18000

25/25  20000

 

Part 2.

 

1. What will Deadpool Gross OW? 5000 114M

2. What will Zoolander's Friday gross be? 5000 4.2M

3. What will How to be single's Valentines Day gross be? 5000 ABOUT 7M?

4. What will Kung Fu panda's gross be by the end of the weekend? 5000 92.46M

5. What will be the difference between Dirty Grandpa and The Boy's weekend gross? 5000 1.2M

6. What will Star Wars' Sunday gross be? 5000 2.5M...ISH

 

 

Part 3.

 

2. HOW TO BE SINGLE

5. REVENANT

7. STAR wARS

10. THE BOY

12. 5TH WAVE

15. 13HOURS

 

2000 each

 

3/6 2000

4/6 5000

5/6 8000

6/6 12000

[JJ-8]

20 hours ago, chasmmi said:

Ok well Deadpool has made things embarrassing. There is now a 5% chance that this means preseason 5 has to be remarked (if it breaks 140M OW)

 

Question 7 is looking like a yes now (if Deadpool beats 50SOG)

 

Question 8 even has a shot of passing Origins by the end of the game and making this a yes

 

If its OW passes Hunger Games that will help out people that screwed up with TFA a little  )

 

 

so as it stands...

 

As it stands Deadpool is heading for a 130m to 145m OW (3 day)

Q5 - is on a knifes edge as by the looks of it.... hoping it comes in under 140m so we don't need to rescore but in saying that it will change a lot of peoples scores to +ve for that question including mine

 

Q7 or 8 are yet to be scored. so.... 

 

Q7 is locked now so it is indeed a Yes

Q8 is very likely now to pass Origins (it needs 179.9m to be exact which seems a given at this point) so i'd say at this point this will be a yes also.

 

its now locked to be the #2 OW of the game behind TFA... doesn't really help that much chas as no one predicted it to be this high.

 

talk about turning the game on it's head..... (great decision in hindsight to include it in the winter game)

[chasmmi]

10 minutes ago, JJ-8 said:

 

 

its now locked to be the #2 OW of the game behind TFA... doesn't really help that much chas as no one predicted it to be this high.

 

 

It does if you were one of the few idiots that predicted MJ2 to be higher than TFA OW (like me ), by beating spectre it destroys the 50k advantage nearly everyone would have got for predicting a TFA, MJ2, Spectre top 3. By beating MJ2 as well that's another 5k deficit removed for MJ2 so longer being in the right place (and it likely means that nobody will have 5 or more of the top 7 in order.)

 

Therefore, if you are me (or one or two others), Deadpool's OW will save me at least 50,000 points and possibly up to 140,000 points I was due to lose to many other players.

 

[chasmmi]

I'm also kind of pleased that the risk of sacrificing The Martian in order to include this weekend paid off

[JJ-8]

30 minutes ago, chasmmi said:

I'm also kind of pleased that the risk of sacrificing The Martian in order to include this weekend paid off

 

i admit i'm one  those affected   i totally forgot about that.... urg... ok now that sucks... i  forgot  i need deadpool to stay out of the top 3... ithink i still top scored on  the weekends chart though.  or at least amongst it

[Infernus]

On 2/13/2016 at 5:20 PM, chasmmi said:

Ok well Deadpool has made things embarrassing. There is now a 5% chance that this means preseason 5 has to be remarked (if it breaks 140M OW)

 

Question 7 is looking like a yes now (if Deadpool beats 50SOG)

 

Question 8 even has a shot of passing Origins by the end of the game and making this a yes

 

If its OW passes Hunger Games that will help out people that screwed up with TFA a little  )

 

 

this shows how unbeilevably surprising deadpool's performace is  

[Infernus]

On 2/13/2016 at 8:13 PM, chasmmi said:

Spoiler

 

Okay, I am going to go out on a limb and assume that Deadpool's OW is over $38M and thus...

 

SOTM 7

 

Choose which will be higher for as many of the following as you like:

 

1. Evolution's Worldwide total ($98.37M) vs Force Awakens' highest single day gross. TFA

2. Evolution's Domestic total ($38.34M) vs Deadpool's Opening Weekend DEADPOOL

3. Evolution Opening Weekend (13.48M) vs Hunger Games' 2016 gross EVOLUTION

 

4. Evolution's Opening Day ($4.43M) vs Revenant and Hateful 8's combined total gross by the end of the year. REVENATE

5. Evolution's UK gross ($10.79M) vs Point's Break's Opening Weekend EVOLUTION
6. Evolution's Production Budget ($80M) vs Chipmunks' total gross MUNKS

 

7. Evolution's foreign total ($60.03M) vs 13 Hours: Soldiers of Benzhagi total gross  EVOLUTION

8. Evolution's Opening week total ($18.9M) vs Kung Fu Panda 3's Opening Day EVOLUTION

9. Evolution's German gross ($7.08M) vs Sisters' Opening Weekend  SISTERS

 

Correct answers are worth 4000 points

Incorrect answers lose 3000 points*

 

* However! Get 3 or more questions incorrect and you lose 30,000 points regardless of how many you got correct and you gain no points for your correct answers.

