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I would have loved to see a surprise hit, but which April movie had a real chance to become it? Civil War, Monkey Man, Challengers and Abigail are not the kind of films that reach great mainstream audiences. And despite this, two of them had (or will have) solid openings for the type of films they were. The most disappointing opening was Abigail and I also expected better legs for Monkey Man.

I expect something around 65-70M for the weekend. (18-20M Challengers + 12-15M Unsung Hero + 35-40M holdovers) About 420M April total box office.

It's curious how a single trailer can turn the tide. Just a few weeks ago, there were even doubts about a 100M OW. Now, 1 billion WW is back on the menu. Right now, thinking 150/170M OW 400/420M DOM 1.1 billion WW

Sorry, I misunderstood it I agree. Hard to see a 600M+ WW grosser this May. Garfield has the strongest chance to cross that mark. Apes, if it's good it can come close. Furiosa and Fall Guy, I would say around 400M each WW.

Do you mean total gross for the month? I am underwhelmed by April's grosses, but still, May has some very possible hits. Not juggernauts hits, but 700M is doable. Right now, I would say Fall Guy gonna gross 120-140M, Apes around 125-150M, Furiosa & Garfield about 70-90M each. That's 385-450M range just with these 4 movies. Wildcards openers such as Tarot, Back to black, Strangers, Sight, If, and SWEp1 should add 150-200M. And then the holdovers + limited releases could help reach that 700M for the month. Nothing crazy, but still an improvement.

Why should The Fall Guy have strong presales 20 days before its opening? It's an original film, not a well-known franchise that fans will rush for. I expect presales to boost in last days with demand spreading all over the weekend, not just previews. Ryan Gosling & Emily Blunt in SNL should help increase GA awareness, not necesarily presales.

What would be a good result for both openers? Anyways... Jat's number is not official, so there's still hope & Cocaine Bear managed to open to 23M after 2M previews. So there will be still hope after previews are official

It's still early, especially for Monkey Man. I see that as a test of possible breakout thanks to legs more than big OW. Anyways, if Monkey Man opens to around 12-13M, it could reach 40-50M DOM, and that's quite solid for an actioner that was scheduled not long ago and without a star in front of it.

Batman singing... Not sure if I want to see that

Yeah, I meant domestic. Even if it disappoints, Joker 2 could gross about 400M worldwide From those predictions I would change Mufasa's becoming biggest WW film of the year, and replace it with Inside Out 2

Looking at April, it’s full of uncertainty. But in a fascinating way, IMHO. I like this kind of months, with many quality offers and original movies. I would say crossing 500M is the baseline, and match 2022’s 570M a very good end. Not fair to compare it with April 2023, when SMB exploded. Openers (275-325M) Monkey Man: 60-70M First Omen: 25-30M SUGA: 20-30M Civil War: 70-80M Ministry of Ungentlemenly Warfare: 15-20M Abigail: 35-40M Challengers: 10-15M Unsung Hero: 10M Rest of openers: 30M Holdovers (225M) GxK - 100M Ghostbusters: 35M Dune 2: 25M KFP4: 25M Rest: 40M

Bolded the probable final March grosses. Was too cautious with tentpoles and too optimistic with minor wide openers & holdovers. Anyways, good news this month. It will close to around 720M. Next week I will try to take a look at April.

That's a strong drop for Ghostbusters... Down to 43.6M OW

So close to 5M previews and we are already calling Ghostbusters a flop?

It was a No, no, no, no, no, no and barely yes Saaaad