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Brazil Box Office Thread

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OMG it's absolutely crazy : 33.5% in the end, really unexpected :o

And guys : Appaently Marina will support Aécio, that seems to be sure now!! This election is way more interesting that expected :D

If Aécio wins Brazil could enter in a new era!!

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hmmm... Aécio X Dilma now? 

 

 

I'm voting for Aécio.  B)

And  he's not THAT far away from Dilma.

 

Dilma Vana Rousseff  - 38.449.975 - 40,88%
Aécio Neves da Cunha - 32.382.222 - 34,43%

 

 

With the support of Marina and other smaller candidates he really can win :D

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The feeling in Brazil now is weird. No one knows what's going to happen. Dilma is the favorite, make no mistake, but Aécio has a really good chance of winning. 

 

At this point, Marina's support would help Aécio, but wouldn't mean as much as people think.

 

In the northeast, for example, the Social Democratic Party (Aécio's PSDB) is very rejected. In Bahia (4th biggest state in number of voters with over 10 million) Dilma had 61.44% of the votes, while Aécio had only 18.2%. She will crush him in the region with or without Marina on his side. There's no escaping that.

 

On the other hand, Marina could help boost Aécio in São Paulo (1st), Rio de Janeiro (3rd) and in the big cities.

 

The real wildcard here is my state. The second biggest state in Brazil, where Aécio comes from and had an approval of 92%, just elected Fernando Pimentel from the Worker's Party with 53% of the votes breaking a 12 year control from the social democrats over the state, even with Aécio himself backing Pimentel's adversary. Aécio also was defeated by Dilma in here by a small margin.

 

However, no one knows how will Marina's voters behave in here. Aécio was popular 4 years ago, but does people remember his government? If yes, do they believe he can be better than Dilma? 

Edited by Wally
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The feeling in Brazil now is weird. No one knows what's going to happen. Dilma is the favorite, make no mistake, but Aécio has a really good chance of winning. 

 

At this point, Marina's support would help Aécio, but wouldn't mean as much as people think.

 

In the northeast, for example, the Social Democratic Party (Aécio's PSDB) is very rejected. In Bahia (4th biggest state in number of voters with over 10 million) Dilma had 61.44% of the votes, while Aécio had only 18.2%. She will crush him in the region with or without Marina on his side. There's no escaping that.

 

On the other hand, Marina could help boost Aécio in São Paulo (1st), Rio de Janeiro (3rd) and in the big cities.

 

The real wildcard here is my state. The second biggest state in Brazil, where Aécio comes from and had an approval of 92%, just elected Fernando Pimentel from the Worker's Party with 53% of the votes breaking a 12 year control from the social democrats over the state, even with Aécio himself backing Pimentel's adversary. Aécio also was defeated by Dilma in here by a small margin.

 

However, no one knows how will Marina's voters behave in here. Aécio was popular 4 years ago, but does people remember his government? If yes, do they believe he can be better than Dilma? 

 

The issue is about the day of the second round : in 1 month, it's a huge amount of time..Anything can happen by then.

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The feeling in Brazil now is weird. No one knows what's going to happen. Dilma is the favorite, make no mistake, but Aécio has a really good chance of winning. 

 

At this point, Marina's support would help Aécio, but wouldn't mean as much as people think.

 

In the northeast, for example, the Social Democratic Party (Aécio's PSDB) is very rejected. In Bahia (4th biggest state in number of voters with over 10 million) Dilma had 61.44% of the votes, while Aécio had only 18.2%. She will crush him in the region with or without Marina on his side. There's no escaping that.

 

On the other hand, Marina could help boost Aécio in São Paulo (1st), Rio de Janeiro (3rd) and in the big cities.

 

The real wildcard here is my state. The second biggest state in Brazil, where Aécio comes from and had an approval of 92%, just elected Fernando Pimentel from the Worker's Party with 53% of the votes breaking a 12 year control from the social democrats over the state, even with Aécio himself backing Pimentel's adversary. Aécio also was defeated by Dilma in here by a small margin.

 

However, no one knows how will Marina's voters behave in here. Aécio was popular 4 years ago, but does people remember his government? If yes, do they believe he can be better than Dilma? 

 

The 2.4million people who vote for the far-left candidates will probably vote for Dilma, and 1.2million who vote for the far-right will vote for Aécio. 

 

So you have like...

 

Dilma - 43.2m + 2.4m = 45.6m

Aécio - 34.9m + 1.2m = 36.1m

 

Then you have 22.1 million people who vote for Marina. 70%~75% of these voters need to vote for Aécio for him to win, but Marina had 6.4 million votes in the Northeast states, and most of these people will decided to vote for Dilma. It's not impossible for Aécio to win, but his chances are minimal.

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