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dxmatrixdt

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Everything posted by dxmatrixdt

  1. wierd weekend all around. Glad HB made it over 10M. I would not be surprised if next weekend 3-day is flat or increases from this weekend 3day.
  2. historically, I do not think films like Blade Runner perform well. I can already forsee the disappointment. However, I do hope I am wrong. I would love this thing to be a big hit!
  3. @chasmmi looks like BOM wants to list the fathom event boxing fight on its weekend list. Not only will this affect Part C, but if DM3 hits #16, then that is only 3 movies in the top 15 giving that other question an answer of no. Also, it affects part B, question 2. How should we go about this? I think it should be not counted for part B question 2. People were making calculations with All Saints + Birth of Dragon + Leap!. Same goes to Part A, question 4. But maybe we can leave the fight in to affect Part C and the rankings (and anything else that has to do with a ranking since sometimes something always slides in unexpected to fuss with things). or should we just neglect the fight altogether?
  4. it should be at 174 and maybe a bit over after this upcoming Thursday going into Labor Day weekend. I think it should at least hit 180 by the time It opens.
  5. Dunkirk better increase next week. Dunkirk should seriously attempt to occupy every premium screen it possibly can during the 4-day Labor Day weekend!!! I think it has taken a hit loosing IMAX. I am not sure it has benefited the IMAX company to not have Dunkirk the last 2 weeks. Next week IMAX is booked with Inhumans, so hopefully it gets all premiums available!
  6. hmm....the numbers are so low but I think it is because most schools are back in session. Looking at 2016 and 2006(day and date comparison), Saturday jumps are much stronger than the previous week and most Sundays are up on Friday. It is hard to judge how this weekend will play out. I think Saturday will jump higher than most of us think it will. Maybe Saturday will just jump identical to last week. So if Emoji jumped 45% last week, it just 45% this week as opposed to 75% this week (cuz of the fight). Instead of Sundays being at or above Friday, Sundays should be equal to Friday or slightly below (cuz of GOT finale), but still see a better Fri/Sunday ratio than last week since schools are in session which should boost Sunday up a bit. Anyway, nothing you can do but wait until Monday for this week. I just hope Birth of the Dragon does not drop from its actual Friday and get below 2.5 million for the weekend. http://deadline.com/2017/08/hitmans-bodyguard-birth-of-the-dragon-leap-all-saints-low-summer-box-office-weekend-mayweather-mcgregor-fight-1202156230/ Industry estimates as of early, early Saturday for weekend of Aug. 25-27: 1.). Hitman’s Bodyguard (LG), 3,377 theaters (0) / $3.1M Fri. (-60%) / 3-day cume: $10M (-53%)/Total: $39.6M /Wk 2 2.). Annabelle: Creation (NL/WB), 3,565 theaters (+23) / $2.5M Fri. (-50%) / 3-day cume: $7.65M (-51%)/Total: $78.2M/Wk 3 3.). Leap! (TWC), 2,575 theaters / $1.45M Fri. (includes $210k previews) / 3-day cume: $4.3M/Wk 1 4./5) Wind River (TWC), 2,095 theaters (+1401) / $1.4m Fri. (+36%) / 3-day cume: $4.2M (+41%)/Total: $9.6M/Wk 4 Logan Lucky (BST), 3,031 theaters / $1.2M Fri. (-56%) / 3-day cume: $4.2M (-45%)/Total: $14.9M /Wk 2 6.) Dunkirk (WB), 2,774 theaters (-497)/ $1.1M Fri. / 3-day cume: $3.8M (-42%)/Total: $172.3M/Wk 6 7.) Birth of the Dragon (BHT), 1,618 theaters / $1M Fri. (includes $200k previews) / 3-day cume: $2.7M/Wk 1 8). Spider-Man: Homecoming (SONY/MARVEL), 2,122 theaters (-219)/ $757K Fri. / 