BoxOfficeFangrl

The format definitely has supporters among awards fans. I am not one of them, they can leave the gushy actor tributes to lifetime achievement awards and film festivals.

BOM used to have an awards section with charts showing how much the Best Picture nominees made before the nominations, between nominations and Oscar night, then after the ceremony. It also charted the box office of the acting nominees. Awards season used to be a big box office boost for weeks/months. There was no rush to get it over with in January. Now the theatrical window is shorter and moviegoing habits have changed and even a good modern Best Picture boost isn't what it used to be. And some nominees are streaming exclusives, with no official box office. Even Oppenheimer is on a streaming service now, though it's still in some theaters. If it wins, it will get a boost in VOD rentals from people who don't have Peacock, and Blu-ray sales. That's still revenue to Universal.

Ran the 90s-early 2000s Best Picture winners through an inflation calculator. Not ideal but the pandemic and PLF kind of ruined the ticket price adjustment tools. Adjusted Totals (Domestic) Chicago: $292.6m – #10 of 2002 A Beautiful Mind: $292.5m – #11 of 2001 Gladiator: $336.2m – #4 of 2000 American Beauty: $240.8m – #13 of 1999 Shakespeare in Love: $189.8m – #18 of 1998 Titanic: $1.154b (original release) – #1 of 1997 The English Patient: $154.7m – #19 of 1996 Braveheart: $153m – #18 of 1995 Forrest Gump: $686.1m – #1 of 1994 Schindler's List: $205m – #9 of 1993 Unforgiven: $222.4m – #11 of 1992 The Silence of the Lambs: $296.1m – #4 of 1991 Dances with Wolves: $434.7m – #3 of 1990 None of the winners since RotK have finished in the Top 10 of the year and The King's Speech is the last BP winner to be in the annual (DOM) Top 20 (#18). If it happens, an Oppenheimer win would be a real throwback. Popular movies still get nominated and even win acting and craft awards but not the big one.

They gave Nolan an honorary César earlier in the ceremony so it freed them up to award another film. Marion Cotillard presented it so I guess she forgave him for that scene in The Dark Knight Rises. Sandra's speech (she gave it in French):

I took the $20 million figure to be for exhibition and the awards campaign costs over the life of its domestic theatrical release (roughly September-October 2019 to March 2020). Awards campaigns are also advertising and rack up tens of millions of dollars, but the timeframe of the spending is different for a prestige movie, more spread out to after the release date compared to blockbusters. That way if it flops in 30 theaters and the later reviews tank, the studio can forgo a wider release and minimize spending on the awards campaign. If it does well, there's money left over to do Q&A screenings around the world and "for your consideration" ads when the award shows start up. Netflix reportedly spent $30 million on Roma's campaign and that was only ever a very limited theatrical release. Box Office Mojo, The Numbers and Wikipedia have slightly different numbers for Parasite's overall box office but it's in the $250-265 million range. Neon was only the domestic distributor though.

I remember hearing years ago that Neon hadn't spent a ton on Parasite. It got to 2,000 theaters at its widest release (the weekend after the Oscars). Many modern awards campaigns are reportedly far more expensive than $20 million, which shows how much genuine enthusiasm and organic hype can do for a film.

It seems like they mixed religion and politics into one question, because 'Merica, I guess? Overall it's very informative but the answers now are probably much different.

Interesting demographic information in the Deadline writeup. Did we know they polled audience marital status?

When performance enhancing drugs don't even work, SMH... Raiders' Jimmy Garoppolo suspended 2 games for violating NFL PED policy; Vegas set to release QB, per report

Metropolis by way of Thierry Mugler. Hope Anya doesn't end up regretting that outfit...

Critics love Walk Hard and have grown to hate conventional musician biopics, especially after Bohemian Rhapsody made $900 million and won 4 Oscars. They want a "reinvention" of the genre, like Rocketman being an actual proper musical, or at least the actors doing their own singing because that's not the dreaded "mimicry". If the Bob Marley movie was entirely set in a recording studio for the making of one specific album, critics would probably rave about how "refreshing" it was not to be a cradle-to-grave biopic. But general audiences actually like that sort of thing for movies about musicians. They want a live-action PG-13 Wikipedia summary set to well-known music, starring someone with a decent-to-strong resemblance to the real celebrity. Unless it's "too soon" after a star's tragic death, then the biopic will get shunned at the box office.

