dxmatrixdt

any reserved seating reports today from Superfly?

.

X

I was lucky I did not have to do cry and beg to get that abortion. 😁

the prequels and the last four movies all got nominated for Academy Awards. Will Solo at least make it in for VFX with an outside shot of Best Sound? Aquaman opening during December will give it an advantage +underwater scenes. Fantastic Beasts won an Oscar. The sequel will probably get multiple nominations. IW and BP should combine for a few nominations.

zzzz

lots to think about when ranking movies. lots of movies to consider. the other 100 movies that come out each year don't get much reference other than dust at the video stores. I don't think *an additional amount of female film critics will help to dissolve rankings or prevent rankings from taking place. But good headlining opinions on indie films + mainstream films are interesting I guess.

https://www.myinstants.com/instant/inception-button/

In 2017, when average ticket prices were $8.97, Jumanji made $404,515,480. On calculator, this shows as 45,096,486. If you divide this by 1.2 because of people seeing it more than once, the number goes to 37.58 million. Possibly an extra 7.5 million or so still end up at the movies in this scenario if sold out showings of Jumanji happened everyday for months (not doing the math) at second-run dollar discount price theaters. But that would be RIDICULOUSLY high though. But 45 million is less than 15% of the U.S. population

4m Monday Oceans Eight is -64.3% 4m throughout Thursday + Tuesday 50% jump gives 4.5 weekday multiplier from 64.3% drop. 4x4.5 = 18 41.6m now 18m weekdays is about +20% over Saturday or 1.2xSaturday. Last year, GOTG2 did 1.271 of its Saturday during the weekdays. Using this number for IW gives 3.81 weekdays, 658.95 total. Dropping down 2/3 from Sunday to Monday for IW gives roughly 0.8m and applying a 4.5 multiplier to 0.8m gives 3.6m. A lighter drop makes for stronger weekdays, but the Sunday number seems inflated unless the Friday number was deflated. the movie market is consumer driven and premium tickets help drive up such large numbers. it should be difficult or easy to predict what the demand will be when looking at

I think most of the second-run dollar theaters have been redone and replaced by regular theaters. Any experts that can confirm this?

x

do second run dollar theaters still exist? how many in the US? is this number depleting? any experts?

5m should be a lucky number for IW next week.

finally, it seems like the average score has increased a lot the last 3-5 months...

what if they just dropped the previews altogether?

i'm stupid. is one the forums main contributors here actually Alden Ehrenreich?

zzzz

X

Should be looking good for an Oscar nomination or two the other Star Wars movies awards noms/wins

https://pro.boxoffice.com/long-range-tracking-christopher-robin-incredibles-2-update/ 6/13/2018 Superfly $8,500,000 6% $24,000,000 20% 2,200 Sony 6/15/2018 The Incredibles 2 $138,000,000 10% $450,000,000 6% 4,200 Disney / Pixar 6/15/2018 Tag $13,000,000 $43,000,000 3,300 Warner Bros. -9,700 on the theater counts for the holdovers. (-950) Solo: Star Wars - 3,385 (-550) Deadpool 2 - 3,273 (-700) Infinity War - 2,182 (-1,000) Adrift - 2,015 (-900) Book Club - 1,902 (-450) Upgrade - 958 (-1,100) Life of the Party - 742 (-650) Breaking In - 512 (-550) Overboard - 506 (-1,550) Action Point - 482 (-450) A Quiet Place - 454 (-750) Show Dogs - 398 (-100) Rampage - 303 (-9,700) new - The Incredibles 2 - 4,300 new - Tag - 3,400 new - Superfly - 2,300 n.c. - Oceans - 4,145 n,c, - Hereditary - 2,964 n.c. - Hotel Artemis - 2,407 multiplying next weeks projected theater counts by approximate decimal per theater average from prior week, e.g. (-550) - 3,273 - Deadpool 2 - [(.775)($3,570)(3,273)] = 9.06 (-33.6%) - 293.91 assigning the PTA declines for holdovers next week Deadpool 2 .775 = 9.06 (-33.6%) - 293.91 Solo: Star Wars .765 = 9.05 (-40.3%) - 191.32 Infinity War .90 = 4.66 (-31.8%) - 662.59 Adrift .75 = 2.54 (-49.7%) - 26.82 Book Club .80 = 2.28 (-45.7%) - 62.21 Upgrade .75 = 1.09 (-50.9%) - 11.46 Life of the Party .85 = 0.72 (-65.8%) - 52.08 Breaking In .85 = 0.51 (-62.2%) - 45.12 Overboard .95 = 0.51 (-54.9%) - 48.60 Action Point 1.15 = 0.24 (-72.7%) - 5.14 A Quiet Place .85 = 0.45 (-55.0%) - 186.44 Show Dogs 1.00 = 0.26 (-64.8%) - 17.12 Rampage 1.15 ~~ 0.32 - 96.40 and declines for Hereditary, Hotel Artemis, and Oceans Eight without Thurs #s -45% - Hereditary - 6.45 (-50.5%) + 5.63 = 25.12 -45% - Hotel Artemis - 1.58 (-49.9%) + 1.35 = 6.08 -40% - Oceans Twelve - 22.50 (-45.8%) + 16.50 = 80.50

here are weekend/weekend per theater average drops Father's Day weekend films during the last three years Thursday previews removed for 2nd weekend ones Wonder Woman -27% The Mummy -50% (2nd weekend) Pirates 5 +16% Captain Underpants -30% Guardians of the Galaxy 2 -22.5% It Comes At Night -49% (2nd weekend) Megan Leavy ~25% (2nd weekend) Baywatch -25% Alien: Covenant +41% Fate of the Furious -3% X-Men: Apocalypse -27% TMNT 2 -52% Civil War -21% Nice Guys -8% Jurassic World -44% (2nd weekend) Spy -25% San Andreas -10% Insidious 3 -33% Pitch Perfect 2 -31% Mad Max +17% Ultron +.05% Entourage +10% and here are 3-day multipliers for films opening over this weekend w/ Thursday previews removed Cars 3 - 3.03 47 Meters - 2.88 Rough Night - 2.76 Central Intelligence - 3.02 Finding Dory - 2.76 With this info, I am anticipating an average PTA change close to the year 2015 when Jurassic World went on its second weekend and Inside Out opened at #2 with 90M+. there was a net surge in theater counts this weekend +2,500+, Incredibles 2, Tag, and Superfly are going for 9,700+ theater counts. I have the top 15 this weekend at 35,975 right now and adding in Rampage, I think next weekend will be about the same around 36,000, so I'm going subtract 10,000 theater counts from this weeks top 15 + Rampage and if the model looks uneven, I will spill over in excess or wipe out the legs of arbitrary film.

yeah there might have been a lot of people dancing in the front rows during Ninjago. Tried to watch Ninjago on website, but never finished it.

movietickets.com top 5 online sales 1 - Oceans - 32.7% 2 - Solo - 13.6% 3 - Hereditary - 10.2% 4 - Deadpool - 10.0% 5 - Infinity War - 5.7%

did anyone here go see My Little Pony by themselves during a weekday afternoon matinee just to fuck off?