 

If you answer 100% of the questions you chose correctly you win the following bonus:

 

1/1 1000 bonus

2/2 2000 bonus

3/3 3000 bonus

4/4 5000 bonus

5/5 7000 bonus

6/6 9000 bonus

7/7 12000 bonus

8/8 18000 bonus

9/9 24000 bonus (so 60k total score is possible for this question)

 

Abstaining is worth 2000 if stated

No answer in this thread will mean a loss of 5000 points

 

SCORES:

 

GREYGHOST: 15000

BCF: 15000

EXXDEE: 14000

INFERNUS: 13000

CHASMMI: 13000

WRATH: 10000

 

BLANKMENTS: 9000

DARKELF: 9000

GLASSFAIRY: 9000

DAMIENROC: 9000

JAJANG: 9000

TELE: 6000

 

KAYU: 5000

DAJK: 5000

WRATHOFHAN: 5000

BACKGROUND: 2000

 

MIKEKAYE: -30000

FILMOVIE: -30000

MISAFECO: -30000

MOVIEMAN: -30000

KALO: -30000

AVI: -30000

 

anyone not mentioned above scores minus 5000

 

 

 

fuck HG!

 

On 2/13/2016 at 8:32 PM, chasmmi said:

Spoiler

 

I am going to go out on a slightly riskier limb, but I think that Dirty Grandpa, The Boy and 5th wave are not going to overturn any gaps with their weekends all likely to be sub $2m in total from now on. Also this SOTM makes me happy 

 

SOTM 9

 

Predict which five January (NEW) release films will gross the highest domestically by the end of the game. You may predict as many or as few as you like, However your placements must start at 1st place and work down to 5th, (no choosing 1st, 4th and 5th).

 

1 place correct score 5000 points

2 correct scores 10,000

3 correct scores 15,000

4 correct scores 25,000

5 correct scores 50,000

 

If a predicted film finishes in the top 5 but not in the place you predicted, you score 2000 points for that film.

 

However if ANY film predicted does not finish of the top 5 January releases, you will lose 30000 points.

 

1	Kung Fu Panda 3	Uni.	$More than 78,531,235					-
2	Ride Along 2	Fox	$78,531,235					-
3	13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi	Par.	$48,947,015					-
4	Dirty Grandpa	LGF	$30,890,920					-
5	The Boy (2016)	STX	$27,865,587					-
6	The 5th Wave	Sony	$26,819,370					-

 

Scores

 

CHASMMI: 25000

 

BACKGROUND: 15000

TELE: 15000

GREY GHOST: 15000

WRATHOFHAN: 15000

WRATH: 15000

DARKELF: 15000

MOVIEMAN: 15000

KAYU: 15000

MISAFECO: 15000

FILMMOVIE: 15000

EXXDEE: 15000

 

DAJK: 14000

GLASSFAIRY: 10000

 

KALO: 2000

DAMIENROC: 2000

BCF: 2000

 

AVI: -30000

BLANKMENTS: -30000

JAJANG: -30000

INFERNUS: -30000

MIKEKAYE: -30000

 

 

 

fkin' fk The Boy (and me, for I changed my choice from DG to 5th Wave and coz its valentine)

[Infernus]

On 2/13/2016 at 5:20 PM, chasmmi said:

Ok well Deadpool has made things embarrassing. There is now a 5% chance that this means preseason 5 has to be remarked (if it breaks 140M OW)

 

Question 7 is looking like a yes now (if Deadpool beats 50SOG)

 

Question 8 even has a shot of passing Origins by the end of the game and making this a yes

 

If its OW passes Hunger Games that will help out people that screwed up with TFA a little  )

 

 

9 hours ago, JJ-8 said:

 

so as it stands...

 

As it stands Deadpool is heading for a 130m to 145m OW (3 day)

Q5 - is on a knifes edge as by the looks of it.... hoping it comes in under 140m so we don't need to rescore but in saying that it will change a lot of peoples scores to +ve for that question including mine

 

Q7 or 8 are yet to be scored. so.... 

