BO Germany/Austria: Inside Out 2 #1 with best 2024 OW

[IndustriousAngel]

Early weekend estimates for Germany from insidekino.de:

#1: Wonka - 275k admissions (-6%)

#2: Wish - 185k (-13%)

#3: Napoleon - 85k (-24%)

 

Contrary to my expectations, Wonka is holding better than Wish; good for both movies, but without big openers, once more a depressed weekend ...

[el sid]

The second trend from insidekino.de - mostly nice holds with Wonka still even a little bit above expectations but with disappointing newbies:

#1 Wonka 275k
#2 Wish 185k
#3 Napoleon 85k
#4 Hunger Games 85k
#5 Saw X 50k
#6 791km 32.5k
...

Silent Night 20k
Wow! 20k -  way under the expectations, no idea why

Edited December 16, 2023 by el sid

[el sid]

The final trend from insidekino.de - as often in recent weeks no pleasure to read:

#1 Wonka 260k
#2 Wish 175k
#3 Napoleon 80k
#4 Hunger Games 80k
#5 Saw X 50k
#6 791km 32.5k

...

Silent Night 20k
Wow! 17.5k

Edited December 17, 2023 by el sid

[IndustriousAngel]

22 hours ago, el sid said:

The final trend from insidekino.de - as often in recent weeks no pleasure to read:

That was a comparatively nice trend, look at the actuals, THOSE are painful to watch

[el sid]

3 hours ago, IndustriousAngel said:

That was a comparatively nice trend, look at the actuals, THOSE are painful to watch

Oh, you're right 😟

The Monday update from insidekino.de:

#1 Wonka 245 (-16%)/647.5k total admissions
#2 Wish 165k/810k
#3  80k/1.192.5M
#4 Napoleon 80k/767.5k
#5 Saw X 50k/275k
#6 (?) 791km 32.5k
...

Silent Night 17.5k
Wow! 15k

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top13 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	Wonka	246.213	719	342	647.593	6.249.334	-16	2
2	Wish	165.787	656	253	811.271	7.047.195	-22	3
3	Hunger Games Prequel	81.435	550	148	1.192.870	13.351.463	-25	5
4	Napoleon	78.937	691	114	768.265	8.824.295	-30	4
5	Saw 10	50.154	442	113	275.643	2.877.427	-28	3
6	791km	25.706	325	79	35.830	323.798	-	1
7	Wow! Nachricht aus dem All	15.024	456	33	17.095	133.969	-	1
8	Anatomie d'une Chute	13.201	170	78	197.554	2.011.038	+90	7
9	Silent Night	12.573	221	57	18.451	166.771	-	1
10	Das Beste kommt noch!	11.104	346	32	44.600	433.474	-47	2
11	Neue Geschichten vom Pumuckl	10.489	253	41	356.410	2.486.019	-26	8
12	Godzilla Minus One	10.350	196	53	46.913	489.329	-3	3
13	Checker Tobi 2	10.346	425	24	1.030.671	7.632.264	-34	11

Wow, baaad weekend … some decent holds but everything on a very low level, not a single standout release. The best news is that Wonka is working better than I thought it would, should reach 2mil total with the holidays.

In Austria, not much better - 10-20% percent up as usual plus one domestic release doing ok, but still bad.

Next weekend: Finally some bigger openers: Migration as the family release, Aquaman 2 for the comic book crowd and Milli Vanilli biopic Girl You Know It's True - no blockbuster but at least three attractive releases which should work throughout the holidays.

[Issac Newton]

Austria

1. Wonka - €301K / €906K
2. Wish - €202K / €1.09M
3. Napoleon - €111K / €1.28M

[titanic2187]

On 12/18/2023 at 10:55 PM, el sid said:

Oh, you're right 😟

The Monday update from insidekino.de:

#1 Wonka 245 (-16%)/647.5k total admissions
#2 Wish 165k/810k
#3  80k/1.192.5M
#4 Napoleon 80k/767.5k
#5 Saw X 50k/275k
#6 (?) 791km 32.5k
...

Silent Night 17.5k
Wow! 15k

Why is Wonka keep going lower and lower in each update? This happened two weekend in a row. German doesn't like the movie? 

[el sid]

24 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

Why is Wonka keep going lower and lower in each update? This happened two weekend in a row. German doesn't like the movie? 

The admissions so far are ok IMO. Mark_G from insidekino.de hoped for 2M total admissions and that could happen.

Many films looked worse and worse in these trends in recent weeks. From what I heard and saw, the Christmas markets are even more popular this year. And maybe also the weather was a factor. First we had too much snow to drive  and park (e.g. to buy gifts or visit a Christmas market) and now many people catch up on it.

[IndustriousAngel]

early weekend estimates from insidekino.de for Germany:

#1: Wonka - 225k admissions (-9%, that would be excellent given the date alignment)

#2: Aquaman2 - 185k

#3: Migration - 195k incl previews

#4: Wish - 125k (-25%)

All other releases <50k

 

So, if true, Wonka keeps on with the good holds, Wish is dropping steeper than expected, Migration is doing so-so (obviously hurting Wish more than Wonka) and Aquaman2 is having a big decline from the first one - not as bad as Marvels but it will be hard to reach 1mil total; the first one counted exatly 2mil back in 2018.

Of course, with 24th on Sunday, the follwing weekdays and weeks will be more important than this weekend.

