Taruseth Posted May 24, 2019 Share Posted May 24, 2019 So, today was kinda underwhelming - Also, I know this is a mess right now, but I am slowly starting to collect data so I hopefully by the time TROS will have a better idea at what what means. Aladdin: Spoiler Friday 24thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-(-2)) Cinestar Bremen[SK1] 21thMay 23:59 MESZ (T-1) Previews: Wednesday 3D 20:00: 76 / 572 -> 13.7 % Thursday: 3D 14:30: 5 / 425 3D 17:30: 37 / 425 3D 19:50: 75 / 572 3D 22:10: 22 / 280 2D 14:00: 3 / 425 2D 16:50: 30 / 572 Total: 172 / 2699 -> 6.4% (+133 / +341%) Friday: 3D 14:30: 7 / 425 3D 17:30: 29 / 425 3D 19:50: 117 / 572 3D 22:10: 18 / 280 2D 14:00: 6 / 425 2D 16:50: 38 / 572 Total: 215 / 2699 -> 8% (+117) Saturday: 3D 14:30: 7 / 425 3D 17:30: 7 / 425 3D 19:50: 36 / 572 3D 22:10: 16 / 280 2D 14:00: 2 / 425 2D 16:50: 17 / 572 Total: 85 / 2699 ->3.1% (+24) Sunday: 3D 11:30: 2 / 425 3D 14:30: 19 / 425 3D 17:30: 4 / 425 3D 19:50: 7 / 572 2D 11:10: 12 / 322 2D 13:50: 20 / 425 2D 16:50: 7 / 572 Total: 71 / 3166 -> 2.2% (+21) Overall without previews: 543 / 11263 -> 4.8% (+163) (24h ago: Friday: 98, Saturday: 60, Sunday: 50) Friday was just 25% above Thursday as today Thursday saw an absolutely crazy amount of sales on the actual day and a lot more walk-ups. This is not promising for the movie. I hope the walk-ups for the shows tomorrow are a lot better. But tomorrow actually is weaker than Friday was 24h ago, about 13% below. But luckily Sunday is 18% above Saturday. 30k 37.5k 32.5k 38.5k For 138.5k (This is not looking promising at all here) Friday 24thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-(-2)) CinemaxX Bremen[SK1] Wednesday – Previews 2D 20:20: 70 / 454 -> 15.4% (+11) Thursday: OV 2D 19:00: 47 / 288 3D 14:40: 2 / 260 3D 16:30: 0 / 454 3D 19:40: 37 /454 3D 22:45: 8 /228 2D 14:10: 0 / 505 2D 16:45: 20 / 280 Total: 114 / 2469 -> 4.6% (+41 / +56%) Friday: OV 2D 19:15: 42 / 280 3D 14:40: 0 / 260 3D 16:30: 0 / 454 3D 19:40: 84 /454 3D 22:45: 4 /228 2D 14:10: 0 / 505 2D 17:00: 7 / 228 Total: 137 / 2409 -> 5.7% (+78) Saturday: OV 2D 20:00: 18 / 280 3D 14:30: 2 / 260 3D 16:30: 0 / 454 3D 19:40: 15 /454 3D 22:20: 18 /228 2D 11:50: 0 / 288 2D 14:00: 4 / 505 2D 16:50: 14 / 228 Total: 71 / 2637 -> 2.7% (+23) Sunday: OV 2D 19:00: 8 / 288 3D 14:30: 0 / 260 3D 16:10: 1 / 454 3D 19:30: 0 /454 3D 22:20: 0 /228 2D 11:50: 0 / 288 2D 14:00: 12 / 505 2D 17:20: 6 / 228 Total: 27 / 2637 -> 1% (+12) Total without Previews: 349 / 10152 -> 2.4%(+112) Friday 24thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-(-2)) Cinestar Metropolis Frankfurt[SK1] Previews: Wednesday 3D 19:45: 130 / 624 -> 20.8 % Thursday: OV 3D 17:20: 20 / 344 OV 3D 20:25: 22 / 344 3D 14:30: 5 / 351 3D 17:35: 18 / 351 3D 20:10: 46 / 642 3D 23:15: 12 / 642 (all seats sold are love seats, lol) 2D 14:00: 3 / 642 2D 17:05: 43 / 642 OV 2D 14:15: 10 / 344 Total: 179 / 4302 -> 1.6% (+109 / +156%) Friday: OV 3D 17:20: 16 / 344 OV 3D 20:25: 155 / 344 3D 14:30: 3 / 351 3D 17:35: 4 / 351 3D 20:10: 160 / 642 3D 23:15: 29 / 642 2D 14:00: 10 / 642 2D 17:05: 43 / 642 OV 2D 14:15: 15 / 344 Total: 435 / 4302 -> 2.9% (+311 / +251%) Saturday: OV 3D 17:20: 37 / 344 OV 3D 20:25: 44 / 344 3D 14:30: 1 / 351 3D 17:35: 8 / 351 3D 20:10: 34 / 642 3D 23:15: 6 / 642 2D 11:00: 2 / 642 2D 14:00: 15 / 642 2D 17:05: 10 / 642 OV 2D 11:10: 3 / 624 OV 2D 14:15: 28 / 342 Total: 188 / 5566 -> 1.4% (+109) Sunday: OV 3D 17:20: 6 / 344 OV 3D 20:25: 4 / 344 3D 14:30: 5 / 351 3D 17:35: 9 / 351 3D 20:10: 2 / 642 3D 23:15: 0 / 642 2D 11:00: 18 / 642 2D 14:00: 14 / 642 2D 17:05: 3 / 642 OV 2D 11:10: 9 / 624 OV 2D 14:15: 19 / 342 Total: 89 / 5566 -> 0.8% (+47) Overall without previews: 424 / 19740 -> 2.1% (+219) FSS: 245 / 15438 -> 1.6% (24h ago: Friday: 124, Saturday: 79, Sunday: 42) Friday is 143% higher than Thursday, Saturday is 52% higher than Friday and Sunday is 13% higher than Saturday was 24h ago, though this appears to be an outliner. Using a 30k Thursday: 30k 72.5k 110k 125k OWend: 337.5k Friday midnight: Thursday: 465 Friday: 787 (24h ago: 281) Saturday: 344 (24h ago: 187) Sunday: 187 Friday is 69% above Thursday, Saturday is 22% above Friday and Sunday is flat. So, Thursday was just 30k, this would mean: 30k 50k 60k 60k That would be a pretty bad 200k Opening. Frankfurt Metropolis hopefully turns out more telling for the whole of Germany: 30k 72.5k 110k 125k OWend: 337.5k John Wick 3: Spoiler Friday 24thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-(-2)) Cinestar Bremen[SK1] 23rdMay 23:59 MESZ (T-0) Previews: Wednesday (counted at 20:15) – no comparison as I forgot Aladdin and DP 3D 20:15: 175 / 425 -> 41.2 % (+64) Thursday: 2D 16:30: 36 / 296 2D 20:10: 155 / 425 2D 22:40: 51 / 175 Total: 242 / 896 -> 27% (+120 / +98.3%) Friday: 2D 16:30: 23 / 296 2D 20:10: 163 / 425 2D 20:10: 52 / 170 2D 22:40: 27 / 171 2D 22:45: 32 / 166 (NEW) Total: 297 / 1228 -> 24.2% (+83) Saturday: 2D 16:30: 65 / 296 2D 20:10: 156 / 425 2D 20:10: 37 / 170 2D 22:40: 21 / 171 2D 