altglascontainer Posted June 10, 2022 Share Posted June 10, 2022 (edited) 12 hours ago, Taruseth said: Lightyear presales haven't started yet - wanted to set up everything, so I only have to count, but nothing. Also weather was good today and is predicted to be great tomorrow and on Sunday. I am not even completely sure anymore they can reach the trend. And Saturday being 175k is pretty much impossible (kinda though the weather would only be good today and tomorrow). Don't know if I will count Elvis, next after that will probably be Thor and after that no idea - will definitely, if possible try to count Avatar 2. Yeah lightyear is really weird. This movie is coming Out next week, but Most chains Like Cineplex, Cinestar or Traumpalast dont have the movie scheduled with even one showing next Week. Cinemaxx is the only Chain with showings. Im doing massive Talent, black Phone, Elvis and lightyear, Just to have some comps for smaller movies or in case of black Phone a Horror Flick. Edited June 11, 2022 by altglascontainer Spelling 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
altglascontainer Posted June 11, 2022 Share Posted June 11, 2022 (edited) 2nd Trend: JWD (525 T) TGM (225 T) DS2 (45 T) Mia and Me (25 T) Edited June 11, 2022 by altglascontainer 2 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted June 11, 2022 Share Posted June 11, 2022 20 minutes ago, altglascontainer said: 2nd Trend: JWD (525 T) TGM (225 T) DS2 (45 T) Mia and Me (25 T) feared the trend would go down. Not looking good overall. the cinemas really need some strong movies and a gigantic Avatar. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted June 11, 2022 Share Posted June 11, 2022 Weather is just too good. This is probably one of the best weekends of the year weather-wise so far. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted June 11, 2022 Author Share Posted June 11, 2022 1 hour ago, Brainbug the Dinosaur said: Weather is just too good. This is probably one of the best weekends of the year weather-wise so far. not only that - we've had about two weeks of absolutlely shitty weather, so now that the sun's coming out again, everybody is spending their time outdoors if possible! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
altglascontainer Posted June 12, 2022 Share Posted June 12, 2022 3rd Trend: JWD (560 T) TGM (225 T) DS2 (45 T) 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted June 12, 2022 Share Posted June 12, 2022 21 minutes ago, altglascontainer said: 3rd Trend: JWD (560 T) TGM (225 T) DS2 (45 T) Just 3 Movies above 25k - and if the current forecast for next weekend turns out true - I think JWD will drop more than 50 % and Lightyear might open to like 100k. 35 °C among parts of western and southern Germany; way too hot - not that weather forecast are reliable more than 3 days out - but it gives a general direction (that I don't like...). If FB3 gets a lot of open air showings 3m might still be possible, if not, I think we have to bury the 3m - this and next weekend kill any chance outside of those. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted June 12, 2022 Share Posted June 12, 2022 (edited) It's raining... What? Only in Schleswig-Holstein though (and probably parts of Northern Lower Saxony and Hamburg) - won't help the trends. I still have some hope, that Sunday won't be as bad as predicted, so it gets to 475k+100k. And it really doesn't look all that bad, so I could definitely see a slight increase with tomorrows numbers. Edited June 12, 2022 by Taruseth 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted June 12, 2022 Share Posted June 12, 2022 (edited) Presales for Lightyear haven't started yet at the Cinestar cinemas. They started a couple days ago at the cinemaxx cinemas: CX Bremen: 4 tickets sold for the complete OWend (12 showings) That is absolutely awful - even for a TS movie. Will do a count once CS has posted their showtimes - but I wouldn't put much into it. Elvis opening a week later, at sold 4 tickets for the preview showing (only show that is already up). It doesn't look that awful in Hamburg, but as I have zero comps for Hamburg that means nothing. None the less, I think that spells trouble for Lightyear (together with the weather, I am a bit more confident in it opening to just 100k) - Toy Story 4 did 238k (if I remember correctly). This will surely come in way below that. Total probably being below 500k. So in Germany the next weekends look pretty weak - TG2 is preforming weaker here than in the US, UK etc, JW is performing weaker, Lightyear will most likely be smaller, don't know about Elvis, Minions might be the next big movie (still hoping that at least will be big). At the UCI cinemas there are four hours left until you can buy tickets to Thor, but nothing about when you can do it for Lightyear. But we shouldn't worry "Die Geschichte der Menschheit - leicht gekürzt" doesn't have presales yet either and that is also starting on Thursday. Edited June 12, 2022 by Taruseth Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted June 12, 2022 Share Posted June 12, 2022 6 hours ago, Taruseth said: It's raining... What? Only in Schleswig-Holstein though (and probably parts of Northern Lower Saxony and Hamburg) - won't help the trends. I still have some hope, that Sunday won't be as bad as predicted, so it gets to 475k+100k. And it really doesn't look all that bad, so I could definitely see a slight increase with tomorrows numbers. At least 225k 3rd weekend for TGM was in line with your earlier projection which means 2.5m finish total still on track. