Cosmonaut

25m for 2 weeks is locked, especially if exchange rate will go up, i'm calling my forecast "at least" for a reason ;D THG had 2x mp, with much stronger competition.

HG:CF OD: ~$2.1m(estimate, according ekinobilet).

Dollar cost 33 rubles, last time it cost so much in the beginning of September, not good for CF

380m

Definitely over. Pretty much all are very high. -~30% in order not to be disappointed

OD is not significant? Thor didn't had the proper OD, so in order to pull up 30m+ CF needs to at least match Thor's formal OD.

Why so?)) I'm monitoring and comparing situation to Thor.

Fire is not that good for OD, anything beyond $2m would be fantastic, but WOM is great, 8,5/10 on KP right now, i expect growth throughout the weekend.

http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=intl&country=R2&id=hungergames.htm Exchange rate was better, not the other way around. So even $25m for CF will be more than double. It would be better if we just added all currency's in one number, crazy, i know, but more precise. According to ekinobilet HG:CF earned ~$15k yesterday))

You keep forgetting that first one earned 13,4m Don't know when to go see CF, tomorrow with crowd, or on Monday without and half the price...

I doubt there will be big increase next year, especially if CF will do well this year. It'll lose it much earlier, even though there is no decent competitor, there is huge number of wide releases, 3 ~1K copies movies coming out before Frozen, all local. We should wait at least for OD result to start thinking about legs. 18th, actually(preview ). Hobbit had 2128 screens last year, it is uncertain whether it's going to pull up that number this year. With much stronger competition(~10 really strong wide releases to compete with), even 45m will be a break through.

My "At Least" Forecast #3 for total gross, November 21st: Name; Copies; Total gross $; HG: CF; ~1500; 30m Delivery Man; ~450; 2,5m Saving Santa; ~1000; 1,5m *There is also a bunch of other movies, but their results not worth mentioning at all(less than 0.5m from now on). CF is likely to lead at least 2 weeks, a lot of movies coming out next week, but even the biggest release,(~1000 copies) - local movie(action comedy) from WDSSPR(again), is a dark horse, could be a hit, could be a fail, they started commercials on tv with catchy song 2 weeks before release, so there is a chance to do decent numbers, but to beat CF on it second week... highly unlikely.

So, is 2.5 times better result, than THG's, locked? Maybe smthing bigger?

It is, and it was shot in IMAX(partly). Every single one of them. For 4 weeks until Hobbit. Or... you meant how many "IMAX"-branded theaters in Russia? 32 theaters in Russia, 60 concluded contracts(on having-building) in CIS. Overall, it'll have much more showings than Thor on his formal OW.

Unreasonable, it's a minimum/worst case scenario. OW will be better, legs will be better. Fun fact: more than 5% of OW IMAX tickets on CF are sold in few hours after one huge cinema chain released their schedule.

~0.5m on Monday for Thor, so yes, 40m is beyond reach.Still, i think Thor could do that number, but WDSSPR had chosen Carrie.

You want me to write each country? There is no point and i won't do that. You can expect increase in every country and overall 2-2.2 times better OS. It's not a real game changer, especially since it has IMAX/4DX etc.

Yes, pretty much. In Russia it's certainly going to earn more than DH1(26) did, maybe even beat DH2(37m). HP territory is actually more close to ~800m today, so 600m is not ballsy at all.

Catching Iceroll, You forgot mine(~600m): http://forums.boxoffice.com/index.php?/topic/4550-catching-fire-os-thread-opening-this-week-post-your-final-predictions-by-wednesday/page-19#entry1072888

Or wait and see. Srsly? Now i want the actuals even more. Everybody till today suggested that Gravity will win, this battle going to be interesting. So will the CF take more screens if this is true?

Only 11,5% left for other movies?

Carrie should not win. Btw, reason(besides already mentioned) for such strong result is higher(than expected) quantity of copies. But ratings are quite low, so it won't be leggy.

Pretty much all live screenings in Russia are sold out, don't know why is it so huge.

Less than others, don't worry.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_70_mm_filmsMost 70mm movies was filmed in the Soviet Union, it is a pity that no one will hold digital restoration even up to 2K(not to mention 8-12K - max res. of 70mm print), even if there is possibility to do so.