 

Q7 is locked now so it is indeed a Yes

Q8 is very likely now to pass Origins (it needs 179.9m to be exact which seems a given at this point) so i'd say at this point this will be a yes also.

 

its now locked to be the #2 OW of the game behind TFA... doesn't really help that much chas as no one predicted it to be this high.

 

talk about turning the game on it's head..... (great decision in hindsight to include it in the winter game)

 

Woo Hoo!! Every single of these answers that this might change would turn a wrong answer of mine to a right one. And I think that will be some good turnover for me.

[WrathOfHan]

The lowest prediction for Deadpool's OW was 30M, highest was 80M. Everyone still loses points  

 

[JJ-8]

Watch this space... there will be a bit of scoring after actuals are in... 

 

I don't believe the plan is score any of the charts (ie. top 15, etc), but i'm pretty sure we can answer all but 1 of the pre-season questions now (in fact it's only the closest to 100m and 200m which is uncertain now).  obviously the weekly questions + makeup will be answered.  All that remains after that is SOTM 10, 11 and 14 + the final weekly questions.  

[chasmmi]

2 hours ago, JJ-8 said:

Watch this space... there will be a bit of scoring after actuals are in... 

 

I don't believe the plan is score any of the charts (ie. top 15, etc), but i'm pretty sure we can answer all but 1 of the pre-season questions now (in fact it's only the closest to 100m and 200m which is uncertain now).  obviously the weekly questions + makeup will be answered.  All that remains after that is SOTM 10, 11 and 14 + the final weekly questions.  

 

Yes, the plan is to score everything that can be scored over this week. The score the final weekly question and preseasons when actuals on February 22nd come in.

 

The exceptions are SOTM 10, 11, 14 and the main charts (15, 10 etc) these will be withheld, until all the other points have been added together and a positions chart published.

 

Then by mid to late next week, the countdown of the final standings will begin (and end)

[chasmmi]

The final weekly questions are here:

 

 

 

 

[chasmmi]

Oh, one more thing...

 

 

 

[JJ-8]

Week 18 :- Answers

 

All the usual terms and conditions apply. (Going to hammer home here that everything relates to a 3day W/E)

 

1. Will Deadpool make over 40M OW? YES

2. Will Deadpool make over 55M OW? 3000 YES

3. Will Deadpool make over 75M OW? YES

4. Will Deadpool make over 10M from Previews/Midnights? YES

5. Will Zoolander 2 make mare than 17.5M OW? NO

6. Will Zoolander 2 make more than 25M OW? 2000 NO

 

7. Will how to be single make more than 15M OW? YES

8. Will the top 3 new openers combine to more than 110M OW? 3000 YES

9. Will pride, prejudice and zombies finish in the top 10? NO

10. Will the Revenant finish ahead of Star Wars? YES

11. Will 13 hours cross $50M by the end of the weekend? YES

12. Will any film have a sub 100% increase on Friday? 2000 YES (THE FINEST HOURS; DIRTY GRANDPA)

 

13. Will The Boy have a better PTA than Dirty Grandpa? YES

14. Will Kung Fu Panda's total gross overtake sisters' by the end of Saturday? 2000 NO

15. Will Fifty Shades drop more than 59%? YES

16. Will Deadpool increase by at least 47.7% on Saturday? 3000 NO

17. Will any film increase by over 300% on Friday? NO

18. Will Star Wars Drop less than 42%? YES

 

19. Will Deadpool gross more than 2nd-5th combined? YES

20. Will the Finest Hours stay ahead of Ride Along 2?  NO

21. How many films will make more than $15M this weekend? 2000 3 FILMS

22. Will Zoolander 2 have the best Sunday drop of the 3 main new openers? NO (HOW TO BE SINGLE DROPPED / INCREASED THE BEST)

23. Will Valentines Day's total gross for every film in cinemas exceed $75M? 3000 YES

24. Will Deadpool break the February OW record? YES

25. Who is gonna give it to ya? BITCH!

 

15/25  2000

16/25  3000

17/25  4000

18/25  6000

19/25  8000

20/25  10000

21/25  12000

22/25  14000

23/25  16000

24/25  18000

25/25  20000

 

Part 2.

 

1. What will Deadpool Gross OW? 5000  = 132,434,639

2. What will Zoolander's Friday gross be? 5000 = 4,172,403

3. What will How to be single's Valentines Day gross be? 5000 = 6,663,356

4. What will Kung Fu panda's gross be by the end of the weekend? 5000 = 94,018,125

5. What will be the difference between Dirty Grandpa and The Boy's weekend gross? 5000 = 902,285

6. What will Star Wars' Sunday gross be? 5000 = 2,508,855

 

 

Part 3.

