mexico Mexico Box Office | $83.1M total up to Monday for Inside Out 2; here come the Minions!

[Issac Newton]

Top 5 at ease! 

[Carlangonz]

10 hours ago, Bob-omb said:

Which cities / CDMX areas do you scan? And which chain Cinepolis or Cinemex?

I track five theatres within Mexico City and three among Metro Area. Cinépolis only because Cinemex

 

1. Isn't much presale-driven except for a couple VIP locations

 

2. Don't have much data outside of NWH and MOM but could be worth giving it a try.

[Carlangonz]

Final allocation among my sample aims to be 41k-42k which is a relieve and is coming above everything but Fast X. Mario should come a bit higher tho so seems like 4,000-4,200 screens at least during OD. Great but still falling short to 2019 hits Joker, Lion King or Toy Story 4 all which launched at 5,000+ screens. 

Summer breaks begins right on Thursday so morning shows will see a boost on both Thursday and Friday. Also first shows at major cities looking to start since 10AM which is the earliest since Toy Stoy 4 which started as soon as 8AM. Pandemic hit No Way Home didn't launch until 12PM and both Multiverse of Madness and Super Mario Bros launched around 11AM. 

Bad news is for Oppenheimer which won't be getting any more screens that the ones already got at presales. Will come lower than Indiana Jones 5 in screen count with barely 1,000 screens and most of them mid-size (120-150 seats). Needs a higher PSA to match it in traditional screens.

Highest grossing opening day for a non-3D release is Joker - $82M which includes midnights; ones that Barbie won't get. Hopefully better and earlier morning shows translate into upsetting those numbers. It's hard to messure things with screen count capping things but I think there's a way for opening day to surpass $100M. Today ER registered its best day since August 20th, 2015. If it can remain or even make it better... is $6M.

This isn't Mini-Mario but rather Mario 2.0. Final count coming tomorrow.

 

[Carlangonz]

Barbie Fri 

8729 sold

34656 total

25,19%

 

That's about x0.57 of where OD was yesterday. Wish I had comps but except for Endgame I've never seen anything post-OD selling this well in advance

[Purple Minion]

Taquilla México on Twitter forecasts a 320M lc OW for Barbie, $19.1M at today's ER.

 

Place your bets, dolls!

[Bob-omb]

3 minutes ago, Purple Minion said:

Taquilla México on Twitter forecasts a 320M lc OW for Barbie, $19.1M at today's ER.

 

Place your bets, dolls!

337M lc OW so that it gets to 20M USD  Holidays may benefit it.

Edited July 19, 2023 by Bob-omb

[Bobzaruni]

What did Mario do?

3 hours ago, Bob-omb said:

337M lc OW so that it gets to 20M USD  Holidays may benefit it.

 

 

[Bob-omb]

4 minutes ago, Bobzaruni said:

What did Mario do?

 

 

In LC it did a bit more than 500M in wed-sund and around 400M+ in thur-sun. I think it is almost impossible to beat that since it will have less PLFs.

Edited July 19, 2023 by Bob-omb

[Carlangonz]

Warner took lessons from 2019's Disney and is increasing ticket prices for the whole first week. Walk-ins will fuel the ATP lol 

[Bob-omb]

22 minutes ago, Carlangonz said:

Warner took lessons from 2019's Disney and is increasing ticket prices for the whole first week. Walk-ins will fuel the ATP lol 

So 400M lc is in play? or you already accounted for that?

[Carlangonz]

May be different in some other Latin American countries but I find reviews quite divided unlike US especially among women. From what I've heard and read there's an relevant element in it that while in the US/Europe can work well it's doing it bad for audiences here. Is not humor.

[Bobzaruni]

2 hours ago, Carlangonz said:

May be different in some other Latin American countries but I find reviews quite divided unlike US especially among women. From what I've heard and read there's an relevant element in it that while in the US/Europe can work well it's doing it bad for audiences here. Is not humor.

Among women? that's interesting, we saw SK with huge difference but it was between men and women

[Carlangonz]

On 7/17/2023 at 2:59 PM, Carlangonz said:

BARBIE OPENING DAY - T-3 DAYS

 

Title	Number of shows	Sold	Total Available	Growth from T-6	Occupancy	% of comp	Comp in lc
Barbie	105	15226	23117	21.26%	65.86%
Spiderverse	84	9797	19284	12.71%	50.8%	155.41%	$69.93M

 

BARBIE OPENING DAY - T-14 HOURS

 

Title	Number of shows	Sold	Total Available	Growth from T-3	Occupancy	% of comp	Comp in lc
Barbie	211	23370	38515	52.44%	60.68%
Spiderverse	175	13954	33397	42.43%	41.78%	167.48%	$75.37M

 

Well the time has come. After a long year of awareness and non-stop buzz since its second trailer back in April, Barbie has finally arrived. Beating every single release not only in several interest metrics but also in presales since 2022's Multiverse of Madness is now a reality matching insane numbers for what seems to be a historical weekend. 

