Mexico Box Office | Garfield scratches great $8.4M 6-day OW; safe $2.5M start for The Fall Guy

[Minnale101]

Incredible debut, very happy

[Minnale101]

7 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

Universal reported $13.6M for KFP4 

 

i.e. MEX$225M+ Debut

If it does 30 million USD that would be double of kfp3 Mexico box office 

[Carlangonz]

Massive indeed!

 

It still has a bank holiday tomorrow and kids start spring break later on the week so wouldn't rule out even $650M+/$38M+

Edited March 17 by Carlangonz

[Purple Minion]

Dune 2 reached $9.0M, slightly over 155M lc. Slowing down, let's see if the bank holiday and Easter gives it a boost.

[Carlangonz]

MARCH 14-17 WEEKEND.

 

1. Kung Fu Panda 4 - $175.4M/$227.8M (+234.73%)

2. Dune: Part II - $20.7M/$153.7M (-45.38%)

3. One Life - $10.8M 

4. Noche de Bodas - $9.5M/$34M (-47.51%)

5. Imaginary - $6.8M 

6. Land of Bad - $6.3M 

7. No Way Up - $5.5M/$19.4M (-44.44%)

8. Robot Dreams - $4.7M/$10.7M (+17.5%)

9. Alice in Terrorland - $3.9M/$13.6M (-44.29%)

10. Poor Things - $1.8M/$97.6M (+12.5%)

 

Best opening of the year so far for Kung Fu Panda 4 which is already No. 1 of the year too after surpassing both Dune and Anyone but You after 4 days of release. It should surpass $250M after today's holiday and once again take strenght when schools start their holiday period on Friday. It should repeat No. 1 above Ghostbusters this weekend and hold well to Godzilla/Kong duo on Easter to surpass $500M and even $600M considering won't get any big competition until May.

Dune II still losing ground but nothing too big. It's late for it to truly breakout so won't finish anywhere close to Oppenheimer's $330M tally but still will manage to double first Dune numbers.

Post-Oscars ceremony, Poor Things and Robot Dreams enjoy a nice increase with the former finishing *this close* to $100M and the latter looking like it will do $1M+USD which would be a first time in a long time for an Spaniard production.

Edited March 18 by Carlangonz

[Carlangonz]

GODZILLA X KONG: THE NEW EMPIRE - WEDNESDAY NIGHT PREVIEWS (T-9 DAYS)

 

Title	Seats sold	Seats available	Occupancy
Godzilla x Kong	463	4877	9.49%

 

Good start for this one. Isn't particularly outstanding but is stronger than Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes and is on track to top Rise of the Beasts as well. Main issue for it is going to be capacity as it is lower than that of Rise of the Beasts and Five Nights at Freddy's despite having the potential to open between them.

Easter will make this one tricky as it will accelerate big time next week and walk-ups should be big as well. As of this moment I don't see $200M but let's set the goal on a $150M+ opening.

Edited March 19 by Carlangonz

[Purple Minion]

CANACINE website is down, account is suspended 🤐  Hope it's back online soon!

[Carlangonz]

Massive $56.1M for Panda on Monday as per Deadline. Total up to $289M/$16.9M.

Shall cross $300M today (Tuesday) and $400M by Sunday.

[charlie Jatinder]

4 hours ago, Carlangonz said:

Massive $56.1M for Panda on Monday as per Deadline. Total up to $289M/$16.9M.

Shall cross $300M today (Tuesday) and $400M by Sunday.

Idk, just 400 by SUN seems low. I suppose will be 320+ by WED. 2nd weekend shall be around 100+, I feel even 110+.

[Carlangonz]

49 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Idk, just 400 by SUN seems low. I suppose will be 320+ by WED. 2nd weekend shall be around 100+, I feel even 110+.

Oh definitely. I was just using $400M as a benchmark but especifically I'm expecting $430M-$440M.

[Purple Minion]

CANACINE is back online, totals including Bank Holiday Monday:

• KFP4: 287.6M lc, 3.9M tickets.
• Dune 2: 161.5M lc, 1.9M tickets.
• Noche de Bodas: 37.5M lc, 528K tickets.
• Poor Things: 98.1M lc, 1.2M tickets.

[Purple Minion]

Totals: KFP4 $22.8M, did it slow down or under reporting? Dune 2 $10.3M.

 

$2.7M OW for Ghostbusters FE.

 

Edited March 24 by Purple Minion

[Carlangonz]

9 hours ago, Purple Minion said:

Totals: KFP4 $22.8M, did it slow down or under reporting? Dune 2 $10.3M.

It would be a big slow down whether it was on weekdays or weekend. 

 

9 hours ago, Purple Minion said:

$2.7M OW for Ghostbusters FE.

