Juby
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Posts posted by Juby
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26 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:
Endgame
4.25
6.4
6.47 : 17.12
4.98 : 22.1
So Friday was better than Infinity War last year, but the rest a little bit lower. First decent hold since the second weekend for Endgame. Now lets see how it will survive Godzilla and Rocketman next weekend, X-Men and Pets a week later, and MiB4 and Shaft two weeks later, and so on. . .
So $803.4M yesterday for Endgame. Should be around at $808M by Thursday, maybe $816.5M by Sunday (-51% drop next weekend), slightly under $821M by the June 2nd, around $825M after its 7th weekend. Should cross $830 million in mid June. If Spider-Man premiere helps, it will finish with over $840M domestic, but if Disney do some double-features with The Lion King, even $850M is still possible.
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8 hours ago, meriodejaneiro said:
At this very same point last year, IW made also a 22M Memorial Day we, as Endgame has done. And IW added 51M domestic.
Why would Endgame add only 37M where IW added 53?
Because Inifnity War had better legs than Endgame? And weaker competition after Memorial Day last year?
Endgame has similar legs to Iron Man 3. IM3 also had Memorial Day weekend on May 24-27th, earn more $$$ during 3-day / 4 day weekend, and after that added around $36.2M domesti. With similar drops, Endgame may finish even slightly under $840 mln, but I think Spider-Man premiere will give the film couple of $$$ and it will be $841-845M.
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17 hours ago, stripe said:
Dark Fate won't bomb.
The same thing people were saying in 2015 before Genisys premiere.
My prediction after this (very bad) teaser trailer:
Opening weekend: $26 million
Domestic: $73 million
Overseas (-China): $205 million
China: $102 million
Worldwide: $380 million
Paramount has to do something (something great) in marketing for this film if they don't want to share Genisys' fate. Keeping saying this is the direct sequel to T2 (after two other direct sequels no one gives a shit anymore), showing Linda and James Cameron's name isn't enough. They must show the story, present the characters, just like Marvel did with Guardians of the Galaxy trailers. People will not go to see this film if they don't know what the story will be, and who are the new characters, and what happened to Sarah and Terminator for all this years. People won't go to see the film only because "it is another Terminator", cause this franchise failed them couple of times in the last 16 years.
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Now that's a good promotional picture.
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Is it fanart? Or is it official?
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10 hours ago, Deuce66 said:
Endgame breakdown by week
Domestic total est.: $827,765,488 : $830MChina: $615M est.
Foreign: $1.29B est.Total: $2.735 B est.
China is $629M.
Foreign could be lower, $1.285B.
Domestic should be higher, a little bit over $840M. Endgame will be over $2.755B worldwide.
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40 minutes ago, Omni said:
How could EG add those 57 millions where it's been holding worse than IW since weekend 2, when it has a lower 5th OS weekend and when it has to face strong direct competition on the weekends it's supposed to stabilize?
If Endgame survive and also add $57 million. IF!
18 minutes ago, nguyenkhoi282 said:Domestic range is 850-860M. So 2.765-2.780B is where it's heading.
No it's not. The best case scenario (with Infinity War legs) is $854-855M, but the film will probably finish with around $841-845M. It will drop hard next weeks, almost all June.
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Infinity War added $56.9M overseas (minus China) after its fifth weekend. If Endgame survive much stronger competition (Godzilla, X-Men, Pets, Toy Story, etc.) and also add $57 million from now on, it will finish with over $1.307B + $629.1M China (according to Deadline) = $1.936B OS. Avengers needs than at least $852M domestically to beat Avatar. So it still has a chance.
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5 hours ago, titanic2187 said:
How the hell original SW run is more impressive than Titanic? Not to downplay Original SW but that movie did 530m, overtaking Jaw's 410m by 30%, not like Titanic doubled the Jurassic Park record, i.e from 914m to 1.84b.
And SW stayed on top for 4-5 years, before surpassed by ET, and Titanic stayed on top for 12 years, as twice as longer than SW.
