dxmatrixdt

It will be harder because Wednesday previews won't be that strong.

all the days are going to be tougher to predict this week. Sunday # vs estimated # hinders a prediction model for Mon, Tues, Weds, etc. Taking a Sat/Sat ratio to equal 0.75 and then assuming Mon, Tues, Weds will be down 0.75 from last week too won't work in this case. You can get close, but these spring weekdays vary to comparisons, and Good Friday being on Friday does not mean that Mon, Tues, and Weds will have greater dollar per venue averages than the previous spring week. A general approximation for Pacific Rim 2 on a day to day basis should give you accurate 10-day numbers with a small amount of time put into generating those numbers, but with the ones out past three weeks, running the numbers can have interesting aspects and making predicting them fun. you have to decide which bulk of locations will get dropped after a certain time period and compensate that by adding in locations of a new releases. if you try to guess at a couple months like predicting the summer on a week to week basis by predicting their theater count totals and keeping the number hovering around 45,000, it makes the process very difficult, but you create a lot of room for error to make it simple. I do not recommend doing it that way because you are riding off potential buzz of a marketplace during certain tentpole dates.

good # for a film that was filmed in late 2015. Usually they leak out online while spending years waiting for a release date. (Before I Wake, Amityville, Jane Got a Gun, 47 Meters, Kidnap, Collide)

15:17 increases in week #7. Not sure if it hit second run theaters on week #7 instead of week #8. It was at 155 locations last week, and lost 9 spots. $80,164 +6% 146 $549 $36,080,186 7

my predictions for next Sunday ...(can barely move, would have much rather crawled to scanner machine or done excel) the time spent to make big and fun write out for each movie has unfortunately already been used in the number layout process. RP1 - 39.50 - 47.00 Uprising - 13.35 - 50.28 Acrimony - 11.30 - 11.30 Panther - 10.44 - 646.75 Imagine - 8.52 - 51.70 God's Not Dead 3 - 6.75 - 6.75 Gnomes - 6.54 - 21.31 Raider - 6.13 - 52.47 Simon - 5.70 - 32.68 Time - 4.46 - 80.68 Dogs - 3.50 - 6.94 Christ - 3.18 - 10.50 Night - 2.58 - 69.39 Sun - 2.35 - 8.31 Unsane - 2.18 - 7.73 Rabbit - 1.27 - 108.72 Sparrow - 1.05 - 46.10 Prey - 0.83 - 23.67 Wish - 0.54 - 33.70 Jumanji - 0.47 - 402.76 Annihilation - 0.39 - 32.16 Showman - 0.31 - 171.45 Entebbe - 0.21 - 3.46 Freed - 0.13 - 100.50 Water - 0.10 - 63.46 Thoroughbreds - 55k - 2.88 Coco - 50k - 209.41 Billboards - 49k - 54.21 Man - 30k - 8.28 Winchester - 30k - 25.12 Hurricane - 27k - 6.08 Gringo - 20k - 4.99 predictions for the weekend after

Sherlock Gnomes, Unsane, and Midnight Sun could have directed more traffic away from Game Night on Friday and Saturday. Also, Fifty Shades is still playing at 500+ locations in its seventh weekend. I think week #8 is when second run discount cinema locations are added. example Winchester is at 90 locations and lost one this weekend in its eighth weekend. Assuming second run locations did in fact come into effect for Winchester this weekend, then Winchester probably lost about 75% of all the theaters it had for last weekend at regular theaters, then added in the new second run theaters which packed more purchases per dollar, and it was able to duplicate last week's total. (but with a larger amount of exposure)

Game Night unexpectedly retains nearly the same dollar per venue average as last weekend. Unsane, Midnight Sun, and Sherlock Gnomes seemed to be unable grab audiences from the 5 week old comedy Game Night. Peter Rabbit should suffer the heaviest drop of the weekend. Red Sparrow might pass it in the standings. Death Wish should still be above 1 million. Strangers 2, with about the same # of showings as Red Sparrow (and Paul, Apostle of Christ), will stay in the top 15 with close to 2 million.

Fri Sat Sun Mon T W Th - Fri Sat Sun Uprising - 240 300 200 60 80 60 60 - 150 150 100 27.35 weekend. 8.85 in weekdays. 36.20 million 10-day. Second weekend - 400 purchases per location (average) 13.62 second weekend (-50.2%) 49.82 total.