 

2. KUNG FU PANDA 3

5. THE REVENANT

7. STAR WARS: THE FORCE AWAKENS

10. THE BOY

12. THE 5TH WAVE

15. 13 HOURS: THE SECRET SOLDIERS OF BENGHAZI

 

2000 each

 

3/6 2000

4/6 5000

5/6 8000

6/6 12000

 

[JJ-8]

Week 18 Scores

 

Part 2 Scores

Q1 ~ Avi

Q2 ~ Exxdee & Infernus have the same # (closest)

Q3 ~ Wrath & Infernus have the same # (closest)

Q4 ~ Misafeco & Telemachos have the same again

Q5 ~ Jajang (me on own yay!)

Q6 ~ Mikekay42

 

Think that's the most questions where 2 players both got the closest 2 an answer...

 

EDIT : Revised Scores (error fixed) 

 

PLAYER	PART 1	PART 2	PART 3	TOTAL
mikekaye42	38000	5000	4000	47000
Exxdee	35000	5000	2000	42000
avi	34000	5000	2000	41000
Infernus	29000	10000	2000	41000
Jajang	33000	5000	2000	40000
chasmmi	38000	0	2000	40000
darkelf	35000	0	2000	37000
wrath	29000	5000	2000	36000
DamienRoc	33000	0	0	33000
Blankments	30000	0	2000	32000
kayumanggi	32000	0	0	32000
thatoneguy	27000	0	2000	29000
Telemachos	29000	0	0	29000
DAJK	24000	0	2000	26000
misafeco	19000	5000	2000	26000
bcf26	17000	5000	0	22000
glassfairy	18000	0	2000	20000
Wrathofhan	19000	0	0	19000
Grey Ghost	18000	0	0	18000

 

[JJ-8]

These questions are only for players who have missed at least one set of questions during the game.

Other than that it is usual rules apply

 

1. Will Zoolander and Deadpool combine to more than 70M? YES

2. Will Zoolander and Deadpool combine to more than 90M? 2000 YES

3. Will Revenant finish within $7.5M of Kung Fu Panda? NO

4. Will The Boy finish ahead of the 5th Wave? YES

5. Will The Choice drop more than 49%? NO

 

6. Will fifty Shades stay ahead of Daddy's Home? NO

7. Will the 3 new entries open in the top 3 positions? NO

8. Will how to be single increase more than 25% on Saturday? NO

9. Will Star Wars cross 910M by the end of Saturday? YES

10. Will the top 10 films all make at least $2.8M? 2000  YES

 

11. Will Hail Caesar have a better weekend drop than The Finest Hours? 

OK SERIOUSLY THIS QUESTION IS JUST PLAIN NASTY :-

HAIL CAESAR! ~ -43.68%

THE FINEST HOURS ~ -43.74%  (I HAD TO CALCULATE IT SINCE BOM ON SHOWS 1 DECIMAL PLACE AND BOTH WERE 43.7% ... LOL )

SO THE ANSWER IS YES BUT YEAH.. SERIOUSLY VERY LITTLE IN THIS ANSWER

12. Will Ride Along 2's total gross overtake Alvin's by the end of the weekend? NO

13. Will Dirty Grandpa increase by at least 145% on Friday? 2000 NO

14. Will KFP3's PTA stay above $3250? YES

15. Is Benedict Cumberbatch a man or a woman?  DEBATABLE QUESTION  

 

11/15 2000

12/15 3000

13/15 4000

14/15 6000

15/15 8000

 

No Part 2 folks sorry

 

Part 3.

 

3. HOW TO BE SINGLE

6. HAIL, CAESAR!

9. RIDE ALONG 2

11. THE FINEST HOURS

14. DIRTY GRANDPA

 

3/5 2000

4/5 5000

5/5 8000

[JJ-8]

Makeup Questions - Scores

 

No Part 2 Questions

 

* MikeKay42 - i scored your answers as below but you get 0 as you answered ALL weekly questions meaning you can't be scored for the make-up questions.

 

PLAYER	PART 1	PART 3	TOTAL
Wrath	14000	4000	18000
avi	14000	4000	18000
misafeco	15000	2000	17000
grey ghost	15000	2000	17000
glassfairy	12000	4000	16000
bcf26	12000	2000	14000
MikeKaye42	23000	2000	0*