BadAtGender

Women, LGBTQ+, Muslims, Jews, Black People, etc. etc.: "We would like to live in peace and have equality and not be killed." White supremacists: "We want to subjugate, remove rights, and kill people." DAR: "Can't you just agree to disagree and get along?"

Neither SJWs nor the Friendzone exist. PC doesn't exist. They're all labels that were applied by people who felt entitled to something that they didn't get and so they wanted to demean the opposition. The SJW thing? It stemmed out of what became Gamergate, which was effectively a testbed for the Alt-Right. Those people were always racist. Always misogynistic. Always wanting to get things they felt they were entitled to, and always wanted to see others subjugated under them. Calling them out for their deplorable behavior didn't make someone an SJW. If you're saying that SJWs are annoying, then you've bought into a propaganda campaign that people created so that they could continue to be horrible to other people. Congratulations. Don't tell people they can't get angry about things that actually, negatively affect their lives. If you want to actually make things better, stop fucking tone policing and actually look at real things that are causing real problems. Here's a massive hint: it's not the so-called "SJWs".

Eh. It's not really a problem. Last week it dropped 30% on Wednesday, which was the best Wednesday drop it's seen, yet. The percentage increase over last week is about the same as it was yesterday. It might have taken a slightly bigger hit than expected from Sing + theater loss, but this seems to have been offset by the good word of mouth. Alternative take: If we want a calendar mate, we could look at The Muppets, which earned $10m From the 22nd to the 1st. Moana is pulling ~4x per day that The Muppets was, so we could probably expect ~$40m in that span, so it should be around $210m, which is basically the same as TS2 at that point, continuing to show that it's matching that run very closely. But also consider that The Muppets was not a film that exhibited especially good legs, so the chances it's going to end up doing better are pretty good. If it's $215m or so, that won't be surprising.

It's probably going to hit in about the same range. I expect the two will have final totals within $20m of each other. Though it shouldn't happen, because Sing looks like the cinematic equivalent of American politics. Go for quality, people. Watch Moana.

Sing looks like hot garbage. Every time I see the trailer it looks worse. Though, yeah, it's probably going to play well. On the ride back from Moana today, my mom said she wanted to see Sing. Me: I do not want to see Sing at all. Mom: Why not? Me: Because Illumination doesn't make good movies. Mom: That's because you're a connoisseur. Of course three times since then I've had to correct her on things because she couldn't remember the difference between Rock Dog and Sing. Generic talking animal films about music? Just shuffle them up and it doesn't matter.

Probably. I see it hitting in about the same range as Moana's final total. Although that's assuming it's actually hitting above $10m today. If it's below that, then adjust the 6-day total accordingly.

Well, my post wasn't really serious. I don't remember what happened with Tintin's release to generate that extra $3.3m Possibly some limited engagement, though that's a huge amount. Regardless, I doubt Sing follows Tintin's path. If it hits about $10 today, I'd expect it's probably going to do about $70-$80m for the 6-day.

If we're using Tintin as a comparison for Sing, that indicates a 6-day of $100-$120 million.

Don't spoil me. I probably won't see it until it hits video.

They already are. Thawn is in the third season of Rebels.

Can you figure out who had the most and least similar lists to the final tally?

AFAIK, none of the theaters in Seattle do Discount Tuesdays. Or, if they do, it's only in a very limited capacity, like for showtimes before 10am or something. But the matinee pricing is also pretty limited, often only giving significant discounts before noon, and only slightly reduced prior to 4 or 6pm, so you'd still be paying $10 or so a ticket.

Or, if we're having fun with math... Sherlock's OW to Monday ratio is 8.05. R1's is 8.62 So from that perspective, Sherlock held better on Monday than R1 did. Not a lot, but a bit. Game of Shadows had better word of mouth. By about 7%. So we should expect R1 to hold about 7% worse than Game of Shadows did from Monday on. It won't get a 29.88 multiplier, but rather a 27.92. That would be 502m more, which makes it a 657m total.

Perhaps to do the math a different way: After opening weekend, Game of Shadows earned 29.88 times it's first Monday over the rest of its run. If Rogue One does the same, it'll earn about 537m starting from Monday. Add in the opening weekend, and you've got a total of 692m, which would throw slightly under the 4.5 multiplier.

