BO Germany/Austria: Domestic kiddie movie #1, Joker 2 with a steep drop

[Aristis]

With Monday Numbers all movies are up a bit!

 

Nerve 180k

Don't breathe 130k

Suicide Squad 95k (-51%)

Pets 70k (-58%)

Mike and Dave 60 (-53%/-62%)

Edited September 12, 2016 by Aristis

[efialtes76]

Nerve 145/180
Don't Breathe 107,5/130
Squad 97,5/1415
Pets 72,5/3240
Mike & Dave 60/260
Jason 30/855

[el sid]

Not that bad for two of the newcomers  - Nerve and DB :). Nerve had 179.496 admissions (actuals).

 

The rest:
Conni 30/325
Now You See Me 2: 25/230
Pete's Dragon: 25/160
Schweinskopf: 22.5/410 - fine considering the circumstances
Mechanic 2: 20/170

Dragonball Z had also 20k visitors (in over 100 theaters this weekend but often only one show/weekend). Reviews from critics are mixed, user reviews are pretty ok.

For filmfans this should be music to their ears: Weather-wise it's predicted to be sunny till Thursday and then the temperatures are said to halve themselves.

 

Edited September 12, 2016 by el sid

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	Nerve	146.181	333	439	179.496	1.413.059	-	1
2	Don't Breathe	107.933	324	333	131.770	1.125.269	-	1
3	Suicide Squad	97.017	618	157	1.415.464	14.679.088	-50	4
4	The Secret Life of Pets	73.755	744	99	3.243.679	27.118.192	-55	7
5	Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates	61.604	525	117	262.862	2.062.530	-52	2
6	Jason Bourne	31.204	374	83	854.473	7.517.425	-52	5
7	Conni & Co	28.941	659	44	323.933	2.035.582	-52	4
8	The Mechanic	26.047	319	82	173.673	1.454.619	-49	3
9	Now You See Me 2	24.661	428	58	227.768	1.818.815	-55	3
10	Pete's Dragon	23.444	582	40	159.042	1.207.951	-61	3
11	Schweinskopf al dente	22.198	240	92	407.883	3.120.674	-42	5
12	Dragonball Z - Resurrection	19.892	137	145	19.892	267.954	-	1
13	Männertag	19.438	267	73	19.501	163.990	-	1
14	Toni Erdmann	17.607	212	83	567.413	5.077.030	-44	9
15	Ben Hur	17.393	461	38	94.952	1.012.390	-67	2
16	Ice Age 5	15.498	434	36	2.789.161	21.938.297	-55	11
17	Captain Fantastic	13.849	179	77	146.941	1.066.403	-39	4
18	The Shallows	11.824	317	37	161.525	1.246.031	-70	3
19	The Light Between Oceans	11.490	143	80	11.490	104.794	-	1
20	L'etudiante et Monsieur Henri	8.466	202	42	478.988	3.578.777	-39	8

 

Well, with five interesting openers I had some hopes for the weekend but as it turned out that was a bit premature … business very summer-y again and little joy for theaters. I'm positively shocked be the low PTA for openers Männertag (ok it is an extremely stupid comedy but usually that's what the Germans dig) and The Light Between Oceans (stellar reviews and a bestseller - how could this do so bad?!).

 

Next weekend: A lot of openers but very little with mass appeal - The Purge: Election Year should have no trouble becoming #1 for the weekend. Karoline Herfurth's directorial debut, SMS für dich, might actually have a good opening thanks to little competition in the romcom market. And Fatih Akin's Tschick is of course the critic's champion and gets a wide opening  but I would be surprised if it can do more than 50k admissions. And with rainy weather on the horizon, we might see a poweful rebound for family stuff! (I hope …)

[scabab]

So is that about $301,000 for Dragon Ball Z in US money?

[IndustriousAngel]

16 minutes ago, scabab said:

So is that about $301,000 for Dragon Ball Z in US money?

