Definitely wont match IA3(IMO).I think $25M-$30M will be great considering that TA ($22M) is the highest grossing Hollywood movie this year there the second one is TASM ($12M).
It wont hit 400 WW without china release (( Im so angry with Universal why they get china release for The Lorax it got 70 M budget and only the domestic gross is 214 more than enough for this budget and they release The Lorax on the same date with Ice Age!!!SWATH got 170 M budget and they not released it in China..I dont know maybe there are something about Chinese government,but if this depends on Universal- WHAT A STUPID STUDIO!