22:45: 9 / 166 (NEW) Total: 288 / 1228 -> 23.5% (+77) Sunday: OV 2D 20:10: 27 / 170 2D 16:30: 21 / 296 2D 20:10: 30 / 425 Total: 78 / 891 -> 8.8% (+17) Overall without previews: 728 / 4251 -> 12.4% (+283) (24h ago: Friday: 214, Saturday: 211, Sunday: 61) Friday was 23% bigger, Saturday is 36% bigger than Friday was 24h ago and Sunday is 63% smaller. So with a 60k Thursday: 60k 74k 100k 37k That would be just a 271k weekend. So different to Detective Pika this cinema is absolutely, absolutely useless with both Aladdin and this movie. Friday 24thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-(-2)) CinemaxX Bremen[SK1] Wednesday – Previews 2D 20:00: 125 / 505 -> 24.8% (+13) 2D 20:20: 32 / 505 -> 6.3% (+10) Total: 157 / 1010 -> 15.5% (+23) Thursday: OV 2D 19:30: 70 / 228 2D 14:10: 5 / 135 2D 17:15: 22 / 505 2D 20:30: 145 / 505 2D 23:00: 48 / 454 Total: 290 / 1827 -> 15.9% (+161 / +125%) Friday: 2D 14:10: 2 / 135 2D 17:15: 15 / 505 2D 20:30: 165 / 505 2D 23:00: 75 / 454 Triple 2D 18:45: 115 / 288 (only saw this today) Total: 372 / 1887 -> 19.7% (+274) Saturday: OV 2D 22:45: 12 / 92 2D 14:10: 7 / 135 2D 17:15: 5 / 505 2D 19:00: 33 / 288 2D 20:30: 37 / 505 2D 23:00: 12 / 454 Total: 106 / 1982 -> 5.3% (+55) Sunday: OV 2D: 19:20: 6 / 288 (NEW) 2D 17:15: 15 / 505 2D 20:30: 8 / 505 2D 23:00: 7 / 454 Total: 36 / 1752 -> 2.1% (+13) Total without Previews: 804 / 7448 -> 10.8% Friday 24thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-(-2)) Cinestar Metropolis Frankfurt[SK1] Previews: Wednesday 3D 20:15: 365 / 642 -> 56.9 % (+123) Thursday: 2D 16:50: 51 / 624 2D 20:00: 140 / 624 (this is just a rough guess) 2D 23:10: 69 / 624 OV 2D 20:15: 86 / 283 OV 2D 23:25: 17 / 283 Total: 363 / 2438 -> 14.9% (+262 / +260%) Friday: 2D 16:50: 42 / 624 2D 20:00: 257 / 624 (WOW!) 2D 23:10: 116 / 624 OV 2D 20:15: 163 / 283 (WOW!) OV 2D 23:25: 33 / 283 Total: 611 / 2438 -> 25.1% (+ 377) Saturday: 2D 16:50: 27 / 624 2D 20:00: 91 / 624 2D 23:10: 21 / 624 OV 2D 20:15: 60 / 283 OV 2D 23:25: 2 / 283 Total: 201 / 2438 -> 8.2% (+ 71) Sunday: 2D 16:50: 9 / 624 2D 20:00: 14 / 624 2D 23:10: 1 / 624 OV 2D 20:15: 22 / 283 OV 2D 23:25: 0 / 283 Total: 46 / 2438 -> 1.9% (+28) Overall without previews: 1221 / 7488 -> 16.3% (+476) Overall with Previews: 1586 / 8130 -> 19.5% (+476) (24h ago: Friday: 234, Saturday: 130, Sunday: 18) So, Friday was 68% above Thursday, Saturday is right now about 14% behind Friday and Sunday is 65% behind Saturday. Based on a 50k Thursday this would lead too: 50k 84k 72.5k 25.5k So a 232k weekend, okay, this is obviously not happening. Friday midnight: Thursday: 895 Friday: 1280 (24h ago: 546) Saturday: 595 (24h ago: 392) Sunday: 160 Friday is 43% above Thursday, Saturday is 9% above Friday and Sunday is 59% below. So, Thursday was just 50k, this would mean: 50k 72.5k 80k 32.5k That would be a pretty bad 235k Opening. So, I guess that tomorrow and Sunday will be rather walkup heavy. Also, the Cinestar Bremen seems to rather presales heavy. And the Cinemaxx Bremen is leaning incredibly heavily towards John Wick, a lot more than the two other cinemas. Overall I wouldn't be as optimistic as insidekino is. Estimates for today are 70k for Aladdin and 110k for John Wick 3, with Thursday: 100k for Aladdin and 160k for John Wick 3. Using these numbers would give: John Wick 3: 50k 110k 120k 50k-80k for 330k-360k and for Aladdin: 30k 70k 85k 85k for 270k. The Midday showings for Aladdin should have some walkups which could lift both Saturday and Sunday up, so it hopefully can jump above 300k. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
miketheavenger Posted May 25, 2019 Share Posted May 25, 2019 2nd trend now has Aladdin and John Wick at 375k each, so a Little lower than before, but still pretty good. Also Pikachu stays the same and Endgame increases slightly. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted May 25, 2019 Share Posted May 25, 2019 (edited) Won't do a count today, will look through them now, but won't count them during the whole day, don't have time for that today. Okay, maybe I'll try, just take a screenshot around the time the movie opens and then count them in the evening. 375k for both would mean around 350k for Aladdin and 330k for John Wick on the true weekend. I'd say both movies look okay today, I expecte them do be rather similar today. I am to lazy to look through all the cinemaxx and cinestar cinemas but I feel like in the cinemax cinemas they don't care about Aladdin at all, while in the cinestar ones they are a lot closer or Aladdin is even in the lead. tomorrow I will start with godzilla and Rocketman. Right now I'd say both couble heading for an opening between 200-300k. EDIT: Won't count, cause I kinda forgot that Aladdin had it's first showing at 11:50 and then some starting around 2pm, so it would screw the picture for Aladdin quiet a bit. Sorry for that. And I am still not sold on Aladdin winning the weekend, if at all I'd say they both come in around 325k or so based on a rough look