BadAtGender

Man. Nobody even has a 700k lead on @Chewy. He could still pull out the win.

If you think MMFR is only good on a technical level, you don't understand storytelling.

If he purchased some premium time from the sale, maybe it overrode the purple?

It's probably less that they only get a certain percentage and more that Marvel's lack of any effort on the merchandising front for Fox movies means that they de facto don't get merchandising revenue. So it actually works out that since they don't get much of anything from merchandise, they can refocus their movie efforts in directions that don't need or encourage merchandise. Ironcially, while Marvel's decision may have been in an effort to make the properties unprofitable for Fox so that they'd relinquish the rights, it may have ended up emboldening Fox to just try things out and figure out a different system that works. We'll have to see if they can apply the lesson elsewhere, such as to the FF. Personally, I don't think R-rated is the way to go, there. Rather they should embrace the roots of the characters and go full on 60s Space Race adventure.

I really liked it. A great use of Chekov's Gun.

Be sure to tell us if you do lose the leg. We'll need to come up with a good nickname for you.

That was a good set of SOTMs for me. Amazing how bad my week 18 score was, though. Blown away by the makeups.

We're tied in SOTMs. So there's that.

Is the number of likes you can dish out the only difference between gold and premium accounts?

Only one film that was the highest grossing of all time has won BP. (At least as far back as I can research on BOM.) If Avatar 2 or Episode 9 manage to eclipse TFA's (or The Last Jedi's) gross, I'd probably put pretty good odds that neither of them is going to win BP. And it's probably likely that neither is going to get a BP nom. Because unless there's something REALLY special going on, the Academy isn't really prone to going for sequels. TFA didn't even get a nom, after all.

They should switch to preferential ballots for all categories. It's clearly a good thing for BP. More surprises.

Maybe I should have watched the Oscars instead of finishing Westworld. At least I would have seen the chaos. But there were really only two parts of the show I really wanted to see, and of those only one happened. The Miranda/Cravalho performance of How Far I'll Go was great. I would have liked to see Miranda get his win, too. Perhaps next Disney collab.

*sees something on twitter about a mistake* What the hell. Okay, that was a surprise.

*peeks at the winners* Well, this is unexpected. I'm loving that we can now say "Oscar Winning Suicide Squad". In fact, we should be required to say that every time we mention the title. *goes back to Westworld*

I kinda doubt Wolfwalkers will get a release this year. Cartoon Saloon's next film is The Breadwinner, due this summer, and Wolfwalkers doesn't even have a release date, yet. I'm not actually sure they've even started on the animation.

