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Burgess

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Everything posted by Burgess

  1. Burgess
    Is $950M WW possible before Skyfall's China debut?
  2. Burgess
    Only Thunderball is above $1B. Goldfinger is $950+, I believe. Here is the list of adjusted figures for all the Bond films from the forums of MI6-HQ.COM One notable exclusion from this list is Never Say Never Again
  3. Burgess
    Hopefully, the Japanese box office follows Russia and we see a significant increase for Skyfall over QOS.
  4. Burgess
    Oh, OK. I had no idea.
  5. Burgess
    I don't know the significance of the release dates but QOS was released in Japan on 01/24/2009, which was also a Saturday.
  6. Burgess
    Thunderball.
  7. Burgess
    One billion is really within sight; unexpected but amazing. Bond deserves this.
  8. Burgess
    I believe that Skyfall will, at least, be within $50M - $60M of $1B by the time it opens in China. If Skyfall performs better than expected in North America, Australia or Japan then Skyfall will be closer than that come its China debut.
  9. Burgess
    Let us not forget about the small but significant $3-4M that will come from South Africa. Skyfall opens on 11/30 in that country.
  10. Burgess
    I noticed that in the HR article as well. The remaining unreported OS markets are handled by MGM; I think some of the smaller European countries. If the HR article is accurate then Skyfall's OS gross could increase by $2M - $5M. We will see what happens by afternoon tomorrow.
  11. Burgess
    It just hit me that Skyfall will be SONY's most successful film WW and OS.
  12. Burgess
    Skyfall needs $300M DOM and $700M OS to reach a billion WW. $700M - $750M OS is locked. $300M DOM may not happen but, hopefully, any amount Skyfall makes over $700M OS will cover the DOM gap.
  13. Burgess
    Skyfall has three weeks until The Hobbit so, that's quite a bit of time to close the gap to one billion dollars. Hopefully, Skyfall doesn't hemorrhage theaters before Christmas.
  14. Burgess
    The exact release date has yet to be confirmed for China but its expected to debut in either mid to late January or early February. I think the lowest domestic gross we can expect for Skyfall is $275M; the ceiling is $305M - $310M.
  15. Burgess
    Is one billion possible without China? How close can the film come to one billion before its Chinese debut?
  16. Burgess
    So, can we expect Skyfall's WW total to be around $850 by next Sunday?Domestic: $221M (current) + $8M (11/26 - 11/29) + $20M (11/30 - 12/2) = $249MInternational: $568M (current) + $20 m (11/26 - 11/29) + $20M (11/30 - 12/2) = $608M
  17. Burgess
    I hope it shakes out that way
  18. Burgess
    I just saw that it was and I thought the exact same thing.
  19. Burgess
    While, Skyfall is doing amazing international numbers, unfortunately, it is performing like a Bond film in the United States. Skyfall will end its U.S. run with a nice $200M+ gross but the compelling story is in the UK and Europe. What is most important is that Skyfall continues the Bond film streak of increasing domestic grosses; Skyfall is a stepping stone in the U.S.
  20. Burgess
    What do you think the chances are that Skyfall beats Avatar as the UK's number one film?
  21. Burgess
    I'm not sure how the demographic numbers breakdown. I'm just throwing ideas against the wall and seeing what sticks.
  22. Burgess
    Overall, this weekends box office is lower than anticipated but there doesn't seem to be a clear reason as to why. Could the Tuesday release of Call Of Duty: Black OPS II be affecting movie attendance? COD is a massively popular multilayer death match game that appeals to much of the same demographics as Twilight and Bond.
  23. Burgess
    Sony is definitely low balling the Sunday drop. Today is a national holiday and tomorrow the holiday will be observed.
  24. Burgess
    Skyfall's opening weekend is an estimated 30% higher than Quantum Of Solace. If that percentage holds then Skyfall will reach $218M DOM.
  25. Burgess
    $80M+ is still in play. The Deadline Hollywood article points out that for Quantum Of Solace only had a -4% Friday to Saturday drop. QOS had a steep drop of 43% on Sunday, but I think negative WOM is to blame. If Skyfall grossed $33M Friday then a -4% gross would put Saturday's number around 31M. Assuming that Skyfall's Saturday to Sunday drop is 25%, then Sunday's gross would be about $23M.$33M+$31M+$23M=$87MSkyfall could have a 10% drop from Friday to Saturday and a 20% drop from Saturday to Sunday and still make $85M
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