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BadAtGender

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Everything posted by BadAtGender

  1. I'd guess probably not, because Friday and Sunday were both heavily inflated. A 35% week to week drop on Saturday would give it ~27.5 If Friday fell the same percentage, sans previews, that's ~19.5. So we'd be at 47m for FS. That would require Sunday to be at 26m in order to hit the 45% drop mark. Which is probably not happening. More likely it comes in around the 50% drop mark
  2. Running backwards for films this decade: 1 168 Home (2015) Fox 10 $177,397,510 3/27/15 2 170 Gone Girl Fox 10 $167,767,189 10/03/14 3 148 Guardians of the Galaxy BV 10 $333,176,600 8/01/14 4 39 Frozen BV 16 $400,738,009 11/22/13 5 163 The Croods Fox 10 $187,168,425 3/22/13 6 109 Silver Linings Playbook Wein. 12 $132,092,958 11/16/12 7 164 Lincoln BV 10 $182,207,973 11/09/12 8 143 The Hunger Games LGF 10 $408,010,692 3/23/12 9 131 The King's Speech Wein. 11 $135,453,143 11/26/10 10 116 Inception WB 11 $292,576,195 7/16/10 11 158 How to Train Your Dragon P/DW 10 $217,581,231 3/26/10 From: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/weekends/bestranked.htm?page=WKNDSAT10&sort=date&order=DESC&p=.htm
  3. No. It's a stupid plan because the films are not the comics. They can and should take ideas from the comics, but the two media are different, with different needs and requirements. Iron Man 3 used some ideas from the Extremis storyline, but it was not Extremis. They changed many things. This was a good decision. CATWS used some ideas from the Winter Soldier storyline, but it was not Winter Soldier. They changed many things. This was a good decision. DOFP used some ideas from the Days of Future Past storyline, but it was not Days of Future Past. They changed many things. This was a good decision. Sin City basically used the comic as a storyboard. It changed very little. This was a bad decision. The fact that you love the X-Force comic so much that you really want to see a specific lineup on the screen does not make it a good decision for them to use that lineup.
  4. You could be right about Negasonic. She does provide a ready-ish entry point into New Mutants. The downside is that you lose a bit of the fun interplay that already exists. And since I'd expect New Mutants to skew younger (audience-wise), it may not be a huge advantage. I really don't see Psylocke making the transition. For one, if she is a breakout character, it wouldn't make sense. Deadpool is already popular. You don't need to load up his team with other popular characters. It's better for her to remain in the X-Men and keep their audience up in this post-original cast era. Secondly, time travel between the "now" and "X-Men in the past" timelines isn't a smart idea, IMO. Cable comes from the far future to now, so you can just sort of handwave it away, but the plot complexity goes way up if you're jumping characters around. I think it's best for them to just let the X-Men films continue with their delightful "one every decade" thing going on right now without letting the characters appreciably age. Gambit is a wildcard. It'll be interesting to see what they do there.
  5. Following the comics isn't a good plan. They should build from the core of what they have and go from there. DP, Colossus, and Negasonic are that core. Cable and Copycat (assuming Vanessa is developed that way) are good, sensible additions. Psylocke doesn't make sense, IMO, because she's a popular character and if she is well done in XMA she can become a core point of the X-Men films going forward, which would mitigate the need for Wolverine every time. She doesn't add anything to a DP-centered lineup. Logan is not happening. The X-films are already criticized for being too Wolverine focused. And Jackman may like the character, but he doesn't seem inclined to play him forever. He's also expensive. In my opinion, if they are going with a six member lineup, the last should be a woman. Blink adds some good diversity, and is pretty much a blank slate otherwise so they can craft her as needed. Other options, such as Domino and Boom-Boom, wouldn't be bad, but those roles seem filled by Copycat and Negasonic.
  6. They could bring Fan Bingbing back. She was pretty cool looking in her brief DOFP cameo. If they are setting up X-Force, and assuming they want it to be in the present while the X-Men films continue to jump decades, then you'd have to have a team that's mostly separate from those. So no Psylocke, probably: Deadpool, Cable, Colossus, Negasonic Teenage Warhead, Copycat, and sure, Blink.
  7. By trends for P-Day, the 4-day weekend probably will account for about 40-50% of the total. So it probably has a shot, but it's not guaranteed.
  8. They did, and did so in a more balanced nature than, say, Frozen, but both also had much more favorable exchange rates than we're likely to see this year. The dollar is super strong. Additionally, the growth between 3 and 4 was pretty slim. How much expansion do you think can happen for them? China, apparently, isn't going as explosive with animation as it is with big budget live action. That requires other markets which were already big for IA to expand more. Many are doing that, but not at the same rate. And then there's the DOM problem. It's going to drop again. Maybe, I don't know, to under 120m? In order to get to 900m that's going to need a lot to break its way. Not saying it won't do that, but it feels like a long shot at this point.