1. Will The Get Out open to more than $22M? Yes 2. Will The Get Out open to more than $25M? 3000 Yes 3. Will The Get Out open to more than $28M? Yes 4. Will Collide open to more than $2M? Yes 5. Will Collide open to more than $3.5M? 2000 No 6. Will Collide open to more than $5M? No 7. Will Rock Dog open to more than $2M? Yes 8. Will Rock Dog open to more than $3.5M? No 9. Will Rock Dog open to more than $5M? 2000 No 10. Will Get out make more on Friday than Rock Dog and Collide's combined weekend total? Yes 11. Will Collide make more than Rock Dog? Yes 12. Will either of Collide or Rock Dog (or both) enter in the top 8? 3000 No 13. Will Lego Batman finish within $2m of first place? No 14. Will my Life as a Zucchini have a PTA above $8000? Yes 15. Will my Life as a Zucchini have a PTA above $12000? Yes 16. Will Fifty Shades stay above John Wick 2000 No 17. Will Great Wall stay above John Wick? No 18. Will Fifty Shades cross $100M by Friday 3000 No 19. Will Hidden Figures reenter the top 5? No 20. Will Fist Fight drop more than 55%? 2000 Yes 21. Will a Cure for Wellness have a PTA below $750? Yes 22. Will A DOg's purpose stay above La La Land? No 23. Will The Eagle Huntress stay above $12,500? 3000 Yes 24. Will Lion cross $40M by Saturday? Yes 25. Will I am not your Negro increase? Yes 26. Will Rings drop below Moana? No 27. Will Lego Movie increase more than 125% on Saturday? No 28. Will Star Wars stay above Sing? Yes 29. Are you fed up answering all these questions each week? 2000 It's gotten a bit draining, yeah. 30. How about now? 3000 But I'll be ready again in a couple months. Bonus: 20/30 2000 21/30 3000 22/30 4000 23/30 6000 24/30 9000 25/30 12000 26/30 16000 27/30 20000 28/30 25000 29/30 30000 30/30 40000 Part 2: Closest predictor wins 5000 points (Added bonus: If prediction is within 10% win 6000; 5% 7000; 2.5% 9000; 1% 12000) 1. Predict Get Out's 3 Day. 29.2m 2. Predict Rock Dog's Saturday Gross 1.1m 3. What will Cure for Wellness's percentage drop be? 64.8% 4. Predict the total Domestic Gross of John Wick. 75.3m 5. Predict Lego Batman's Sunday drop 33% Part 3: Predict the films that place in the following positions: 2. The Lego Batman Movie 5. The Great Wall 7. Hidden Figures 9. La La Land 12. Lion 14. Rock Dog 16. Rings 20. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Probably. LLL should get at least one of the key wins (Pic, Dir, Actress). HF seems an unlikely Pic or SupActress winner. Moana is probably not going to get Animated Feature. That would put the order as 1. LLL 2. Moana 3. HF What happens from there depends a lot on whether Arrival is a non-starter or it manages an upset in any way. If it gets a win, it vaults ahead of HF. However, if it misses and Hacksaw gets something, Hacksaw is in 4th. If Arrival and Hacksaw miss, we'd probably see Fences in 4th, because Davis seems to be the foregone SupActress choice. Actually, since the categories are pretty consistent (All 5 BD entries are BP choices, as are the 4 Actor entries, 1 of the 4 Actress (but even doubled, neither Jackie, Loving, or Elle would appear on the list), 3 of the 4 SupActor (and doubled Nocturnal Animals doesn't make the list), and all 5 SupActress noms. Moana is the only Best Animated Feature entry that's showing up, which means that the list of possible options is from the 8 eligible BP entries (HOHW was released too early), and Moana. Current list of those with rough totals. 1. Moana 245m 2. HF 145m 3. LLL 135m 4. Arrival 100m 5. Hacksaw 67m 6. Fences 55m 7. Manchester 46m 8. Lion 37m 9. Moonlight 21m. Actually, Moonlight can't get there, either. Even if Ali wins SupActor, it's less than Manchester, if that gets shut out. So it's down to whether Lion can get a win or not to sneak into the list. If it does, it knocks... something out, unless Hacksaw, Fences, and Manchester all get wins as well. I don't think Lion is favored for any category, though. If I was going to guess, I'd say the order will probably be: 1. LLL (Pic, Dir, Actress) 2. Moana (None) 3. HF (None) 4. Fences (SupActress) 5. Arrival (None) 6. Manchester (Actor) 7. Hacksaw (None)

85m drop. ~16% Which isn't too bad, historically speaking, for a sequel to a mega blockbuster. I've got a spreadsheet of them, but it's messy and hasn't been updated in a couple years. Still, if we're looking at followups to 350m films, only one at the time I last updated had managed to increase: Catching Fire. The best drops were for Spider-Man (both sequels fell less than 10% from the preceding films), and Transformers 3, which had a drop around 12%. Then it's TDKR's 16%. Everything else (Shrek 3, AOTC, Mockingjay 1, Pirates 3, Transformer 4, and The Lost World) all dropped by over 20%. If F8 drops like at Spidey, we'll see it finishing above 315m. If it's like TDKR or Transformers 3, it'll be around 300m. Most likely, it'll be in the 20-30% range, though, which would mean a total around 250-280,

I think I've got my 25 films. I just need to put them in order.

Fucking awesome. If y'all haven't seen it yet, go watch it now. Paprika is the amazing, final film that Satoshi Kon completed.

FYC, but also checking eligibility, @Telemachos It hit the festival circuit in 2006 and popped up in a number of them, but didn't have its actual release until June of 2007. Good?

The nice thing about doing an older year is we can have an agreed-upon criteria for which movies qualify for that year, and it'll be far easier for people to rank because they'll probably have seen them, regardless. No worrying about, oops, that November movie in the US doesn't come out until July in your country!

*looks back in at the final winners* Well, that was unsurprising.

What's the problem with the thread title?