The Dark Alfred

I found it a bit disingenuous when reports bring up 300m budget in a headline. First of all, we all know what it went up because of covid. DR2 will obviously cost less. Really it looks like a 500m budget for both and DR1-2 will take 1.5m billion combined WW.

I predicted a 250m WW start, because of China it fell a bit short. Still a monster OW. 15% ahead of FALLOUT overseas excluding China and higher domestic start as well.

It's doing franchise best start in the UK. The 3-day domestic OW is actually bigger than FALLOUT. By a little, but still. Can't knock a guy delivering franchise best start for a 7th entry. And we all know that DR2 will be bigger.

What an amazing run for ELEMENTAL. No wonder you guys having fun tracking it. What kind of final tally are we expecting for MI7?

We wanted more, but actually it is a bigger 3-day OW then FALLOUT, so that's all you can ask for. Overseas it's doing great. Obviously China is the one negative factor, but we saw it coming. China box office often clouds a film's actual success. Like 700m+ for Fast X looks very decent, but gotta remember that Hollywood films get much smaller percentage revenue from China. For instance SPIDER-VERSE will actually have more net revenue than FAST X even if the final global tally will be lower.

It is true though. INDY's overseas numbers very poor compared to DR and the domestic fall is big, too. CRYSTAL SKULL with a mixed WoM made nearly 100m more than the highest grossing MI film domestically. INDY had the better release date as well. Unfortunately the quality wasn't there.

Yellow FIAT was the MVP. That sequence got great reaction from the crowd in all the showings I watched.

That is a very good point in the Deadline article that had it opened on a Friday it could have done the 78m 3-day OW which would have considered good. The 5-day makes it worse. The red states that usually come out for Cruise movies are watching SoF, so that's why the fall off the 90m projected opening. We'll see what shape DR really is compared to FALLOUT during the week. The extra 2-day gain will evaporate over Barbenheimer opening week (losing PLF will hurt), the second weekend drop will be much higher, the real intrigue comes from week 3 onwards. I wouldn't bury the film in US just yet. Overseas it's doing good apart from China which put Hollywood in the rearviewmirror.

I think this might become Nolan's leggiest film. It's going to have a decent OW due to the Barbenheimer craze, then it's going to have monster legs once the WoM spreads and the Oscar buzz builds. Strong acting carries a lot of weight and by the sounds of it best actor, best supporting actor and best ensembe SAG is locked, this is going to be a major player in the awards circuit unlike previous Nolan films. I agree that 10 noms are looking very likely. 100% IMAX, it's going to be an experience like no other this year. Can't wait to see it in 70mm IMAX. This will further cement Nolan's legendary status .

It's an interesting discussion that what causes the domestic numbers to be smaller as expected and it all comes back to SoF eating up that adult crowd. All those red state males showed up for TGM. It's too lazy to say franchise fatigue and poor marketing when the film is beating FALLOUT in UK and Australia, two markets that usually perform similar to the US. So I would stay away from extreme doom talk and can't say that trailers worked there but not in the US either. I think what we are going to see is a bit of a stumble next week, but then it recovers nicely all way through August.

UK is accepting this mission. Strong British presence in this as well.

While the domestic start is disappointing and Hollywood is cooked in China, just a reminder that it is still poised to have franchise best global OW and WoM is great. Despite Barbenheimer, it will fare well in August. I choose not to bury this mission yet.

Third viewing done. It gets better. Yes, there is a bit too much of exposition and therefore it doesn't flow as well as FALLOUT, but it has so many memorable moments. The hour following the opening credits is by far best in the franchise and the final act is epic as well. Part Two is going to be incredible. Expecting aerial stunts aka Top Gun and Fallout and the plot is set, so they can go full action.

Have to concede that the SoF effect is hurting MI7. Also Barbenheimer became an event and people are more mindful what they are spending their money and it isn’t going to cinema 3-4 times within a week or so. If you look at the performance globally it is doing what expected. UK and OZ are very similar in taste to US and MI7 is doing well in those markets. Obviously next weekend is going to be tough for DR but then hopefully the rest of August WoM will carry it well domestically.

DR is at £5.7m so far then. Would be nice if it could hit £10m by Sunday.

We'll see how the rest of the weekend pans out but very good global start for DR. Expected the domestic and China opening to be higher but decent start overall.

Think UK launch should be near top just not reported yet.

I'll judge this come Sunday. As far as I'm concerned it is 17m ahead of FALLOUT and I wouldn't say it's guaranteed that the 3-day OW will be lower.

Negative.

Yea let's put the Doomsday clock to one minute to midnight after day one of the most backloaded franchise in Hollywood. Let's see where we stand come Sunday.

The two showings I watched had solid crowd and IMAX showings are selling well, but that's just London. Curious how it does in boutique cinemas, the likes of Curzon and Everyman are showing it. Not sure if it's the TGM effect or lack of content, MI films usually don't end up in those venues.

The big difference to me is that Cruise does the stunts and risk his life for the ultimate shot. The sad thing is that there are so many CGI films and they got so good at it that when people do practical action it doesn't seem as impressive unless the camera angle is spot on. Luckily there are pretty cool shots in this one.

The plot can be easily followed by a 5-year old. If people have trouble with this, how do you survive a Nolan film lol I do agree that there's a bit too much of exposition, but subsequently amazing action beckons. It is not the best MI film, but probably the one with the most memorable sequences. There are plenty of awesome moments.

BOT haters: this is doom and gloom, box office is dead, stupid Part 1, people tired of the franchise, 200m is dead etc. Reality: franchise best preview numbers. Excellent start.

Lots of brainless doom patrol out already lead by the laughable @Maggie 200m is done after a preview number when it's Tuesday and higher than FALLOUT's?