I followed music charts when I was younger, Legend (Bob Marley and the Wailers' greatest hits album) was a steady seller on the Billboard album charts well into the 2000s and 2010s. Even in the 2020s a resort chain like Sandals was using "One Love" in their ads. Marley is like Queen where people too young for their heyday have still been exposed to more of the music than they realize. I think the Amy Winehouse movie will run into "too soon, they're exploiting her" problems. The movie's production has her father's involvement and her fans dislike him, think he was not a good parent to her in life and is flogging her memory for money. There's skepticism about the Amy casting. Sam Taylor-Johnson is directing so Twitter will hate it. Yeah, lots of Bob Marley posters in American college dorm rooms.

Pair him with Elizabeth Debicki! But I have heard this before, about other actors including Armie Hammer (who obviously had bigger issues). The theory is that most leading men are not 6'5" so they don't want to share the screen and look "puny" next to this younger more virile dude. So the very tall guys get relegated to tall guy roles or their careers just lose heat. The inflection point for male actors is like 6'2" or 6'3", above that actors will start lying about their heights the other way. If a guy is shorter than average, he can either own it or wear lifts.

It was a teaser during the Super Bowl. Even if you hadn't heard of the stage show, Wicked is clearly a take on the Oz story and the most famous movie version of it is also a musical. I think there'd be less fuss about the teaser lacking singing, if it weren't for the recent advertising for Wonka and Mean Girls. With music movies, the campaign tries to build up some anticipation for the biggest songs. This is literally the first official footage for a movie not being released for another 9 months. I doubt that Universal will spend the entire time until November hiding that there's singing in the movie starring Ariana Grande and Cynthia Erivo.

The Oscars luncheon was held yesterday, complete with the class photo of the nominees. Reports vary on which stars got the most applause though it seems the biggest sensation was the dog from Anatomy of a Fall.

There's popular on streaming and there's Moana: It's always showing up on the streaming charts but didn't realize it had only gotten bigger each year. I remember the Bridgerton musical and Barlow/Bear aren't a bad choice if they couldn't get Lin back. Emily Bear is 22 years old, by the way (DOB August 30, 2001).

Per Variety, AMPAS has had a Casting Directors Branch since 2013 and it has about 160 members now. I think awarding voice work can get into a gray area because part of the response to those characters is more about the animation/VFX. Sometimes it's more than one person doing the voice or motion capture for a character, like with Rocket Raccoon. The rules could clear up the nomination parameters I guess.

I feel the intention of the award and the way people will vote probably won't be the same. I suppose that is true of many categories, so... Stunt/dance choreography category next?

Directs a pretty straightforward Bluey or Cocomelon movie Completes his World War II film trilogy with a Rosie the Riveter musical comedy Standard musician biopic of Liza Minnelli complete with lip syncing (bonus points for angering the Gaga stans by not casting her)

Extremely unlikely but Nolan can do a Fabelmans/Marriage Story about his life with Woody, Matthew McConaughey and Josh Lucas as the brothers. But seriously I think Nolan's next movie depends on how well he and Oppenheimer do at the Oscars. Never went to film school, have only seen many Twitter discussions of professors despairing that most students think everything before 2000 is "old" and just aspire to make MCU movies or be YouTubers...

The broadest definition of "nepo baby" is "anyone whose parent(s) have a blue link on Wikipedia". Except Woody Harrelson, lol. He's got to make a movie with Nolan someday so they can bond about their allegedly sketchy family members.

She's also been dating Austin Butler for two years so that probably helps. Cindy Crawford tried acting for a minute back in the day but wasn't very good at it. Unfortunate if Kaia takes after her mother that way...

They said they were going to go there. I doubt you get Miles Teller to play some totally insignificant guy...

Darn, they could have rivaled Taylor and Travis...