mexico Mexico Box Office | The Wild Robot conquers the weekend; big jump for The Substance

[Purple Minion]

CANACINE finally updated their box office page, totals may be up to Wednesday:

• Beetlejuice 2: 160.8M lc, 2.2M audience.
• Longlegs: 66.7M lc, 945.3K audience.
• IEWU: 264.8M lc, 3.8M audience.
• Romulus: 154.2M lc, 2.1M audience.
• Coraline re-release: 146.6M lc, 2.1M audience.
• D&W: 816.1M lc, 10.7M audience.
• DM4: 824.5M lc, 11.6M audience.

Also the latest IO2 numbers, courtesy of @Issac Newton: 1,871,395,854 lc, 25,657,051 audience.

[Purple Minion]

Totals as per Deadline: Beetlejuice 2 $11.1M, Romulus $8.2M, D&W $43.5M.

 

Speak No Evil opened to a meh $0.8M.

 

Edited September 16 by Purple Minion

[Purple Minion]

DM4 still in the Top 10, D&W out. Today is a bank holiday, let's see if CANACINE publishes tomorrow.

[Carlangonz]

SEPTEMBER 12-15 WEEKEND.

 

1. Beetlejuice Beetlejuice - $56.8M/$217.7M (-55.06%)
2. Transformers: One - $18.7M 
3. Speak No Evil - $15.8M
4. Casi el Paraíso - $11.4M

5. Longlegs - $5.9M/$72.6M (-66.09%)
6. It Ends with Us - $4.2M/$269.1M (-67.44%)
7. Alien: Romulus - $2.4M/$156.6M (-73.33%)
8. Coraline (Re-issue) - $2.1M/$148.8M (-68.18%)
9. Despicable Me 4 - $1.1M/$825.7M (-71.05%)
10. The Forge - $0.99M/$11.5M (-65.86%)

Overall a poor weekend which was already expected due to Independence Day's Eve deflating Sunday which is the most attended day of the week; also mixed with an ugly weather and floods in several parts of the country and holdovers affected by newcomers taking over screens and direct competition like Transformers to Despicable Me 4 or Speak No Evil to Longlegs and Romulus.

All things considered Beetlejuice Beetlejuice sees a good hold and standouts with powerful legs. We'll see how much Independence Day and October 1st holidays fuel it after $300M.

On the other side, even when factoring so many things all new openers do quite meh numbers. Transformers: One could leg out with its good reception but in two weeks will face The Wild Robot which may see an even better reception and has started to build buzz around it. With upcoming holidays still may reach $80M+

Speak No Evil also does bit of dissapointing numbers; but once again this is another one that could be benefited from its positive WOM and catch $50M+

Local opener Casi el Paraíso is yet the biggest underperformer; it has had a sizable campaing from both distributor and exhibitors but has failed to meet audiences.

Following a similar strategy to Priscilla on last Christmas, Mubi is holding early access shows for The Substance on a nationwide level during Monday and Tuesday to take advantage of the holiday. Starting on Thursday will be their second largest bet ever in screens only behind the Sofia Coppola film; which is their highest grosser of all time. As a platform release, if this one could make $20M would be a hit; they're counting on horror fans.

Edited September 17 by Carlangonz

[Carlangonz]

Tickets for Joker: Folie a Deux going on sale this Thursday. Releases October 3rd with night previews starting at 7PM on the 2nd.

First set of shows are popping up and allocation is looking more like The Flash rather than Deadpool & Wolverine. Very curious to see how this one goes after how sales are going in US/CAN and Brazil.

[Purple Minion]

10 hours ago, Carlangonz said:

Overall a poor weekend

 

D&W fell a massive 82.6%, grossing about 500K lc. Ouch.

 

Latest IO2 USD total, per Mojo: $102,292,055. It is still playing after 14 weeks, but can't see it go much further.

[Carlangonz]

5 hours ago, Purple Minion said:

D&W fell a massive 82.6%, grossing about 500K lc. Ouch.

 

Latest IO2 USD total, per Mojo: $102,292,055. It is still playing after 14 weeks, but can't see it go much further.

Yeah, both are pretty much gone from theaters, specially with the imminent D+ release for IO2. 

In a turn of events, The Wild Robot is getting early access this weekend. But tbh is more like a mid-release; will be playing at 700-800 screens starting Thursday and then expand to other 1k-1.5k on the 26.

[Purple Minion]

CANACINE numbers, not sure if up to Mon or Tue. OK Bank Holiday grosses for new releases.

• Beetlejuice 2: 243.5M lc, 3.4M audience.
• Transformers One: 27.1M lc, 381.2K audience.
• Speak No Evil: 23.4M lc, 331K audience.
• Casi el paraíso: 16.5M lc, 216.9K audience.
• IEWU: 270.8M lc, 3.9M audience.
• Romulus: 157.7M lc, 2.2M audience.
• Coraline re-release: 149.9M lc, 2.2M audience.
• DM4: 826.5M lc, less than 1M behind Avengers and DS2; 11.6M audience.

