[C’MON BARBIE LET'S GO PARTY...AT LOS ALAMOS | BARBENHEIMER WEEKEND THREAD | We’re Thriving in our Plastic Fantastic Era | Mother Mothered with 162M | Daddy Exploded with 82.4M]

1 hour ago, Cap said:

Where are my numbers?

7.5 and 17.5

😏

 

[C’MON BARBIE LET'S GO PARTY...AT LOS ALAMOS | BARBENHEIMER WEEKEND THREAD | We’re Thriving in our Plastic Fantastic Era | Mother Mothered with 162M | Daddy Exploded with 82.4M]

A handful of movies I've seen 3x in theaters, and one of those I actually found the tickets when I was cleaning out some old stuff a couple months ago:

Gone in 60 seconds, 3x back in the summer of 2000.

[Barbenheimer — Domestic Opening Weekend Contest!!]

Opp:   62250250

Barb: 152750750 

__________________

     $215,001,000

 

 

 

[C’MON BARBIE LET'S GO PARTY...AT LOS ALAMOS | BARBENHEIMER WEEKEND THREAD | We’re Thriving in our Plastic Fantastic Era | Mother Mothered with 162M | Daddy Exploded with 82.4M]

Before 2020 I watched around 20-25 movies in theaters each year. Last year was 8, this year only MI7 so far, but I have plans for both this weekend's releases so that'll be 3.

[OPPENHEIMER | 642.6M overseas | 972.4M worldwide]

I'll throw out a guess of low 300s, inflation and imax/plf carrying it into the same range as dunkirk.

[C’MON BARBIE LET'S GO PARTY...AT LOS ALAMOS | BARBENHEIMER WEEKEND THREAD | We’re Thriving in our Plastic Fantastic Era | Mother Mothered with 162M | Daddy Exploded with 82.4M]

Avatar 2 weekend thread: 177 pages

Flash/Elemental thread: 155

There are a few in the low 100s including NWH. 

 

Barbenheimer: ????

[Weekday Numbers | Jul 17 - 20 | Wednesday | 4.74M M:I - DEAD RECKONING I | 4.72M SOUND OF FREEDOM]

49 minutes ago, M37 said:

Keep in mind that it played EA shows last Monday, and full preview on Tue, so some of the typical weekday audience already had a bite at the apple, unlike a usual first Monday 

 

The number that matters is Wed

Wed could come in close to Monday, but Thurs will drop significantly. Under 4m for sure, possibly as low as 3m? We'll see.

[TOM CRUISE LOVES HIS POPCORN. MOVIES. POPCORN: THE WEEKEND THREAD | We are just waiting for Barbenheimer here]

1 hour ago, TwoMisfits said:

I'm just thinking a weekend with...

Barbie $112M, Oppy $51M, and the rest at $70M is gonna cause some folks to look for the nearest bridge as I see numbers go higher and higher.

 

Note, I'm not saying these are the numbers - giving final numbers before final sets tends to be a fool's errand...but right now...there's a lot of optimism, where outside of SoF, we haven't had any since Spidey...

I'm in a club for both Openers next weekend to be higher but that's a stretch goal, this is a pretty reasonable expectation for both

[TOM CRUISE LOVES HIS POPCORN. MOVIES. POPCORN: THE WEEKEND THREAD | We are just waiting for Barbenheimer here]

42 minutes ago, WorkingonaName said:

If Barbieheimer over 200 page count???

I'll be contributing. MI7 and barbenheimer are why I paid for a couple months here on BOT, to actually be able to load pages. 

 

So yeah, whatever the posting equivalent of "you have my ax" is...

 

You have my poasts

And my likes

And my reaction gifs

And my shitposts

....

[TOM CRUISE LOVES HIS POPCORN. MOVIES. POPCORN: THE WEEKEND THREAD | We are just waiting for Barbenheimer here]

The talk about box office being bad this year or this summer doesn't have any bearing in reality. Every month has been roughly flat or well ahead of last year up until July. 

 

Jan 2023 almost 200m ahead of 2022.

Feb +130m.

March +50m

April +300m

May 2023 was only 12m under May 2022.

June 2023  +35m over 2022

 

July is significantly behind month-to-date but that's only bc the big movies last year were at the beginning of the month, this year they're coming near the end and will play strong past labor day weekend which I think will make August this year play much stronger than last years August.

