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Everything posted by dxmatrixdt
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25 biggest opening weekends ever. and the Rotten Tomatoes scores. - critics score + audience score 1. Infinity War - 83% - 91 2. The Force Awakens - 93% - 87 3. The Last Jedi - 91% - 46 4. Jurassic World - 71% - 78 5. The Avengers - 92% - 91 6. Black Panther - 97% - 79 7. Age of Ultron - 75% - 83 8. Incredibles 2 - 94% - 89 9. Civil War - 91% - 89 10. Beauty and the Beast - 70% - 81 11. Iron Man 3 - 80% - 78 12. Harry Potter 8 - 96% - 89 13. Batman v Superman - 27% - 63 14. The Dark Knight - 94% - 94 15. The Dark Knight Rises - 87% - 90 16. Catching Fire - 89% - 89 17. Rogue One - 85% - 87 18. Hunger Games - 84% - 81 19. Spider-Man 3 - 63% - 51 20. Furious 7 - 80% - 80 21. Guardians Vol. 2 - 83% - 88 22. Twilight 2 - 28% - 60 23. Twilight 5 - 48% - 70 24. Twilight 4 - 25% - 60 25. Dead Man's Chest - 52% - 72
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Well, It appears as if Incredibles 2 is on a trajectory to finish ahead of Finding Dory. The Dark Knight is the highest grossing 500m dollar film with almost 535m. This could be roughly ten percent above Dory... Boy, I remember when I was hoping Driven (2001) was going to show up at 30.0m on the AOL news. The next weekend did feature The Mummy Returns that did do over double 30m coming in way above Mission Impossible 2. Both managed to out open almost everything from the 1990's.
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If I2 goes beyond 25 million today, it will probably get reported somehow. predicted weekdays, Incredibles - 96.95 - 279.64 Oceans 8 - 11.19 - 89.78 Tag - 7.61 - 22.56 Solo - 4.35 - 198.12 Deadpool - 4,25 - 298.81 Hereditary - 3.89 - 30.90 Superfly - 3.24 - 12.25 Infinity War - 2.77 - 667.12 Adrift - 1.30 - 28.21 Book Club - 1.46 - 63.44 Gotti - 1.71 - 2.72 Wrinkle *double bill - 0.40 - 100.31 Hotel Artemis - 0.58 - 6.40 Upgrade - 0.35 - 11.43 AQP - 0.21 - 186.67 Show Dogs - 0.18 - 17.28 Breaking In - 0.24 - 45.41 Life of the Party - 0.27 - 52.11
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I2 dailies looking so far... 53 + 59 + 53 + ... + 25 + 28 + 22 + 18.5 / 277.0 1-week total Jurassic World - 18.5 + 39 +49 + 39 = 145.5 6/22-6/24 - I2 (-51%) 19 + 23.5 + 17 + 15 = 220 1-week total 25 + 35 + 27.5 = 87.5/364.5 ... + 14 + 17 + 12 + 11 = 418.5 2-week total 6/29 - 7/1 - I2 - weekend #3 7/2-7/5 weekdays 14 + 20 + 16 = 50.0 (-42.9%) 468.50 ... + 9 + 11.5 + 11.5 + 9 - 509.50 21-day total 7/6 - 78 - I2 weekend #4 10.5 + 12.0 + 10.5 = 33.00 (-34.0%) 542.50 total + 22.5 weekdays / 565.00 total before Hotel Transylvania 3
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I will try and bookmark these. I was watching the opening scenes of Top Gun the other day and it has me thinking about what it would be like to fly a powered airplane like that at 500mph+ and the timely decisions one must make. The only moment I can try and relate it towards is playing baseball when the ball is in play and directed at you and the concentration it requires. For me, it would feel like that moment when driving in stop and go traffic real fast and having to brake quick.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
