Mexico Box Office | Apes repeat on top; good $3.2M OW for IF; no bright future for Tarot

[Carlangonz]

Tickets at Cinepolis are hiking to an all-time high starting this weekend. Increase is about 10% for all formats.

 

Cinemex is keeping prices for now but they just opened their first two IMAX screens at Mexico City. One of them is the first IMAX Platinum (VIP/Dine-in) of the country (and I believe the region) and prices for an IMAX 3D show are reaching an all-time high for any non-special content show at any chain with $350 lc ($20 USD).

[Purple Minion]

Let's see how Migration benefits. Illumination has been quite successful, even when excluding Super Mario; with Minions briefly holding the title of most attended movie ever, and Sing having insane legs. Totals around the Pets 2 level would be a decent result.

 

Movie	OW lc	OW Aud	Total lc	Total aud
Minions 2	$253,000,000	3,500,000	$818,398,000	13,100,000
Minions	$250,909,459	4,938,605	$724,799,241	16,145,794
Despicable Me 3	$224,118,663	4,562,894	$625,965,616	14,048,161
Despicable Me 2	$195,478,406	3,748,674	$612,219,624	13,402,926
Pets	$142,935,288	3,405,152	$421,600,665	10,882,655
Pets 2	$96,590,092	1,773,467	$293,108,995	5,951,668
Despicable Me	$55,408,065	1,080,537	$250,803,985	5,128,304
Sing 2	$54,982,227	797,251	$241,743,872	3,843,375
Sing	$36,013,977	765,801	$295,380,268	6,969,260
Lorax	$33,007,582	675,709	$127,129,069	2,875,519

[Purple Minion]

Disappointing $2.0M OW for Migration, lower than Sing in lc.

[Purple Minion]

Wonka repeated on top with a great $11 2M total; Songbirds and Snakes reached $10.1M.

[Carlangonz]

Original animation really struggling. We'll see if WOM carries it but Migration may be another Ferdinand and do just okay.

 

Gitesh reports -18% for Wonka and with holidays ahead it'll be a fun run to see how close it ends up from $400M.

[Purple Minion]

Totals

 

#1 Wonka 207.9M lc, 2.9M tickets. Right into the yearly Top 20.

#2 Migration 39.7M lc, 571K tickets. May hold on a bit due to holidays.

#3 Napoleon 122M lc, 1.4M tickets

#4 Songbirds and Snakes 178,2M lc, 2.5M tickets.

#5 Papá o mamá 45.4M lc, 704.1K tickets.

#6 Wish 82.2M lc, 1.2M tickets. Can't believe it won't make 100M lc.

 

[juni78ukr]

Still no weekend numbers except weekly from canacine?

[BOfficeStats]

11 hours ago, Purple Minion said:

Totals

 

#1 Wonka 207.9M lc, 2.9M tickets. Right into the yearly Top 20.

#2 Migration 39.7M lc, 571K tickets. May hold on a bit due to holidays.

#3 Napoleon 122M lc, 1.4M tickets

#4 Songbirds and Snakes 178,2M lc, 2.5M tickets.

#5 Papá o mamá 45.4M lc, 704.1K tickets.

#6 Wish 82.2M lc, 1.2M tickets. Can't believe it won't make 100M lc.

 

Are those the weekly numbers (December 13-19)?

[Purple Minion]

No, those are totals up to the 17th. The weekly cumes from 11-17 Nov are in CANACINE's website, under 'Esta sem.'

 

https://canacine.org.mx/taquilla

[Carlangonz]

10 hours ago, juni78ukr said:

Still no weekend numbers except weekly from canacine?

DECEMBER 14-17 WEEKEND

1. Wonka - $67M/$191.9M (-20.24%)
2. Migration - $29.5M/$33M 
3. Napoleon - $7.7M/$120.2M (-37.9%)
4. Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes - $6.2M/$176.6M (-36.08%)
5. Papá o Mamá - $5.1M/$44M (-44.57%)
6. Wish - $3.7M/$81.3M (-53.75%)
7. The Mean One - $3.7M 
8. The Mash King's Daughter - $3.4M
9. Seventeen: Tour Follow to Japan - $3.1M
10. It Lives Inside - $2.2M/$8.8M (-50%)

 

[Carlangonz]

AQUAMAN: THE LOST KINGDOM (T-14 HOURS) - OPENING DAY

Title	Seats sold	Seats available	Occupancy	Growth from T-3
Aquaman 2	2588	25882	10%	+205.56%

 

Comps at the same point before release

Title	Seats sold	Seats available	Occupancy	Growth from T-3	Comp in %	Comp in lc
The Marvels	1344	30227	4.45%	+187.45%	192.56%	$17.91M
Spiderverse	13954	33397	41.78%	+142-43%	18.55%	$8.16M

 

In the end has managed to improve and outperform comps by a large margin so it has avoided the worst so we'll see how it grows over the holidays. First Aquaman also had a 5-Day opening weekend but Sunday wasn't deflated like this one is going to be by Christmas' Eve.

All said, by the time I'm writing this there have been shows by nearly 7 hours and walk ins have been decent enough so looks like will follow a trajectory similar to The Marvels. For the Marvel title the best comp turned out to be Little Mermaid which in this case also points towards a $17M opening day. Considering prices have had a significant increase I think we're looking to o/u $20M.

