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Quigley

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  1. Quigley
    I agree this is a sensible and impressive interpretation actually. But I think I just can't relate to something so surrealistic. That's why I like Pixar films more. But if other people can relate to it, then that's great cuz it means the movie achieves it's purpose.
  2. Quigley
    Well, first of all, in SA, No-Face does the most random unexlplained things in the movie. I don't even understand what purpose they serve and I find his whole character quite unnecessary. Also, in the Wind Rises, maybe this is just because of the subtitles (I'm not sure whether they were accurate or not), sometimes I couldn't understand whether he was in Germany or Japan. The film jumped from one scene to another without always explaining what happened during the time in between. Again this might have been due to the subtitles. I agree that they are good films but I guess I'm so used to the American way of storytelling that I find them very strange at times.
  3. Quigley
    I liked SA when I watched it but there are still parts of it that don't make sense to me. I guess this is just because of cultural differences, but I find that some parts of the plot in Miyazaki films are unexplained. The chain of events is sometimes illogical and questions remain unanswered. I don't know if this is just because of the symbolic nature of his films, but I find it difficult to fully understand the plot. (Note: I've seen SA, HMC, Arrietty, TWR and Ponyo. The above obviously don't apply to the same extent to all films)
  4. Quigley
    Why would it have such a steep drop?
  5. Quigley
    I think the minimum expectation for the film's WW total is now $550M (given Friday's results in the US and OS). But it can potentially gross much higher than that.
  6. Quigley
    How I see Friday's estimates: The good news: TASM 2 got crushed and fell more than 50%; Cap 2 fell just 30% and will eventually surpass the LEGO Movie to become the highest-grossing film of 2014 in North America (whether it will stay there until Mockingjay - Part 1 arrives is an intriguing question) The meh news: the latest Godzilla movie, which is proof that Hollywood has run out of good ideas and plot devices, exploded with what could possibly be the biggest single day for the year (beating Cap 2's $36.9M). The B+ CinemaScore indicates it won't have as big a multiplier as expected. The bad news: Million Dollar Arm flopped with probably less than $13M for the weekend, although what really matters is how well it holds from now on. http://www.deadline.com/2014/05/box-office-godzilla-crushes-it-90m/
  7. Quigley
    After one-and-a-half month, Deadline is still using Captain America 2's opening weekend estimates instead of actuals, for comparison with other movies ($96.2M instead of $95.0M) http://www.deadline.com/2014/05/box-office-preview-godzilla-stomps-into-theaters-tonight/
  8. Quigley
    For a second consecutive week, ScreenDaily didn't report mid-week OS totals. I hate that they do this stuff without notice. And THR didn't have a weekend report on the Japanese box office. It's annoying when I have to depend exclusively on BOM for an "official" report.
  9. Quigley
    The situation doesn't look bad, tbh. But neither exceptional. It'll end up with about $300-350M OS imho. With the global releases of X-Men: DOFP next week and Maleficent the week after, I can't see it going any higher, no matter how high its opening weekend is.
  10. Quigley
    What is pretty bad?
  11. Quigley
    Kinda off-topic: Talking about things that are so bad they're funny, look at how desperate BOM is to gain followers on Twitter. http://forums.boxoffice.com/index.php?/topic/4301-south-korea-box-office-2014/?p=1407763
  12. Quigley
    Following a discussion about how ridiculous BOM is sometimes, look at this: they say that Godzilla took 1st place at the box office yesterday, but the only thing they provide is a link to the film's release dates in various countries. https://twitter.com/boxofficemojo/status/467062968661049344
  13. Quigley
    By seeing her/his user name, I'd say s/he's in Greece or Cyprus.
  14. Quigley
    First day [*]in France: $1.6M [*]in Australia: est. $1.2M [*]biggest single day in 2014 in Indonesia http://www.thewrap.com/godzilla-box-office-openings Not bad, that lizard is still popular. And it's gonna be huge.