Pacific Rim Friday # = $8,000,000 + $2,350,000 in previews. $8,000,000 Friday gross 3,708 locations average ticket price range of $9 ($8,000,000) = 240 tickets ($9)(3,708) 240 tickets is up from Tomb Raider which was close to 200. Tomb Raider had a Saturday near 250, a 25% increase on Saturday, which seems good for a big video game movie on day number two. The matinees on day two might pull away demand from the night showings on the second day. A similar Saturday for Pacific Rim gives 300 for Saturday. 33% drop Sunday gives 200 and a ratio from Friday of (200/240). Assuming 500 the next two days would calculate a three day gross of roughly 25 million dollars. 27.36 million with the previewed showings. Monday = roughly 30% of Sunday = 200*(0.3) = 60. An increase of 33.33% on Tuesday would give 80. (4/3 ratio from Monday) Fri (+3/2) Sat (-40%) Sun (-2/3) Mon (+1/3) Tues (-35%) Wed 100 150 90 30 40 26

Friday numbers were strong. This might create low Saturday jumps just like last week, last year, and in 2007. The day and date weekend back in 2007 suggests larger Sunday drops than last week, but last year Logan, Kong, and The Shack still held a 10% lead over Friday. Monday is looking to do about the same as last Monday. About 75% off for the animated films that retain only 15% of audiences when school is full. Wednesday should be the same as Monday, and Thursday should be about 10-25% up from Monday and Wednesday average for animated films. For the newer films, Thursday should be up maybe 10% depending on if Ready Player One takes away locations. A comparable time was when Furious 7 opened during the first week of April for Easter and the Thursday previews dominated, but everything else rebounded too. Therefore Ready Player One should not take away too much, maybe some dailies will stay the same throughout, whereas for others, Thursday = Tuesday and Monday = Wednesday. RP1 might grab 4,200 locations on Thursday. Perhaps Wednesday will be down slightly on Monday (reduced shows from Wednesday RP1 night preview shows) God's Not Dead 3 and Acrimony open on Friday with Thursday night showings and are looking for 4,000 locations of their own. There should not be much of a net change in theater counts on a week-to-week basis, so assume to subtract roughly 8,000 theater counts from roughly 40,000 for the top 30 featured films for this upcoming weekend.

- new Pacific Rim 2 $23,000,000 23.00 -36.2% Black Panther $17,000,000 631.00 - new Sherlock Gnomes $16,000,000 16.00 -29.8% I Can Only Imagine $12,000,000 36.40 -49.2% Tomb Raider $12,000,000 43.40 -50.8% A Wrinkle in Time $8,000,000 73.70 -45.6% Love, Simon $6,400,000 22.20 - new Paul, The Apostle $6,250,000 6.25 - new Unsane $3,750,000 3.75 - new Midnight Sun $3,250,000 3.25 -51.4% Game Night $2,720,000 59.30 -50.0% Peter Rabbit $2,600,000 106.80 -52.3% Red Sparrow $2,160,000 43.94 -56.6% Strangers 2 $2,040,000 22.10 -59.9% Death Wish $1,350,000 32.80 -41.4% Jumanji $950,000 401.75 -43.5% 7 Days in Entebbe $900,000 3.15 -62.5% Annihilation $650,000 31.18 -42.7% Greatest Showman $650,000 170.90 -50.9% Fifty Shades Freed $300,000 100.22 -74.8% Shape of Water $200,000 63.225 -62.5% Three Billboards $100,000 54.215 -45.8% Coco $100,000 209.340 -42.8% Star Wars $100,000 619.615 -81.6% Thoroughbreds $90,000 3.590 -20.8% Early Man $55,000 8.250 -94.7% Hurricane Heist $55,000 5.955 -43.1% 12 Strong $45,000 45.900 -10.1% Winchester $45,000 25.050 -93.2% Gringo $45,000 4.495 -56.5% Hostiles $22,500 29.755

is regular derby still going to be happening during Derby Leagues, or is Derby Leagues a new transition?

