Juby

Not so hard to do. Black Panther isn't a very good movie.

$300.4m OS after the weekend.

No Ukraine release, no Belarus release, no Russia release. Terrible covid situation in South Korea and China. This Batman really didn't have much luck, did he? Will be lucky to cross $400m OS. Month ago it would have gross maybe +100 million more.

The Batman once again is underestimated. No way Sunday was smaller than Friday, 3rd weekend will be over $37 million. After 17 days: The Batman +$300.09m Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 $301.39m Captain Marvel $320.75m The Bat has better weekend holds and better 3rd weekend than GotG2 and CM. I think $390m is locked at this point with still good shot for $400m.

https://deadline.com/2022/03/the-batman-china-box-office-1234981966/ $30.5m in China? Damn, it should be like x3 more.

The same portal 2 days ago predicted $339m final for The Batman, and now they're predicting the movie will be about $310m this Sunday? Wtf?

Me too.

Because there's no trailer (or even one promotional photo) released yet and the third re-shoots are underway. And because Disney won't finish BP2 for this November. They'll move Thor for Nov 4th or nov 11th and start marketing with Strange, mark my words. My current counter-predictions for the-numbers list: Jurassic World: Dominion $340m The Batman $390m Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness $410m Thor: Love and Thunder $410m Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (probably Feb 2023) Lightyear $320m Minions: The Rise of Gru $210m Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse $270m Avatar 2 $500m (Dec 16th - Jan 1st) Top Gun: Maverick $210m I don't see any other +$200m in 2022, but Morbius, Sonic 2, Black Adam and Shazam! 2 might surprise me.

Full article: https://www.the-numbers.com/news/251510830-2022-market-prediction-The-Batmans-big-opening-ushers-in-a-model-change-and-an-increase-in-our-forecast-for-the-year Predicting $339m for The Batman at the moment is ridiculous. The movie will be around $300m this Sunday, and $340m by the end of March. Even funnier thing is that he's predicted only $200m for The Batman before its release (that's why Batman wasn't included in previous 2022 forecasts on the list with +$230m domestic grossers). I don't feel the hype for another Jurassic film, but without Black Adam this summer and after delaying Thor (which I believe is a matter of days) I think +500m isn't impossible after all.

It's still hard to say. If the 3rd weekend ends up over $35 million (which I believe it will) and The Batman domestic gross will be over $301.4m (very probable) after 17 days, than he'll be ahead of Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (= $389.8m DOM) with better holds during week days and weekends. So +$390m seems locked at this point, but we can't be sure how much HBO Max premiere will effect on film's legs.

I need to re-watch Matt Reeves' film (probably two times, one with director's commentary), but for now : 1. Batman Begins (still the best) 2. The Dark Knight 3. Batman (1989) 4. Batman Returns / The Batman . . .

Amazing hold! The Batman 2nd weekend is bigger than every opening weekend of all previous Batman films. It will beat TDK on Monday.

Current trajectory for The Batman is $380-410m. I hope HBO Max release won't effect on film's run that much and this new Batman will pass Wonder Woman as the third highest grossig film for WB (right behind two Dark Knight movies).

Damn, Asia really don't feel Batman + covid will kill $1bn dream. I don't see even $900m ww at this point.

Batman's 2nd weekend will be very close to Captain Marvel 2nd weekend (+$66m to $68m/-55,7%). CM add almost $162 million to its domestic gross after that. The Batman would finish at $400.5m with another $162m, but I don't think it will do that well. CM had a great boost due to Avengers: Endgame release, while The Batman will drop harder than ever after HBO Max premiere in April, or May 6th when Doctor Strange hits the theaters. $400m would be very, very hard to achieve, but I believe Batman has a good shot to beat last Potter film ($381m).

The third re-shoots are on the way. Zero marketing at this point (with less than 4 months to release date). I think Disney will move it to the previous The Flash release date and BP:WF to 2023.

Don't be surprise if Disney push Thor to November 4th or 11th release date and move Wakanda Forever to 2023.

With good legs, i think it might finish over $400m in those markets. Lets hope Japan and Chine will add to that another +100m.

Can someone change the name of the topic? If The Batman tops It Chapter One OW then it is NOT the biggest WB opening since IT, it is the biggest since Suicide Squad (2016). And how The Batman can be the first +100m non-Disney opener? Spider-Man: No Way Home (Sony!) OW was $260m 3 months ago. Anyway, great domestic opening for The Batman. Shame the rest of the world didn't add that much. Maybe Japan and China will help.

All Batman films in Poland [admission] : Batman (07.09.1990) - 701 880 Batman Forever (22.09.1995) - 438 512 Batman & Robin (01.08.1997) - 219 249 or 221 016 Batman Begins (29.07.2005) - 197 962 (68 copies of the film) The Dark Knight (08.08.2008) - 520 091 (opening: 110 168 /126 681 with previews/ 80 copies) The Dark Knight Rises (27.07.2012) - 684 543 (opening: 158 581 / 207 copies) Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice (1.04.2016) - 414 544 (opening: 119 237 / 365 copies) Batman: The Killing Joke (19.08.2016) - 3173 The LEGO Batman Movie (10.02.2017) - 628 480 (opening: 147 984 /198 644 with previews/ 249 copies) Spin-offs: Catwoman (03.09.2004) - 17 521 (50 copies) Suicide Squad (05.08.2016) - 773 920 (opening: 171 512 / 248 copies) Justice League (17.11.2017) - 314 093 (opening: 107 173 /110 235 with previews/ 209 copies) Joker (04.10.2019) - 1 954 335 or 1 971 696 (opening: 271 277 / 316 copies) « the biggest comic book movie of all time in Poland. There were no pre-premiere screenings of The Batman.

The Batman Warner Bros. $150,000,000* $150,000,000 ~4,300 NEW https://www.boxofficepro.com/weekend-box-office-forecast-the-batman-paces-for-second-100m-pandemic-debut-with-potential-for-much-more/

The Lion King has never crossed $1bn ww. The new BoxOfficeMojo is full of bullshit numbers and have so many errors (last week their put over $1bn for King Richard (2021) LOL). TLK during it's original run was about $456m OS / $768m WW, not $545.7m OS. They've added every re-releases to its first run and later mentioned them again. Mojo isn't reliable source anymore.

No Russia, no Ukraine and minus some procent from Europe markets because of moods. The Batman will be at least -$20m OS than it could have been if there's no war.

And? 2022 will be still no more than 70% of 2019 gross. Things change. Aquaman 2 even without covid wouldn't be a sure 1bn-grosser. The first one did great because of lack of competition and he perfectly filled the gap between the two Star Wars movies (Dec 2017 and Dec 2019). AQ2 will be 9th superhero film this year, 4th from DC, and will be released against "Avatar 2"! And the first AQ isn't very beloved movie. $800m for AQ2 will be amazing for WB.

Nope. Except No Way Home there was like zero (ZERO!!) films in the last two years that open +$100m and have +$230m domestic, and only 2 Hollywood films with +$700m ww. How in the hell making 125/350/700 would be underperdomance? Those numbers would be awesome for the new Batman reboot.