I expected it to be on par with Indy 5 but is about 20% better so really good.

[Purple Minion]

It will be close, but Frozen Empire's OW may be the highest in lc; however, the 2016 remake will have the most audience.

 

Movie	OW lc	OW Aud	Total lc	Total Aud
Ghostbusters: Afterlife	$48,210,567	686,675	$125,795,719	1,962,833
Ghostbusters (2016)	$46,127,414	859,140	$121,574,777	2,573,526

Edited March 25 by Purple Minion

[Carlangonz]

MARCH 21-24 WEEKEND. 

 

1. Kung Fu Panda 4 - $75M/$381.8M (-57.24%)

2. Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire - $44.6M 

3. Dune: Part II - $10.6M/$174.8M (-48.79%)

4. The Iron Claw - $7.7M 

5. One Life - $5.6M/$22.3M (-48.15%)

6. Robot Dreams - $4.9M/$18.9M (+4.26%)

7. Canta y No Llores - $4.6M

8. Noche de Bodas - $2.8M/$41.9M (-70.53%)

9. Luca - $2.7M

10. Vermines - $2.7M

 

Kung Fu Panda 4 has a bigger than expected drop after being boosted by last Monday's holiday but also reflecting a poorer WOM compared to previous entries. Upcoming Easter holidays and lack of competition will help it past $450M+ and taking it around to $500M in the end.

 

Frozen Empire stays consistent with previous Ghostbusters' titles in lc. It'll lose steam with screen loss when GxK opens but should do enough to pass $100M. It's never been a particularly outstanding franchise on the box office but it remains with an unbeatable track.

By losing its last premium screens on Thursday, Dune begins with its final days looking to finish below the $200M milestone. A bit underwhelming after its strong first weekend showing it still suffers from sci-fi not being much of a draw in the market.

Robot Dreams increases once again from last weekend and crosses $1M USD. It would've been great to see it getting an expansion from its original footprint but it's a great result for it nevertheless.

 

[Purple Minion]

CANACINE numbers that most probably include Monday: KFP4 395.8M lc, 5.4M tickets; Frozen Empire 53.1M lc, 704K tickets; Dune 2 176.7M lc, 2.1M tickets.

[Carlangonz]

GODZILLA X KONG: THE NEW EMPIRE - WEDNESDAY NIGHT PREVIEWS (T-0 DAYS*)

 

Title	Seats sold	Seats available	Occupancy	Growth from T-6 hours
Godzilla x Kong	3069	4877	62.93%	+43.61%

 

Comps at T-0.5 hours before first shows

 

Title	Seats sold	Seats available	Occupancy	Growth	Comp in %	Comp in lc
Transformers	2657	5407	49.14%	+23.01%	115.51%	$10.63M
MI:7	2103	5346	39.34%	+43.94%	145.93%	$8.76M
Freddy's	7123	7411	96.11%	+2.65%	43.09%	$10.77M
Hunger Games	959	3495	27.44%	+53.52	320.02%	$18.24M

 

*I took some of the data as first shows were just starting so walk-ins are in full-effect in half of the sample.

 

Strong finish for the new Monsterverse installment once again proving the franchise to be a walk-in powerhouse. Capacity restrictions will limit tonight's previews as there's no sign from exhibitors to expand show count. This is why I'm leaning into the Transformers and Freedy's comps: having room to grow as the first one with the exciment and fanbase of the second one.

Spillover should benefit both Thursday and Friday which will behave like an extended weekend. Internal multi for the 4-Day + Previews will be a tricky one but I'm expecting it to open similarly as Kung Fu Panda 4 two weeks ago. $200M+ should not be off the table but creature/adventure films (Jurassic Saga/Jumanji) are always unpredictable on how high they can go.

 

Edited March 28 by Carlangonz

[Carlangonz]

MXN:USD is at its best level since October 2015 so USD opening is quite wide between the $9M-$12M range.

[Issac Newton]

1 hour ago, Carlangonz said:

MXN:USD is at its best level since October 2015 so USD opening is quite wide between the $9M-$12M range.

On the other hand, JPY:USD is 34 Years Worst....

Spoiler

 

[Purple Minion]

MonsterVerse performance.  New Empire should snatch the best OW and possibily total gross, but total audience will be hard to reach.

 

Movie	OW lc	OW Aud	Total lc	Total Aud
Godzilla Vs. Kong	$   110,808,374	1,597,880	$     410,605,740	6,371,967
Kong: Skull Island	$   110,876,848	2,077,222	$     276,249,459	5,809,671
Godzilla	$     93,868,922	1,711,930	$     212,400,307	4,345,343
Godzilla King of the Monsters	$     90,268,925	1,571,350	$     193,385,974	3,744,428

 

 

Edited March 28 by Purple Minion