Should be about right, yes

[Aristis]

<50k admissions would be very disappointing for Tschick... I'm not interested in that movie - but shouldn't many be? It's a big book

[IndustriousAngel]

5 hours ago, Aristis said:

<50k admissions would be very disappointing for Tschick... I'm not interested in that movie - but shouldn't many be? It's a big book

That one's really hard to predict - Fatih Akin hasn't delivered a blockbuster yet (not even close) but Soul Kitchen had a very nice opening and >1mil total admissions so there's a definite potential, plus the book is a real bestseller (>1mil books sold in Germany, good number however twisted those charts are). But I got a bit cautious after this week's result for "The Light Between Oceans" - bookreaders are a much different crowd from moviegoers ... I have some doubts if what pleases readers translates that well to weekend business. Despite the wide opening I see this rather as an arthouse release, with not that big an opening but good legs for a long run. Of course I'll be overjoyed if this comes in near 100k admissions or even higher, but then, I'd have pegged TLBO at 50k, too ...

[el sid]

The first trend (partly beautiful and partly not)

New releases:

#1 The Purge 3 (started in 350 theaters, had no previews): 210k - very nice, The Purge had 80k admissions on its first weekend and The Purge: Anarchy 160k
or SMS für Dich (600): 210k
#3 Tschick (559): 120k

Holdovers (very good holds):

#4 Nerve: 110k (146k admissions last weekend without previews, -24%)
#5 DB: 90k (108k, -17%)

Edited September 16, 2016 by el sid

[IndustriousAngel]

That's really good for openers Purge, SMS and Tschick (SMS' number contains a lot of previews though so Purge is a safe nr.1)

[IndustriousAngel]

2nd trend:

Purge - 240k admissions

SMS - 200k

Nerve - 130k

Don't Breathe - 100k

Tschick - 100k

SS - 70k

[el sid]

I'm sorry, the post vanished. The final trend:

Purge 3: 220k admissions
SMS: 205k
Nerve: 150k (so counted without previews it increased in its second weekend)
Tschick: 125k
Pets: 120k
DB: 105 (counted without previews it stayed flat)
SS: 70k
Mike & Dave: 45k
Connie & Co: 40k
Jason Bourne: 30k
Pete's Dragon: 30k
Schweinskopf: 27.5k
Ice Age 5: 25k
 

I didn't see much else than rain when I looked outside in the last 48h, so I don't think the actuals will be worse ;).

Edited September 18, 2016 by el sid

[efialtes76]

Purge III 217,5/230
SMS 172,5/210
Nerve 160 
Pets 132,5 
Tschick 125 
Don't Breathe 105 
Squad 75 

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	The Purge - Election Year	216.970	351	618	233.371	1.999.672	-	1
2	SMS für Dich	173.849	600	290	211.931	1.789.208	-	1
3	Nerve	159.096	382	416	378.247	3.017.543	+9	2
4	The Secret Life of Pets	131.202	724	181	3.389.149	28.204.385	+78	8
5	Tschick	123.341	556	222	123.341	999.388	-	1
6	Don't Breathe	104.676	374	280	267.203	2.283.015	-3	2
7	Suicide Squad	73.960	600	123	1.516.390	15.721.847	-24	5
8	Conni & Co	50.862	620	82	379.633	2.380.687	+76	5
9	Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates	47.264	563	84	322.943	2.547.679	-23	3
10	Pete's Dragon	41.167	511	81	204.685	1.532.475	+76	4
11	Schweinskopf al dente	34.206	233	147	449.510	3.440.569	+54	6
12	Ice Age 5	30.228	351	86	2.821.469	22.163.941	+95	12
13	Jason Bourne	30.029	252	119	894.494	7.882.560	-4	6
14	Toni Erdmann	20.394	202	101	598.620	5.348.016	+16	10
15	The Mechanic 2	20.338	255	80	201.423	1.691.743	-22	4
16	Now You See Me 2	18.685	212	88	254.365	2.048.998	-24	4
17	Captain Fantastic	18.451	171	108	171.765	1.253.339	+33	5
18	Zhenikh	16.669	68	245	16.669	175.035	-	1
19	The Beatles - Eight Days a Week	12.729	124	103	12.729	112.802	-	1
20	Ben Hur	12.708	371	34	114.027	1.203.206	-27	3