through today and tomorrow. And does anyone know how big the share of the few big chains is for the box office here? Edited May 25, 2019 by Taruseth Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted May 25, 2019 Author Share Posted May 25, 2019 10 hours ago, Taruseth said: And does anyone know how big the share of the few big chains is for the box office here? shouldn't be much change since 2017: https://www.wirtschafts-nachrichten.de/2017/11/26/deutschlands-groesste-kinoketten-top-5/ 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted May 25, 2019 Share Posted May 25, 2019 (edited) 12 minutes ago, IndustriousAngel said: shouldn't be much change since 2017: https://www.wirtschafts-nachrichten.de/2017/11/26/deutschlands-groesste-kinoketten-top-5/ Thanks, honestly expected them to have more like a 60-70% share and not just above 40%... Sorry, I really didn't count today, so no new update from me. I might take a loot at the Sunday number so and I will look at the presales for the movie being released in the next 1.5 months. Edited May 25, 2019 by Taruseth Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted May 25, 2019 Share Posted May 25, 2019 As I already said, I didn't count today, so I have no idea how today went. But here are the presales for tomorrow: Aladdin: Spoiler Saturday25thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-(-3)) Cinestar Bremen Sunday: 3D 11:30: 2 / 425 3D 14:30: 19 / 425 3D 17:30: 4 / 425 3D 19:50: 11 / 572 2D 11:10: 16 / 322 2D 13:50: 28 / 425 2D 16:50: 11 / 572 Total: 91 / 3166 -> 2.9% (+20) Presales for Saturday were at 85 2h ago, so this at least looks a little promising, though it’s actually below John Wick 3. Saturday 25thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-(-3)) CinemaxX Bremen Sunday: OV 2D 19:00: 27 / 288 3D 14:30: 6 / 260 3D 16:10: 1 / 454 3D 19:30: 2 /454 3D 22:20: 0 /228 2D 11:50: 0 / 288 2D 14:00: 14 / 505 2D 17:20: 14 / 228 Total: 64 / 2637 -> 2.4% (+37) Presales for Saturday 24h ago: 71, so just a little drop. Saturday 25thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-(-3)) Cinestar Metropolis Frankfurt Sunday: OV 3D 17:20: 18 / 344 OV 3D 20:25: 12 / 344 3D 14:30: 7 / 351 3D 17:35: 21 / 351 3D 20:10: 2 / 642 3D 23:15: 0 / 642 2D 11:00: 18 / 642 2D 14:00: 18 / 642 2D 17:05: 7 / 642 OV 2D 11:10: 13 / 624 OV 2D 14:15: 27 / 342 Total: 143 / 5566 -> 2.6% (+54) Saturday 24h ago was at 188. 1 Overview: Thursday: 465 Friday: 787 (24h ago: 281) Saturday: ??? (24h ago: 344) (I assume something around 1100) Sunday: 298 So Sunday is below Saturday but at least still above Friday by a bit. So hopefully it could still turn all of this into something along the lines of: 30k 75k 115k 105k For 325k OWend. John Wick 3: Spoiler Saturday 25thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-(-3)) Cinestar Bremen Sunday: OV 2D 20:10: 28 / 170 2D 16:30: 38 / 296 2D 20:10: 40 / 425 Total: 106 / 891 -> 11.9% (+28) 24h ago Saturday was at 288, so this still looks like a big drop will happen tomorrow. Saturday 25thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-(-3)) CinemaxX Bremen Sunday: OV 2D: 19:20: 14 / 288 (NEW) 2D 17:15: 32 / 505 2D 20:30: 16 / 505 2D 23:00: 10 / 454 Total: 72 / 1752 -> 4.6% (+13) Presales for Saturday 24h ago were 106, also the difference between John Wick 3 and Aladdin is a lot smaller, John Wick 3 is still higher but not by as much as the previous days. Saturday 25thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-(-3)) Cinestar Metropolis Frankfurt Sunday: 2D 16:50: 17 / 624 2D 20:00: 23 / 624 2D 23:10: 3 / 624 OV 2D 20:15: 38 / 283 OV 2D 23:25: 0 / 283 Total: 81 / 2438 -> 3.3% (+35) 24h ago Saturday was at 201, so quite a big drop. Thursday: 895 Friday: 1280 (24h ago: 546) Saturday: ??? (24h ago: 595) I assume around 1300-1500 Sunday: 259 (presales) So maybe something along the lines of: 50k 110k 120k 50k For an OWend of 330k I am still somewhat cautious about Godzilla and Rocketman, like they both look okay but I think they will perform weaker than John Wick 3 and Aladdin. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George Parr Posted May 26, 2019 Share Posted May 26, 2019 Sunday trend not looking all that hot, basically everything is down: #1 Aladdin 325k #2 John Wick 3 325k #3 Pikachu 135k #4 Endgame 105k #5 The Hustle 75k #6 Collini 30k 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted May 26, 2019 Share Posted May 26, 2019 2 hours ago, George Parr said: Sunday trend not looking all that hot, basically everything is down: #1 Aladdin 325k #2 John Wick 3 325k #3 Pikachu 135k #4 Endgame 105k #5 The Hustle 75k #6 Collini 30k lol, John Wick dropping below 300k for the 4-day, that would right now be 280k for it and 300k for Aladdin. So I guess I totally overestimated Saturday and Friday turned out a little weaker than initially expected. