el sid Posted September 19, 2019 Share Posted September 19, 2019 (edited) Rough estimates for Thursday: Downtown Abbey 35k admissions Rambo 26k (these estimates worked very well for AhF and that's why I try it) It2 21k Ad Astra 16k That would be quite good starts given the expectations but first of all the weather is said to be mostly good over the weekend (but it was already sunny here today) and the Oktoberfest starts on Saturday. So the normal multipliers might not work. At least after this weekend it's predicted to become worse weatherwise and it's already pretty cold in the evenings. Edited September 19, 2019 by el sid 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted September 20, 2019 Share Posted September 20, 2019 (edited) Thursday numbers #1 Downton Abby 24k / €220k #2 Rambo 24k / €220k #3 IT2 23k / €230k (-47%) #4 Ad Astra 15k / €125k #5 Nordwind 10k / €85k (-9%) Awesome drop! #6 It's not reported but I suppose thats OUATIH. Last week it had 15k. #7 Systemsprenger 6,5k / €50k #8 Isn't reported either but it should be TLK which had 9k last week. Therefore around 6,25k (-30%) #9 Angry Birds 6k / €45k Edited September 20, 2019 by Aristis 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted September 20, 2019 Share Posted September 20, 2019 1st Trend IT2 175k (-49%) 1,375M Downton 140k Rambo 125k Angry Birds 100k Ad Astra 75k Systemsprenger 45k 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted September 20, 2019 Author Share Posted September 20, 2019 ugh, as expected poor numbers except maybe Downton Abbey (which looked a little frontloaded imho) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George Parr Posted September 21, 2019 Share Posted September 21, 2019 2nd trend is up, looks a bit worse than the first one, apart from Angry Birds 2: #1 It 2 175k #2 Downton Abbey 120k #3 Rambo 110k #4 Angry Birds 2 110k #5 Ad Astra 75k #6 Gut gegen Nordwind 55k #7 Once upon a Time... 55k #8 TLK 50k #9 Systemsprenger 40k #10 Good Boys 35k 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted September 22, 2019 Author Share Posted September 22, 2019 final weekend trend a bit better for nearly all releases except Downton (which seems really frontloaded by now) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted September 23, 2019 Share Posted September 23, 2019 (edited) Monday numbers IT2 190k (-44%) 1,39M Downton Abby 120k Angry Birds 120k The first one had 330k OW (1,445M total) so this one is down 64%... Rambo 110k Ad Astra 85k OUATIH 57,5 (-38%) 1,63M Nordwind 55k (-13%/-47% i.P.) 195k TLK 55k (-29%) 5,22M Systemsprenger 40k Edited September 23, 2019 by Aristis 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted September 24, 2019 Author Share Posted September 24, 2019 Germany's Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 It 2 189.716 690 275 1.390.091 14.100.187 -44 3 2 Downton Abbey 119.075 418 285 119.265 1.131.532 - 1 3 Rambo - Last Blood 110.912 408 272 110.912 1.024.741 - 1 4 Angry Birds 2 98.310 597 165 119.244 845.654 - 1 5 Ad Astra 85.895 455 189 85.895 811.789 - 1 6 Once Upon a Time in Hollywood 58.377 546 107 1.628.686 16.084.802 -37 6 7 Gut gegen Nordwind 53.956 562 96 194.783 1.656.079 -15 2 8 The Lion King 53.691 586 92 5.219.630 48.272.398 -30 10 9 Good Boys 36.561 380 96 505.807 4.007.339 -40 5 10 Systemsprenger 33.029 93 355 43.677 384.712 - 1 11 Toy Story 4 29.980 538 56 746.053 5.596.735 -38 6 12 Angel Has Fallen 27.083 354 77 312.097 2.772.200 -45 4 13 Fast & Furious - Hobbs & Shaw 17.794 267 67 1.670.062 15.466.374 -49 8 14 Leberkäsjunkie 17.734 299 59 1.160.383 9.300.431 -25 8 15 Mein Lotta-Leben - Alles Bingo mit Flamingo 15.436 435 35 130.824 835.490 -24 4 16 Playmobil 13.657 517 26 185.849 1.231.271 -41 4 17 Pets 2 12.039 320 38 2.405.369 18.263.267 -25 13 18 Und der Zukunft zugewandt 7.948 120 66 62.835 494.486 -39 3 19 Und wer nimmt den Hund? 5.587 191 29 176.590 1.429.083 -35 7 20 Die drei !!! 