Mexico Box Office | Garfield scratches great $8.4M 6-day OW; safe $2.5M start for The Fall Guy

[Carlangonz]

8 hours ago, HowSway said:

How is the anime scene in Mexico? I remember in the early 2000s Canal 5 used to show DBZ every weekday at prime time. You also had stuff like Inuyasha and Super Campeones that were big in their own right too.

 

Do they still show stuff over the air like at Canal 5 or has it moved to behind a paywall?

It's still  thing on TV but of course has made a big transition into streaming. Classics like DBZ remain on the biggest channels but all streamers from Netflix to local Vix and ad-supported Pluto TV have made a big effort to build up a strong library and Crunchyroll is by far the biggest especialized streaming service.

[Carlangonz]

On 2/26/2024 at 8:03 PM, Carlangonz said:

DUNE: PART II - OPENING DAY (T-3 DAYS)

 

Title	Seats sold	Seats available	Occupancy	Growth
Dune II	2556	15230	16.78%	+26.85%

 

Comps at the same point before release:

 

Title	Seats sold	Seats available	Occupancy	Growth	Comp in %	Comp in lc
Barbie	15226	23117	65.86%	+21.26	16.79%	$17.8M
Oppenheimer	3285	9716	33.81%	+44.4%	77.81%	$11.75M
Spiderverse	9797	19284	50.8%	+12.71%	26.09%	$11.48M

DUNE: PART II - OPENING DAY (T-14 HOURS)

 

Title	Seats sold	Seats available	Occupancy	Growth
Dune II	3537	26728	13.23%	+38.38%

 

Comps at the same point before release:
 

Title	Seats sold	Seats available	Occupancy	Growth	Comp in %	Comp in lc
Barbie	23370	45283	51.61%	+53,49%	15.13%	$16.04M
Oppenheimer	5186	9832	52.75%	+57.87%	68.2%	$10.3M
Spiderverse	13954	33397	41.78%	+42.43%	25.35%	$11.15M

 

A bit of a stumbled finish and below expectations after the momentum it was getting on its final week. Looking at numbers there was a strong relation to lack of growth on regular screens as IMAX remains as the go to format. Even 4DX or regular PLFs aren't able to increase as much and only VIP shows are comparable.

All comps decreased so nothing so far points out a breakout but rather a decent opening that will gross over 50% of first Dune's final gross.

 

Edited February 29 by Carlangonz

[Purple Minion]

Sci-fi epics still struggling to break out. Hope it can reach 200M lc.

 

First DUNC stats:

OW lc

OW Audience

Total lc

Total audience

$39,403,607

490,079

$110,806,689

1,456,626

Edited February 29 by Purple Minion

[Issac Newton]

Dune Part II

 

Mexico pulled in $696K on Thursday, a clear No. 1 with premium formats performing strongly — IMAX repped 10% of the daily total and 4D 5%. Thursday’s bow was above Dune by 85% to give Villeneuve his biggest start ever in the market

[Carlangonz]

Came right at my $12M expectation on Monday. Looks like $66M if it follows Oppy and $72M if it follows The Dial of Destiny. 

Quite a large share from IMAX shows; bigger than 8% from both Oppenheimer and Dunkirk.

[Issac Newton]

$3.9M Dune Part II i.e. Mex$65M+ Debut

[Purple Minion]

65% higher in lc than the first Dune, but 95% in USD! Let's see how OW audience compares...

[Carlangonz]

FEBRUARY 29 - MARCH 03 WEEKEND.

1. Dune: Part Two - $66.2M
2. To the Hashira Training - $14M/$100M (-81.51%) 
3. Ferrari - $10.9M/$33.6M (-36.63%)

4. Madame Web - $6.1M/$82.3M (-56.12%)

5. Desaparecer por Completo - $4.7M 

6. Todas Menos Tú - $4M/$35.4M (-48.72%)

7. 57 Seconds - $3.4M/$11.1M (-39.29%)

8. One Love - $3.1M/$32.3M (-53.73%)

9. Poor Things - $2.7M/$92M (-40%)

10. Anyone But You - $2.4M/$140.1M (-45.45%)

Dune starts off to a great opening. It legged almost identical to Oppenheimer from its opening day so we can expect it to go past $200M+ at the end of its run which would be o/u double of first chapter. It faces strong competition in terms of screen occupancy but not on audiences.

To the Hashira Training becomes the second $100M grosser of the year; second for the Demon Slayer saga and in matter of hours will beat To the Swordsmith Village's final gross in lc; already has done so in admissions.

Good hold for Ferrari despite Dune taking older crowds to theaters; perhaps an spillover effect from it. Reaching $50M may be a stretch but not an ugly result overall.

Poor Things and Anyone but You now leaving the Top 10 with amazing results and holds until the last moment finishing with a 4x and a 7x multi respectively. 

