4815162342 Posted February 20, 2012 Author Share Posted February 20, 2012 It's odd that December has nothing in it other than BIG films (1 a week). That's what happens I guess when 4 major players barely appear for this year.Always room for a couple winter fillers Hiccup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted February 22, 2012 Author Share Posted February 22, 2012 Come on people, I need more predictions than just Hiccup's. I take predictions into account when I do weekend actuals and totals, so if it's just Hiccup's then I'll mostly go my own way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Electric Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 (edited) January: January 6-8: The January Gem OW: 11.28mSecond Weekend Drop: -51.7% Total: 29.53m January 13-16 (MLK weekend): My Winter Retreat OW: 14.11m/16.3mSecond Weekend Drop: -59.6% Total: 32.5m January 20-22: Bulletproof OW: 25.33mSecond Weekend Drop: -48.7% Total: 76.15m January 27-29: Throw Ted Into the Fire OW: 8.2mSecond Weekend Drop: -62.5% Total: 15.9m I think January could use some fillers, Throw Ted Into the fire should not be opening alone Edited February 22, 2012 by Electric Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darthdevidem01 Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 (edited) First Number Is the OW (This includes the OW's that are longer than normal), second number is the total. Q1: January 6-8: The January Gem -- 10.2M/27.3M January 13-16 (MLK weekend): My Winter Retreat -- 18.3M/30M January 20-22: Bulletproof -- 27M/68M January 27-29: Throw Ted Into the Fire -- 5M/10M February 3-5: ADAM -- 15M/29M February 10-12: The Perfect Gift -- 35M/90M February 17-20 (President's Day weekend): VR Net -- 23M/68M The Whale -- 25M/72M February 24-26: Fifth Expert -- 16M/45M March 2-4: The Island -- 27M/80M Pokemon: The Journey Begins -- 40M/116M March 9-11: S-L-A-V-E -- 35M/100M March 16-18: Epic Chase -- 18M/55M March 23-25: Headline -- 11M/28M Yellowstone 3D -- 4M/7M March 30-April 1: Midnight: Revealed -- 28M/71M First time I've done predictions, sorry if their bad!!! Edited February 24, 2012 by darthdevidem01 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hiccup Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 No they are really solid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverShark Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 (edited) Woah.... that´s kind of bad for S-L-A-V-E. I really hoped for good numbers. Of course its a hard film to sell but I think it has something special.Edit: I hope people don´t see it as a period film like Braveheart or Robin Hood, since its more a fantasy oriented world. Edited February 24, 2012 by SilverShark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darthdevidem01 Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Woah.... that´s kind of bad for S-L-A-V-E. I really hoped for good numbers. Of course its a hard film to sell but I think it has something special.Edit: I hope people don´t see it as a period film like Braveheart or Robin Hood, since its more a fantasy oriented world.I didn't do a specific write up for each film but I think SLAVE is one of them that has potential to break out big time if the buzz, reviews, WOM & marketing all get it right. So it could go much higher... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverShark Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Hopefully... I really had so much fun writing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darthdevidem01 Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 (edited) Q2 Predictions: April 6-8: Judgment Day -- 10M/29M April 13-15: Sea Monsters' Invasion -- 25M/67M PЯom -- 15M/40M April 20-22: Delta -- 16M/40M Gorillas -- 8M/23M April 27-29: Mara, Daughter of the Nile -- 20M/50M May 4-6: Ant-Man -- 70M/190M (High because no other superhero movie in sight and a quiet spring meaning this has a big chance to be THE first event movie) May 11-13: Trader Haters -- 30M/76M May 18-20: Barbarians -- 45M/179M May 25-28 (Memorial Day weekend): Rivals -- 50M/140M Meerkat's Adventures (46 Theaters- Limited) -- 1M/25M June 1-3: The Impact of Sir Roger the Alien -- 55M/160M Meerkat's Adventures (249 Theaters- Expansion) -- 1.5M/25M June 8-10: Vengeance -- 45M/120M Meerkat's Adventures (540 Theaters- Expansion) -- 2M/25M June 15-17: Time Keepers -- 20M/50M Meerkat's Adventures (1034 Theaters- Wide) -- 3M/25M June 22-24: Union 51 -- 10M/21M Meerkat's Adventures (1769 Theaters- Expansion) -- 5M/25M June 29-July 1: The War of the Worlds -- 26M/170M (Massive multiplier as I expect a great WOM along with how unique the film is it might have a true "event" style status and could bring the "musicals" back...) Father's Quake -- 45M/115M Edited February 25, 2012 by darthdevidem01 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hiccup Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 That would be huge and epic for Roger the Alien! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dark Alfred Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 Nearly done the predictions, just waiting for darth posting his second half. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverShark Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 Still busy but tonight i'll do some predictions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darthdevidem01 Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 (edited) Q3 Predictions July 6-8: Tuesday, July 3rd: Starcraft -- 130M/410M July 13-15: Marathon Men -- 35M/115M July 20-22: The Adventures of the Cosmos -- 50M/148M July 27-29: U.S.S. Seawolf -- 43M/120M August 3-5: New World Chronicles: His Story -- 55M/160M A Lost Generation? (18 Theaters- Limited) -- 0.5M/26M August 10-12: The Witch of Blackbird Pond -- 25M/97M A Lost Generation? (84 Theaters- expansion) -- 0.8M/26M August 17-19: The Few -- 27M/90M A Lost Generation? (211 Theaters- expansion) -- 1.5M.26M August 24-26: Subway Nest -- 40M/135M Exorcism of Jessica Winters -- 20M/38M A Lost Generation? -- 1.8M/26M August 31-September 3 (Labor day weekend): Labor Day -- 11M/24M A Lost Generation? (944 Theaters- Wide) -- 4M/26M September 7-9: Vampire Night -- 5M/11M Red in the Night -- 6M/10M September 14-16: Scat -- 10M/21M September 21-23: Imperceptive -- 21M/89M September 28-30: Eternal Sleep -- 19M/58M P.s. I have no idea about how to predict movies that have lots of "Expansions"...so just don't even take predictions of those movies into account. Edited February 25, 2012 by darthdevidem01 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darthdevidem01 Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 (edited) Q4 Predictions October 5-7: Hotel of the Lost -- 21M/38M Halloweentown (3D) -- 30M/68M October 12-14: The 13th Night II: The Interrogation Room -- 6M/11M October 19-21: Martin/Martian -- 37M/102M The Vast Dark Part Two: The Sacrament -- 25M/48M October 26-28: Simon Says -- 12M/29M November 2-4: Dragon Age: Darkness Over Ferelden -- 80M/310M November 9-11: Appian Way -- 30M/105M November 16-18: The Chronicle of Novara: The Stone of Armagon -- 67M/240M Devotion -- 20M/45M November 21-25 (Thanksgiving weekend): Tim Burton's Little Demons -- 35M/130M (Opening will be helped partly by War Of The Worlds bringing Musicals back to the forefront..of course as long as War Of The worlds is a hit critically and commercially in actuals) November 30-December 2: Aerophobia -- 7M/21M December 7-9: Warcraft -- 78M/305M December 14-16: The Seafarer -- 55M/210M December 21-23: Wednesday, December 19th: Guardians of Life -- 85M/320M December 28-30: Tuesday, December 25th: Final Fantasy: Dawn of Souls -- 120M/405M Edited February 25, 2012 by darthdevidem01 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hiccup Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 Little Demons should do well on its own merit thanks to the duel directing of Tim Burton and Henry Selick. Plus it has Johnny Depp in it too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darthdevidem01 Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 Little Demons should do well on its own merit thanks to the duel directing of Tim Burton and Henry Selick. Plus it has Johnny Depp in it too.True that, it would be probably be more accurate with a higher opening but same overall gross then (or slightly higher). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dark Alfred Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 Devotion should definitely hit 100m, it serves the Twilight fans appetite and the cast and story is more interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hiccup Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 Devotion should definitely hit 100m, it serves the Twilight fans appetite and the cast and story is more interesting.Midnight: Revealed should steal them for the year. CAYOM is very anti-vampire/werewolf films Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hiccup Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Here the the budgets and studio lowest expectations for my films. My Winter Retreat- 13M budget/ 30M finishADAM- 22M budget/ 30M finishThe Whale- 16M budget/ 40M finishThe Island- 75M budget/ 80M finishMidnight: Revealed- 100M budget/ 100M finishPЯom- 35M budget/ 50M finishGorillas- 25M budget/ 20M finish (overseas is the main grosser)Mara, Daughter of the Nile- 20M budget/ 40M finishBarbarians- 140M budget/ 150M finishThe Impact of Sir Roger the Alien- 98M budget/ 110M finishUnion 51- 30M budget/ 40M finishThe Adventures of the Cosmos- 170M budget/ 165M finishThe Witch of Blackbird Pond- 35M budget/ 55M finishExorcism of Jessica Winters- 10M budget/ 35M finishVampire Night- 22M budget/ 25M finishScat- 12M budget/ 30M finishHalloweentown- 45M budget/ 65M finishThe 13th Night II: The Interrogation Room- 4M budget/ 25M finishMy Life to Waste- 30M budget/ 45M finishThe Chronicles of Novara: The Stone of Armagon- 180M budget/ 200M finishTim Burton's Little Demons- 50M budget/ 70M finishAerophobia- 40M budget/ 35M finishAnything under the finish line would be considered a disappointment or flop depending how far below it went. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dark Alfred Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 (edited) Midnight: Revealed should steal them for the year. CAYOM is very anti-vampire/werewolf films There's 6 month gap between them. Devotion has a better release date IMO. I think both should succeed. There are to many sci-fi fantasies and they all do well. A couple of them should bomb. Edited February 26, 2012 by The Dark Alfred Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...