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baumer

Wednesday THB from a text from God

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this morning the madness begins lol
HMB looks like around 640k,well did think 600 was more realistic than 500-550 that was roughly being worked out :)

 

TRANSLATION: as we (RTH and me) were sitting on a patio in downtown Toronto across from the film festival activities yesterday, he did some math and thought that The hitman's Bodyguard would come in at around 525. He's happy to report that the night business picked up a lot more than anticipated. So $640,000 is the Wednesday number for The hitman's Bodyguard.

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    Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days
- (3) Annabelle: Creation Warner Bros. $460,775 -27% 3,358 $137   $91,960,837 27
- (4) Dunkirk Warner Bros. $325,088 -12% 2,752 $118   $180,900,175 48
- (7) Girls Trip Universal $152,470 -21% 1,607 $95   $112,443,775 48
- (8) Birth of the Dragon BH Tilt $107,125 -36% 1,633 $66   $6,150,715 13
- (14) Wonder Woman Warner Bros. $96,091 -29% 1,838 $52   $409,769,134 97
- (-) Despicable Me 3 Universal $82,085 -33% 2,132 $39   $258,993,825 69
- (-) The Nut Job 2: Nutty by Nature Open Road $80,250 -34% 2,651 $30   $26,833,887 27
- (-) Kidnap Aviron Pictures $71,291 -40% 1,689 $42   $29,958,903 34
- (-) Cars 3 Walt Disney $66,356 -31% 2,445 $27   $151,683,483 83
- (-) War for the Planet of the Apes 20th Century Fox $66,325 -27% 1,041 $64   $144,833,679 55
- (-) Atomic Blonde Focus Features $63,045 -21% 741 $85   $50,706,295 41
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DUNKIRK's 12% drop on Wed is great because it's not like it had a horrible Tuesday compared to other movies and is just making up for it :

 

(tuesday drops)

    Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days
1 (1) The Hitman’s Bodyguard Lionsgate $921,067 -66% 3,370 $273   $58,887,993 19
2 (3) Wind River Weinstein Co. $638,256 -60% 2,602 $245   $20,909,113 33
3 (2) Annabelle: Creation Warner Bros. $634,048 -62% 3,358 $189   $91,500,062 26
4 (5) Dunkirk Warner Bros. $370,509 -69% 2,752 $135   $180,575,087 47
5 (4) Leap! Weinstein Co. $278,069 -80% 2,705 $103   $13,039,054 12
6 (7) Spider-Man: Homecoming Sony Pictures $248,359 -76% 2,036 $122   $325,369,281 61
7 (12) Girls Trip Universal $193,580 -64% 1,607 $120   $112,291,305 47

 

It's 69% Tue drop is on the high side but not so much that one would expect Wednesday to compensate big time with such a great hold.

Edited by a2knet
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ANNA2 is 8m from the century mark.

 

Thu should take a decent hit thanks to IT previews : 15% drop from Wed gives 0.390m for 92.35m. That's 7.65m away from 100m.

 

Then going a bit pessimistic,

  1. 63% drop over the weekend gives 2.75m for 95.1m cume and 4.9m away from 100m.
  2. 2.1 over the next whole week (0.7 Mon-Thu + 1.25 weekend = 2.1 Mon-Sun) 97.05m cume
  3. 1.0 over the following Mon-Sun (0.4 Mon-Thu + 0.6 weekend) 98.05m cume
  4. 0.60 the following Mon-Sun for 98.65m
  5. 0.35 the following Mon-Sun for 99.0m

At this stage the dollar bump can give it 100m. Even if WB needs to fudge it would be a small dignified fudge (unlike the embarrassing one PASS had).

 

 

 

 

 

 

Edited by a2knet
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