First Jumanji grossed nearly $60M with the same calendar configuration back in 2017 but with a Thursday opening instead of a Wednesday one so I'm thinking Arthur Curry may be approaching $70M-$80M 5-Day opening putting it on par with this year's Fury of the Gods.

Funny enough; Fury of the Gods first Monday was also a very lucrative holiday where it added $25M. Aquaman shall do something close to $30M as well after Christmas Day.
 

[Carlangonz]

Not counting but 'Zilla looking to breakout. It'll take 4DX and PLF's from Aquaman next Thursday with sales seeing an acceleration over the past few days.

Boy and the Heron also tracking to good numbers for early acess on Monday.

[Purple Minion]

The first Aquaman had a good opening, 134,886,765 lc and 2,341,979 tickets, but its legs were great for a SH movie, 4.5x multiplier.

 

Godzilla movies made in Hollywood have a much better record compared to the Japanese productions. It'll be nice to have a breakout.

 

Movie	OW lc	OW Aud	Total lc	Total Aud
Godzilla Vs. Kong	$110,808,374	1,597,880	$410,605,740	6,371,967
Godzilla	$93,868,922	1,711,930	$212,400,307	4,345,343
Godzilla King of the Monsters	$90,268,925	1,571,350	$193,385,974	3,744,428
Shin Godzilla	$2,797,604	61,242	$6,137,302	150,458

 

Nothing remarkable about Ghibli movies BO performance, some of them didn't have a threatical release. Can the Heron beat Chihiro?

 

Movie	OW lc	OW Aud	Total lc	Total Aud
Spirited Away	$1,195,837	32,039	$8,387,943	249,690
Howl's Moving Castle	$573,392	14,669	$3,381,098	98,367
Ponyo	$507,444	11,208	$2,875,585	69,547
The Wind Rises	$531,777	9,458	$1,781,738	38,837

 

 

 

 

[Carlangonz]

15 hours ago, Purple Minion said:

Godzilla movies made in Hollywood have a much better record compared to the Japanese productions. It'll be nice to have a breakout.

 

Movie	OW lc	OW Aud	Total lc	Total Aud
Godzilla Vs. Kong	$110,808,374	1,597,880	$410,605,740	6,371,967
Godzilla	$93,868,922	1,711,930	$212,400,307	4,345,343
Godzilla King of the Monsters	$90,268,925	1,571,350	$193,385,974	3,744,428
Shin Godzilla	$2,797,604	61,242	$6,137,302	150,458

 

Nothing remarkable about Ghibli movies BO performance, some of them didn't have a threatical release. Can the Heron beat Chihiro?

 

Movie	OW lc	OW Aud	Total lc	Total Aud
Spirited Away	$1,195,837	32,039	$8,387,943	249,690
Howl's Moving Castle	$573,392	14,669	$3,381,098	98,367
Ponyo	$507,444	11,208	$2,875,585	69,547
The Wind Rises	$531,777	9,458	$1,781,738	38,837

 

Shin Godzilla and Spirited Away should go down on opening weekend alone. 

 

Minus One may be a smaller Demon Slayer and was thinking on Boy and Heron to do on par with Suzume. Latter is being particularly hurt by being sided on small cities.

 

Demon Slayer and Suzume launched on 700+ and 300+ screens respectively. Minus One and Boy and the Heron may be looking at 400+ and 100+ for each. 

[Purple Minion]

$3.4M for Aquaman 2 up to Fri, 57M lc. Disaster avoided.

 

Wonka reached a fabulous $14 3M total, 240M lc.

[Carlangonz]

6 hours ago, Purple Minion said:

$3.4M for Aquaman 2 up to Fri, 57M lc. Disaster avoided.

 

Wonka reached a fabulous $14 3M total, 240M lc.

Yeah is looking like o/u $80M for Aquaman until Sunday which is on the higher end. Past $100M after Christmas so at least should beat Fury of the Gods.

 

Wonka is spectacular. Should be above a 3x multi after Christmas with New Year still ahead. 

[Purple Minion]

Better than anticipated but still soft $5.0M opening for Aquaman 2, 85M lc, should be steady during the holidays.

 

Stellar $15.3M total for Wonka, about 265M lc.

 

Mexico is the #2 OS market for both.

 

Edited December 24, 2023 by Purple Minion

[dallas]

4 hours ago, Purple Minion said:

Better than anticipated but still soft $5.0M opening for Aquaman 2, 85M lc, should be steady during the holidays.

 

Stellar $15.3M total for Wonka, about 265M lc.

 

Mexico is the #2 OS market for both.

 

What do you expect the multiplier for Aquaman to be?

[Carlangonz]

At T-14 hours; The Boy and the Heron was 60% above First Slam Dunk on sales. 

 

Nothing massive but should do well o/u $3M on Christmas and $12M+ across the 7-Day opening.

 

We'll see how walk-ins work but big cities are of course excelling on sales; occupancy is up to 70% on the major locations.

 

Happy holidays everyone!

Edited December 25, 2023 by Carlangonz

[Purple Minion]

On 12/24/2023 at 9:57 PM, dallas said:

What do you expect the multiplier for Aquaman to be?

Waiting for the actuals, but with holidays and no competition, I'd expect at least 2.5x and 200M+ total.

Edited December 26, 2023 by Purple Minion