Amazing final hours selling over 8k tickets in the last 54 hours and still adding shows and seats. At the close of this counting there were three theaters that hadn't expanded their count but from Spiderverse's count it aims to go past 42,500 seats plus anything other theaters add.

With morning shows looking to be massive since summer break is just starting this should go non-stop all 4-Day weekend and recent increases from Warner and exhibitors it could offset any disadvantage from not getting 3D and 4DX and especially lack of IMAX in big cities. Unlike for stuff like Way of Water; Cinemex and smaller chains should get a lot of spillover similar to Mario.

Bigger allocation and better walk-ins from what pace on presales can already tell; this particular comp should already go higher. Is also higher than the combination of previews+OD of anything since Multiverse of Madness as well.

Opening day: $90M-$100M ($5.3M-$5.9M)
Opening weekend (4-day): $380M-$420M ($22.6M-$25M)

Edited July 20, 2023 by Carlangonz

[Carlangonz]

On 7/17/2023 at 3:14 PM, Carlangonz said:

OPPENHEIMER OPENING DAY - T-3 DAYS (NON-IMAX SHOWS)

 

Title	Number of shows	Sold	Total Available	Growth from T-6	Occupancy	% of comp	Comp in lc
Oppenheimer	41	771	6064	84.01%	12.71%
Indiana Jones 5	60	323	11086	NA	2.91%	238.70%	$14.8M

 

 OPPENHEIMER OPENING DAY - T-3 DAYS (IMAX ONLY)

 

Title	Number of shows	Sold	Total Available	Growth from T-6	Occupancy
Oppenheimer	12	2514	3652	35.45	68.84%

 

OPPENHEIMER OPENING DAY - T-13 HOURS (NON-IMAX SHOWS)

 

Title	Number of shows	Sold	Total Available	Growth from T-3 Days	Occupancy
Oppenheimer	43	1939	6180	251.49%	31.38%

 

Massive final hours. Mostly coming from theaters that don't have a PLF or IMAX available so great walk-ins seem ahead of this one too and people from bigger cities will probably just wait until they get a chance to see it on IMAX or Dolby. Capacity is going to limit it a lot so that's why I got rid of the Indy comp as it pointed towards a $20M opening day. Hopefully theaters are able to answer to demand and add more shows.

OPPENHEIMER OPENING DAY - T-13 HOURS (IMAX SHOWS ONLY)

 

Title	Number of shows	Sold	Total Available	Growth from T-13	Occupancy
Oppenheimer	12	3247	3652	29.16%	88.91%

It does seems like $6.2M-$6.5M overall for the whole weekend, People more than ever for a previous Nolan title want to see it in the format. Mexico City IMAX are already done for the weekend with other cities following suit little by little.

Like Warner for Barbie; Universal is capitalizing on Barbenheimer and increasing ticket prices as well including IMAX shows. 

Opening day: $8.5M ($0.5M)
Opening weekend (4-Day): $42M-$45M ($2.5M-$2.7M)
 

[Carlangonz]

 

14 hours ago, Carlangonz said:

At the close of this counting there were three theaters that hadn't expanded their count but from Spiderverse's count it aims to go past 42,500 seats plus anything other theaters add.

Metro Area theatres pulling through with screen count finishing the whole count for the sample with 45,200 seats. That's about the same as Fast X which had IMAX, 4DX and all PLFs. 

 

Wondering how it'll be by Sunday.

[Purple Minion]

The Nolanverse!

 

Movie	OW lc	OW aud	Total lc	Total aud
The Dark Knight Rises	$     130,497,507	2,719,399	$     420,231,623	9,384,641
The Dark Knight	$       73,172,985	1,730,076	$     258,301,617	6,523,878
Batman Begins	$       29,596,581	740,321	$     139,319,688	3,987,525
Interstellar	$       37,662,355	708,056	$     118,005,816	2,351,290
Inception	$        6,833,542	141,280	$     117,444,412	2,413,559
Dunkirk	$       31,189,688	518,318	$     103,561,247	1,872,890
Tenet	$       12,876,213	176,512	$       52,594,314	752,004
The Prestige	$        8,373,848	187,490	$       32,620,872	806,725
Insomnia	$        5,746,072	151,682	$       32,375,328	963,314
Memento	$           599,678	14,888	$        5,698,106	167,043

 

Insterstellar has the biggest opening and total outside the Batman trilogy. Based on PTA alone, Oppenheimer should beat both and may reach Batman Begins. Audience-wise again a different story,  2M+ will be a big success.

 

[Carlangonz]

$106.5M / $6.3M

 

Biggest of 2023 beating Mario

[WorkingonaName]

Holy fuck

[Purple Minion]

20 minutes ago, Carlangonz said:

$106.5M / $6.3M

 

Biggest of 2023 beating Mario

 

Holy plastic dolls! That points to a 400M+ lc OW, at least $23M. Could it reach 450M lc?

[Carlangonz]

On 7/19/2023 at 9:11 PM, Carlangonz said:

Capacity is going to limit it a lot so that's why I got rid of the Indy comp as it pointed towards a $20M opening day.

It wasn't that off.

 

$15.4M / $0.9M