Last year the big movie was a plf heavy movie while this year it was an animated one, which I think likely means a lower overall share for plf this year and thus (marginally) higher admissions relative to revenue.

 

The overall box office recovery is still going well....

 

(overly rehashed argument hidden)

 

Spoiler

But...

It's never going back to what it was. Like many I think the primary cause is the lack of a well defined window like we had on the 2000s. Used to be like 6 months before you could buy or rent a physical copy, 12-18 months before it went on cable, and many years to get to network TV. Now it's 2 or 3 months to streaming? You don't even have to leave your house and you get something in effect cheaper than a trip to blockbuster. I'm surprised executives are as blind to this as they seem to be. 

 

[TOM CRUISE LOVES HIS POPCORN. MOVIES. POPCORN: THE WEEKEND THREAD | We are just waiting for Barbenheimer here]

MI7, barbie and Opp will all three leg it out during August and well into September to keep those months even or above last year's level. So all in all this year will stay well over last year up to october. From there on it's anyone's guess. But so far the year has been a great year overall for box office recovery. 

[TOM CRUISE LOVES HIS POPCORN. MOVIES. POPCORN: THE WEEKEND THREAD | We are just waiting for Barbenheimer here]

I enjoyed MI7 quite a bit, and if it does actually hit 16m that's quite good I think, more than 90% over Thursday.

[Weekday numbers July 10-13]

Before hand very reasonable to expect the quality of the series and a marginal TG2 effect to take this one a step above fallout. But the super sequel effect seems to be stronger. Which will dominate with MI8? Anyone's guess, I could see it going either way.

[Weekday numbers July 10-13]

Just now, BadOlCatSylvester said:

The worst part about this underperformance, and what scares me the most, is the fact that Part Two hasn't finished filming yet. What's stopping Paramount from panicking and ordering radical Josstice-style reshoots once these strikes end?

Ethan: This isn't the plan!

Benji: No, this is the team.

Luther: Pet cemetery?

[Weekday numbers July 10-13]

Is there a chance it stays close-ish to flat today? 7.5 or higher I'd say qualifies considering Wed was the "opening" day

[Weekday numbers July 10-13]

Lump Sun-Thurs all into previews = 20m+ with a 6x multi gives 120+ OW for mi7. That's more like it. 

[Weekday numbers July 10-13]

It is weird. I don't think it's overly optimistic to expect m:i7 to at the very least retain Fallout's audience (meaning fallout gross +inflation) on the strength of the franchise so far, the movie's own merits, and also TG2 reinforcing the idea of a tom cruise action movie being a fun time at the theater. It's early though, we'll see. 

[The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread]

That $2 million and change is really just paramount giving back from the Transformers 4 OW

[Weekday numbers July 10-13]

5 minutes ago, Michael Gary Scott said:

Yeah but at least Ethan is a trained spy Dom is just supposed to be a normal guy lol

Normal? No no no, he's a family man

[The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread]

Yeah seems very unlikely they'd give that kind of detail. Someone else speculated they'll use the Sun/Mon revenue to boost the weekend if necessary to get it above the previous M:I entries.

[Weekday numbers July 10-13]

Doom posting > reasonable posting

Thread page count is that really matters here, let's pump these numbers up.

[Weekday numbers July 10-13]

1 hour ago, TalismanRing said:

 

5 days with 2 days of previews.  It's a UK "weekend" like "record"

 

1, 2 and 4 were also midweek openers, so for this franchise at least not that unusual. 

[Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part 1 | July 12 2023 | 99% on Rotten Tomatoes! | 290M budget so far, Cruise holding Paramount hostage for more money]

1 hour ago, Mojoguy said:

TGM is not reality. Maverick would have been kicked out of the Air Force a long time ago, the older you get the worst you get at flying jets, and anyone Cruise's age would not have Jennifer Connelly as a love interest.

 

It's more fantasy than the wizards and orcs in LOTR.

He'd have to join the air force first before the can get kicked out

[The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread]

49 minutes ago, Bob Train said:

They should've just moved MI7 up to this weekend if they wanted more IMAX

When they scheduled it they were thinking more distance from indi5 would help compared to distance from barbenheimer. Looks like a mistake now but at the time it was a good decision.

[The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread]

Does he have any other source for presales besides this thread, when he was posting here he didn't bring anything new to the table