Jump to content

code65536

Free Account
  • Posts

    253
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by code65536

  1. Has Lionsgate (or any other non-major) ever had three films in the top 10 before?
  2. Wow, a very close race for places 2/3, for 4/5, for 6/7, and for 8/9. And those first two races could be lumped into one fairly close race for 2 thru 5.
  3. Pun intended? LOL. And up $2 from the day before. Makes you wonder if, with numbers this small, someone might fudge a dollar or two to try to get that. So that's 3 weeks in a row that we've had "666" in prominent (THG) or ironic (JHC) places.
  4. It would be so awesome if it could cling onto that #3.Edit: And boxoffice.com's weekend forecast also slots THG in #3.
  5. Wednesday was 0.94M (and ERC reported it as 1M).
  6. I agree. And their reasoning seems suspect. Poor Twitter activity? I don't think that's the genre of movie that generates much Twitter activity.
  7. So it looks like THG will make around 18.7M for its 5th week, give or take 0.1M (I prefer doing weeks instead of weekends). That's around a 30% week-to-week drop (the previous two week-to-week drops were around 42%). With the IMAX re-release, I think another 30% drop for the upcoming week is reasonable. Scenario 1: So if we extrapolate this forward (30% week-to-week drops from here on out), then it'll hit 400M some time during the 12th week and close around 405M. Scenario 2: If we make the TA opening week drop 40% (but keep all other weekly drops at 30%), then it'll hit 400M after week 18 and close just a wee bit over 400M. Scenario 3: If we make the TA opening week drop 40% and make all subsequent drops 35%, then it'll close a bit under 397M. Scenario 4: IMAX doesn't help much, and next week drops 35%. Avengers takes a big bite and THG drops 45% during the TA opening week, and all subsequent drops are 40%. In this case, THG will close around 390M. I used to be on the 400M-is-too-remote bandwagon, but now...
  8. Actually, it's the fourth time (or the second time, if you don't count Easter Thursday/Monday). First time would be Thursday, Apr. 12.Edit: blackspider beat me by a few seconds.
  9. THG's been pretty consistent with respect to Tuesday being its strongest weekday. The only exceptions have been times when, as expected, another day is inflated (Monday after OW, Thursday/Monday before/after Easter).
  10. I liked the Japanese trailer the best. It actually told me what the film is about and made me definitely want to see it, whereas all the other US trailers (including the latest one) merely piqued my interest.
  11. Esp. since it'll be coming off of an IMAX-inflated weekend.
  12. THG has by-order-of-appearance credits.
  13. In true Lionsgate fashion, THG's underestimation was the third-smallest of the top 13 (surpassed only by Titanic and the overestimates TLO). And LGF overestimated both Friday and Saturday, and if it were not for the unexpected rise on Sunday, LGF would've had a 5th straight week of overestimation.So... what the heck is up with this Sunday bump?The Sunday estimate-vs-actual difference, as a percentage of the overall weekend's estimate-vs-actual difference: 109% - TLAM 99% - TLO (virtually all of its overestimation came from an overestimate of Sunday)152% - THG 90% - Chimp 99% - Stooges 76% - Cabin 10% - AR831% - Titanic (its Friday/Saturday were very overestimated)139% - 21JS 52% - MM129% - Wrath 86% - LockoutWith only a few exceptions, the lion's share of the over-/underestimates could be attributed to getting Sunday wrong. Was there something that happened this past Sunday...?
  14. Remember, THG finished last weekend with 336,666,363, so two "666"s in a row.
  15. Whoa, Cabin... from 7,750,000 to 8,016,075!
  16. $14,666,007 THG... another "666" number
  17. I hear the Puerto Rican movie market is heating up this summer.
  18. They say in the film that the requirements are different in every culture. If you watch an American horror movie, you have certain expectations. Whereas if you watch a Japanese horror movie, you have a different set of expectations.
  19. Well, I very much would love to see it cross $400M (read the trilogy in one weekend last year, went to a midnight screening, etc.), but I'm very wary of getting my hopes up.
  20. The problem is the weekday. The weekdays continue to disappoint (those Monday drops!), while the weekends exceed expectations. I think we're just seeing weekday business shifting to the weekend...
  21. Sadly, I agree. My calculations yesterday came to pretty much the same conclusion. I don't think the 14.9 14.5 14.2 really changes the prospects as much as people are hoping.
  22. So... 14.9 Nikki, down to 14.5 Lionsgate... which, given past performance, means 14.2 actual...
  23. It's also their first 150M film in history. First 200M. First 250M. First 300M. First 350M.
  24. No, she moved to that big hole underneath the Cabin...
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.