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el sid

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About el sid

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  1. Let me complete the disaster with some Thursday actuals (source Blickpunkt:Film) . Wherby the two reported holdovers didn't do bad yesterday: The new releases: Der Fall Collini (released in 485 theaters): 17k → 100k admissions OW in the first trend The Curse of La Llorona (316): 8k → 35k OW Van Gogh (109): 3.4k → 15k OW Kalank (? theaters): 2.8k The Kid Who Would be King (281): 2.7k → 10k OW Die sagenhaften Vier (a German & Belgian animation movie, 290): ?k → only 5k OW The holdovers: After: 37k (actuals last Thursday 45k) Monsieur Claude 2: 18k (22k)→ 80k admissions OW Pet Sematary: ?k → 55k admissions OW Shazam!: ?k → 45k admissions OW
  2. It's doing good at Pulse at the moment with ca. 8 tickets/minute. In 2 hours it should enter the Top 5 (counted without Avengers: Endgame it will be #4 then behind Shazam!, Little and CM). PS: Was #1 in Brazil on Monday.
  3. Today it looks better for most movies. Pulse 8:35-8:49 EST: Breakthrough: 50/15 – yesterday 17/15; Unplanned had on Wednesday at that time 10/15 and on Friday at that time 40/15, Isn't It Romantic had on Wednesday at that time 84/15. Pinguins: 17/15 – yesterday 8/15; Missing Link had on Wednesday at that time 5/15 and on Friday at that time 36/15, Wonder Park had on Wednesday 24/15 and on Friday 124/15 at that time. The Curse of La Llorona: 19/15 – yesterday 8/15; Us had 230/15, The Prodigy 4/15 both same day and time of the day, Escape Room on Thursday 36/15, Pet Sematary also on Thursday (thanks to the crash on Wednesday because of Avengers: Endgame) 105/15. Avengers: Endgame: 390/15 – yesterday 270/15 And Pulse 10:50-11:04 EST: Breakthrough: 78/15 – yesterday 21/15, nice and needed jump; Isn't It Romantic had on Wednesday at that time 167/15, Unplanned had on Wednesday at that time 30/15 (I don't have Friday numbers). Pinguins: 28/15 – yesterday 12/15; Missing Link had 9/15 on Wednesday at that time (no Friday numbers). The Curse of La Llorona: 28/15 – yesterday 12/15; Us had 386/15, The Prodigy 10/15 both same day and time of the day, Escape Room on Thursday 80/15, Pet Sematary also Thursday 152/15. Again on par with Pinguins, I guess the reviews begin to hurt it . Avengers: Endgame: 576/15 – yesterday 435/15. Where will this end? The highest number for Captain Marvel was ca. 1.500/15 minutes on the Thursday before its release, so Avengers: Endgame has still 8 days left to overtake it (by far). Tomorrow I'm on a jaunt so if I don't report something that doesn't mean that the numbers are so horrible that I don't want to tell .
  4. Because two movies start already tomorrow and I said that I will count Avengers: Endgame from Monday on... Pulse today 8:50-9:04 EST: Breakthrough: 17/15 – BT was pretty muted last week but yesterday it saw a little increase and had at that time 8/15; ICOI would have been a good comp but that movie was a Friday release, pretty volatile at Pulse and I think ICOI had a lot of buzz long before the release and in the case of Breakthrough the WOM has to help, it's the other way around. A partly fitting comp could be Isn't It Romantic which had 25/15 same day and time of the day. But in that case the focus was on the Thursday/Valentine's Day and not Good Friday and the Easter weekend (IIR made in 5 days 20.5M, thereof 4.4M on Valentines Day). Another halfway fitting comp could be Unplanned (6.4M OW) which had on Tuesday at that time 14/15 and on Thursday at that time 24/15. So far BT sits at 70% at RT with 20 reviews, could stay fresh. Pinguins: 8/15 – yesterday 3/15 The Curse of La Llorona: 8/15 – yesterday 2/15 but it improved later in the day; at the second counting yesterday La Llorona wasn't far behind Pet Sematary on its Monday back then Avengers: Endgame: 270/15 – yesterday 163/15 And Pulse 10:35-10:49 EST: Breakthrough: 21/15 – yesterday it were 6/15; Unplanned had on Tuesday at that time 17/15 and on Thursday at that time 35/15, Isn't It Romantic had on Tuesday at that time 63/15. Pinguins: 12/15 – yesterday 6/15; The Curse of La Llorona: 12/15; yesterday 15/15 at that time; Us had 197/15, The Prodigy 1/15 both same day and time of the day (I know that's not helpful and I have more and better comparisons tomorrow and on Thursday). → All three new movies don't look like they would overperform at the moment but I guess that can change rapidly tomorrow or before the Good Friday. Avengers: Endgame: 435/15 – yesterday 495/15 (ok, cheap Tuesday begins but still, I already wonder how long it will be countable per eye-count).
  5. How good that I have not much to do today : Interesting development at MT: #1 Avengers 30% #2 Shazam! 13.6% #3 Little 7% #4 Dumbo 6.4% #5 After 6.1%
  6. You could be right. Yesterday I thought around 12-14M (bad enough) should be possible compared to the other films but today it still sells only ca. 1.5x of what Hunter Killer had back then. And I guess walk ups will not be better. Now I can as well count the rest (8:35-8:49 EST): Little: 159/15 - yesterday 54/15; Isn't It Romantic 84/15, good Hellboy 68/15 - yesterday 27/15; Hunter Killer had 47/15 at that time After: 42/15 - yesterday 19/15 Missing Link 36/15 - yesterday 8/15; Wonder Park had 124/15 at that time
  7. It wouldn't have made profit with a let's say 80M or 100M production budget but with a budget of ca. 50M a (really) good Hellboy movie would have found its fans, especially worldwide. In Germany, the disappointment after the trailers and even more after the reviews was big. Many said that they will still see it but now at home...