Edited December 22, 2023 by IndustriousAngel

[el sid]

The final trend from insidekino.de - some smaller changes:

#1 Wonka 215k
#2 Aquaman 2 190k
#3 Migration 195k
#4 Wish 115k
#5 Hunger Games 45k
#6 Napoleon 40k
#7 Girl You Know It's True 47.5k
 

[IndustriousAngel]

Thanks to the holiday alignment, actuals will be coming very late, but it seems the latest estimates were pretty accurate - 3 movies in the 200k range is not too bad, next weekend should see spectacular increases, with some releases maybe even doubling this weekend's numbers (that happened back in 2017 when we hat 24th on a Sun, too).

Austria seems to have had a much better weekend - Aquaman on the same level as Germany but the three wide family releases all doing better - maybe thanks to rainy weather in most regions. Wonka was nearly on the level of its OW; next weekend might count >40k admissions with a chance at 50k.

[titanic2187]

On 12/24/2023 at 10:05 PM, el sid said:

The final trend from insidekino.de - some smaller changes:

#1 Wonka 215k
#2 Aquaman 2 190k
#3 Migration 195k
#4 Wish 115k
#5 Hunger Games 45k
#6 Napoleon 40k
#7 Girl You Know It's True 47.5k
 

Wonka drops again from initial update.....I guess 2.5m is where the final. 

[el sid]

18 hours ago, titanic2187 said:

Wonka drops again from initial update.....I guess 2.5m is where the final. 

Mark_G from insidekino.de is a bit more pessimistic. He predicted 185k admissions OW (without (Monday) for Wonka and 2M total admissions. Wonka's weekend number is a bit better (210k) but 2.5M total admissions seem tough to reach now.

[el sid]

The fourth weekend trend from insidekino.de:

#1 Wonka 210k
#2 Aquaman 2 195k
#3 Migration 195k
#4 Wish 117.5k
#5 Hunger Games 45k
#6 Napoleon 40k
#7 Girl You Know It's True 47.5k

[IndustriousAngel]

2 hours ago, el sid said:

Mark_G from insidekino.de is a bit more pessimistic. He predicted 185k admissions OW (without (Monday) for Wonka and 2M total admissions. Wonka's weekend number is a bit better (210k) but 2.5M total admissions seem tough to reach now.

yep, 2,5mil seem very hard to reach but I wouldn't count it out yet - it's been having fine holds since the opening, so WOM seems ok. This week we'll see strong weekdays and hopefully a nice increase over the weekend, should come in with at least 300k, and holidays will continue until the weekend after where it should make at least 200k again. Don't underestimate those holiday legs!

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top12 xmas weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	Wonka	210.968	749	282	958.673	8.991.608	-14	3
2	Aquaman 2	173.570	587	296	196.650	2.339.911	-	1
3	Migration	146.287	635	230	197.387	1.818.871	-	1
4	Wish	117.874	643	183	982.551	8.434.707	-29	4
5	Hunger Games Prequel	46.166	434	106	1.274.088	14.205.644	-43	6
6	Napoleon	41.201	566	73	851.408	9.677.557	-48	5
7	Girl You Know It's True	32.185	478	67	48.347	477.501	-	1
8	Saw 10	23.884	340	70	314.540	3.276.650	-52	4
9	Perfect Days	19.859	111	179	19.859	190.611	-	1
10	Dunki	17.528	87	201	17.528	275.764	-	1
11	791km	10.990	340	32	58.238	533.404	-57	2
12	Neue Geschichten vom Pumuckl	8.770	219	40	368.976	2.564.163	-16	9

Not a good weekend - with 24th on a Sunday, that was a given, but we're missing something with blockbuster potential. Wonka continues with the good holds, should top 2mil total. Aquaman 2 dropped a lot from the first one but is not flopping as hard as Marvels; in fact it might go up next weekend. Migration stayed below my expectations, but family releases should have very strong weekdays and following weekends - no flop, either.

In Austria, Wonka led the field with >30k admissions; Migration and Wish came in on #2 and 3, and Aquaman 2 was only #4 despite opening a little better than in Germany - so, we did have a much stronger weekend!

Next weekend: No wide openers, holdovers should see minimal drops or hopefully increases - in the case of family releases, even doubling last weekend's numbers is possible!

[IndustriousAngel]

Early weekend estimates from insidekino.de for Germany's New Year's weekend:

#1: Migration - 285k admissions (+95%)

#2: Wonka - 275k (+30%)

#3: Aquaman 2 - 240k (+38%)

#4: Wish - 190k (+61%)

#5: HG Prequel - 75k (+62%, unexpected increase)

 

Wonka with the smallest increase, maybe it's already exhausted its potential in the prior weeks - so, no 2,5mil for sure.

[IndustriousAngel]

updated estimates; everything higher, Wonka now at 300k which would put it back on its track for 2,5mil total:

#1: Migration - 310k (+112%)

#2: Wonka - 300k (+42%)

#3: Aquaman2 - 250k (+44%)

#4: Wish - 210k (+78%)

[el sid]

The third trend from insidekino.de:

#1 Migration 300k
#2 Wonka 290k
#3 Aquaman 2 255k
#4 Wish 200k
#5 Hunger Games 82.5k
#6 Napoleon 72.5k
#7 Girl You Know It's True 70k
#8 Perfect Days 37.5k
#9 Saw X 32.5k

...

The Queen Mary 15k
Wer bist du, Mama Muh? 12.5k

Happy New Year to all the people who write and read here .