It's been slow weeks but with big releases upcoming and Easter later this month we hopefully see bigger numbers now. Kung Fu Panda 4 opens on the 14th but is getting Early Access this weekend and Godzilla & Kong opens on Easter weekend so big numbers ahead of us.

[Carlangonz]

Kung Fu Panda 4 sales marching extremely well for this weekend's early access. Lack of family films since Migration/Wonka will surely boost it. Bit hard to read but is looking like the first $100M+ opener of the year and may reach $400M+ in the end taking advantage of Easter and a national holiday on the 18th. 

[Purple Minion]

CANACINE's numbers seem to include Monday. Dune 2 total is shown as 73.5M lc;; audience-wise, it sold 718K tickets in its OW, an increase of 46.5% compared to the first movie. The latest Demon Slayer reached 1.5M audience.

[ando]

12 minutes ago, Purple Minion said:

CANACINE's numbers seem to include Monday. Dune 2 total is shown as 73.5M lc;; audience-wise, it sold 718K tickets in its OW, an increase of 46.5% compared to the first movie. The latest Demon Slayer reached 1.5M audience.

So 7.3M lc Mon. Would that be considered solid from a 66M wknd?

[Carlangonz]

17 hours ago, ando said:

So 7.3M lc Mon. Would that be considered solid from a 66M wknd?

Not extraordinary but still good; given runtime and audience this will perform better on weekends so should be around $135M after this weekend.

[Carlangonz]

Early access numbers will be enough for Kung Fu Panda 4 to dispute No. 2 over a local opener this weekend. If they're rolled into next weekend's figures then opening can approach and surpass $150M.

[Purple Minion]

$7.2M total for Dune 2, third movie to cross 100M lc this year.  ER below 17 again.

[Carlangonz]

Weak hold for Dune if estimate is anywhere near actuals.

No report for Po so previews' numbers will be added to weekend figures next weekend. By screen footprint I'm thinking it grossed around $30M from two days alone and now I'm expecting a 6-Day weekend of $170M-$180M

[Carlangonz]

MARCH 07-10 WEEKEND.

 

1. Kung Fu Panda 4 - $52.4M

2. Dune: Part II - $37.9M/$122.5M (-42.75%)

3. Noche de Bodas - $18.1M 

4. No Way Up - $9.9M

5. Alice in Terrorland - $7M

6. Ferrari - $4.9M/$41.6M (-55.05%)

7. Robot Dreams - $4M

8. To the Hashira Training - $3.9M/$107.5M (-72.14%)

9. Poor Things - $1.6M/$94.7M (-40.74%)

10. Io Capitano - $1.6M

 

Massive opening for Kung Fu Panda 4 after this limited release securing the highest PSA this year and the biggest since the Barbenheimer phenomenon. Considering it was a 2-day event, average per show should've been even higher basically securing occupancy over 90%. With a wide opening next weekend should secure $200M+ after 6 days and a total run north of $500M+ which would be a first for Dreamworks. 

 

Dune II does hold okay but shows how it remains skewing big formats. Still looking like it'll finish on the low $200M range as it gets to keep IMAX for another week but loses PLFs and 4DX to Po this Thursday.

Dire weekend as new openers are low profile releases that weren't wide but among them is good to see Robot Dreams that has amassed a pretty good PSA.

To The Hashira Training has now oficially surpassed To The Swordsmith Village in lc and going nearly 50% above it in admissions.

Seeing the massive overperformance from Po I think is safe to say once again the highest grosser of the year could be an animation: Garfield could pull a surprise too and Inside Out 2 has all the buzz on its favour to deliver another all-timer Pixar performance. Main competitors for the yearly crown shall be Wolverine/Deadpool and Joker/Harley.

Edited March 11 by Carlangonz

[Carlangonz]

Whenever it is that Shrek 5 is out; it'll demolish the Super Mario Bros records. Will be a tough race with the former, the latter's sequel and Toy Story 5.

[Purple Minion]

CANACINE numbers, no idea if they include Monday: Dune 2 126.4M lc (1.5M tickets), KFP4 52.6M (798K tickets), DS - Hashira Training 107.9M lc (1.6M tickets); Madame Web 85.5M lc (1.3M tickets).

[Purple Minion]

The Pandaverse. All three movies are quite even, with KFP2 highest in lc and KFP3 in audience. The latest entry should push the franchise over 1B lc and 20M tickets sold.

 

Movie	OW lc	OW Aud	Total lc	Total aud
Kung Fu Panda 2	$88,226,027	1,713,453	$287,506,468	5,975,876
Kung Fu Panda 3	$91,556,764	1,974,467	$279,952,501	6,773,584
Kung Fu Panda	$64,516,448	1,589,613	$226,241,870	6,076,440

 

[Issac Newton]

Universal reported $13.6M for KFP4 

 

i.e. MEX$225M+ Debut