It's been so long since we submitted lists, I don't know if I'm supposed to be angry about some of these placements or not.

So, does it really do the yeoman's work to make it feel like you're watching someone else play a video game without having any control yourself? Because I find that's the hallmark of a "great" video game adaptation.

A lot probably depends on how much Disney knows about the status of Avatar 2's production. If they think it's going to hit the release, they probably won't muscle for the date. Even without the shared interest, that's not a fight Disney wants; Cameron has shown multiple times not to underestimate his mass appeal.

I don't think he's being very passive in his aggressiveness.

On the bus home from work I passed one of the indie theaters and on its marquee was: I laughed.

We are?

Oh, God. Why do I keep getting notifications that people post in this thread... And ONLY this thread.

And hasn't Rth indicated that the studios really don't like preview numbers to be released early?

Wow. This thread got busy.

Here are some Boxes: (well not literal boxes) $300-500M Rogue One $250-300M Sing $125-150M Passengers $80-100M Why Him Assassins Creed Patriot's Day $50-60M Fences $40-50M A Monster Calls Silence $30-40M Collateral Beauty

1. Will Rogue One open to more than $130m? Yes 2. Will Rogue One open to more than $150m? 3000 Yes 3. Will Rogue One open to more than $170m? No 4. Will Rogue One open to more than $190m? (Conditional Bonus!!!: 3000 if you predict YES and are correct) No 5. Will Rogue One drop less than 37.5% on Saturday? 2000 No 6. Will Rogue One make more than 6 times it's Thursday Preview number for its full weekend (including aforementioned Thursday number)? No 7. Will Collateral Beauty make more than $9M? Yes 8. Will Collateral Beauty make more than $12M? 2000 No 9. Will Collateral Beauty make more than $15M? No 10. Will Collateral Beauty make more than 7.5% of Rogue One's Weekend total? 3000 No 11. Will Fences have a PTA above $32,500? Yes 12. Will Fences have a PTA above $47,500? Yes 13. Will Dr. Strange stay above Nocturnal Animals? 3000 Yes 14. Will la La Land's PTA stay above $50k? No 15. Will Moana stay above $12M? Yes 16. Will Office Christmas Party have a lower percentage drop than Bad Santa 2? 2000 Yes 17. Will Allied cross $40M by the end of the Weekend? No 18. Will any film in the top 20 drop 75% or more? Yes 19. Will Manchester by the Sea drop less than 20% this weekend? Yes 20. Will any film increase more than 75% on Saturday? Yes 21. Will any film not called Star Wars decrease on Saturday? 3000 No 22. Will Fantastic Beasts' PTA stay above $2000? Yes 23. Will Hacksaw Ridge stay above Miss Sloane? 2000 Yes 24. Will Rogue one make more than 80% of all money at the box office this weekend? No 25. Will trolls drop more than 20% on Sunday? Yes 26. Will Loving make more money than Jackie this weekend? No 27. How many films will make more than $8M this weekend? 2000 Four 28. Will 2nd through 5th make more than Rogue One's Saturday? No 29. Will Collateral Beauty outgross Moana every day of the weekend? 3000 No 30. Will Darth Vader be killed off in Rogue One only to be regenerated as a Clone in a shock twist that turns everything we know about Star Wars on its head? Sounds plausible. Bonus: 18/30 2000 19/30 3000 20/20 4000 21/20 6000 22/20 8000 23/20 10000 24/20 12000 25/30 15000 26/30 18000 27/30 21000 28/30 25000 29/30 30000 30/30 35000 Part 2: Closest predictor wins 5000 points (Added bonus: If prediction is within 10% win 6000; 5% 7000; 2.5% 9000; 1% 12000) 1. Predict Rogue One's OW. 162.8m 2. Predict Collateral's Saturday Gross. 3.6m 3. Predict how much money Disney conglomerate films (with BOM reported Dailies) make on Friday. 78.9m 4. Predict Fences' PTA 67,890k 5. Predict Office Xmas party's Percentage Drop 44.4% Part 3: Predict the films that place in the following positions: 2. Moana 5. Fantastic Beasts & Where to Find Them 7. Manchester By The Sea 10. Allied 13. Hacksaw Ridge 15. Almost Christmas