dxmatrixdt replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Movietickets.com top 5 pre-sellers 66.2% - Incredibles 5.9% - Oceans 8 4.9% - Jurassic 4.8% - Tag 3.8% - Solo good to see Solo still managing to be above Deadpool 2 with the week advantage. It will likely stay in the top 5 over the weekend around where it was likely predicted to be during this time on MT ahead of time. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
dxmatrixdt replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I'd assume they are just super sneaks to get word of mouth activated. Like when awards films have 1 showing in December, and then release in March. -
Chappaquiddick up 20% on Sunday 2018/06/01 - $9,179 +54% 68 $135 $17,313,227 57 2018/06/02 - $13,562 +48% 68 $199 $17,326,789 58 2018/06/03 - $7,336 -46% 68 $108 $17,334,125 59 2018/06/04 - $4,081 -44% 68 $60 $17,338,206 60 2018/06/05 - $5,534 +36% 68 $81 $17,343,740 61 2018/06/06 - $4,810 -13% 68 $71 $17,348,550 62 2018/06/07 - $3,601 -25% 68 $53 $17,352,151 63 2018/06/08 - $2,434 -32% 29 $84 $17,354,585 64 2018/06/09 - $3,835 +58% 29 $132 $17,358,420 65 2018/06/10 - $2,757 -28% 29 $95 $17,361,177 66 2018/06/11 - $1,167 -58% 29 $40 $17,362,344 67 2018/06/12 - $1,215 +4% 29 $42 $17,363,559 68 2018/06/13 - $1,427 +17% 29 $49 $17,364,986 69 2018/06/14 - $1,522 +7% 29 $52 $17,366,508 70 2018/06/15 - $1,038 -32% 14 $74 $17,367,546 71 2018/06/16 - $1,748 +68% 14 $125 $17,369,294 72 2018/06/17 - $2,096 +20% 14 $150 $17,371,390 73
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It must be nice to have the information of all the drive in-double features paying 2x for 1 on this particular weekend. One could collect all the Solo + Incredibles + Wrinkle + BP double bills and really dig into the actuals and daily % holds and see if they can amount some .100k going towards each of them. Another weekend to add with the 2012 May Avengers + John Carter 1 N Marvel's The Avengers BV $207,438,708 - 4,349 - $47,698 $207,438,708 $220 1 2 1 Think Like a Man SGem $8,106,166 -54.0% 2,010 -5 $4,033 $73,135,600 $12 3 3 3 The Hunger Games LGF $5,587,661 -48.3% 2,794 -778 $2,000 $380,614,659 $78 7 4 2 The Pirates! Band of Misfits Sony $5,502,482 -50.6% 3,358 - $1,639 $18,665,941 $55 2 5 4 The Lucky One WB $5,368,115 -50.3% 3,005 -170 $1,786 $47,775,060 - 3 6 5 The Five-Year Engagement Uni. $5,029,110 -52.6% 2,941 +5 $1,710 $19,133,015 $30 2 7 6 Safe (2012) LGF $2,677,125 -66.1% 2,271 +5 $1,179 $13,080,883 - 2 8 7 The Raven Rela. $2,636,780 -63.8% 2,209 +6 $1,194 $12,176,125 $26 2 9 8 Chimpanzee BV $2,484,456 -52.5% 1,531 -36 $1,623 $23,101,889 - 3 10 9 The Three Stooges Fox $1,832,333 -64.5% 2,174 -931 $843 $39,669,015 $30 4 11 10 The Cabin in the Woods LGF $1,564,805 -66.1% 1,669 -970 $938 $38,018,748 - 4 12 35 John Carter BV $1,494,367 +1,223.8% 349 +169 $4,282 $70,760,807 $250 9
