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Everything posted by dxmatrixdt
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
dxmatrixdt replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Annabelle - 22.1% Dunkirk - 6.3% Emoji - 6.2% Nut Job - 6.1% Spider-Man - 5.4% -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
dxmatrixdt replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
sneak previews??? Is Wind River playing in the same theaters as Leap? If so, grosses might merge into Wind River. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
dxmatrixdt replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Annabelle - 21.1% Emoji - 6.7% Nut Job - 6.5% Dunkirk - 6.3% Spider-Man - 5.6% -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
dxmatrixdt replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Annabelle - 21.8% Nut Job - 6.7% Dunkirk - 6.6% Emoji - 6.5% Spider-Man - 5.1% -
Dunkirk should do a little bit above 4x its Monday number. 4.1 Monday multiplier times the 1.31 Monday gives 5.37 million for the weekdays and 158.56 million total on Thursday. A 31.6% drop on Dunkirk's fifth weekend to 7.44 million can bring the total up to 166.00 with two more weekend left in the summer. weekdays 8/21 - 8/24 = 3.35 million weekend #6 - 8/25-27 = 30.8% drop to 5.15 million. weekdays 8/28 - 8/31 = 2.3 million. weekend #7 = 4-day weekend = about 4.76 million 3-day (-7.5%) and 6.2 4-day = 183 end of Labor Day Monday.
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it does not matter though. My mind is already made up that it is Moeday. I got lucky finding this thread. Usually if something horrific was happening with a sign that says "MONDAY" on it, I would not notice, because my mind is made up. If someone offered me $1 million dollars to convince me that it is Monday and not Moeday I would bark at them. There is only one answer that matters and that is the answer that I want it to be and nothing else in anyone elses reality will convince me otherwise.
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very strong number for Annabelle. Sausage Party only increased 10.9% on Tuesday to 4.93 million after dropping 52.5% on Monday to 4.44. (34.26 weekend for SP vs 35.01 for Annabelle.....w/o previews 30.96 SP vs 31.01 A2) Sausage Party also dropped only 17.9% on its opening Sunday, so its 52.5% drop Monday was amazing. Sausage Party's first Monday was 39.0% of its first Saturday. Sausage Party's first Tuesday was 43.2% of its first Saturday. The Monday number for Annabelle is 31.0% of the number it made on Saturday. For it to have the same Tues/Sat ratio that Sausage Party had on its first Tuesday, it would have to increase 39.5% today to 5.05 million. HIGHLY UNLIKELY. Looking at Wednesday comp., Sausage Party's first Wednesday was 29.5% of its first Saturday so if Annabelle has the same Wed/Sat ratio, it would make 3.44 million. Again, highly unlikely, but Sausage Party declined 24.3% on Wednesday from Monday. Usually ALL tentpoles average a 20% drop. You can go through 50 examples and it seems the Wed/Mon ratio can be 0.8 flat. So the most plausible scenario is it DOES have the bad Wed/Mon ratio like Sausage Party had and a weekday multiplier of 3.5444 of its Monday gives it 12.83 million during its weekdays. That gives it a 7-day total of 47.84 million. It should pass 60M by next Saturday or Sunday. Too bad Polaroid got moved. I thought it was going to be the Don't Breathe sleeper of the summer. I had it knocking Annabelle down another 50+ % in my preseason notes. Oh well.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
dxmatrixdt replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Annabelle - 22.4% Dunkirk - 6.5% Emoji - 6.3% Nut Job - 6.2% Spider-Man - 5.2% Dunkirk finally held flat after about 15 to 20 updates of it continuously falling. Spider-Man looks to stay ahead of Dark Tower during weekdays. Crap like Emoji getting ahead of Nut Job 2 already, ughh. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
dxmatrixdt replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Dunkirk STILL falling... Annabelle - 22.7% Dunkirk - 6.5% Nut Job - 6.1% Emoji - 5.8% Spider-Man - 5.1% -
The Interview | Limited Release on December 25, 2014
dxmatrixdt replied to Gopher's topic in Box Office Discussion
25/125 -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
dxmatrixdt replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Annabelle - 24.6% Dunkirk - 6.8% Nut Job - 5.7% Emoji - 5.6% Dark Tower - 4.7% -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
dxmatrixdt replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Dunkirk continues to freefall Annabelle - 27.6% Dunkirk 6.8% Nut Job - 6.4% Dark Tower - 5.4% Emoji - 4.7% -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
dxmatrixdt replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
'It' is not that high for cumulative conversations..... -
PLEASE MAKE SURE THESE ANSWERS ARE CORRECT. WEEK 15 ANSWERS Part A: 1. Will Annabelle Open to more than $25M? yes 2. Will Glass Castle Open to more than $3M? yes 3. Will Nut Job make more than $9.5M? no 4. Will Nut Job and Glass Castle combine to more than half Annabelle's Opening weekend? no 5. Will Dunkirk stay in the top 2? yes 6. Will Wonder Woman drop less than 30% no 7. Will Dark Tower drop more than 52% yes 8. Will Atomic Blonde Stay above Detroit? yes 9. Will War for the Apes stay above Despicable Me? yes 10. Will Valerian drop more than 61%? yes 11. Will A Taxi Driver have a PTA above $7,000? yes 12. Will The trip to Spain have a PTA above $5,000? yes 13. Will Kidnap have a PTA above $2,150? no 14. Will SPiderman have a PTA above $1950? yes 15. Will the Nut Job finally be the 2017 animated tour de Force we have all been waiting for? 5000 Part B: 1. What will Annabelle make for its 3 day OW? $35,006,404 2. What will Wonder Woman's percentage drop for the weekend be? 41.436 3. What will Cars 3's PTA be? $1,072 Part C: 2. Dunkirk 5. Girls Trip 8. Kidnap 10. Atomic Blonde 13. Detroit 18. An Inconvenient Sequel