I did not know she hit her head in the plot. I thought she was overweight, lost like 5 pounds, and then just lost her fucking mind because of it and enrolled to modelling agencies etc.

will transformers make it for a fifth consecutive time?

any theater counts other than Sherlock Gnomes at 3,660?

Here is how it looks with average tickets purchased per theater + 3 different ratios. Fri Sat Sun total Mon 1627 I Can Only 330 400 327 1057 110 3834 Black Panther 213 328 0.65 216 757 0.67 62 0.55 3854 Tomb Raider 195 246 168 609 52 2,402 Love, Simon 171 189 135 495 44 3980 Wrinkle in Time 126 191 0.51 128 445 0.51 30 0.42 2686 Game Night 71 97 0.77 59 227 0.81 22 0.73 2725 Peter Rabbit 57 91 0.83 60 208 0.88 16 0.53 2464 Strangers 2 67 85 0.48 55 207 0.48 18 0.47 838 7 Days in Entebbe 65 83 53 201 22 2583 Red Sparrow 57 79 0.58 55 191 0.63 20 0.65 1087 Annihilation 49 71 0.79 54 174 0.82 21 0.81 737 Greatest Showman 52 75 0.71 41 168 0.77 20 0.74 2676 Death Wish 39 60 0.54 39 138 0.55 14 0.58 1556 Jumanji 32 52 0.80 30 114 0.82 10 0.63 758 Shape of Water 33 49 0.65 32 114 0.70 12 0.71 177 Coco 32 48 0.74 34 114 0.78 10 0.59 118 CMBYN 31 49 32 112 1.08 13 92 Phantom Thread 30 49 0.75 32 111 0.80 15 1.07 169 Ferdinand 39 42 0.89 27 108 1.06 10 0.43 282 Three Billboards 29 47 0.72 28 104 0.76 12 0.80 564 Thoroughbreds 29 37 0.41 29 95 0.39 14 0.47 211 Star Wars 26 39 0.72 26 91 0.77 9 0.64 159 The Post 26 40 0.62 24 90 0.70 11 0.85 133 Darkest Hour 23 38 0.68 24 85 0.72 11 0.85 88 Lady Bird 23 37 0.64 24 84 0.69 10 0.77 160 I, Tonya 22 33 0.62 27 82 0.69 10 0.71 873 Fifty Shades Freed 26 31 0.66 19 76 0.69 9 0.75 147 Maze Runner 3 22 35 0.80 19 76 0.82 8 0.80 60 Den of Thieves 17 24 0.73 20 61 0.78 6 0.67 91 Winchester 19 28 0.88 13 60 0.86 5 0.83 148 12 Strong 17 23 0.85 18 58 0.92 6 1.00 102 Hostiles 16 23 16 55 9 144 Early Man 13 23 0.92 18 54 0.89 5 0.56 155 15:17 to Paris 16 22 0.76 15 53 0.77 7 0.88 2283 Hurricane Heist 14 20 0.36 15 49 0.36 6 0.43 110 Every Day 11 13 0.68 8 32 0.73 4 0.80 2314 Gringo 10 12 0.26 9 31 0.70 4 0.31

I am surprised Harry Potter did not win this

/

is Jumanji out on DVD today along with being in 1,556 theater locations still?

looks like I might have to stop sharing my notes and start trying a little harder if I am still going to capture the 2018 title

every time I go to the theater, people are eating popcorn. That means the theater is very much alive. I would never want to double my ticket price purchasing that crap! *^^ - people have lots of money to spend

I loved it, but I gave it a B (only because my attention was drifting elsewhere after 100 minutes). Will require a re-watch. When I was deciding between an A and a B for this, I compensated this B by raising Passengers to an A. Originally I had it at a B- leaving theaters, but raised it a full letter after a rental a year ago.

it was Thoroughbreds!

The script was intriguing as it dealt with some isolated nut jobs. The direction and music were top notch. I thought the script gave the viewer a little bit more to work with, then say, The Neon Demon which gave you almost no information. I did not get the last part with but I will find the answer online soon. The lighting and house set decorations make it worth re-watching to have on for background noise. I give it a B, if it was an art-house mess, I would have scored it higher.

skip previews, sneak in a soda, pay the minimum, calculate bathroom breaks. Then just sit and focus for 120 minutes paying attention to everything they are saying. Maybe sit somewhere secluded where you can feel animated.