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Hotel Artemis had a good Sunday drop and broke 1 million. Not much though, the Friday number was very light, likely too much demand elsewhere. It should have strong weekdays, over 0.5m and would be very lucky to only drop to 0.5m, -50%, the following week. Date Rank Gross % Change Theaters Per Theater Total Gross Days 2018/06/08 8 $1,109,293 2,407 $461 $1,109,293 1 2018/06/09 8 $1,166,757 +5% 2,407 $485 $2,276,050 2 2018/06/10 8 $956,740 -18% 2,407 $397 $3,232,790 3 2018/06/11 8 $414,350 -57% 2,407 $172 $3,647,140 4 2018/06/12 8 $548,942 +32% 2,407 $228 $4,196,082 5 2018/06/13 9 $373,280 -32% 2,407 $155 $4,569,362 6 2018/06/14 9 $244,157 -35% 2,407 $101 $4,813,519 7 2018/06/15 - $281,177 +15% 2,299 $122 $5,094,696 8 2018/06/16 - $376,777 +34% 2,299 $164 $5,471,473 9 2018/06/17 - $350,155 -7% 2,299 $152 $5,821,628 10
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
dxmatrixdt replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Ouch, I had Sicario at 3,150 and Uncle Drew at 2,850 for June weekend #5. *crumples up and throws paper onto ground* 6/29/2018 Sicario: Day of the Soldado $14,000,000 $37,000,000 2,700 Sony / Columbia 6/29/2018 Uncle Drew $16,500,000 $45,000,000 2,200 Lionsgate / Summit -
got these from 2007 - day and date comparison to today. Fourth of July Holiday same pattern but use gain ratios by $ amount for that one because Transformers opened on Tuesday and cut up all the theater counts right then. Weekly/Week ratio's. + # of weeks in release multiply weekend of 6/22-6/24 by numbers similar to this to get Jurassic World weekdays Evan Almighty - 1.46 (1) 1048 - 1.45 (1) Fantastic Four Silver Surfer- 1.42 (2) Oceans 13 - 1.47 (3) Knocked Up - 1.58 (5) Pirates At Worlds End - 1.67 (5) Surfs Up - 1.84 (3) Nancy Drew - 1.77 (2) A Mighty Heart - 1.37 (1) Mr. Brooks - 1.38 (4) Spider-Man 3 - 1.96 (8) Waitress - 1.85 (8) Hostel II - 1.51 (3) La Vie en Rose - 1.52 (3) thinking these numbers to get next weekends weekdays and adding them to the predictions I made earlier for next weekend.
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got this next weekend Jurassic World - 148.50 (Still high on Solo overpredicts) Incredibles 2 - 86.33 (-52.3%) 356.33 Oceans 8 - 13.31 (-31.7%) 102.81 Tag - 8.46 (-41.77%) 30.96 Solo - 4.75 (-48.9%) 201.71 Deadpool 2 - 4.75 (-46.6%) 303.55 Hereditary - 4.32 (-38.3%) 35.82 Superfly - 4.00 (-36.5%) 15.68 Infinity War - 3.10 (-41.5%) 671.90 Adrift - 1,24 (-41.0%) 29.39 A Wrinkle in Time - 0.71 (-60.6%) 101.26 Book Club - 1.35 (-28.9%) 64.90 Hotel Artemis - 0.50 (-50.0%) - 7.10 Upgrade - 0.28 (-45.1%) 11.73 Life of the Party - 0.24 (-48.9%) 52.31 Breaking In - 0.42 (-0.00%) 45.96 A Quiet Place - 0.22 (-40.5%) 186.92 Overboard - 0.17 (-58.5%) 48.95 Show Dogs - 0.14 (-26.3%) 17.44 Black Panther - 0.105 (-30.0%) 699.795
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I predict these for the actuals + weekdays Black Panther - 0.15 + 0.07 = 699.69 Show Dogs - 0.19 + 0.19 = 17.30 Overboard - 0.41 + 0.24 = 48.78 A Quiet Place - 0.37 + 0.23 = 186.70 Breaking In - 0.42 + 0.24 = 45.54 Life of the Party - 0.47 + 0.27 = 52.17 Upgrade - 0.51 + 0.38 = 11.45 Hotel Artemis - 1.0 + 0.8 = 6.60 Book Club - 1.9 + 1.50 = 63.55 A Wrinkle in Time - 1.8 + 0.55 = 100.55 Adrift - 2.1 + 1.34 = 28.15 Infinity War - 5.3 + 2.6 = 668.80 Superfly - 6.3 + 3.24 = 11.68 Hereditary - 7.0 + 4.3 = 31.50 Deadpool - 8.9 + 4.0 = 298.80 Solo - 9.3 + 4.0 = 196.96 Tag - 14.5 + 8.0 = 22.5 Oceans 8 - 19.5 + 10.3 = 89.5 Incredibles - 181 + 89 = 270