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted May 26, 2019 Author Share Posted May 26, 2019 Still a good number for Wick, there's only a limited audience for this type of movies and it did really well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted May 26, 2019 Share Posted May 26, 2019 4 minutes ago, IndustriousAngel said: Still a good number for Wick, there's only a limited audience for this type of movies and it did really well. First one had 430k adm final (141k OWend -> 3.05x), the second one had 818k adm (228k OWend -> 3.59x) This is estimated to open with 280+45k so about 22% higher, that's less than init, but you are right, that film got an FSK 18, as far as I know, and those are extremely limited. Though with a 280k OWend it could get something like a 3.3x for 925k up to a 3.6x for 1m adm. And to be honest despite some questions about Aladdin on here and me fully expecting a 200k OWend and it looks like it will get 50% (gosh I was off by so much, utterly useless) this opening is a lot more disappointing as it under the right circumstances should have been able to open at least close to B&tB, so with the less know actors and all that I never expected it to open at or over that number. But a nice 600k OWend and than a 4-4.5x for 2.4-2.7m should have been doable. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted May 27, 2019 Share Posted May 27, 2019 (edited) So, forgot to count yesterday, sorry. On a side note Aladdin (and John Wick) look good on Wednesday and Thursday. Godzilla: Spoiler Monday 27thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-2) Cinestar Bremen Wednesday – Preview: 3D 20:15: 62 / 425 -> 14.6% Thursday: 3D 14:10: 9 / 280 3D 16:20: 8 / 425 3D 20:00: 5 / 322 3D 22:30: 0 / 280 Total: 22 / 1307 -> 1.7% Friday: 3D 14:10: 0 / 280 3D 16:20: 1 / 425 3D 20:00: 11 / 322 3D 22:30: 0 / 280 Total: 12 / 1307 -> 0.9% Saturday: 3D 14:10: 0 / 280 3D 16:20: 2 / 425 3D 20:00: 4 / 322 3D 22:30: 0 / 280 Total: 6 / 1307 -> 0.5% Sunday: 3D 14:10: 2 / 280 3D 16:20: 0 / 425 3D 20:10: 0 / 322 Total: 2 / 1027 -> 0.2% Weekend without Previews: 42 / 4948 -> 0.8% Weekend with Previews: 104 / 5373 -> 1.9% Slightly behind Pika's Weekend by about 10% Monday 27thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-2) CinemaxX Bremen Wednesday – Preview: 3D 20:15: 45 / 348 -> 14.6% Thursday: 2D 14:00: 0 / 228 OV 2D 22:30: 0 / 92 3D 16:45: 1 / 505 3D 20:00: 5 / 505 3D 23:15: 0 / 505 Total: 6 / 1835 -> 0.3 Friday: 2D 14:00: 2 / 228 OV 2D 19:30: 6 / 260 3D 16:45: 8 / 505 3D 20:00: 2 / 505 3D 22:45: 0 / 260 Total: 18 / 1758 -> 1% Saturday: 2D 14:00: 0 / 228 3D 16:45: 0 / 505 3D 20:00: 0 / 505 3D 23:15: 0 / 505 Total: 0 / 1743 -> 0% Sunday: 2D 14:00: 2 / 228 OV 2D 22:30: 0 / 92 3D 16:45: 1 / 505 3D 20:00: 0 / 505 3D 23:15: 0 / 505 Total: 3 / 1835 -> 0.16% Total without Preview: 27 / 7171 -> 0.4% Total with Preview: 72 / 7519 -> 1% Monday 27thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-2) Cinestar Metropolis Frankfurt Wednesday – Previews: 3D 20:15: 39 / 624 -> 6.3% (+16) Thursday: OV 3D 17:05: 4 / 273 OV 3D 20:10: 0 / 273 OV 3D 23:15: 0 / 273 3D 14:00: 2 / 273 3D 16:45: 4 / 624 3D 19:55: 0 / 624 3D 23:05: 0 / 624 Total: 10 / 2964 -> 0.35 Friday: OV 3D 17:05: 3 / 273 OV 3D 20:10: 0 / 273 OV 3D 23:15: 0 / 273 3D 14:00: 2 / 273 3D 16:45: 0 / 624 3D 19:55: 2 / 624 3D 23:05: 0 / 624 Total: 7 / 2964 -> 0.25 Saturday: OV 3D 17:05: 1 / 273 OV 3D 20:10: 0 / 273 OV 3D 23:15: 0 / 273 3D 14:00: 2 / 273 3D 16:45: 1 / 624 3D 19:55: 0 / 624 3D 23:05: 0 / 624 Total: 9 / 2964 -> 0.3% Sunday: OV 3D 17:05: 1 / 273 OV 3D 20:10: 0 / 273 OV 3D 23:15: 0 / 273 3D 14:00: 0 / 273 3D 16:45: 0 / 624 3D 19:55: 0 / 624 3D 23:05: 0 / 624 Total: 1 / 2964 -> 0.03% Weekend without Previews: 27 / 11856 -> 0.2% Weekend with Previews: 66 / 12480 -> 0.5% 2 days out: Previews: 62 + 45 + 39 = 146 Thursday: 22 + 6 + 10 = 38 Friday: 12 + 18 + 7 = 37 Saturday: 6 + 0 + 9 = 15 Sunday: 2 + 3 + 1 = 6 Total wo Previews: 42 + 25 +27 = 97 Total w Previews: 104 + 70 + 66 = 240 Right now I would estimate an opening of 300+350k (without Previews) Rocketman: Spoiler Monday 27thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-2) Cinestar Bremen Wednesday – Preview: 2D 19:30: 35 / 322 -> 10.9% Thursday: 2D 11:30: 0 / 572 2D 14:20: 0 / 572 2D 17:20: 0 / 572 2D 20:20: 4 / 572 2D 23:00: 0 / 296 Total: 4 / 2584 -> 0.15% Friday: 2D 11:30: 0 / 572 2D 14:20: 0 / 572 2D 17:20: 0 / 572 2D 20:20: 2 / 572 2D 23:00: 0 / 296 Total: 2 / 2584 -> 0.08% Saturday: 2D 11:30: 0 / 572 2D 14:20: 4 / 572 2D 17:20: 2 / 572 2D 20:20: 4 / 572 2D 23:00: 0 / 296 Total: 10 / 2584 -> 0.39% Sunday: 2D 11:30: 0 / 572 2D 14:20: 0 / 572 2D 17:20: 0 / 572 2D 20:20: 0 / 572 Total: 0 / 2288 -> 0 % Total without Preview: 16 / 10040 -> 0.16% Total with Preview: 51 / 10362 -> 0.5% This is about a third of Pika Monday 27thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-2) CinemaxX Bremen Wednesday – Preview: 2D 20:00: 47 / 348 -> 10.4% Thursday: 2D 14:00: 0 / 135 2D 16:30: 0 / 288 2D 19:45: 0 / 288 2D 22:45: 0 / 288 OV 2D 19:30: 0 / 260 Total: 0 / 1259 -> 0% Friday: 2D 14:00: 0 / 135 2D 16:30: 0 / 288 2D 19:45: 0 / 288 2D 22:45: 0 / 288 