So, I have been thinking lately, a lot of times, it is easy to guess what will win BP or what the big two or three films will be. We here about the film festivals and whatnot and critic reception. Then, there are the Guilds, and the Academy tried to get away with them last year, announcing nominees before the Guilds had a chance to announce their nominees. But, that backfired, and the Academy lacked the balls and went with the Guilds choices and picked Argo for BP.
But, even with the Guilds influence, I get the opinion that there are other influences much earlier. My question is what are these influences and what causes the Academy members to follow these influences like sheep. Who really decides what movies win and what movies are not worthy?