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Juby

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    AVENGERS ENDGAME | 1939.4 M overseas ● 2797.8 M worldwide

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    4 hours ago, Heroicpiglet said:

    The chart seems optimistic but I will take anything 

     

    Optimistic DOM prediction for sure.

     

    The movie is at $825M. The last two weekends were very close to Deadpool's 6th and 7th weekends (DP $8.01M and $4.9M, EG $8.04M and $4.87M). If the film will keep fallow similar pattern, it should be at around $830M by the end of the next weekend and later will add $8 million = $838M domestic. I don't think Spidey bumb will give Avengers another $8 million, more like $3 million to push it slightly over $840M mark.

     

    OS should finish just over $1.92B.

    • Like 3

    AVENGERS ENDGAME | 1939.4 M overseas ● 2797.8 M worldwide

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    Endgame's 7th weekend is $4.8M est. (-40%). Deadpool's 7th weekend was $4.9M (-39%) and Guardians of the Galaxy 2 7th weekend was $5.07M (-20%). Deadpool added another $13.7M after that weekend, GotG2 added almost $14.9M. Endgame might get some help by Spider-Man release in early July, so the film can add even $15M from now on. Ergo, $839.5M domestic is were the film heading. With slightly better legs, $840M is still possible,

     

    OS will add max. $15M, so $2.76B seems the limit now.

    • Like 1

    Terminator: Dark Fate | Nov 1 2019 | Estimated to lose 122.6M

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted

    11 hours ago, Crainy said:

    Only because you can link 3 bad youtube videos here doesnt mean the trailer wasnt received positively overall.

     

    Have You seen reaction on this forum? Or any other forum / site? Have You seen Collider conversation about the trailer? Grace Randolph live reaction? Or have You seen how many dislikes it has on official YouTube channel (55k)? This teaser received very negative buzz almost everywhere I checked, this videos are only examples.

    Terminator: Dark Fate | Nov 1 2019 | Estimated to lose 122.6M

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted

    Schwarzenegger: You will see it. But I don’t want to get too much into that at this point. I think the studio has learned from the last time that they gave too much away of the story, so they want to keep it more under wraps this time around. What I will say is I play a great T-800 again and it was fun to have Linda Hamilton back. The new team was willing to do the work in preparing. They worked their asses off in the gym, I helped them with their training, a lot of them. I was happy the trailer that came out had a huge impact and people responded positively.
    - Arnold Schwarzenegger

     

    Could someone write to Arnold to change his internet? Because he obviously don't know what he's talking about. :wacko:

     

     

     

    Positively :sarah:

    AVENGERS ENDGAME | 1939.4 M overseas ● 2797.8 M worldwide

    in International Box Office

    Posted · Edited by Juby

    First of all, You really don't have to quote ALL I"VE WRITTEN in that post, one-two sentences with X-Men should be enough.

     

    Second of all, Suicide Squad, BvS, and Transformers films had great OW with terrible reviews on RT. Even with 15% RT score, Dark Phoenix will easily get +$40M this weekend, and Pets should go over $60M, Godzilla will hit +$16M, Alladin +$20M, Rocketman $15M, and so on. . . Another big drop is inevitable.

     

    • Haha 1
    • Disbelief 2

    AVENGERS ENDGAME | 1939.4 M overseas ● 2797.8 M worldwide

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    17 hours ago, nguyenkhoi282 said:

    •‎6th
    -weekend (8) [-52%] = 815.7
    -‎weekdays (4) = 819.7

    •‎7th 
    -weekend (5.3) [-34%] = 825 <= Dark Phoenix
    -‎weekdays (2.7) = 827.7

    •‎8th 
    -weekend (3.6) [-32%] = 831.3 <= Men in Black
    -‎weekdays (2.1) = 833.4

    •‎9th (4.1) [-29%] = 837.5 <= Toy Story 4

    •‎10th (3) [-25%] = 840.5 <= Pre-Spider-Man

    •‎11th (3.5) [-0%] = 844 <= Far From Home

    •12th (2.5) [-33%] = 846.5 <= Post-Spider-Man

    •13th (2) [-20%] = 848.5 <= The Lion King

    •14th (1.5) [-25%] = 850

    => Final = $853M (2.40x multiplier), 859M with Labour Day Expansion

     

    A lot of "if" here. But historical data proved that it could be done.

     

    giphy.gif

     

    Look at the Monday numbers, man. By Thursday Endgame will be around $819.5M (or less), and this weekend X-Men and Pets arrives. One is the direct competition (PG-13, superhero, Marvel movie), the other is a film for the families, and both combined will generate a profit over $100M during this weekend. IW had only Ocean's 8 and Hereditary during its 7th weekend. Endgame is gonna drop hard again.

     

    In fact, except Memorial Day weekend, Endgame is keep dropping over 50% every freakin' weekend so far. I don't get it, why so many fans are still trying to convince themselves that the legs will start to be so much better (-34% drops or better! LOL). Not until Spider-Man in early July, sorry.

     

    By this Sunday, Avengers would be at around $823-823.5M, and maybe over $826M by the next Thursday. By the end of its 8th weekend it will be still under $830M (maybe even won't touch $829M). Your forecast is ridiculously optimistic. :rolleyes:

     

    • Like 5
    • Disbelief 1

    AVENGERS ENDGAME | 1939.4 M overseas ● 2797.8 M worldwide

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    2 hours ago, Omni said:

    The projected domestic total keeps decreasing (875 > 850/860 > 840/850 > 840 at best...), so I'll just trust the trend and say the movie will stop at 810M. Mark my words.

     

    Actually, Gitesh Pandya from BoxOfficeGuru has predicted $875-900M after Endgame's second weekend, $850M after the third weekend, ~$845M after the fourth, and around $835M 2 days ago. ;)

     

    http://www.boxofficeguru.com/weekend.htm

     

    @nguyenkhoi282

    Would You share with us, how Endgame can add another $29.3-34.3M domestic from now on, if You don't mind?

    Terminator: Dark Fate | Nov 1 2019 | Estimated to lose 122.6M

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted · Edited by Juby

    2 hours ago, justvision said:

    T1 is still in my top 10 action movies, and T2 in top 20. If the leak is true, I don't know how the Terminator fans would receive it, perhaps like TLJ to some SW fans?

     

    T1 and T2 are one of my favorites movies of all time, both in my Top7. The leaks sound very risky and very dumb, I'm not even sure if this film can be better than Genisys now. :whosad: Well, hope dies last.

    AVENGERS ENDGAME | 1939.4 M overseas ● 2797.8 M worldwide

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    4 minutes ago, john2000 said:

    not at all, you do know that a re expansion in labor day can give 6-10 million right ? even avengers 1 that had a re expansion then , added 7 million,

     

    First of all, The Avengers added $5.51M thanks to its Labor Day expansion. The second of all, the first Avengers had AMAZING legs, and Blu-ray release date was later, on September 25th. Endgame is going to earn less than 40K during the weekend before Labor Day and will go digital this August. Even if Disney decided to do some expansion at the end of the summer season, Endgame won't add even half of what Avengers added in September 2012.

    • Thanks 1
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