OV 2D 22:30: 0 / 92 Total: 6 / 1091 -> 0.3 Saturday: 2D 14:00: 0 / 135 2D 16:30: 0 / 288 2D 19:45: 0 / 288 2D 22:45: 0 / 288 OV 2D 22:30: 0 / 92 Total: 0 / 1091 -> 0% Sunday: 2D 14:00: 0 / 135 2D 16:30: 0 / 288 2D 19:45: 0 / 288 2D 22: Monday 27thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-2) Cinestar Metropolis Frankfurt Wednesday – Previews: 3D 20:15: 30 / 346 -> 8.7% (+10) Thursday: 2D 11:15: 0 / 351 2D 14:15: 0 / 351 2D 17:00: 0 / 344 2D 20:00: 7 / 344 2D 23:15: 0 / 351 OV 2D 14:00: 2 / 202 OV 2D 17:15: 2 / 351 OV 2D 20:15: 0 / 642 Total: 11 / 2936 Friday: 2D 14:15: 0 / 351 2D 17:00: 0 / 344 2D 20:00: 0 / 344 2D 23:15: 0 / 351 OV 2D 14:00: 0 / 202 OV 2D 17:15: 0 / 351 OV 2D 20:15: 4 / 642 Total: 4 / 2585 Saturday: 2D 11:15: 0 / 351 2D 14:15: 0 / 351 2D 17:00: 0 / 344 2D 20:00: 2 / 344 2D 23:15: 2 / 351 OV 2D 14:00: 4 / 202 OV 2D 17:15: 0 / 351 OV 2D 20:15: 4 / 642 Total: 12 / 2936 Sunday: 2D 11:15: 2 / 351 2D 14:15: 0 / 351 2D 17:00: 0 / 344 2D 20:00: 2 / 344 2D 23:15: 0 / 351 OV 2D 14:00: 0 / 202 OV 2D 17:15: 1 / 351 OV 2D 20:15: 0 / 642 Total: 5 / 2936 Total without Previews: 32 / 11393 -> 0.3% Total with Previews: 62 / 11739 -> 0.5% 45: 0 / 288 OV 2D 19:30: 0 / 260 Total: 0 / 1259 -> 0% Total without Preview: 0 / 4700 -> 0% Total with Preview: 47 / 5048 -> 0.9% 2 days out: Previews: 35 + 47+ 30 = 112 Thursday: 4 + 0 + 11 = 15 Friday: 2 + 0 + 4 = 6 Saturday: 10 + 0 + 12 = 22 Sunday: 0 + 0 + 5 = 5 Total wo Previews: 16 + 0 +32 = 48 Total w Previews: 51 + 47 + 62 = 160 So, right now I’d estimate an opening around 150k Now Preview numbers for a bunch of other movies: Spoiler Dark Phoenix CineStar Bremen Preview on Wednesday 5thJune 20:15 10th May 23:59(T-26): 0 / 425 -> 0.0% 11th May 23:59(T-25): 0 / 425 -> 0.0% (+0) 12th May 23:59(T-24): 0 / 425 -> 0.0% (+0) 13th May 23:59(T-23): 0 / 425 -> 0.0% (+0) 14th May 23:59(T-22): 0 / 425 -> 0.0% (+0) 15th May 23:59(T-21): 0 / 425 -> 0.0% (+0) 16th May 23:59(T-20): 0 / 425 -> 0.0% (+0) 17th May 23:59(T-19): 0 / 425 -> 0.0% (+0) 18th May 23:59(T-18): 0 / 425 -> 0.0% (+0) 19th May 23:59(T-17): 0 / 425 -> 0.0% (+0) (too early to tell) 20th May 23:59(T-16): 0 / 425 -> 0.0% (+0) 21th May 23:59(T-15): 0 / 425 -> 0.0% (+0) 22th May 23:59(T-14): 2 / 425 -> 0.5% (+2) 23th May 23:59(T-13): 2 / 425 -> 0.5% (+0) 24th May 23:59(T-12): 2 / 425 -> 0.5% (+0) 25th May 23:59(T-11): 2 / 425 -> 0.5% (+0) 27th May 23:59(T-9): 2 / 425 -> 0.5% (+0) (7-8% of Aladdin / John Wick) CinemaxX Bremen Preview on Wednesday 5thJune 20:00 14th May 23:59(T-22): 1 / 454 -> 0.0% 15th May 23:59(T-21): 1 / 454 -> 0.2% (+1) 16th May 23:59(T-20): 1 / 454 -> 0.2% (+0) 17th May 23:59(T-19): 1 / 454 -> 0.2% (+0) 18th May 23:59(T-18): 2 / 454 -> 0.4% (+1) 19th May 23:59(T-17): 2 / 454 -> 0.4% (+0) 20th May 23:59(T-16): 2 / 454 -> 0.4% (+0) 21th May 23:59(T-15): 2 / 454 -> 0.4% (+0) 22th May 23:59(T-14): 2 / 454 -> 0.4% (+0) 23th May 23:59(T-13): 2 / 454 -> 0.4% (+0) 24th May 23:59(T-12): 2 / 454 -> 0.4% (+0) 25th May 23:59(T-11): 2 / 454 -> 0.4% (+0) 27th May 23:59(T-9):6 / 454 -> 1.3% (+4) CineStar Metropolis Frankfurt Preview on Wednesday 5thJune 20:15 11th May 23:59(T-25): 4 / 642 -> 0.6% 12th May 23:59(T-24): 6 / 642 -> 0.9% (+2) 13th May 23:59(T-23): 6 / 642 -> 0.9% (+0) 14th May 23:59(T-22): 6 / 642 -> 0.9% (+0) 15th May 23:59(T-21): 6 / 642 -> 0.9% (+0) 16th May 23:59(T-20): 6 / 642 -> 0.9% (+0) 17th May 23:59(T-19): 6 / 642 -> 0.9% (+0) 18th May 23:59(T-18): 6 / 642 -> 0.9% (+0) 19th May 23:59(T-17): 6 / 642 -> 0.9% (+0) 20th May 23:59(T-16): 6 / 642 -> 0.9% (+0) 21th May 23:59(T-15): 6 / 642 -> 0.9% (+0) 22th May 23:59(T-14): 6 / 642 -> 0.9% (+0) 23th May 23:59(T-13): 7 / 642 -> 1.1% (+1) 24th May 23:59(T-12): 7 / 642 -> 1.1% (+0) 25th May 23:59(T-11): 8 / 642 -> 1.2% (+1) 27th May 23:59(T-9): 16 / 642 -> 2.4% (+8) (about 60% of Aladdin / 22% of JW) Men In Black International CineStar Bremen Preview on Wednesday 12thJune 3D 20:00 24th May 23:59(T-19): 0 / 425 -> 0% 25th May 23:59(T-18): 0 / 425 -> 0% (+0) 27th May 23:59(T-16): 5 / 425 -> 1.2% (+5) (half of Aladdin, 60% of John Wick) CineStar Metropolis Frankfurt Preview on Wednesday 12thJune 3D 24th May 23:59(T-19): OV 20:15: 0 / 624 -> 0% 24th May 23:59(T-19): 20:00: 0 / 642 -> 0% Total: 0 / 1266 25th May 23:59(T-18): OV 20:15: 2 / 624 -> 0.3% 25th May 23:59(T-18): 20:00: 0 / 642 -> 0% Total: 2 / 1266 -> 0.2% (+2) 27h May 23:59(T-16): OV 20:15: 3 / 624 -> 0.5% 27th May 23:59(T-16): 20:00: 0 / 642 -> 0% Total: 2 / 1266 -> 0.2% (+2) Drei Schritte zu dir CineStar Bremen Preview on Wednesday 19thJune 19:45 14th May 23:59(T-36): 4 / 572 -> 0.7% (WTF, this is early) 15th May 23:59(T-35): 4 / 572 -> 0.7% (+0) 16th May 23:59(T-34): 4 / 572 -> 0.7% (+0) 17th May 23:59(T-33): 4 / 572 -> 0.7% (+0) 18th May 23:59(T-32): 6 / 572 -> 1% (+2) 19th May 23:59(T-31): 6 / 572 -> 1% (+0) 20th May 23:59(T-30): 6 / 572 -> 1% (+0) 21th May 23:59(T-29): 6 / 572 -> 1% (+0) 22th May 23:59(T-28): 12 / 572 -> 2% (+6) 23th May 23:59(T-27): 12 / 572 -> 2% (+0) 24th May 