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 Monday trend by insidekino: JWD: 492.5k+100k TGM: 240k (total 1620k DSMOM 47.5k (Total 2097.5k) Belle 30k 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted June 13, 2022 Author Share Posted June 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, Taruseth said: Monday trend by insidekino: JWD: 492.5k+100k TGM: 240k (total 1620k DSMOM 47.5k (Total 2097.5k) Belle 30k that's much better than early estimates, nice to see! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 On 6/9/2022 at 12:47 AM, Taruseth said: T-0 for the weekend - Counted Wednesday 8th June 2022 23:59 TFSS at the 3 old ones (CS Bremen, CX Bremen and CS Frankfurt): Sellouts Shows Seats Sold Total Seats % Sold Total 135 1461 47343 3,09 Increased by 41,3 % today (TG:M was around 36 %). John Wick 3 => 431k Godzilla => 624k Dark Phoenix => 544k Spider-Man FFH => 308k TLK => 489k TG:M => 582k On the one hand I'd got with TG:M as the others are pre pandemic, but I feel like Sunday won't be pretty (weather is predicted to be really good), so I am going with 545k for the true weekend (full well knowing that its optimistic and TLk inching down suggest an opening around 475k is more likely). (JWFK opened with 574.7k). The realistic one was quite close and I should definitely reign in my optimism 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 Nearly 600k 5-Day opening is solid. I hoped for more, but its not that bad. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 But next weekend will probably a total massacre for all movies. Weather forecast has 36 - 38 degress Celsius over 3 days. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 1 hour ago, Brainbug the Dinosaur said: But next weekend will probably a total massacre for all movies. Weather forecast has 36 - 38 degress Celsius over 3 days. I really don't understand why weather like that wouldn't let people flock to the cinemas. What else could you do if it's that hot? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, Aristis said: I really don't understand why weather like that wouldn't let people flock to the cinemas. What else could you do if it's that hot? I would think so as well, but maybe when its so hot people just like to stay at home and not do anything? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted June 13, 2022 Share Posted June 13, 2022 T-2 - Counted Monday 13th June 2022 22:58 TFSS at the 3 old ones (CS Bremen, CX Bremen and CS Frankfurt): Sellouts Shows Seats Sold Total Seats % Sold Total 70 20 27695 0,07 No comps - as most of them are utterly useless - only will post comps Wednesday evening. Won't do the German movie this evening, might try to get a final count of it on Wednesday. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
altglascontainer Posted June 14, 2022 Share Posted June 14, 2022 Massive Talent (June 15th) Ba-Wü Preview Seat Report T-1 Sellouts Shows Seats Sold Total Seats % Sold Total 0 29 149 4884 3,05% Total Seats Sold Last Day: 23 No Comp Lightyear (June 16th) Ba-Wü OD Seat Report T-2 Sellouts Shows Seats Sold Total Seats % Sold Total 0 122 186 23672 0,79% Total Seats Sold Last Day: 146 No Comp Black Phone (June 22nd) Ba-Wü Preview Seat Report T-8 Sellouts Shows Seats Sold Total Seats % Sold Total 0 11 13 2398 0,54% Total Seats Sold Last Day: -4 No Comp Elvis (June 22nd) Ba-Wü Preview Seat Report T-8 Sellouts Shows Seats Sold Total Seats % Sold Total 0 34 85 7628 1,11% Total Seats Sold Last Day: 25 No Comp Thor Love & Thunder (July 6th) Ba-Wü Preview Seat Report T-22 Sellouts Shows Seats Sold Total Seats % Sold Total 0 37 293 9327 3,14% Total Seats Sold Last Day: 244 Comp 0.094x of DS2 T-22 (0.16M€/15.000 Adm. OD) 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted June 14, 2022 Author Share Posted June 14, 2022 Germany's Top14 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Jurassic World 3 492.536 641 768 593.171 6.950.152 - 1 2 Top Gun 2 240.037 722 332 1.620.506 16.833.949 -41 3 3 Doctor Strange 2 47.240 424 111 2.097.815 22.318.583 -59 6 4 Ryu to Sobakasu no Hime 28.417 319 89 28.534 354.122 - 1 5 Mia and Me 22.189 574 39 198.454 1.450.405 -46 3 6 Fantastic Beasts 3 21.299 405 53 2.881.334 29.057.526 -54 10 7 Paw Patrol: Jet to the Rescue 19.887 528 38 95.640 508.924 -56 2 8 Immenhof 19.051 608 31 177.951 1.326.906 -47 3 9 Dog 17.403 420 41 230.923 2.010.336 -57 4 10 The Lost City 12.486 293 43 611.874 5.514.175 -60 8 11 The Bad Boys 12.362 325 38 820.983 6.052.717 -37 13 12 Sonic the Hedgehog 2 8.021 295 27 1.000.180 8.070.756 -50 11 13 Everything Everywhere All at Once 6.493 146 44 120.960 1.092.397 -32 7 14 Verdens verste menneske 6.457 94 69 28.282 238.735 -35 2 Steep drops, but with the ok opening of Jurrasic World 3 there was even a slight uptick in overall admissions. Also good: Anime event Ryu to Sobakasu no Hime (Belle); the PTA is misleading here because there were only very few slots; I suspect that in per-show-average, it would top the chart! And looking a bit farther down, The Bad Boys is showing excellent staying power, it was never a big hit but very stable numbers week after week. Next weekend: The biggest opener should be Lightyear; however, the franchise is not as popular as in the US - only Toy Story 2 came near to 3mil total, TS3 dropped to 1,6mil - and beautiful weather will drive families outdoors (plus, many are still travelling); I'd be surprised if it can reach a 300k OW under these conditions. Also opening: The Unbearable Weight Of Massive Talent (poor presales) - expect a horrible weekend. 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...