 

 

Edited September 18 by Purple Minion

[Carlangonz]

On 9/16/2024 at 10:29 PM, Carlangonz said:

Tickets for Joker: Folie a Deux going on sale this Thursday. Releases October 3rd with night previews starting at 7PM on the 2nd.

After first 12 hours of sales for previews:

Title	Seats sold	Seats available	Occupancy
Folie a Deux	784	14771	5.31%

At the same point after tickets' launch:

Title	Seats sold	Seats available	Occupancy
The Flash	634	10065	6.3%
Fast X	825	15448	5.34%
FNAF	3475	5045	68.88%

 

Don´t have data for Deadpool & Wolverine's first 12 hours but they must've been just over Five Nights at Freddy's. 

Edited September 20 by Carlangonz

[Carlangonz]

Couldn't take 24-Hour data but given sales started at 9AM, I don't think there was significant demand to move the neddle from what it already looked like.

Is looking like o/u $20M in previews and o/u $200M for the whole weekend. Can't say is doing bad like elsewhere but it does is a step down from first Joker first weekend (FSS). We'll see how it paces on the upcoming days.

[Purple Minion]

Beetlejuice 2 again on top, great 19% drop for a $15.1M total.  Speak No Evil reached $2.2M, same as Transformers One which is underperforming.

[Carlangonz]

Speak No Evil and Beetlejuice enjoying a powerful WOM.

 

Transformers being left aside despite a warm reception. Can't get better with Wild Robot already playing around.

 

Top 4 this weekend should be rounded by BTS' Jungkook concert/documentary. 

 

The Substance has generated some buzz. Curious to see how this experiment worked for Mubi.

[Carlangonz]

SEPTEMBER 19-22 WEEKEND.

 

1. Beetlejuice Beetlejuice - $44.2M/$298.1M (-22.18%)
2. Jungkook: I Am Still - $21.7M/$43.5M 
3. Speak No Evil - $16.5M/$44.4M (+4.43%)
4. The Wild Robot - $15M
5. Transformers: One - $13M/$43.3M (-30.48%)
6. The Substance - $11.2M/$12.4M 
7. Casi el Paraíso - $9.7M/$29.6M (-14.91%)
8. Hellboy: The Crooked Man - $5.9M
9. AfrAId - $4.4M
10. French Cinema Tour - $3.8M

Solid weekend ahead of busier frames with great holds across the board but mostly dissapointing openings. Beetlejuice Beetlejuice pulls another strong hold and is crossing the $300M at the point of this post; it's getting bigger competition in upcoming weekends but can get along with Wild Robot and manage to survive through October despite Joker to finish close to $400M.

Speak No Evil also benefits from a positive reception and increases from its opening weekend. Without major competiton in coming weeks could make it to $80M; similar as Longlegs.

As for horror; The Substance scores the best opening for Mubi amid a buzzy launch on social media. Though is not locked to become their highest grosser ever, it provides an effective strategy for such a wide release; over 700 screens and a better PSA than Transformers and Speak No Evil.

BTS keeps delivering the best numbers for concert documentary events, this time with Jungkook: I Am Still; nabbing the 4th best number for concert releases only below The Eras Tour and the latest BTS' events. 

In special early shows that in the end were exclusive to Saturday and Sunday, The Wild Robot did some respectable numbers ahead of its wide release starting this Thursday. Universal will add this weekend's numbers to those for $70M+ by next Sunday. We'll see how it legs out.

Despite a good hold, Transformers: One still suffers from a dissapointing opening and with The Wild Robot about to open wide and Beetlejuice holding better; it does look like will finish with even $80M or 2/3rds of Mutant Mayhem.

Edited September 24 by Carlangonz

[Carlangonz]

On 9/19/2024 at 10:10 PM, Carlangonz said:

After first 12 hours of sales for previews:

Title	Seats sold	Seats available	Occupancy
Folie a Deux	784	14771	5.31%

At the same point after tickets' launch:

Title	Seats sold	Seats available	Occupancy
The Flash	634	10065	6.3%
Fast X	825	15448	5.34%
FNAF	3475	5045	68.88%

JOKER: FOLIE A DEUX (WED NIGHT PREVIEWS) - T-9 DAYS

 

Title	Seats sold	Seats available	Occupancy	Growth from T-13
Joker 2	1757	15762	11.15%	+124.11%

 

At the same point before release:

Title	Seats sold	Seats available	Occupancy	Growth from T-13	Comp in %	Comp in lc
The Flash	1612	11682	13.8%	+154.26%	109%	$17.44M
Fast X	3045	17085	17.82%	+269.09%	57.7%	$21.35M
FNAF	4504	6075	74.14%	+29.61%	39.01%	$9.75M
D&W*	12098	20004	60.48%	n/a	14.52%	$7.99M

* Had an extra week of sales.

It added IMAX shows which will be sharing for two days with Talking Heads: Stop Making Sense but overall is not particularly outstanding tbh; falling below Flash in occupancy and pace for the whole weekend is quite rough but even if it still drops in small margins should make up the difference with a higher ATP.

I'm still counting on it coming close to $20M in previews but Warner is slowing down the marketing and with no press junkets or major coverage (Venice was a huge deal that kept the conversation for the whole month leading to the release of the first one) will be tough to sustain momentum.