23:59(T-26): 12 / 572 -> 2% (+0) 25th May 23:59(T-25): 12 / 572 -> 2% (+0) 27th May 23:59(T-23): 20 / 572 -> 3.5% (+8) CinemaxX Bremen Preview on Wednesday 19thJune 17:00 16th May 23:59(T-34): 0 / 348 -> 0.0% 17th May 23:59(T-33): 1 / 348 -> 0.3% (+1) 18th May 23:59(T-32): 1 / 348 -> 0.3% (+0) 19th May 23:59(T-31): 1 / 348 -> 0.3% (+0) 20th May 23:59(T-30): 1 / 348 -> 0.3% (+0) 21th May 23:59(T-29): 1 / 348 -> 0.3% (+0) 22th May 23:59(T-28): 1 / 348 -> 0.3% (+0) 23th May 23:59(T-27): 1 / 348 -> 0.3% (+0) 24th May 23:59(T-26): 1 / 348 -> 0.3% (+0) 25th May 23:59(T-25): 1 / 348 -> 0.3% (+0) 27th May 23:59(T-23): 1 / 348 -> 0.3% (+0) CineStar Metropolis Frankfurt Preview on Wednesday 19thJune 19:45 14th May 23:59(T-36): 1 / 273 -> 0.7% (WTF, this is early) 15th May 23:59(T-35): 4 / 273 -> 1.5% (+3) 16th May 23:59(T-34): 4 / 273 -> 1.5% (+0) 17th May 23:59(T-33): 4 / 273 -> 1.5% (+0) 18th May 23:59(T-32): 4 / 273 -> 1.5% (+0) 19th May 23:59(T-31): 4 / 273 -> 1.5% (+0) 20th May 23:59(T-30): 4 / 273 -> 1.5% (+0) 21th May 23:59(T-29): 4 / 273 -> 1.5% (+0) 22th May 23:59(T-28): 4 / 273 -> 1.5% (+0) 23th May 23:59(T-27): 4 / 273 -> 1.5% (+0) 24th May 23:59(T-26): 4 / 273 -> 1.5% (+0) 25th May 23:59(T-25): 4 / 273 -> 1.5% (+0) 27th May 23:59(T-23): 4 / 273 -> 1.5% (+0) Long Shot CineStar Bremen Preview on Wednesday 19thJune 19:45 CinemaxX Bremen Preview on Wednesday 19thJune 20:15 25th May 23:59(T-25): 6 / 288 -> 2.1% 27th May 23:59(T-23): 6 / 288 -> 2.1% (+0) Pets 2 CinemaxX Bremen Preview on Sunday 23thJune 15:00 19th May 23:59(T-35): 1 / 505 -> 0.2% 20th May 23:59(T-34): 1 / 505 -> 0.2% (+0) 21th May 23:59(T-33): 1 / 505 -> 0.2% (+0) 22th May 23:59(T-32): 1 / 505 -> 0.2% (+0) 23th May 23:59(T-31): 1 / 505 -> 0.2% (+0) 24th May 23:59(T-30): 1 / 505 -> 0.2% (+0) 25th May 23:59(T-29): 1 / 505 -> 0.2% (+0) 27th May 23:59(T-27): 1 / 505 -> 0.2% (+0) CineStar Metropolis Frankfurt Preview on Sunday 23thJune 27thMay 23:59(T-27): 3D 16:30: 0 / 642 -> 0% 27thMay 23:59(T-27): 2D 14:30: 0 / 624 -> 0% Total: 0 / 1266 -> 0.9% (+3) Spider-Man: Far From Home CineStar Bremen Preview on Wednesday 3rdJuly – 3D: 23rdMay 23:59(T-41): 20:00 2 / 425 -> 0.5% 24thMay 23:59(T-40): 20:00 2 / 425 -> 0.5% (+0) 25thMay 23:59(T-39): 20:00 2 / 425 -> 0.5% (+0) 27thMay 23:59(T-37): 20:00 2 / 425 -> 0.5% (+0) CinemaxX Bremen Preview on Wednesday 3rdJuly – 3D: 21th May 23:59(T-43): OV 19:00: 0 / 454 -> 0% 21th May 23:59(T-43): OV 22:30 0 / 454 -> 0% 21th May 23:59(T-43): 19:30: 1 / 505 -> 0.2% 21th May 23:59(T-43): 23:00 0 / 505 -> 0% Total: 1 / 1918 -> 0.05% 22ndMay 23:59(T-42): OV 19:00: 0 / 454 -> 0% 22ndMay 23:59(T-42): OV 22:30 0 / 454 -> 0% 22ndMay 23:59(T-42): 19:30: 4 / 505 -> 0.8% 22ndMay 23:59(T-42): 23:00 0 / 505 -> 0% Total: 4 / 1918 -> 0.2% (+3) 23rdMay 23:59(T-41): OV 19:00: 0 / 454 -> 0% 23rdMay 23:59(T-41): OV 22:30 0 / 454 -> 0% 23rdMay 23:59(T-41): 19:30: 4 / 505 -> 0.8% 23rdMay 23:59(T-41): 23:00 0 / 505 -> 0% Total: 4 / 1918 -> 0.2% (+0) 24thMay 23:59(T-40): OV 19:00: 0 / 454 -> 0% 24thMay 23:59(T-40): OV 22:30 0 / 454 -> 0% 24thMay 23:59(T-40): 19:30: 4 / 505 -> 0.8% 24thMay 23:59(T-40): 23:00 0 / 505 -> 0% Total: 4 / 1918 -> 0.2% (+0) 25thMay 23:59(T-39): OV 19:00: 0 / 454 -> 0% 25thMay 23:59(T-39): OV 22:30 0 / 454 -> 0% 25thMay 23:59(T-39): 19:30: 10 / 505 -> 1.9% 25thMay 23:59(T-39): 23:00 0 / 505 -> 0% Total: 10 / 1918 -> 0.5% (+6) 27thMay 23:59(T-37): OV 19:00: 11 / 454 ->2.4% 27thMay 23:59(T-37): OV 22:30 0 / 454 -> 0% 27thMay 23:59(T-37): 19:30: 12 / 505 -> 2.4% 27thMay 23:59(T-37): 23:00 0 / 505 -> 0% Total: 23 / 1918 -> 1.2% (+13) CineStar Metropolis Frankfurt Preview on Wednesday 3rdJuly 3D: 23rdMay 23:59(T-41): OV 20:00: 0 / 624 -> 0% 23rdMay 23:59(T-41): 20:00 0 / 642 -> 0% Total: 0 / 1266 -> 0% 24thMay 23:59(T-40): OV 20:00: 4 / 624 -> 0.6% (+4) 24thMay 23:59(T-40): 20:00 4 / 642 -> 0.6% (+4) Total: 8 / 1266 -> 0.6% (+8) 25thMay 23:59(T-39): OV 20:00: 4 / 624 -> 0.6% (+0) 25thMay 23:59(T-39): 20:00 7 / 642 -> 1.1% (+3) Total: 11 / 1266 -> 0.9% (+3) 27thMay 23:59(T-37): OV 20:00: 4 / 624 -> 0.6% (+0) 27thMay 23:59(T-37): 20:00 9 / 642 -> 1.4% (+2) Total: 13 / 1266 -> 1% (+2) 1 Edited May 27, 2019 by Taruseth 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted May 28, 2019 Author Share Posted May 28, 2019 (edited) Germany's Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Aladdin 288.588 667 433 311.886 2.978.515 - 1 2 John Wick 3 285.190 547 521 330.256 3.164.441 - 1 3 Pokémon Detective Pikachu 140.844 625 225 974.321 8.514.653 -45 3 4 Avengers - Endgame 106.254 559 190 4.763.193 53.804.607 -50 5 5 The Hustle 71.842 529 136 466.316 3.851.763 -38 3 6 Der Fall Collini 28.539 532 54 650.097 5.695.827 -38 6 7 Qu'est-ce qu'on a encore fait au Bon Dieu ? 