It's just gonna be more frontloaded, it has to be, otherwise, if it start like the first one, there is no way it will get even to 40m.
The reason is the same, competition, even on first week second Hobbit will face more competition than first one did.
So, if OW will be $20m, don't expect even $45m to be locked.
I won't be surprised if total earnings for this weekend will be less than $12m, looks slow as hell.
Last year there was weekend with only 8,9m total, Dec. 13th, there is "Frozen" on that date now, so i don't think it'll happen again to that weekend, but it surely can happen to this one.
Worst weekend so far this year is Sep. 5th, $11,4m total.
My "At Least" Forecast #5 for total gross, December 5st:
Name; Copies; Total gross $;
The Island Of Luck*; ~1000; 3,5m
The Dark World: Balance*; ~1000; 3m Captain Phillips; ~640; 2,5m
7 main desires*; ~800; 1m
*Local.
**There is also a bunch of other movies, but their results not worth mentioning at all(less than 0.5m).
Frozen is capable of making at least $500k in 2 days of preview this weekend.
CF will have less shows than all 3 main openers(and Courier from "Heaven"), so anything over a $1,5m for this weekend would be a great result, even a mln is ok.
$370k+ for CF on Tuesday.
Didn't expect 600+ seats auditorium half full of people at 12am on Tuesday...
It's a pity that CF is likely lose pretty much all big screens this weekend, legs not that bad, after all.
It'll split imax screens(shows) with Captain F.
$350k+ for CF on Monday.
I saw 47 Ronin commercial, and i just freezed, they already marketing this movie, month before release, they are seriously going to fight with Hobbit over the holiday.
Ekinobilet est. for Friday:
1. CF - $760k+
2. Courier from Heaven - $430k+
3. Homefront - $195k+
4. Oldboy - $75k+
5. Filth - $60k+
10 times higher increase for CF than it was last weekend