4.765 252 19 373.927 2.423.885 -20 9 Baaad weekend - a LOT of wide openers but none was impressive; the only positive surprise was domestic drama (and academy awards nominee) Systemsprenger which had the highest PTA and made it into the Top10 despite playing in less than 100 venues; nice result but with its serious theme I'm not sure if an expansion will help it much through the next weeks. Next weekend: Weather is finally turning more harvest-like again which should help family stuff. Accordingly, the favourite for #1 is Shaun the Sheep 2; 200k should be doable and when it turns rainy even more. And it gets competition in Abominable which should also top 100k on OW. 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dada Posted September 26, 2019 Share Posted September 26, 2019 Germany Weekend 38 2019.9.20-9.22 Euro Rank Title WKBO WKAD Scr TOBO TOAD 1 IT Chapter Two €1,958,629 189,716 690 €14,100,187 1,390,091 2 Downton Abbey €1,128,207 119,075 418 €1,131,532 119,265 3 Rambo: Last Blood €1,024,741 110,912 408 €1,024,741 110,912 4 Ad Astra €811,789 85,895 455 €811,789 85,895 5 Angry Birds 2 €701,220 98,310 597 €845,654 119,244 6 Once Upon A Time In Hollywood €590,162 58,377 546 €16,084,802 1,628,686 7 Good Against North Wind €485,257 53,956 562 €1,656,079 194,783 8 The Lion King €441,945 53,691 586 €48,272,398 5,219,630 9 Good Boys €300,413 36,561 380 €4,007,339 505,807 10 System Crasher €275,014 33,029 93 €384,712 43,677 Austria Weekend 38 2019.9.20-9.22 Euro Rank Title WKBO WKAD Scr TOBO TOAD 1 IT Chapter Two €197,348 17,397 77 €1,896,470 170,780 2 Rambo: Last Blood €193,110 18,613 64 €239,630 23,329 3 Ad Astra €124,930 11,236 62 €143,519 13,024 4 Angry Birds 2 €123,841 13,745 75 €143,669 15,953 5 Downton Abbey €85,961 8,928 58 €115,181 12,264 6 Good Against North Wind €82,961 8,947 85 €287,866 32,045 7 Once Upon a Time in Hollywood €49,126 4,622 59 €2,502,646 239,917 8 Angel Has Fallen €46,232 4,567 55 €639,526 67,678 9 The Lion King €41,776 4,326 77 €8,233,198 808,841 10 Good Boys €36,002 3,854 47 €690,142 78,219 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted September 26, 2019 Author Share Posted September 26, 2019 Downton seems to be much more popular in Germany than in Austria ... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted September 27, 2019 Share Posted September 27, 2019 (edited) Thursday numbers: Nothing really spectacular... #1 Downton Abby 16k (-33%) €145k/$158k #2 IT2 14k (-39%) €140k/$153k #3 Rambo 13,5k (-44%) €120k/$131k #4 Ad Astra 9,5k (-37%) €85k/$93k #5 Nordwind 8k (-20%) €70k/$76k #6/#7 Systemsprenger 7,5k (+15%!) That's pretty great for a movie that opened bigger than expected last weel already. #6/#7 The other one is probably OUATIH? #8 Shaun 7k (-40% from its predecessor) Edited September 27, 2019 by Aristis 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted September 27, 2019 Share Posted September 27, 2019 (edited) 1st Trend: Shaun 150k IT2 120k (-37%) 1,56M Downton Abby 100k (-16%) 280k Rambo 95k (-14%) 250k Angry Birds 90k (-8%/-24% i.P.) 225k Abominable 85k Ad Astra 75k (-13%) 195k Systemsprenger 50k (+52%/+14%) 130k Hope the next Trend may improve on that - it's raining here all day... Really great for the german Oscar hope! Edited September 27, 2019 by Aristis 4 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted September 27, 2019 Author Share Posted September 27, 2019 that's some poor numbers considering the weather ... didn't think Shaun would come in that low Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted September 29, 2019 Share Posted September 29, 2019 (edited) 3rd Trend: IT2 130k (-32%) Shaun 130k Angry Birds 2 100k (+2%/-16%) Downton Abby 100k (-16%) Rambo 80k (-28%) Abominable 75k Ad Astra 70k (-19%) OUATIH 50k (-14%) Nordwind 47,5k (-12%) TLK 47,5k (-12%) Systemsprenger 45k (+36%/+2%) With the drop of AB2 it seems it isn't the improved weather that hurts the Shaun the Sheep movie. The first one opened to 317k. This would be nearly 60% down... Edited September 29, 2019 by Aristis 1 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted September 30, 2019 Share Posted September 30, 2019 (edited) Weekend estimates (Monday morning): It 2: 130k (31.5%) (total 1570k, 4th week at #1*) Shaun: 127.5k-130k (147.5k incl. Previews) Downton