19.134 407 47 1.187.386 9.721.630 -43 8 8 The Queen's Corgi 16.288 494 33 182.560 1.239.988 -30 4 9 Wonder Park 10.948 471 23 469.016 3.283.462 -31 7 10 After 9.931 281 35 997.590 8.18.056 -46 7 11 Edie 8.773 99 89 15.645 115.163 - 1 12 At Eternity's Gate 8.758 262 33 202.452 1.638.766 -36 6 13 Greta 8.726 169 52 48.206 356.047 -46 2 14 All My Loving 8.593 65 132 12.549 100.708 - 1 15 The Silence 7.368 278 27 33.287 275.685 -63 2 16 Nur eine Frau 5.796 110 53 38.966 319.608 -31 3 17 Photo de Famille 5.113 95 54 24.201 179.645 -40 2 18 Stan & Ollie 4.988 138 36 47.223 356.358 -41 3 19 Dumbo 4.578 289 16 695.578 5.321.948 -53 9 20 Pet Sematary 4.123 181 23 516.226 4.469.210 -53 8 Good for both openers; Aladdin will probably about double Dumbo's total in the end and John Wick 3 opened much higher than the predecessors and has a chance at 1mil total, not bad for a hard actioner. Overall a pretty poor weekend though, if you need less than 10k admissions for the Top10 the market is in trouble. Next weekend: The big openers will be Rocketman and Godzilla2; expect similar numbers to this week's openers (hopefully a bit higher, >300k would be nice). Also opening: Missing Link, no big prospects here. Edited May 28, 2019 by IndustriousAngel 4 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 1 hour ago, IndustriousAngel said: Overall a pretty poor weekend though, if you need less than 10k admissions for the Top10 the market is in trouble. The good thing is that last years WE was even worse, we're up from last year around 6% I think and that gap should further grow 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
miketheavenger Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 4 hours ago, Aristis said: The good thing is that last years WE was even worse, we're up from last year around 6% I think and that gap should further grow That's not saying much considering how atrocious last year was. But yes, it's at least a little positive sign. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 1 hour ago, miketheavenger said: That's not saying much considering how atrocious last year was. But yes, it's at least a little positive sign. Well, at least German BO is not in free fall... I try to be happy about every silver lining. Much more isn't possible with German BO 😕 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 7 hours ago, IndustriousAngel said: Next weekend: The big openers will be Rocketman and Godzilla2; expect similar numbers to this week's openers (hopefully a bit higher, >300k would be nice). Also opening: Missing Link, no big prospects here. 8 On the one hand, they have Christi Himmelfahrt on Thursday, on the other hand, I especially doubt that Rocketman can get that high it at least yesterday looked somewhat muted, maybe that changes and it has good walk-ups, but I wouldn't bet on both movies opening over 300k. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted May 28, 2019 Author Share Posted May 28, 2019 5 hours ago, Taruseth said: On the one hand, they have Christi Himmelfahrt on Thursday, on the other hand, I especially doubt that Rocketman can get that high it at least yesterday looked somewhat muted, maybe that changes and it has good walk-ups, but I wouldn't bet on both movies opening over 300k. At my theater, Rocketman has about 3x the presales of Godzilla2 ... truth be told, neither of them looks like >300k Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Presales update: Godzilla: Spoiler Tuesday 28thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-1) Cinestar Bremen Wednesday – Preview: 3D 20:15: 62 / 425 -> 14.6% (+0) Thursday: 3D 14:10: 9 / 280 3D 16:20: 15 / 425 3D 20:00: 23 / 322 3D 22:30: 1 / 280 Total: 48 / 1307 -> 3.7% (+26) Friday: 3D 14:10: 0 / 280 3D 16:20: 7 / 425 3D 20:00: 29 / 322 3D 22:30: 0 / 280 Total: 36 / 1307 -> 2.8% (+24) Saturday: 3D 14:10: 4 / 280 3D 16:20: 4 / 425 3D 20:00: 11 / 322 3D 22:30: 0 / 280 Total: 19 / 1307 -> 1.5% (+13) Sunday: 3D 14:10: 2 / 280 3D 16:20: 4 / 425 3D 20:10: 0 / 322 Total: 6 / 1027 -> 0.6% (+4) Weekend without Previews: 109 / 4948 -> 2.2% (+67) Weekend with Previews: 171 / 5373 -> 3.2% (+67) Tuesday 28thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-1) CinemaxX Bremen Wednesday – Preview: 3D 20:15: 72 / 348 -> 20.7% (+27) Thursday: 2D 14:00: 0 / 228 OV 2D 22:30: 2 / 92 3D 16:45: 1 / 505 3D 20:00: 12 / 505 3D 23:15: 0 / 505 Total: 15 / 1835 -> 0.8% (+9) Friday: 2D 14:00: 2 / 228 OV 2D 19:30: 7 / 260 3D 16:45: 8 / 505 3D 20:00: 13 / 505 3D 22:45: 0 / 260 Total: 30 / 1758 -> 1.7% (+12) Saturday: 2D 14:00: 0 / 228 3D 16:45: 0 / 505 3D 20:00: 0 / 505 3D 23:15: 0 / 505 Total: 0 / 1743 -> 0% (+0) Sunday: 2D 14:00: 2 / 228 OV 2D 22:30: 0 / 92 3D 16:45: 1 / 505 3D 20:00: 0 / 505 3D 23:15: 0 / 505 Total: 3 / 1835 -> 0.16% (+0) Total without Preview: 48 / 7171 -> 0.7% (+21) Total with Preview: 120 / 7519 -> 1.6% (+48) Tuesday 28thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-1) Cinestar Metropolis Frankfurt Wednesday – Previews: 3D 20:15: 53 / 624 -> 8.5% (+14) Thursday: OV 3D 17:05: 10 / 273 OV 3D 20:10: 8 / 273 OV 3D 23:15: 0 / 273 3D 14:00: 0 / 273 3D 16:45: 15 / 624 3D 19:55: 2 / 624 3D 23:05: 0 / 624 Total: 35 / 2964 -> 1.2% (+25) Friday: OV 3D 17:05: 12 / 273 OV 3D 20:10: 5 / 273 OV 3D 23:15: 