 

The weekend was not too shabby, with nice rebounds from family stuff and a good opening for Purge: Election Year which took #1 in only 351 theaters; should accordingly see a good hiold next week. Romcom SMS für dich was a bit disappointing, especially the low PTA doesn't give any hope for the coming weeks. Tschick had a very good opening (imho) and should get past 1mil total from this start! Among family stuff, it's notable how once more Ice Age 5 hat the best hold (resp. increase); it really had a poor start but one can't fault its legs, if not for Dory opening, it might still reach 3mil total. Schweinskopf al dente had the best increase among non-family stuff; it's not yet locked but with the usually good legs of the series it should be able to surpass the 570k total of ist predecessor in the series.

Btw, in Austria, the Top 4 were holdovers Nerve, Pets, Mike&Dave and DB, while neither PurgeEY nor SMS für dich managed to move any crowds to theaters.

 

Next weekend: Bad Moms, The Magnificent Seven and Snowden are the more interesting openers - I'd say the raunchy comedy should take the lead even if last week's Männertag was a complete disaster. The western is a tough sell, if it comes near 200k admissions I'd consider it a real success.

[Fullbuster]

Finding Dory in 7 days, can't wait! Germany / Austria will decide : Will it reach $1B WW?

 

Let's hope Germany will deliver!!

Edited September 22, 2016 by Fullbuster

[el sid]

 

Again the whole day was sunny but don't be depressed ;) - it's now with significant lower temperatures and so no problem. These are the Thursday estimates via insidekino.de (forum):

New releases:

The Magnificent Seven (ok to good reviews; starts in 508 theaters; had no previews): 29k
Bad Moms (ok to good reviews; 460 theaters): 27k

Snowden (partly mediocre and partly very good reviews; 283 theaters): 9k

Holdovers:

Purge 3: 10.5k (last Thursday 30k, not a good hold)
SMS: 16k (17.5k, a very good hold)

Tschick: 9k (10k, also a very good hold)
Nerve: 6.5k (13k)

DB: 5k (10.5)

SS: 3.5k (7.5)

 

So I would say not bad for the new releases and Bad Moms should win the weekend.

Edited September 22, 2016 by el sid

[Aristis]

1st Trend

 

Bad Moms 250k

Magnificent Seven 175k

SMS 150k (-14%/-29%)

Purge 110k (-49%/-53%)

Snowden 100k

Tschick 100k (-19%)

Edited September 23, 2016 by Aristis

[IndustriousAngel]

very good for Snowden I'd say ... if you remember the performance of 5th estate (and that had Daniel Brühl) I had feared the worst but thankfully I was wrong!

[Aristis]

2nd Trend:

 

Bad Moms 260k

Magnificent Seven 140k

SMS 140k (-20%/-34%)

Purge 120k (-45%/-48%)

Snowden 90k

Nerve 90k (-43%)

Tschick 90k (-27%)

Don't Breathe 65k (-38%)

Pets 45k (-66%)

Suicide Squad 32,5k (-56%)

 

Many movies are down, only Bad Moms and The Purge increased. Weather is great, so that was expectable. It's obvious now that Pets won't pass Zoo, with Dory arriving next week it could fall hard again. It could end near 3.6M - with bad weather in the next weeks it could top that by far though. Suicide Squad will have passed BvS by Sunday (1.535M).

 

InsideKino predicts 750k for the first weekend and more than 4M in total now, one week before the release of Dory. Weather doesn't seem to be that bad (about 20°, probably without rain) but without real competition for a few weeks it should at least do OK. I can't imagine Dory to have any trouble becoming the third Billionaire this year.

Edited September 24, 2016 by Aristis

[IndustriousAngel]

Preliminary numbers are worse than estimates (once more) ... another "might-have" weekend which ends up behind hopes (and last year's of course). There's still some buns in the oven but I fear this won't be a pretty year.