3-day cume: $2.65M (-38%)/Total: $318.75M/Wk 8 9). Girls Trip (UNI), 1,777 theaters (-233) / $741K Fri. / 3-day cume: $2.24M (-43%)/Total: $108M/Wk 6 10.). The Emoji Movie (SONY), 2,374 theaters (-417) / $593K Fri./ 3-day cume: $1.9M (-57%) /Total: $76M/Wk 5 Notables: All Saints (SONY), 846 theaters / $545k Fri. (includes $70k previews) / 3-day cume: $1.5M/Wk 1 Wonder Woman (WB), 2,210 theaters (+1,407)/ $446k Fri. / 3-day cume: $1.4M (+32%)/Total: $406M/Wk 13 Baby Driver (SONY), 1,757 theaters (+1,074)/ $334k Fri. / 3-day cume: $1.1M (+29%)/Total: $103.2M/Wk 9
  7. I am glad this was brought up because this has been bugging me for a year.... So Transformers ended its run after a week like this: btw...9th full week for Transformers Aug 11–17 25 $377,372 -18.0% 255 -67 $1,480 $129,928,855 8 Aug 18–24 30 $239,828 -36.4% 224 -31 $1,071 $130,168,683 9 Now look at X-Men: Apocalypse ending at its 9th full week: Jul 15–21 20 $441,421 -28.6% 250 -38 $1,766 $155,149,510 8 Jul 22–28 29 $292,979 -33.6% 194 -56 $1,510 $155,442,489 9 And Batman V Superman which presumably fell just short of a 2x multiplier: Jun 3–9 17 $435,468 -43.9% 270 -91 $1,613 $330,055,241 11 Jun 10–16 23 $304,953 -30.0% 215 -55 $1,418 $330,360,194 12 Ghostbusters won top grossing comedy of 2016 after being tracked for 17 weeks: Nov 4–10 56 $25,462 -51.4% 47 -44 $542 $128,350,574 17 But what about Central Intelligence? (stopped at week #11) Aug 19–25 26 $358,239 -38.5% 256 -39 $1,399 $127,191,219 10 Aug 26–Sep 1 36 $249,652 -30.3% 206 -50 $1,212 $127,440,871 11 Sorry for the big size letter dramatics, but this has really really bothered me for a year. Can we please get this figured out this weekend? It will help to clear my mind of one thing.
  8. good score for Leap! now watch it have a worse multiplier than Emoji and Nut Job 2 (even though it has an upcoming holiday weekend) BIRTH OF THE DRAGON (2017) LEAP! (2017)
  9. decent preview # for Leap! Nut Job did 330k. Applying OW/previews ratio to Leap! gives 5,308,743 for the weekend! Taking off 10% because of all the factors affecting box office this weekend gives 4.78 weekend for Leap! 70k for All Saints is a little more than half of the 138k that The Glass Castle made. Applying the OW/previews ratio to All Saints gives a 2.37 weekend. OW/preview ratio with Mechanic: Resurrection gives Birth of the Dragon 3.82 million. OW/preview ratio with Hitman: Agent 47 gives Birth of the Dragon 2,775,510. Hitman would be more appropriate as it is the more frontloaded of the two. Taking 10% off that comparison gives Dragon 2,497,959.
  10. Part A: 1. yes 2. no 3. yes 4. no 5. yes 6. yes 7. yes 8. no 9. yes 10. yes 11. no 12. yes 13. yes 14. no 15. if they are tracking it, then no. Part B: 1. 4,506,250 2. 10,275,250 3. $960 Part C: There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 1. Hitman 3. Leap! 5. Dunkirk 8. Spider-Man 10. Emoji 15. Despicable
  11. Cars 3 Transformers Captain Underpants Patty Cake$ Crown Heights Pirates Maudie
  12. anything going on next Sunday....the Sunday before Labor Day. Any national events? Maybe we can see good Sunday #'s (unless something is planned)
  13. @chasmmi is it just the top 3 new openers or the top 3 overall? Part A: Question 3? i Part A: 1. Will Leap Open to more than $4M? 1000 2. Will All Saints open to more than $4M? 2000 3. Will Birth of the Dragon open to more than $2.5M? 3000 4. Will the top 3 combine to more than $11M? 4000 5. Will any new entry open in the top 3? 5000
  14. I am 300 pages in. Having seen Detroit, I really think the bad cop guy (from Baby Driver, Divergent, Fault in Our Stars, etc.) would have been a great Pennywise...
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