0 / 273 3D 14:00: 2 / 273 3D 16:45: 0 / 624 3D 19:55: 0 / 624 3D 23:05: 0 / 624 Total: 19 / 2964 -> 0.64% (+12) Saturday: OV 3D 17:05: 0 / 273 OV 3D 20:10: 6 / 273 OV 3D 23:15: 0 / 273 3D 14:00: 2 / 273 3D 16:45: 1 / 624 3D 19:55: 0 / 624 3D 23:05: 0 / 624 Total: 9 / 2964 -> 0.3% (+0) Sunday: OV 3D 17:05: 1 / 273 OV 3D 20:10: 2 / 273 OV 3D 23:15: 0 / 273 3D 14:00: 0 / 273 3D 16:45: 9 / 624 3D 19:55: 0 / 624 3D 23:05: 0 / 624 Total: 12 / 2964 -> 0.4% (+11) Weekend without Previews: 75 / 11856 -> 0.6% (+48) Weekend with Previews: 128 / 12480 -> 1% (+62) 1 day out: Previews: 62 + 72 + 53 = 187 Thursday: 48 + 15 + 35 = 98 Friday: 36 + 30+ 19 = 85 Saturday: 19 + 0 + 9 = 28 Sunday: 6 + 3 + 12 = 21 Total wo Previews: 109 + 48 +75 = 232 Total w Previews: 171 + 120 + 128 = 419 John Wick had double the number without Previews, that would point towards a 150k OWend or so, which should be the closest comparison. Aladdin was barely ahead (by less than 2%), that would mean an opening around 285k. In Cinestar Bremen Pika was around 50% higher, that would point towards an OWend of around 270k. In general, I would rather go with the later as Aladdin is pointing towards that region too but it seems to be a pretty different genre and I have no idea how walk-up friendly Monster movies are in Germany. So right now I’d say around 200k, not as bad as John Wick suggest but also not as good as Aladdin or Pika suggest (could go all the way up to 300k or open below 180k) Rocketman: Spoiler Tuesday 28thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-1) Cinestar Bremen Wednesday – Preview: 2D 19:30: 39 / 322 -> 12.1% (+4) Thursday: 2D 11:30: 3 / 572 2D 14:20: 0 / 572 2D 17:20: 2 / 572 2D 20:20: 4 / 572 2D 23:00: 0 / 296 Total: 9 / 2584 -> 0.35% (+5) Friday: 2D 11:30: 0 / 572 2D 14:20: 0 / 572 2D 17:20: 0 / 572 2D 20:20: 2 / 572 2D 23:00: 0 / 296 Total: 2 / 2584 -> 0.08% (+0) Saturday: 2D 11:30: 0 / 572 2D 14:20: 4 / 572 2D 17:20: 2 / 572 2D 20:20: 8 / 572 2D 23:00: 0 / 296 Total: 14 / 2584 -> 0.54% (+4) Sunday: OV 2D 20:20: 0 / 166 (NEW) 2D 11:30: 0 / 572 2D 14:20: 0 / 572 2D 17:20: 4 / 572 2D 20:20: 0 / 572 Total: 4 / 2454 -> 0.16% (+4) Total without Preview: 29 / 10206 -> 0.28% (+13) Total with Preview: 68 / 10528 -> 0.5% (+17) Tuesday 28thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-1) CinemaxX Bremen Wednesday – Preview: 2D 20:00: 54 / 348 -> 15.5% (+7) Thursday: 2D 14:00: 0 / 135 2D 16:30: 0 / 288 2D 19:45: 4 / 288 2D 22:45: 0 / 288 OV 2D 19:30: 4 / 260 Total: 8 / 1259 -> 0% Friday: 2D 14:00: 0 / 135 2D 16:30: 0 / 288 2D 19:45: 0 / 288 2D 22:45: 0 / 288 OV 2D 22:30: 0 / 92 Total: 0 / 1091 -> 0 Saturday: 2D 14:00: 0 / 135 2D 16:30: 0 / 288 2D 19:45: 0 / 288 2D 22:45: 0 / 288 OV 2D 22:30: 0 / 92 Total: 0 / 1091 -> 0% Sunday: 2D 14:00: 0 / 135 2D 16:30: 0 / 288 2D 19:45: 0 / 288 2D 22:45: 0 / 288 OV 2D 19:30: 8 / 260 Total: 8 / 1259 -> 0% Total without Preview: 16 / 4700 -> 0.34% (+16) Total with Preview: 70 / 5048 -> 1.4% (+23) Tuesday 28thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-1) Cinestar Metropolis Frankfurt Wednesday – Previews: 3D 20:15: 35 / 346 -> 10.1% (+5) Thursday: 2D 11:15: 2 / 351 2D 14:15: 0 / 351 2D 17:00: 5 / 344 2D 20:00: 17 / 344 2D 23:15: 0 / 351 OV 2D 14:00: 4 / 202 OV 2D 17:15: 4 / 351 OV 2D 20:15: 5 / 642 Total: 37 / 2936 -> 1.3% (+26) Friday: 2D 14:15: 0 / 351 2D 17:00: 0 / 344 2D 20:00: 6 / 344 2D 23:15: 0 / 351 OV 2D 14:00: 0 / 202 OV 2D 17:15: 0 / 351 OV 2D 20:15: 10 / 642 Total: 16 / 2585 -> 0-6% (+12) Saturday: 2D 11:15: 0 / 351 2D 14:15: 0 / 351 2D 17:00: 0 / 344 2D 20:00: 4 / 344 2D 23:15: 0 / 351 OV 2D 14:00: 4 / 202 OV 2D 17:15: 0 / 351 OV 2D 20:15: 6 / 642 Total: 14 / 2936 -> 0.5% (+2) Sunday: 2D 11:15: 2 / 351 2D 14:15: 0 / 351 2D 17:00: 1 / 344 2D 20:00: 2 / 344 2D 23:15: 0 / 351 OV 2D 14:00: 0 / 202 OV 2D 17:15: 1 / 351 OV 2D 20:15: 0 / 642 Total: 6 / 2936 -> 0.2% (+1) Total without Previews: 73 / 11393 -> 0.6% (+41) Total with Previews: 108 / 11739 -> 0.9% (+46) 1 day out: Previews: 39 + 54+ 35 = 128 Thursday: 9 + 8 + 37 = 4 Friday: 2 + 0 + 16 = 18 Saturday: 14 + 0 + 14 = 28 Sunday: 4 + 8 + 6 = 18 Total wo Previews: 29 + 16 +73 = 118 Total w Previews: 68 + 70 + 108 = 246 This is pretty much exactly half of Aladdin (okay that had only one day of presales, while this had 2). That would mean an opening around 145-150k John Wick would point towards an opening below 100k and Pikachu in roughly the same area as Aladdin. So I’d say this opens to about 180-200k without Previews. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 4 minutes ago, IndustriousAngel said: At my theater, Rocketman has about 3x the presales of Godzilla2 ... truth be told, neither of them looks like >300k The ones I looked at Godzilla is about 2x of Rocketman. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Godzilla and Rocketman look both very soft at my theater, but they also dont get a lot of screens. The holdovers though look also not very good. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...