BenedictL11
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Everything posted by BenedictL11
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$100M Overseas is still on the table. Brazil's opening was 49% better than Get Out. Japan, Italy, Hong Kong, Russia, Mexico, China, and Korea are still countries left to release. -
Unless its actuals go down big, at least BD's opening was 20% better than Lights Out and on par with Ghostbusters. Could've been better but could've been worse, too.
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brazil Brazil Box Office Thread
BenedictL11 replied to Fullbuster's topic in International Box Office
BD's opening in Brazil was also 49% above Get Out. -
What about Baby Driver?
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
BenedictL11 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Hoping Emoji opens below Underpants -
Release Dates Discussion | Avengers Endgame 2019
BenedictL11 replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
I'm new to China Box Office. Any predictions on how Baby Driver will do? I'm hoping it will be around $35M USD. -
Such a shame for BD. Worse than Rough Night. So disgusting that people would watch that crap over a classic movie. #ByeFelicia to those losers.
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brazil Brazil Box Office Thread
BenedictL11 replied to Fullbuster's topic in International Box Office
How is it tracking so far at the box office? -
brazil Brazil Box Office Thread
BenedictL11 replied to Fullbuster's topic in International Box Office
Any predictions for Baby Driver's box office potential in Brazil? -
Assuming actuals will be close to Friday and Saturday's estimates and assuming it gets a $8.56M Sunday, its Sunday drop will be closer to 23%
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Having China release helps its chances getting there!!
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
BenedictL11 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Last night on MT: Dunkirk 31.9% GT 15.5% Tonight's final update: Dunkirk 29.3% GT 15.1% Based on these MT numbers, it wouldn't surprise me if actuals beat its estimates for both of them. -
Don't be surprised if Girls Trip goes up in actuals vs. estimates for its opening weekend. I have been seeing as many sell-outs (and across social media), if not more than yesterday across many theaters in my area.
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BORreport from Twitter is reported a $30.37 estimated weekend for Girls Trip!!! YAY! IF RTH's Saturday number holds, Universal is estimating a 30% Sunday drop. I wouldn't be surprised if it was closer to $31M in actuals if that happens.
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Love your analysis. Baby Driver did survive its worst competition yet with Dunkirk and Girls Trip. No other film will hurt it for the rest of the summer. $100m total will happen.
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Do you have a Saturday guess for Girls Trip? I'm thinking $10M.
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Thanks for the info. Anything on Baby Driver?
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Tysm!!! Anything on Girls Trip?
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For sure. Just like when Cars 3 got an A but its legs were horrible.
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Girls Trip did indeed do very well. However, if its final Friday is still at $13M, that would be so good considering it only got $1.7 previews. The OW would be closer to $30m+ in this case. Plus, the strong WOM and lackluster competition for the rest of the summer will help it get great legs.
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I was shocked, too. I thought it would either get a B or B+ based on the divisive reaction.
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if the 20M stays. Saturday will be its true test to see where its legs go. As long as it stays above Interstellar's OW or even $45m+, I'm sure it can still make it to $200M domestically.
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Deadline.com has Dunkirk for $20M. They updated nearly at 4 EST but that was the only Friday number they provided us. Unless DL is on crack with their math, GT seems like it didn't drop too harshly at night like other female-oriented comedies (Trainwreck, Spy, Bad Moms, Rough Night)
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Yep. Sunday's drop is an indicator. Small Sunday drops during the summer during non-holiday weeks is a good sign for strong legs (Wonder Woman, The Dark Knight, Inception).
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Thursday previews started at 6pm so don't lose hope just yet. Saturday's number will be its true test to see if it plays like Apes or if its WOM correlates with a good multiplier.