  15. Quigley
    Regarding this issue of decreases, sometimes it is due to exchange rates but sometimes he posts decreases even in the national currency, so I have no clue what is going on. He or his sources might count backwards sometimes, idk. e.g. Toy Story 3 in Japan Total as of September 18–19, 2010: ¥10,791,686,065 Total as of September 25–26, 2010: ¥10,659,750,457 If any of you have any other explanation besides Subers's utter retardation, please enlighten me.
  16. Quigley
    The thing is, he claims these issues (regarding exchange rates) are minutiae that he doesn't have time to address. And since it's a private-owned website, fair enough, he can do whatever he and the owners want. What I'm bothered by is the fact that he claims the website is accurate and comprehensible. Clearly that is far from the truth. And by the way, if you're on Twitter, don't say that to him cuz he'll block you. As previously said, beyond retarded.
  17. Quigley
    I have insufficient data to decide whether that was off or not. But according to a post in this thread, the $144.4M total that was estimated here in the forum was $1.1M more than the actual (I can't be bothered to find that post but it's in pages 180-182 I think). So maybe the $143.2M was actually accurate. Last week, though, $164.4M was definitely low. However, moving on to this week, indeed, these numbers are very encouraging. Let's hope it drops less than 10% this weekend (imo very likely).
  18. Quigley
    I agree that $164.4M is very low and cannot be explained by the exchange rates. Subers said that he couldn't be bothered to update the estimated overall OS number with the actual (i.e. change $790.3M to $792.something), since it doesn't change its overseas rank anyway (and since it will be updated next weekend). He also said that the difference between $164.4 and $167 is due to exchange rates, but as I said I don't think that is the case. It is, as you said, an estimate-actual problem and Disney hasn't provided an actual. However, the Japan page at BOM (updated on Wednesdays), only provides the actual in yen (17.00 billion yen, which is lower than the reported 17.08 billion yen that is mentioned in this forum). The number in dollars ($166.95M) is not an accurate actual, though, as I've already explained. This raises the question of which "actual" number is the most accurate. 17.00 billion yen or 17.08 billion yen?
  19. Quigley
    Ray Subers implicitly admitted on Twitter that he uses the exchange rate of the latest weekend to convert the movie's entire gross into dollars (which was obvious anyway). For example, let's say that Frozen makes 18 billion yen by Sunday. This, I hope you realise, means that if the ER suddenly falls to 80 yen to 1 dollar, Frozen will have made 18 billion yen / 0.08 = $225M dollars (according to BOM). There couldn't be a more inaccurate method to calculate the total gross in dollars, especially if there is a variable ER. [update:] He also said that Disney probably uses each individual week's exchange rate. That would yield a number similar to what I calculated in the above table, which means that the number Disney reported on Sunday ($164.4M) was an underestimate.
  20. Quigley
    I constructed this table using separate exchange rates (ER) for weekeend and weekdays. Weekend ER comes from BOM's weekend chart. Weekday ER is a weighted average of the daily ER (for the 5 weekdays). Weighting is approximately based on the daily gross (e.g. if Wednesday earned twice as much as Tuesday, the ER for Wednesday counted twice as much as the Tuesday ER in the weighting calculation). The daily ER were taken from: http://www.oanda.com/currency/historical-rates/ The raw grosses (i.e. the ones in yen) were taken from BOM weekend charts. This is nearly as accurate as possible, based on the data on this thread for daily grosses. Gross is about $166.17M by May 11. Let's see to what extent Screen Daily's updated total supports this estimation.
  21. Quigley
    Can I upload a picture? How do I do that?
  22. Quigley
    oh, ok
  23. Quigley
    What is the source for these official updates?
  24. Quigley
    An exchange rate of 102.2 would give ¥14.63B / 0.1022 = $143.15M as of Sunday, May 3, so the fluctuation does actually matter... And it is actually more than 0.5%, because such a fluctuation could only take the gross of 143.15 up to 143.15 * 1.005 = 143.87M, not 144.4M
  25. Quigley
    But if you check the weekly charts that they post on "International", the total grosses are usually different than the ones reported on Sunday. Above each weekend chart there is an exchange rate and each week, they divide the total gross by that weekend's exchange rate.
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