  9. Even beyond all the fun, R-rated, irreverent humor, one great thing is how lean the film is. Too often, comic book movies are overstuffed, especially with massively escalating third acts. It's always about saving the world. Deadpool never gets away from the plot as introduced at the beginning. The focus of the stakes change (from revenge to rescue) but the scale is the same. That's nice, because it keeps things on a more personal, relatable level. Actually, the scale might be the most subversive aspect of the film. Plus, I laughed a lot. 4/5
  10. Well, don't leave me hanging. I gotta know if it's time to finish or not.
  11. Saw an early evening DP show. Pretty full, but not completely sold out. However, when I left, the theater lines were absolutely packed. Evening shows on the Left Coast might have pushed it higher than reported numbers, perhaps? I believe that it's in the top ten for superhero opening days. Which is unreal. A month or two ago, weren't people thinking it might come in below 2oolander?
  12. Raiders of the Lost Ark vs. Doctor Zhivago Star Wars IV: A New Hope vs. Star Wars VI: Return of the Jedi The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers vs. The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King Jaws vs. Mary Poppins Star Wars V: The Empire Strikes Back vs. The Dark Knight The Lion King vs. 101 Dalmatians Jurassic Park vs. The Godfather Back to the Future vs. Forrest Gump
  13. COMPLETE LIST! Honorable Mentions: Ant-Man The Good Dinosaur Home Jupiter Ascending Kingsman: The Secret Service The Martian Paddington Slow West Star Wars: The Force Awakens Turbo Kid #15 - Mission Impossible: Rogue Nation #14 - Chappie #13 - The Man from U.N.C.L.E. #12 - Cinderella #11 - SPY #10 - Bridge of Spies #9 - When Marnie Was There #8 - Magic Mike XXL #7 - Tangerine #6 - Ex Machina #5 - Creed #4 - Furious 7 #3 - World of Tomorrow #2 - Inside Out #1 - Mad Max: Fury Road All in all, a pretty great year for movies.
  14. 1. Will Deadpool make over 40M OW? YES 2. Will Deadpool make over 55M OW? 3000 YES 3. Will Deadpool make over 75M OW? NO 4. Will Deadpool make over 10M from Previews/Midnights? NO 5. Will Zoolander 2 make mare than 17.5M OW? NO 6. Will Zoolander 2 make more than 25M OW? 2000 NO 7. Will how to be single make more than 15M OW? YES 8. Will the top 3 new openers combine to more than 110M OW? 3000 NO 9. Will pride, prejudice and zombies finish in the top 10? NO 10. Will the Revenant finish ahead of Star Wars? YES 11. Will 13 hours cross $50M by the end of the weekend? YES 12. Will any film have a sub 100% increase on Friday? 2000 YES 13. Will The Boy have a better PTA than Dirty Grandpa? YES 14. Will Kung Fu Panda's total gross overtake sisters' by the end of Saturday? 2000 YES 15. Will Fifty Shades drop more than 59%? YES 16. Will Deadpool increase by at least 47.7% on Saturday? 3000 NO 17. Will any film increase by over 300% on Friday? YES 18. Will Star Wars Drop less than 42%? YES 19. Will Deadpool gross more than 2nd-5th combined? YES 20. Will the Finest Hours stay ahead of Ride Along 2? YES 21. How many films will make more than $15M this weekend? 2000 THREE 22. Will Zoolander 2 have the best Sunday drop of the 3 main new openers? NO 23. Will Valentines Day's total gross for every film in cinemas exceed $75M? 3000 YES 24. Will Deadpool break the February OW record? NO 25. Who is gonna give it to ya? DEADPOOL PROBABALY WILL 15/25 2000 16/25 3000 17/25 4000 18/25 6000 19/25 8000 20/25 10000 21/25 12000 22/25 14000 23/25 16000 24/25 18000 25/25 20000 Part 2. 1. What will Deadpool Gross OW? 5000 74.27m 2. What will Zoolander's Friday gross be? 5000 5.83m 3. What will How to be single's Valentines Day gross be? 5000 8.01m 4. What will Kung Fu panda's gross be by the end of the weekend? 5000 90.21m 5. What will be the difference between Dirty Grandpa and The Boy's weekend gross? 5000 87k 6. What will Star Wars' Sunday gross be? 5000 1.71m Part 3. 2. HOW TO BE SINGLE 5. HAIL CAESAR 7. THE REVENANT 10. THE FINEST HOURS 12. RIDE ALONG 2 15. THE 5THE WAVE
  15. Well, I think I've got things back on track. Now, where were we?
  16. So, a massive course correction! While I figure out how I so terribly went wrong with my list, here's the rest of the honorable mentions! Honorable Mention #6 Honorable Mention #7 Honorable Mention #8 Oh, wait. Honorable Mention #9 I see what list I was reading from now. Honorable Mention #10
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