dxmatrixdt

expect upwards of 0.2 today

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I realized deciding between 25-30 in previews is going to have to be something to consider separately when amounting to day-to-day strength. For example, consider 25 in previews or 35 in previews. Either way it will still likely see a maximum 65 OD w/o previews.

yes. but still a 50% drop from weekend #4

Also, Blade Runner 2049 dropped 44% in weekend 4, 43.6% in weekend 5 against Thor: Ragnarok, and 37% in weekend six.

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but when people go to the movies, they go to the movies.

Does anyone know how well Phoenix Forgotten did when it went to home platform last year?

The Nun should open well. It comes out a few weeks after Meg. IDK if Winchester is out for home video yet. I don't see much horror in 2018 in terms of recognizable stuff.

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Nick Robinson to Jurassic World might be like Hayden Christensen to Star Wars

-67% Monday - 0.47m +50% Tuesday - 0.7m Monday = Weds = Thurs = 1.41 + .7 = 2.11, 7.88 total. Second weekend +100% Fri - 0.94m 3.5 weekend ratio, 3.29m - 11.17 total. 1.41 weekdays = 12.58 million. Third weekend (expansion or drop from 1,560 screens)

-75% Monday, +25% Tuesday, Monday = Wednesday = Thursday = approx. 103.75 after Thursday. 16.25 3rd weekend (-34%), 120 Total. 125 after weekdays 4/16-4/19. 11.0 4th weekend, 139 w/ weekdays 4/23-4/26 5th weekend, Infinity War opens.... - Infinity War - Feel Pretty - Quiet Ones - Rampage - Traffik - Super Troopers - Isle of Dogs - Truth or Dare - Ready Player One - 6.5 (-41%) - 146 Total - Blockers - I Can Only Imagine - Black Panther - Chappaquiddick 3rd weekend of Borg vs McEnroe and Sergeant Stubby to drop 50%+ theater counts likely. + an expansion or two 6th weekend, first weekend of May - Infinity War - Bad Samaritan - Tulley - Overboard - Quiet Ones - Feel Pretty - Rampage - Ready Player One - 4.0 - 152 Total - Isle of Dogs - Traffik - Super Troopers - Blockers - Truth or Dare RP1 7th weekend, Mothers Day weekend - Infinity War - Life of the Party - Breaking In - Tulley - Quiet Ones - Feel Pretty - Bad Samaritan - Overboard - Rampage - Ready Player One - 2.8 - 156 total - Isle of Dogs - Traffik RP1 8th weekend, Deadpool opens - Deadpool - Book Club - Show Dogs - Infinity War - Life of the Party - Breaking In - Tulley - Quiet Ones - Ready Player One - 1.4 - 158 total - Feel Pretty - Rampage - Isle of Dogs Memorial Day weekend - Solo - Deadpool - Book Club - Show Dogs - Infinity War - Life of the Party - Breaking In - Quiet Ones - Ready Player One - 1.0 - 160 total. - Tulley - Rampage - Feel Pretty - Isle of Dogs

Weekend #8 will be the first weekend of May. I would assume maybe it is still at 350 screens then. Then Mother's Day weekend would be weekend #9. Maybe 200+ locations still. Then, Deadpool opens at week #10 and could propel the total gross upwards of 0.15+ million if there are drive ins. (Red Sparrow will be week #12 at that time)

supernatural elements, low budget, 12-16 OW. 40 Total. *good spacing between supernatural/paranormal horror. *potential for 10M total and still profitable

prediction assuming 60% of the PTA for I Feel Pretty, and I Feel Pretty opening with 20.08 - 22.08. 1,900 screens - $3,442.5 avg - 6.54 OW, 17-20 Total. higher prediction - 9.0 OW / 27.0 Total

170 Total

next weekend - (-47%) - $2,100,000 - $1,242 avg - 7.24 Total ^^ gave it a harsher drop to compete with this block of movies... 2,500 (-394) - Imagine - $2,400 avg 2,000 (-733) - Sherlock - $1,300 avg 1,500 (est) - Sergeant Stubby $1,300 avg 1,707 (----) Miracle Season - $1,242 avg 1,100 (-601) - Wrinkle in Time - $1,500 avg 800 (-873) - Tomb Raider - $950 avg 812 (-450) - Paul/Apostle - $1,000 avg 627 (-400) - Peter Rabbit - $825 avg

predick for next weekend (-44%) $3,230,000 - $2,070avg - 11.06 Total

Perhaps Godzilla #s max. 90/270 OW range: 41-59 - 90* Total range: 102-270

Resident Evil adjusted would be 28m OW, $11,100 PTA on 2,528 screens. Unadjusted, that is 17.7 OW, $7,004 PTA with a +1% jump from Fri to Sat

Maybe it gets Cloverfield level hype for OW and has better legs. Cloverfield adjusts to 51M OW (59 4day) at 3,411 locations $15,000 PTA, 102 total.

55/150

I am glad the budget went so high with this one. It fuels my expectations for Robin Hood getting a 200m budget.

24/90