Flip Posted May 18 Share Posted May 18 14 hours ago, leoh said: InsideKino projections for the weekend: Garfield to lead the German box office for the second week in a row by increasing +50% from previous week. IF to debut in third place with 100k admissions. No. Visitor Weekend % Visitor until Sunday Possible Final result Week Film (studio) RT IMDB 1 226,000 +50 446,000 1,000,000 2 Garfield (COL) 67 6,1 2 132,000 = 316,000 600,000 2 Planet of the Apes (BV) 80 7,3 3 110,000 --- 122,500 500,000 1 IF (PAR) - 6,9 4 77,000 = 385,000 600,000 3 The Fall Guy (U) 82 7,3 5 44,000 -15 2,486,000 2,600,000 8 Chantal in Fairyland (NCO) - 4,7 6 35,000 --- 35,000 100,000 1 Tarot (COL) 20 5.0 5 hours ago, el sid said: The second trend from insidekino.de: #1 Garfield 125k #2 Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes 110k #3 IF 100k #4 The Fall Guy 80k #5 Tarot 55k #6 Chantal 35k #7 Challengers 30k ... Nightwatch 2 10k What Happens Later 10k how did Garfield go from 226k to 125k? Was it a typo? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leoh Posted May 18 Share Posted May 18 10 minutes ago, Flip said: how did Garfield go from 226k to 125k? Was it a typo? 11 minutes ago, Flip said: how did Garfield go from 226k to 125k? Was it a typo? I assumed this was like box office by Sunday, so including the weekdays box office. But I’m not sure. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted May 18 Share Posted May 18 22 minutes ago, Flip said: how did Garfield go from 226k to 125k? Was it a typo? No, no typo. It's a bit complicated ;). Garfield had 206k admissions over 5 days last week (it was released on Wednesday here). It had "only" 151k admissions from Friday to Sunday last week. The posted chart were predictions made till Wednesday and till then the weather was projected to become worse than it actually is and probably therefore Mark_G thought Garfield would increase by 50% compared to its last weekend 3-day result (150k x 1.5). At least that's how I would interpret it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted May 19 Share Posted May 19 (edited) The Sunday trend - I almost don't want to post it: #1 Garfield 110k #2 Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes 102.5k #3 IF 90k #4 The Fall Guy 75k #5 Tarot 45k - given the circumstances, not even that bad #6 Chantal 40k #7 Challengers 27.5k It's not even that sunny where I live (but probably in other regions) but tomorrow is a legal holiday in Germany and therefore today is a good day for longer trips, to go out for a meal etc. What may help the theaters in other countries can cause the opposite here. Plus the Pentecost holiday start(ed), e.g. in Bavaria which means also the vacation trips. Now next weekend is predicted to become worse weather-wise but they said the same last week. Edited May 19 by el sid 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 The Monday update from insidekino.de - all movies increased: #1 Garfield 130k #2 Planet of the Apes 110k/295k #3 IF 107.5k #4 The Fall Guy 80k/390k #5 Tarot 47.5k #6 Chantal 45k/2.490M #7 Challengers 30k/242.5k 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted May 22 Author Share Posted May 22 (edited) Germany's Top12 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Garfield 131.162 665 197 354.320 3.118.809 -12 2 2 Planet of the Apes 4 111.698 553 202 298.113 3.524.298 -16 2 3 IF 95.287 516 185 107.486 935.475 - 1 4 The Fall Guy 79.528 645 123 389.873 4.140.029 +3 3 5 Tarot 48.351 291 166 48.351 521.680 - 1 6 Chantal im Märchenland 45.809 580 79 2.489.876 25.063.532 -11 8 7 Challengers 29.866 338 88 243.186 2.445.276 -12 4 8 Back to Black 24.493 463 53 507.587 5.280.968 -5 6 9 Sterben 16.729 198 84 120.388 1.311.504 -5 4 10 Kung Fu Panda 4 15.232 474 32 1.676.518 15.372.002 -21 10 11 Beautiful Wedding 13.058 348 38 49.572 484.098 -23 2 12 Dune 2 10.050 172 58 3.093.179 38.236.654 -13 12 With worse weather, a better weekend (but still far from good) … both openers in the expected range, and decent drops (from low heights) - the nicest bit of news was that The Fall Guy had a slight increase, so definitely some WOM there. 1mil total is impossible but a decent finish around 700k seems doable. In Austria, similar but overall better numbers, especially Garfield is doing ok (already 65k total); Tarot was also higher, >9k total after Sunday. Next weekend: Furiosa will be the big opener. Fury Road made a lot of noise back in 2015 - a lot of headlines and awards and stellar reviews - but in actual numbers, it got little love with only 850k admissions total in the end. I'm not sure if Furiosa will do much better, the target demo seems narrow; however, it should open to #1 with a safe lead. With weather on the rainy side all through the weekend, maybe a 250k OW is possible. edit: Just looked at the presales for Furiosa at my cinema for today's OD and it's looking horrible ... despite having the biggest screens. While it should be #1 today, that doesn't bode well for the weekend - hope it's selling better elsewhere. Edited May 22 by IndustriousAngel 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted May 24 Author Share Posted May 24 (edited) Early weekend estimates for Germany from insidekino.de and it looks like Furioso is indeed "underperforming": #1: Garfield - 125k (-5%) #2: Furiosa - 120k - ouch, that's half of what I expected #3: IF - 77,5k (-19%) #4: PotA 4 - 70k (-37%) #5: FallGuy - 55k (-31%) Edited May 24 by IndustriousAngel 1 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted May 24 Share Posted May 24 (edited) Yes, that's only a bit more than the half of what was expected for Furiosa. But nice for the two family films . With these admission numbers from the first trend of insidekino.de... - Garfield would have 567.5k total admissions including Sunday - IF 242.5k - Planet of the Apes 415k - The Fall Guy 477.5k. Edited May 24 by el sid 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted May 24 Author Share Posted May 24 26 minutes ago, el sid said: With these admission numbers from the first trend of insidekino.de... - Garfield would have 567.5k total admissions including Sunday while this might seem "nice" in the context of Germany's depressed market, Austria's total was already at 65k last Sunday, so it had more admissions in 2 weeks than Germany will have in three. Let's face it - even Garfield's number is a disappointment. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted May 25 Share Posted May 25 The second trend from insidekino.de - slightly worse for most films but also some increases: #1 Garfield 115k #2 Furiosa 110k #3 IF 75k #4 Planet of the Apes 70k #5 The Fall Guy 60k #6 Chantal 37.5k #7 Tarot - 35k #8 Challengers 25k 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrHardapple Posted May 26 Share Posted May 26 The third trend from insidekino.de - it is getting worse: #1 Garfield 105k #2 Furiosa 95k #3 IF 70k #4 Planet of the Apes 60k #5 The Fall Guy 50k #6 Chantal 32.5k #7 Tarot - 30k https://www.insidekino.de/News.htm 2 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 The Monday update from insidekino.de - even worse: #1 Garfield 100k/542.5k total admissions #2 Furiosa 100k #3 IF 65k/230k #4 Planet of the Apes 62.5k/407.5k #5 The Fall Guy 47.5k/470k #6 Chantal 32.5k/2.550M #7 Tarot 30k/95k The good news is, the weather in the next few days (starting tomorrow and the whole weekend) is so far predicted to become really bad almost everywhere in Germany. This weekend it was still mixed to good. If that doesn't help I'm at a loss. 1 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted May 28 Author Share Posted May 28 Germany's Top 11 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Garfield 98.553 690 143 541.578 4.714.386 -25 3 2 Furiosa 86.856 625 139 100.062 1.199.963 - 1 3 IF 63.955 539 119 230.454 1.974.280 -33 2 4 Planet of the Apes 4 61.624 566 109 408.058 4.746.092 -45 3 5 The Fall Guy 48.163 605 80 471.496 4.981.474 -39 4 6 Chantal im Märchenland 31.522 524 60 2.549.615 25.646.042 -31 9 7 Tarot 31.147 318 98 96.575 1.018.675 -36 2 8 Challengers 21.659 317 68 282.583 2.849.961 -27 5 9 Back to Black 17.550 420 42 538.260 5.592.928 -28 7 10 Kung Fu Panda 4 13.005 436 30 1.703.219 15.592.238 -15 11 11 Sterben 12.232 235 52 142.658 1.555.162 -27 5 Wow, just wow - not a single release in the 6-digit range. Wow. I guess this thread will get locked in the forseeable future thanks to neglectable numbers … Furiosa with less than half of what I expected and even Garfield will be struggling to reach 1mil total. In Austria, numbers were a bit better - Garfield at 83k now, should reach 150k total, and Furiosa opened a bit higher with a bit over 14k after Sunday. Kung Fu Panda 4 crossed 250k total this weekend, nice! Next weekend: Not a single big release. Be afraid, Boxoffice. Be very afraid. 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted May 30 Author Share Posted May 30 with rainy weather, there's always more admissions, and at least at my cinemy, today's sales for Furiosa top those from last week's OD ... might at least see a very decent hold after the near-floppy OW. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted May 31 Author Share Posted May 31 Early weekend estimates from insidekino.de for Germany: With lots of rain, there are indeed increases and excellent holds! #1: Garfield - 150k (+52%) #2: IF - 100k (+56%) #3: Furiosa - 90k (+4%) #4: PotA4 - 80k (+30%) #5: FallGuy - 75k (+56%) so overall a bit better, just no big new release. Still far from good ... 4 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted June 1 Share Posted June 1 (edited) The even nicer second trend from insidekino.de: #1 Garfield 170k (+72%) #2 IF 110k (also +72%) #3 Furiosa 87.5k (+1%) #4 Planet of the Apes 80k (+30%) #5 The Fall Guy 75k (+56%) #6 Tarot 37.5k (+12%) #7 Challengers 30k (+39%) #8 Back to Black 25k (+42%) #9 Kung Fu Panda 4 25k (+92%) Edited June 1 by el sid 4 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted June 1 Author Share Posted June 1 Family releases are profiting from the rainy afternoons, nice - today's evening will be difficult thanks to football but I guess that's already been taken care of in the estimates. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted June 2 Share Posted June 2 (edited) The third trend from insidekino.de - great for family films: #1 Garfield 225k admissions (+128%) #2 IF 155k (+142%) #3 Furiosa 77.5k #4 Planet of the Apes 72.k #5 The Fall Guy 70k #6 Chantal 50k #7 Tarot 37.5k #8 Kung Fu Panda 4 32.5k (+150%) #9 Challengers 27.5k Edited June 2 by el sid 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted June 3 Share Posted June 3 The Monday update from insidekino.de - some smaller changes: #1 Garfield 215k/ca. 800k total admissions #2 IF 145k/ca. 400k #3 Furiosa 82.5k/225k #4 Planet of the Apes 77.5k/512.5k #5 The Fall Guy 70k/565k #6 Chantal 52.5k/2.617.5M 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flip Posted June 3 Share Posted June 3 Forecast for June is in from insidekino: 1.19m admits for Bad Boys and 2.52m admits for Inside Out 2. The bad Boys number is strong but I feel if Inside out can't pass 3m it's kind of disappointing 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...