Abbey: 105k (-11.8%) Angry Birds 2: 102.5k (+4.3% / -14.0%) Rambo: 85k (-23.4%) Paw Patrol: 85k Abominable: 82.5k Ad Astra: 67.5k (-21.4%) TLK: 52.5k (-2.2%)** Nordwind: 50k (-6.9%) OUaTiH: 50k (-14.4%) Systemsprenger: 45k (+36.4% / +3.0%) * It 2 is the 4th film this year after How To Train Your Dragon 3 that had 4 week, Aladdin which had 5 weeks and TLK which had 4 weeks ** So TLK, for this year, holds best 2nd weekend and then 3-5th week and weekend and 7-11th week and weekend (best 11th week is 53.2k right now after the weekend TLK has about 1k missing) and best 12th week right now is 25.3k (Aladdin) so TLK should get that too. 11 movies above 50k is kinda good. This week is German Unity Day on a Thursday (-> helps the weekend) and with that Edited September 30, 2019 by Taruseth 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted October 1, 2019 Author Share Posted October 1, 2019 Germany's Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 It 2 132.724 630 211 1.570.457 15.910.216 -30 4 2 Shaun the Sheep 2 131.289 609 216 147.154 1.027.489 - 1 3 Downton Abbey 106.909 487 220 287.095 2.644.457 -10 2 4 Angry Birds 2 103.282 618 167 238.199 1.706.798 +5 2 5 Paw Patrol 84.341 403 209 84.341 421.247 - 1 6 Rambo - Last Blood 84.174 426 198 237.653 2.143.663 -24 2 7 Abominable 83.537 514 163 84.242 641.718 - 1 8 Ad Astra 72.693 233 312 194.441 1.799.108 -15 2 9 The Lion King 53.452 497 108 5.288.758 48.854.963 -0 11 10 Once Upon a Time in Hollywood 51.101 455 112 1.704.986 16.820.660 -12 7 11 Gut gegen Nordwind 50.711 601 84 274.753 2.334.873 -6 3 12 Systemsprenger 47.450 173 274 123.106 986.786 +44 2 13 Nurejew - The White Crow 28.672 121 237 31.751 271.246 - 1 14 Toy Story 4 27.514 437 63 779.309 5.828.304 -8 7 15 Good Boys 27.011 310 87 540.494 4.278.418 -26 6 16 Ready or Not 26.863 233 115 42.631 326.513 - 1 17 Angel Has Fallen 20.271 244 83 340.139 3.019.869 -25 5 18 Midsommar 18.693 225 83 32.313 256.609 - 1 19 Leberkäsjunkie 15.716 227 69 1.185.621 9.502.625 -11 9 20 Mein Lotta-Leben - Alles Bingo mit Flamingo 15.598 366 43 148.405 945.843 +1 5 Terrible weekend … drops were ok but the openers, oh my. Next weekend: Gemini Man (should become #1 but everything above 200k would be a surprise), and domestiv comedy Eine ganz heiße Nummer 2 which might also reach >100k OW even if it's only playing in the south. 1 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted October 4, 2019 Author Share Posted October 4, 2019 first weekend estimates from insidekino.de: #1: Gemini - 260k admissions (very nice!) #2: Shaun2 - 225k (+70%) #3: Angry2 - 175k (+70%) didn't expect the bad weather to have so much impact - together with the Thu holiday, that's a really strong weekend all around! 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted October 4, 2019 Share Posted October 4, 2019 39 minutes ago, IndustriousAngel said: first weekend estimates from insidekino.de: #1: Gemini - 260k admissions (very nice!) #2: Shaun2 - 225k (+70%) #3: Angry2 - 175k (+70%) didn't expect the bad weather to have so much impact - together with the Thu holiday, that's a really strong weekend all around! Abominable 150k (+79%), IT2 120k (-10%), Downton Abby 120k (+12%) and maybe five more movies above 50k, among them probably TLK... I'd really like to have a big movie again - that is much more fun to follow. This WE seems great though. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted October 4, 2019 Share Posted October 4, 2019 Thursday numbers: #1 Gemini Man 66k #2 Shaun 58k #3 AB2 45k #4 IT2 33k #5 Downton Abby 32k #8 Eine ganz heiße Nummer 2 21k #11 Deutschstunde 15k This seems awesome... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted October 5, 2019 Share Posted October 5, 2019 (edited) 2nd Trend: Gemini Man 225k Shaun 210k (+60%/+43%) AB2 165k (+60%) Abominable 135k (+61%) IT2 120k (-10%) Downton Abby 100k (-7%) TLK 85k (+60%) Eine ganz heiße... 75k Rambo 65k (-23%) Ad Astra 55k (-25%) Systemsprenger 55k (+17%) OUATIH 50k (-2%) Deutschstune 50k Edited October 5, 2019 by Aristis 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...