  8. Now Hellboy has appeared: #1 Avengers 32.1% #2 Shazam! 13.6% #3 Little 6.8% #4 Dumbo 6.4% #5 Hellboy 5.8%
  9. MT before the Friday update: #1 Avengers: Endgame 35.4% #2 Shazam 12.9% #3 Little 6.2% #4 Pet Sematary 6.1% #5 Dumbo 6%
  10. And some Thursday actuals (source Blickpunkt:Film): The new releases: After (released in 480 theaters): 45k plus 55k from Wednesday - the book is very popular here from what I read Hellboy (397): 9k → 65k admissions OW in the first trend, under the expectations Wonder Park (590): 7.6k Alfons Zitterbacke - Das Chaos ist zurück (320): 2.2k → 47.5k OW Border (69): 1.5k The Aftermath (94): 1.2k Christo - Walking on Water (64): 900 The holdovers: Monsieur Claude 2: 22k (actuals last Thursday 25k) - very good Pet Sematary: 11.5k (18k) Shazam!: 10.2k (20k) - mmh
  11. Pulse today 8:50-9:04 EST: Little: 54/15 – yesterday 36/15; Nobody's Fool (13.7M OW) had 37/15; What Men Want (18.2M OW) 87/15 both same day and time of the day, Isn't It Romantic (14.2M OW) had 25/15 one day before the release Hellboy: 27/15 – yesterday at that time it were 29/15; Overlord (10.2M OW) had 27/15 at that time, Hunter Killer (6.7M OW) had 11/15 After: 19/15 – yesterday 18/15; Five Feet Apart (13.2M OW) had 23/15 same day and time of the day, again Isn't It Romantic 25/15 Missing Link: 8/15 – yesterday 5/15; Wonder Park (15.9M OW) had 44/15, HtTYD (55.0M OW) 227/15, The Lego Movie2 (34.1M OW) 110/15 all same day and time of the day And Pulse 10:50-11:04 EST: Little: 85/15 – yesterday 32/15; Nobody's Fool had 60/15, What Men Want 117/15, Isn't It Romantic 63/15, pretty good also today. Hellboy: 62/15 – yesterday 28/15; Overlord had 50/15 at that time, Hunter Killer had 24/15. Probably lots of things went wrong here but I still feel a bit sorry for that movie. After: 49/15 – yesterday 21/15; Five Feet Apart had 48/15 at that time, again Isn't It Romantic 63/15, not bad at all Missing Link: 13/15 – yesterday 8/15; Wonder Park had 59/15, HtTYD 325/15, The Lego Movie2 160/15 all same day and time of the day. Maybe walk ups will help...
  12. Pulse today 8:50-9:04 EST: Little: 36/15 – yesterday 7/15, a nice increase; Nobody's Fool (13.7M OW) had 30/15; What Men Want (18.2M OW) 44/15 both same day and time of the day and Isn't It Romantic (14.2M OW) had 13/15 two days before the release (on Wednesday) Hellboy: 29/15 – yesterday at that time it were 12/15; hard for me to find comparisons here, Overlord (10.2M OW) had 27/15 at the same time but on Thursday, Hunter Killer (6.7M OW) had 12/15 same day and time of the day After: 18/15 – yesterday 7/15; Five Feet Apart (13.2M OW) had 23/15 on Thursday, Isn't It Romantic as mentioned 13/15 Missing Link: 5/15 – yesterday 1/15; unfortunately I didn't count Smallfoot already back then but Wonder Park (15.9M OW) had 24/15, HtTYD (55.0M OW) 100/15, The Lego Movie2 (34.1M OW) 120/15 all same day and time of the day Avengers: Endgame from Monday on... And Pulse 10:50-11:04 EST (two films decreased, two only ca. flat at the second counting - strange): Hellboy: 28/15; Overlord had 50/15 on Thursday, Hunter Killer had 19/15 same day and time of the day → at the first counting it didn't look bad for Hellboy but now I continue to worry Little: 32/15; Nobody's Fool had 27/15, What Men Want 56/15, Isn't It Romantic 20/15 → still ok After: 21/15 – Five Feet Apart had 48/15 on Thursday, again Isn't It Romantic 20/15 → not bad, at the moment it seems that these 4M OW predictions are (way) too low Missing Link: 9/15; HtTYD had 134/15, The Lego Movie2 113/15 both same day and time of the day → so far it's just sad The Curse of La Llorona: 4/15 – first day it improved
  13. At the numbers it says the budget is estimated 50-60M US$ (and they see a box office potential of 55M, USA only).
  14. I get why nobody wants to report the second trend: #1 Monsieur Claude2 225k #2 Pet Sematary 160k - at least one new movie is stable #3 Shazam! 140k #4 Dumbo 125k #5 Captain Marvel 90k #6 Die Goldfische 75k #7 Us 60k #8 Asterix und das Geheimnis des Zaubertranks 25k #9 The Old Man & the Gun 25k
  15. And some Thursday actuals (source Blickpunkt:Film, a bit sparsely today): The new releases: Monsieur Claude 2 (released in 500 theaters): 25k/230k US$ Shazam! (477): 20k/219k US$ Pet Sematary (418): 18k/168k US$ Unheimlich perfekte Freunde (a German fantasy-comedy, 306): ?k → only 15k admissions OW in the first trend of insidekino.de, clearly under the expectations despite the good reviews The holdovers Captain Marvel: 12k (actuals last Thursday 18.5k) Dumbo: 10k whole day (actuals last Thursday whole day 18.5k)
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