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Cosmonaut

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Everything posted by Cosmonaut

  1. Openers Friday(ekinobilet): 1) 47 Ronin - $2,55m+ 2) Love in the big city 3* - $1,05m+ 3) Friends of friends* - $755k+ 4) The Secret Life of Walter Mitty - $720k+ 5) Tarzan - $550k+ 6) Faster than rabbits* - $465k+ $2,65m+ for Trees 3*, $1,7m+ for Hobbit:DOS, $1,74m+ for Gray Wolf 2*, $900k+ for Frozen. *Local 1 USD = 32,66 RUB
  2. I think i know why i overestimate Hobbit using ekinobilet numbers, it's the same reason i overestimated HG:CF a bit, IMAX, earnings from IMAX theaters are so much bigger, than from normal theaters, and 80%+ of them should be in ekinobilet coverage, that's why other movies are in line(~10%), or well above(~85%), i should just use smaller multiplier for IMAX movies.
  3. Hard to tell, but should be no less than 39 and 27 mln respectively.
  4. So, $50m+ weekend, probably around $53m, i don't think there is a chance of $60m+.
  5. Openers Thursday(ekinobilet): 1) 47 Ronin - $3,2m+ 2) Love in the big city 3* - $1,15m+ 3) Friends of friends* - $920k+ 4) The Secret Life of Walter Mitty - $760k+ 5) Tarzan - $670k+ 6) Faster than rabbits* - $540k+ $3,2m+ Trees 3*, $2m+ for Hobbit:DOS, $1,96m+ for Gray Wolf 2*, $840k+ for Frozen. *Local 1 USD = 32,66 RUB All increased.
  6. More like $150m and $300m(DOM and OS), max. ~$10m in Russia.
  7. Openers Wednesday(ekinobilet): 1) 47 Ronin - $2,5m+ 2) Love in the big city 3* - $870k+ 3) Friends of friends* - $615k+ 4) The Secret Life of Walter Mitty - $600k+ 5) Faster than rabbits* - $425k+ 6) Tarzan - $350k+ 2,55m+ Trees 3*, $1,4m+ for Hobbit:DOS, $1,19m+ for Gray Wolf 2*, $500k+ for Frozen. *Local 1 USD = 32,66 RUB Stalingrad got an US release date - http://www.movieinsider.com/m11543/stalingrad/ ? I wonder if it can make $5m there
  8. ~180m, 11% growth. A bit? $28m pretty much locked, it managed to survive til the holidays, disney(WDSSPR) did it.
  9. My "At Least" Forecast #9 for total gross, January 1: Name; Copies; Total gross $; 47 Ronin; ~900(theaters); 13m+ Love in the big city 3*; ~1500; 12m+ The Secret Life of Walter Mitty;~1100; 8m+ Friends of friends*;~1000; 6m+ Faster than rabbits*; ~1000; 4m+ Tarzan; ~1500; 4m+ Land of the Bears; ~300; 0,5m+ *Local. Openers Monday(ekinobilet): 1) Trees 3* - $1,7m+ 2) Gray Wolf 2* - $570k+ $1m+ for Hobbit:DOS, $430k+ for Frozen. Openers Tuesday(ekinobilet): 1) Trees 3* - $650k+ 2) Gray Wolf 2* - $300k+ $350k+ for Hobbit:DOS, $250k+ for Frozen. *Local 1 USD = 32,63 RUB(Mon), 32,73(Tue).
  10. Carnival Night / Karnavalnaya noch (1956)Great NY musical comedy with eng subs, but only in 480p, though there is a remastered 1080p version with DTS-HD MA on russian Blu-ray, but with no subs.
  11. 2014 Year Forecast Top 10 Movies 1) The Hobbit: There and Back Again - $50m 2) Transformers: Age Of Extinction - $46m 3) How to Train Your Dragon 2 - $42m 4) The Amazing Spider-Man 2 - $38m 5) The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1 - $27m 6) Rio 2 - $26m 7) X-Men: Days of Future Past - $25m 8) Godzilla - $22m 9) Noah - $21m 10) Maleficent - $20m *1 USD = 33 RUB **Foreign releases only Happy New Year!
  12. Holidays will decide, should be over even in $, since exchange rate is not that bad.
  13. Openers Saturday(ekinobilet): 1) Trees 3* - $3,6m+ 2) Gray Wolf 2* - $1,1m+ $2,25m+ for Hobbit:DOS, $850k+ for Frozen, $170k+ for Walking with Dinosaurs 3D, $4k+ for CF. Openers Sunday(ekinobilet): 1) Trees 3* - $3,5m+ 2) Gray Wolf 2* - $1,2m+ $2,2m+ for Hobbit:DOS, $950k+ for Frozen, $220k+ for Walking with Dinosaurs 3D, $4k+ for CF. *Local 1 USD = 32,63 RUB 2 more weekends for Hobbit and that's it, most theaters without IMAX already giving it less than 10% of shows next weekend, so IMAX really is a key point in this situation, i doubt it'll increase much this Holiday weekend like the first one did.
  14. Not month, but 2-3 weeks, yes, crappy scene rips then blu-ray itself, it's the time beetwen production and shops.
  15. Nope. But still, quality is awful, even 1 BD is not enough for this movie, so it may hrt a bit in China and Japan, but not so much to become a serious problem.
  16. Openers Friday(ekinobilet): 1) Trees 3* - $2m+ 2) Gray Wolf 2* - $500k+ 1,15m+ for Hobbit:DOS, $335k+ for Frozen, $65k+ for Walking with Dinosaurs 3D, $2k+ for CF... Only 32,68 RUB for 1 USD. *Local
  17. IM3 was more enjoyable for me.
  18. Openers Wednesday(ekinobilet): 1) Hobbit: DOS - $1,25m+ 2) Walking with Dinosaurs 3D - $100k+ 3) Trees 3*(preview) - $100k+ $450k+ for Frozen, $7,5k+ for CF. Only 32,63 RUB for 1 USD. Openers Thursday(ekinobilet): 1) Trees 3* - $1,7m+ 2) Gray Wolf 2* - $350k+ $900k+ for Hobbit:DOS, $220k+ for Frozen, $42k+ for Walking with Dinosaurs 3D, $1,5k for CF... Only 32,65 RUB for 1 USD. *Local $10m+ OW for "Trees 3"? We'll see.
  19. Well, "Trees" gonna have much better weekdays than "Gray Wolf", that's for sure. Hobbit is very lucky with IMAX in this time period, there are no big-medium screens for it since Jan.1-2, without IMAX total earnings would be like 10% less, at least.. Kinometro forecast for this weekend: http://www.kinometro.ru/forecast/show/name/seryi_volk_protiv_elok They are doubting their own prediction? 8,5m OW for "Trees" and 4,2m OW for "Gray Wolf". 5,8m for Hobbit would be a decent hold.
  20. That would mean less gross for Trees(/other comedies)... http://forums.boxoffice.com/index.php?/topic/3024-russia-box-office-frozen-is-a-success-hobbit-2-is-doing-fine-what-else-d/?p=1168863
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