BadAtGender

Slight redemption, but anyone who voted for those TFA wins needs to be banned.

The troll is strong within this one.

Oh, thank god.

This is terrible.

This feels like something that would make a neat short film, but I can't see it holding together for a full feature narrative.

*shrug* I've had good steaks, but it's rarely been a food I've had a particularly craving for. In fact, even the best steaks I've had haven't compared to the awesomeness that is spam musubi.

When I really think about it, I like spam more than steak.

It's like you don't even WANT to catch up anymore.

1. Will Deadpool make at least $55M this weekend? YES 2. Will Deadpool make at least $65M this weekend? 3000 NO 3. Will Deadpool make at least $75M this weekend? NO 4. Will Deadpool increase more than 43% on Saturday? YES 5. Will Zoolander drop more than 60% this weekend? YES 6. Will How to be Single be in the top 5 this weekend? 2000 NO 7. What will be the highest grossing new entry this weekend? RACE 8. Will Race make more than $10M this weekend? YES 9. Will race make more than $12.5M this weekend? 3000 NO 10. Will The Witch make more than $8M OW? NO 11. Will The Witch make more than $12M OW? NO 12. Will the witch make more than 37.5% of its total gross on Friday? 2000 YES 13. How many new openers will finish ahead of Kung Fu Panda? ONE 14. Name any film that drops less than 32% this weekend. (Choose ONE film only, or choose NONE) 2000 NONE 15. Will Star Wars make more than $1M every day of the weekend? YES 16. Will hail Caesar finish above the Choice this weekend? 3000 YES 17. Will Pride and Prejudice finish above Dirty Grandpa? NO 18. Will Fifty Shades of Black drop below Alvin and The Chipmunks this weekend? YES 19. Will Busko Novio Para Mi Merjer make more than $350k this weekend? YES 20. Will Neerja have a PTA above $3,200? YES 21. Will The Revenant cross $164M by the end of the weekend? 3000 YES 22. Will 13 Hours' PTA stay above $1,000 this weekend? NO 23. Will any film increase more than 135% this Friday? 2000 NO 24. Will How to be Single make its budget ($38M) back by the end of the weekend? NO 25. Will the Choice remain in the top 10? NO 26. Will the top 5's combined gross exceed $100M? 2000 NO 27. Will Deadpool cross $475M WW by Sunday's end? YES 28. Will Zoolander cross $47.5M Worldwide by Sunday's end? NO 29. Were you expecting the silly automatic points scoring question to be number 30? 3000 I EXPECTED IT TO BE THE LAST ONE 30. Can I expect you back to play again in the summertime ? DEPENDS ON IF I BEAT @Telemachos 21/30 - 2000 22/30 - 4000 23/30 - 6000 24/30 - 8000 25/30 - 10000 26/30 - 12000 27/30 - 15000 28/30 - 17000 29/30 - 20000 30/30 - 25000 Part 2: 1. What will Deadpool's total be by the end of the weekend? 5000 240.21m 2. What will be the difference between Titanic and Star Wars' WW gross by the end of the weekend? 5000 151.48m 3. What will Zoolander's percentage drop be this weekend? 5000 62.3% 4. How many films will make more than 500k this weekend? 5000 21 5. What will the 3 main openers' combined Saturday gross be? 5000 9.42m 6. What will Ride Along gross on Sunday? 5000 457k 7. What will Embrace of the Serpent's total gross be by the end of the weekend? 5000 40k Part 3 2. RACE 4. RISEN 6. HOW TO BE SINGLE 9. STAR WARS: THE FORCE AWAKENS 12. THE CHOICE 15. THE 5TH WAVE 18. BUSCO NOVIO PARA MI MUJER 20. 13 HOURS: THE SECRET SOLDIERS OF BENGHAZI

Since they have ~2 years until release, there's plenty of time to hammer it out. A limited release can be done without consideration of other films, but staking out the wide release is more important.

That would make less sense, then. If they don't get the ancillary revenues, then they don't see any benefit from boosting them.

Maybe. IIRC there actually are strong financial reasons for getting a film to $200m. Something to do with ancillary revenue and such.

Oh, prior to the limited release, then.

AS had mixed WOM? I thought the limited run was spectacularly huge. It didn't necessarily indicate a wide opening on the scale it had (which was definitely up there), but certainly showed that it doing well above Lone Survivor wasn't a shock. Still, if we take a retrospect look, the JW and SW openings are in the "Oh, yeah, that makes sense" category, while AS and DP are more "no, I still don't entirely get it" group.

For surprising runs, I like to look at how late it was before the consensus realized how big it was going to be. And by that metric, Star Wars was not the most surprising film. It was huge, but given the presales and everything, it seemed pretty much guaranteed to set the OW record prior to the opening happening. JW, OTOH, was a huge surprise. Even just prior to release there was little indication that it would blow up like it did. Hell, even with the preview number it didn't seem the case. that it would gun for the OW record DP is similar to JW. Even just prior to release it didn't seem like it was going to blow up huge. Successful, sure, but even then expectations were that it would do in total what it managed in 3 days. It's a pity that @Wrath's tracking project only goes back so far, because if we had a massive amount of historical data we could troll it to see what OW expectations were just prior to opening. Even so, you can go back through Mojo and Guru and BO.com archives to see what they expected for films to open at and compare to the actual openings.

God, I hope that 200k buffer holds up.

400m grossing films by Release Month (ignoring films that crossed the mark via re-releases) March - THG May - TA1, TPM, AOU, Shrek 2, IM3, SM1 June - JW, TS3, ROTF July - TDK, TDKR, DMC November - CF, Frozen December - TFA, Avatar, Titanic So January, February, April, August, September, and October are all missing out, so far.

Race - 16m Risen - 14m The Witch - 8m

KFP3's week to week bump isn't too surprising. Last year, Spongebob was up about 20% from the Tuesdays before and after P-Day, and was similarly strong for the next two days. But the following Friday it only jumped up 100% (instead of the 300%+ it had for the P-Day weekend). LEGO had a similar track. Up during the weekdays, but a muted Friday bounce to have the weekend drop be pretty normal.

I suppose betting low on 2lander and high on HTBS paid off. Along with everyone being mostly wrong on DP's part.

Every single SW prequel was released on a Wednesday or Thursday. Doing that naturally depresses the OW. ROTS had the biggest opening day of all time at the time of its release, but its OW was only #2 (behind Spider-Man). If it had opened on a Friday, it would have easily gotten the OW record. It's likely that record would have been above the DMC OW, so it would have held the record until SM3. So, comparing Deadpool (Friday release, boosted Sunday) to ROTS (Thursday release, depressed 3-day) is very much apples and oranges. Deadpool's OW is fantastic, but it's a different beast.

I'm not knocking the performance of DP. It's legit astounding. But the way you phrased things made it sound like Fox is doing poorly with their overall OW numbers because they used to have the SW distribution license. And given the time that's passed since their last SW film and the way those films were released, it's not a fair comparison.

What the kittens?

There's been over a decade since ROTS was released. Also, if it hadn't opened on a Thursday, it probably would have had a bigger opening than this.

151m > 132m, unless there's some new math that I'm not aware of. DP's 152m is for the 4-day holiday weekend.