Those two metrics alone give Titanic an upper hand to be a more impressive run.
First of all, Star Wars was at $513M before the Special Edition in 1997 ($322,740,142 + $190,300,000 = $513,040,142), so it surpass Jaws not that much, and it did thanks to re-releases. The second of all, SW has never was #1 overseas! And the most of all, Star Wars were the highest grossing film at least 4 years and 7 months (don't know exactly, cause I can't find when E.T. become the most highest grossing film, in 1983 for sure, but it could be January as well as December), max. 5 years and 6 months.
Titanic's run is far more impressive than Star Wars, even domestically Titanic has much bigger original run in ticket sold. The only films You can compare to Titanic is Gone with the Wind and E.T..
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Yes, I know that. But in 2009 I didn't even noticed that there was a day break. But there was, 2 weeks off.
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Yep. It seems world record is safe.
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1 hour ago, Agafin said:
It would be quite funny if EG ends up higher than Avatar's first run ($2749m) but below the current number ($2787m) which includes the re-release. I wasn't tracking BO back in 2010 but those who did probably considered that re-release pretty pointless as it only added $30ish million to its gross. Who would have that it would end up helping Avatar keep its crown a decade later?
The same thing happened domestically in 2012 when The Avengers surpassed Titanic's original gross ($600m) becoming the first non-Cameron movie to do so, but ultimately failed to top Titanic thanks to the 3D release.
I didn't even remember that there was any break between Avatar's releases.
It was like one, long initial run, so I wouldn't give a damn when Endgame beats Avatar's original run.
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Iron Man 3 have added domestically over $36 million after Memorial Day. Endgame will be at $803.3 mln tomorrow, if it add similiar number, it will finish with around $840M, maybe a little bit more. +$631M from China, +$1.285B from the rest of the world = $2.76B worldwide.
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12 hours ago, JamesCameronScholar said:
I really like the new Terminator design.
This looks terrible! Like retarded T800 with no back of the skull.
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I don't. Looks blend, like T-300 from Genisys with some upgrades.
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The only good things about the trailer and the stills are Arnold and Linda. I hope the guys from collider are not wrong, and the film itself will be better, but Paramount just sucks in marketing. This teaser might be the worst trailer in the history of my the most beloved franchise.
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Final China number is $628.7 million.
Domestic will finish with $855 mln max.
Endgame needs at last $1.304B from the rest of the markets to beat Avatar.
Lets see how this weekend goes. . .
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1 hour ago, nguyenkhoi282 said:
Eh, still think 850M is possible, just not much more than that.
855 + 629 + 1301 = 2785
This is the very best case scenario for now.
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17 hours ago, Olive said:
AEG ends its run with 4238.7M yuan, 86.4M admissions.
When we will see the official final number in $$$?
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46 minutes ago, Elessar said:
What? This film is not yet rated.
Have You seen the trailer? Watch the fight between M. Davis and cops. No nudity, no swears, no blood, Sarah doesn't spoke anymore. This will be another PG-13 Terminator movie for sure.
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2 minutes ago, Darth Lehnsherr said:
F*ck Yoy, James. I don't trust You anymore.
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8 minutes ago, TMP said:
lol, why did they need to CGI him for this shot? Couldn't they have just green-screened him? Or put him on a wire or something?
The worst shot from the trailer! They could've just shot him in slo-mo on green screen (or even without it). This is some unnecessary shitty CG right there.
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It seems that T3: Rise of the Machines still be the best Terminator 3 for me.
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Damn
This looks only slightly better than Genishit. Of course PG-13! F*ck You James, f*ck You Miller.
Terminator: Dark Fate | Nov 1 2019 | Estimated to lose 122.6M
in Box Office Discussion
Posted
Why? The Sarah Connor Chronicles wasn't better than T3, Genisys wasn't better than T3, now this is the third atempt to do alternate T3 and I don't see any reaseons why this one could beat Mostow's film.