Edited September 24 by Carlangonz

[Purple Minion]

The Wild Robot should do better than the last Dreamworks' original movie, Teenage Kraken (65.7M lc, 1.1M tickets).

 

Could it gross as much as The Bad Guys (110.3M lc, 1.8M tickets)? Abominable's audience seems out of reach (117.4M lc, 2.4M tickets), but hey, animations are a wild card.

 

 

 

[Carlangonz]

On 9/23/2024 at 7:19 PM, Carlangonz said:

JOKER: FOLIE A DEUX (WED NIGHT PREVIEWS) - T-9 DAYS

 

Title	Seats sold	Seats available	Occupancy	Growth from T-13
Joker 2	1757	15762	11.15%	+124.11%

 

At the same point before release:

Title	Seats sold	Seats available	Occupancy	Growth from T-13	Comp in %	Comp in lc
The Flash	1612	11682	13.8%	+154.26%	109%	$17.44M
Fast X	3045	17085	17.82%	+269.09%	57.7%	$21.35M
FNAF	4504	6075	74.14%	+29.61%	39.01%	$9.75M
D&W*	12098	20004	60.48%	n/a	14.52%	$7.99M

* Had an extra week of sales.

JOKER: FOLIE A DEUX (WED NIGHT PREVIEWS) - T-7 DAYS

Title	Seats sold	Seats available	Occupancy	Growth from T-9
Joker 2	2300	15354	14.98%	+30.9%

 

Comps at the same point before release:
 

Title	Seats sold	Seats available	Occupancy	Growth from T-9	Comp in %	Comp in lc
The Flash	1924	12276	15.67%	+19.35%	119.54%	$19.13M
Fast X	3970	17153	23.14%	+30.38%	57.93%	$21.43M
FNAF	5144	7135	72.1%	+14.21%	44.71%	$11.18M
D&W	12604	20004	63.01%	+4.18%	18.25%	$10.04M

 

JOKER: FOLIE A DEUX (WED NIGHT PREVIEWS) - T-5 DAYS
 

Title	Seats sold	Seats available	Occupancy	Growth from T-7
Joker 2	2860	15354	18.63%	+24.35%

Comps at the same point before release:

 

Title	Seats sold	Seats available	Occupancy	Growth from T-5	Comp in %	Comp in lc
Fast X	5098	17153	29.72%	+28.41%	56.1%	$20.76M
FNAF	5611	7135	78.64%	+9.08%	50.97%	$12.74M
D&W	13193	20649	63.89%	+4.67%	21.68%	$11.92M

 

 

I didn't take data for Flash at T-5 so I'm coming back to that comp on T-2 Days. Honestly is quite impressive how it managed to keep up pace with Fast X during the whole weekdays. 

So far is doing good enough to deliver somewhat decent numbers even if it's below first Joker opening. We'll see how walk-ins do.

Edited Saturday at 01:32 AM by Carlangonz

[Purple Minion]

Good $3.7M OW for Wild Robot, including $700K from last weekend previews. 

[Carlangonz]

3 hours ago, Purple Minion said:

Good $3.7M OW for Wild Robot, including $700K from last weekend previews. 

Little bit above $70M as expected. Could've been a bit higher but storms across the country depressed business; hopefully manages to leg above $250M.

[Purple Minion]

Another great 36% drop for Beetlejuice 2, total is now $17.1M and should pass KPA and Garfield in lc by next weekend.

[Carlangonz]

SEPTEMBER 26-29 WEEKEND.

1. The Wild Robot - $56.7M/$71.9M
2. Beetlejuice Beetlejuice - $27.8M/$338M (-37.1%)
3. The Substance - $18.8M/$39.7M (+67.86%)
4. Speak No Evil - $13.4M/$64.5M (-18.79%)
5. Don't Let Go - $7.8M 
6. Casi el Paraíso - $5.5M/$38.6M (-43.3%)
7. Transformers: One - $5.3M/$52.2M (-59.23%)
8. Jungkook: I Am Still - $4.5M/$48.3M (-79.26%)
9. 28th French Cinema Tour - $4.3M/$10.3M (+13.16%)
10. Look Back - $2M

Healthy opening across the chart ahead of the largest opening since July. Except for a holdover and a special event, everything else had a soft drop and some increases despite electric storms hitting in central and southern states.

Debuting oficially after early access last weekend; The Wild Robot does decent numbers and on par with expectations. Comps are a bit tricky because of early access shows but we'll see next weekend how it legs out. At this point $250M+ is the target to go but could definitely go higher with a strong WOM that remarks the emotional resonating of it.

Shock of the weekend, The Substance had tremendous weekdays climbing as high as No. 2 and increasing on its 2nd weekend! It has finished Sunday becoming Mubi's highest grosser ever surpassing Priscilla's $35M and aiming to break $70M and close to both Speak No Evil (another great hold and co-existing perfectly) and Longlegs. More of a shocker considering is a Rated-C; for this rating will end up not too far from Poor Things ($99M).

Beetlejuice Beetlejuice keeps holding great and will cross $350M before Joker opens. Let's see how it survives and pushes for $400M.